---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Avondale 1
  
Avondale              
W-L: ( 1-12) PR = 72.2213

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 403 H Henry Ford II ( 0- 7, 71.0) 11- 9 404 H Waterford United ( 2- 8, 77.1) 1-16 407 A Rochester HS ( 9- 8, 82.1) 0-17 409 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 3- 6 411 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 8-10, 80.6) 1-14 414 A West Bloomfield ( 7- 8, 81.1) 2-14 416 A Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 3-16 423 H Royal Oak ( 2-16, 79.2) 1-17 505 A Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 4-23 507 H Rochester Adams (14- 4, 88.0) 1-16 508 H Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 2-15 514 H St Catherine of Siena ( 4- 7, 77.1) 5-17 516 A Marian ( 9- 7, 91.9) 0-23

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Henry Ford II          11- 9       2     2           0.15
   404 H Waterford United        1-16     -15    -4          -0.74
   407 A Rochester HS            0-17     -17   -11           0.00
   409 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op     3- 6      -3    -4           1.24
   411 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie     1-14     -13    -9           0.00
   414 A West Bloomfield         2-14     -12   -10           0.00
   416 A Clarkston               3-16     -13   -13           0.00
   423 H Royal Oak               1-17     -16    -6           0.00
   505 A Oxford                  4-23     -19   -13           0.00
   507 H Rochester Adams         1-16     -15   -15           0.00
   508 H Swartz Creek            2-15     -13   -12           0.00
   514 H St Catherine of Siena   5-17     -12    -4          -0.72
   516 A Marian                  0-23     -23   -20           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Avondale Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Ann Arbor Father Gabriel insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ann Arbor Father Gabriel
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron   Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline   Ann Arbor Skyline
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Byron Center Byron Center insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Canton   Canton
Cass Tech Cass Tech tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Cass Tech
Catholic Central Catholic Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Chippewa Valley insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Chippewa Valley
Clarkston Clarkston Clarkston  
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Davison Davison insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Davison
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Lansing East Lansing East Lansing   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Farmington Farmington Farmington   3- 5 vs 0- 8
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Flint Powers Catholic
Flushing Flushing insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Flushing
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian   Grand Rapids Christian
Grandville Grandville   Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hartland
Haslett Haslett insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Haslett
Henry Ford II Avondale Avondale  
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Holly-Brandon Co-Op Holly-Brandon Co-Op  
Holt Holt Holt   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Howell Howell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jenison Jenison tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jenison
Kalamazoo Central Kalamazoo Central tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kalamazoo Central
Lake Fenton Lake Fenton insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lake Fenton
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lakeview Avondale tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Avondale
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lansing Catholic-Waverly
Lapeer Lapeer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lapeer
Livonia United Livonia United tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Livonia United
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marian Marian Marian  
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mercy
Midland Midland   Midland
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Novi Novi   Novi
Okemos Okemos insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Okemos
Oxford Oxford Oxford  
Plymouth Plymouth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Plymouth
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Rochester HS Rochester HS Rochester HS  
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Royal Oak Royal Oak Royal Oak  
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Salem Salem insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Salem
Saline Saline   Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Lyon United
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena St Catherine of Siena St Catherine of Siena  
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie  
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek Swartz Creek  
Tecumseh Tecumseh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tecumseh
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City Central
Troy Troy Troy   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Troy Athens Troy Athens Troy Athens   5- 0 vs 0- 5
University Liggett University Liggett University Liggett   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Walled Lake Northern
Warren Regina Warren Regina Warren Regina   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Waterford United Waterford United Waterford United  
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield West Bloomfield  
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Zeeland East   Zeeland East

PowerWise = 2


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Henry Ford II   ( 0- 7, 71.0)    11- 9      -28.91       1.00      -0.62         1.24             0.47
   0 H Waterford Unit  ( 2- 8, 77.1)     1-16      -22.80       6.39      -0.62         1.24           -28.97
   0 A Rochester HS    ( 9- 8, 82.1)     0-17      -17.75      11.44       0.62         1.24           -21.19
   0 A Holly-Brandon   ( 3-12, 75.8)     3- 6      -24.06       5.13       0.62         1.24           -28.99
   0 A St Johns/Ovid-  ( 8-10, 80.6)     1-14      -19.27       9.92       0.62         1.24           -23.07
   0 A West Bloomfiel  ( 7- 8, 81.1)     2-14      -18.77      10.42       0.62         1.24           -22.45
   0 A Clarkston       ( 7- 7, 85.0)     3-16      -14.91      14.28       0.62         1.24           -17.68
   0 H Royal Oak       ( 2-16, 79.2)     1-17      -20.74       8.45      -0.62         1.24           -26.43
   0 A Oxford          (12-10, 84.4)     4-23      -15.55      13.65       0.62         1.24           -18.46
   0 H Rochester Adam  (14- 4, 88.0)     1-16      -11.89      17.31      -0.62         1.24           -15.47
   0 H Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     2-15      -14.88      14.31      -0.62         1.24           -19.17
   0 H St Catherine o  ( 4- 7, 77.1)     5-17      -22.78       6.41      -0.62         1.24           -28.95
   0 A Marian          ( 9- 7, 91.9)     0-23       -7.95      21.24       0.62         1.24            -9.07
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -259.44

winning pts = 0.4694 losing points = -259.9132

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------