---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls MCI/Nokomis 1
  
MCI/Nokomis           
W-L: ( 1-12) PR = 81.0734

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 428 A Edward Little ( 3-11, 82.9) 10-17 430 H Brewer/Hampden ( 3-12, 85.5) 3- 6 502 H Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 90.0) 1-13 506 A Winslow/Lawrence ( 0-13, 82.2) 2- 1 509 A Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 2-18 512 H Houlton ( 4- 8, 85.6) 5-11 515 H Bangor ( 9- 6, 89.7) 4-12 519 H Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 2-13 520 H Gardiner-Hall-Dale ( 9- 6, 91.0) 2-17 527 A Lincoln Academy (10- 4, 92.5) 1-17 529 A Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 90.0) 2-21 530 A Camden Hills Regional (12- 5, 92.5) 2-19 603 A Maranacook/Winthrop (11- 4, 94.7) 3-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Edward Little          10-17      -7    -2    -     -2.62
   430 H Brewer/Hampden          3- 6      -3    -4           0.91
   502 H Erskine Academy         1-13     -12    -8           0.00
   506 A Winslow/Lawrence        2- 1       1    -2    +      2.67
   509 A Morse-Boothbay          2-18     -16   -10           0.00
   512 H Houlton                 5-11      -6    -4          -0.95
   515 H Bangor                  4-12      -8    -8           0.00
   519 H Mount Blue              2-13     -11    -7           0.00
   520 H Gardiner-Hall-Dale      2-17     -15    -9           0.00
   527 A Lincoln Academy         1-17     -16   -12           0.00
   529 A Erskine Academy         2-21     -19    -9           0.00
   530 A Camden Hills Regional   2-19     -17   -12           0.00
   603 A Maranacook/Winthrop     3-17     -14   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Edward Little          10-17      -7    -2    -     -2.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Winslow/Lawrence        2- 1       1    -2    +      2.67

MCI/Nokomis Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Bangor Bangor  
Biddeford Biddeford   Biddeford
Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle   Bonny Eagle
Brewer/Hampden Brewer/Hampden Brewer/Hampden  
Brunswick Brunswick Brunswick   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional  
Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   Cape Elizabeth
Cheverus Cheverus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cheverus
Cony Cony Cony   6- 3 vs 1- 8
Deering Deering insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Deering
Edward Little Edward Little Edward Little  
Erskine Academy Erskine Academy Erskine Academy  
Falmouth Falmouth   Falmouth
Freeport Freeport insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Freeport
Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fryeburg Academy
Gardiner-Hall-Dale Gardiner-Hall-Dale Gardiner-Hall-Dale  
Gorham Gorham   Gorham
Gray-New Gloucester/Pola Gray-New Gloucester/Pola tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Gray-New Gloucester/Pola
Greely Greely Greely   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Houlton Houlton Houlton  
Kennebunk Kennebunk   Kennebunk
Lake Region Lake Region tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lake Region
Lewiston Lewiston insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) Lewiston
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy  
Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Marshwood Marshwood   Marshwood
Massabesic Massabesic   Massabesic
Messalonskee Messalonskee Messalonskee   5- 3 vs 0- 8
Morse-Boothbay Morse-Boothbay Morse-Boothbay  
Mount Ararat Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   8- 0 vs 1- 7
Mount Blue Mount Blue Mount Blue  
Noble Noble   Noble
North Yarmouth Academy North Yarmouth Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Yarmouth Academy
Oceanside Oceanside   Oceanside
Oxford Hills Comp Oxford Hills Comp Oxford Hills Comp   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Portland Portland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Portland
Sanford Sanford   Sanford
Scarborough Scarborough   Scarborough
South Portland South Portland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Portland
St Dominic Academy St Dominic Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) St Dominic Academy
Thornton Academy Thornton Academy   Thornton Academy
Traip Academy Traip Academy   Traip Academy
Waynflete School Waynflete School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Waynflete School
Wells Wells insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wells
Westbrook Westbrook tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Westbrook
Windham Windham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Windham
Winslow/Lawrence MCI/Nokomis MCI/Nokomis  
Yarmouth Yarmouth   Yarmouth
York York insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) York

PowerWise = 1


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Edward Little   ( 3-11, 82.9)    10-17      -16.96       1.78       0.51         1.14           -18.68
   0 H Brewer/Hampden  ( 3-12, 85.5)     3- 6      -14.41       4.34      -0.51         1.14           -16.94
   0 H Erskine Academ  ( 8- 7, 90.0)     1-13       -9.86       8.89      -0.51         1.14           -11.78
   0 A Winslow/Lawren  ( 0-13, 82.2)     2- 1      -17.67       1.07       0.51         1.14             1.80
   0 A Morse-Boothbay  ( 8- 7, 90.7)     2-18       -9.23       9.52       0.51         1.14            -9.89
   0 H Houlton         ( 4- 8, 85.6)     5-11      -14.26       4.49      -0.51         1.14           -16.78
   0 H Bangor          ( 9- 6, 89.7)     4-12      -10.23       8.51      -0.51         1.14           -12.20
   0 H Mount Blue      ( 7- 8, 88.5)     2-13      -11.36       7.38      -0.51         1.14           -13.48
   0 H Gardiner-Hall-  ( 9- 6, 91.0)     2-17       -8.87       9.87      -0.51         1.14           -10.66
   0 A Lincoln Academ  (10- 4, 92.5)     1-17       -7.39      11.36       0.51         1.14            -7.81
   0 A Erskine Academ  ( 8- 7, 90.0)     2-21       -9.86       8.89       0.51         1.14           -10.61
   0 A Camden Hills R  (12- 5, 92.5)     2-19       -7.36      11.39       0.51         1.14            -7.77
   0 A Maranacook/Win  (11- 4, 94.7)     3-17       -5.15      13.60       0.51         1.14            -5.27
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -140.07

winning pts = 1.8013 losing points = -141.8726

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------