---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Maranacook/Winthrop 1
  
Maranacook/Winthrop   
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 94.7489

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 H Freeport (16- 0, 98.4) 5-16 425 A Brunswick ( 5-10, 90.8) 14- 5 429 H Lake Region ( 3-11, 88.5) 12- 2 505 A Houlton ( 4- 8, 85.6) 13- 3 508 A Brewer/Hampden ( 3-12, 85.5) 19- 2 513 A Cony (11- 4, 92.2) 9- 8 516 H Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 90.0) 15- 7 521 H Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 17- 7 527 A Oxford Hills Comp ( 5-11, 89.2) 16- 9 530 A Greely ( 9- 8, 95.2) 6- 8 531 H Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 8-11 602 H Waynflete School ( 8- 7, 93.1) 8- 9 603 H MCI/Nokomis ( 1-12, 81.1) 17- 3 613 N North Yarmouth Academy ( 7- 8, 93.7) 11- 6 617 A Lincoln Academy (10- 4, 92.5) 12- 5

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Freeport                5-16     -11    -3          -1.90
   425 A Brunswick              14- 5       9     3           1.52
   429 H Lake Region            12- 2      10     7           0.00
   505 A Houlton                13- 3      10     9           0.00
   508 A Brewer/Hampden         19- 2      17     9           0.00
   513 A Cony                    9- 8       1     2          -0.99
   516 H Erskine Academy        15- 7       8     5           0.00
   521 H Morse-Boothbay         17- 7      10     5           0.41
   527 A Oxford Hills Comp      16- 9       7     5           0.00
   530 A Greely                  6- 8      -2    -1          -1.02
   531 H Mount Ararat            8-11      -3    -1    -     -2.00
   602 H Waynflete School        8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.21
   603 H MCI/Nokomis            17- 3      14    14           0.00
   613 N North Yarmouth Academy 11- 6       5     1    +      3.92
   617 A Lincoln Academy        12- 5       7     2    +      3.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   531 H Mount Ararat            8-11      -3    -1    -     -2.00
   602 H Waynflete School        8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   613 N North Yarmouth Academy 11- 6       5     1    +      3.92
   617 A Lincoln Academy        12- 5       7     2    +      3.27

Maranacook/Winthrop Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop   6- 0 vs 4- 2
Biddeford Maranacook/Winthrop   Maranacook/Winthrop
Bonny Eagle Maranacook/Winthrop tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Maranacook/Winthrop
Brewer/Hampden Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Brunswick Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Camden Hills Regional Maranacook/Winthrop insuffient: ( 7- 1)( 6- 2) Maranacook/Winthrop
Cape Elizabeth Maranacook/Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Maranacook/Winthrop
Cheverus Cheverus tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Cheverus
Cony Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Deering Maranacook/Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Maranacook/Winthrop
Edward Little Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Erskine Academy Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Falmouth Falmouth insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Falmouth
Freeport Freeport Freeport  
Fryeburg Academy Maranacook/Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Maranacook/Winthrop
Gardiner-Hall-Dale Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop   8- 2 vs 6- 4
Gorham Gorham tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Gorham
Gray-New Gloucester/Pola Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Greely Greely Greely  
Houlton Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Kennebunk Kennebunk insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Kennebunk
Lake Region Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Lewiston Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Lincoln Academy Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Marshwood Marshwood insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marshwood
Massabesic Maranacook/Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Maranacook/Winthrop
MCI/Nokomis Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Messalonskee Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop   6- 2 vs 3- 5
Morse-Boothbay Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Mount Ararat Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Mount Blue Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop   6- 1 vs 3- 4
Noble Maranacook/Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Maranacook/Winthrop
North Yarmouth Academy Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Oceanside Maranacook/Winthrop   Maranacook/Winthrop
Oxford Hills Comp Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop  
Portland Maranacook/Winthrop   Maranacook/Winthrop
Sanford Maranacook/Winthrop   Maranacook/Winthrop
Scarborough Maranacook/Winthrop insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Maranacook/Winthrop
South Portland Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Dominic Academy Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Thornton Academy Thornton Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Thornton Academy
Traip Academy Maranacook/Winthrop insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Maranacook/Winthrop
Waynflete School Waynflete School Waynflete School  
Wells Maranacook/Winthrop insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Maranacook/Winthrop
Westbrook Maranacook/Winthrop   Maranacook/Winthrop
Windham Windham insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Windham
Winslow/Lawrence Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop   6- 1 vs 0- 7
Yarmouth Yarmouth insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Yarmouth
York Maranacook/Winthrop insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) Maranacook/Winthrop

PowerWise = 37


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Freeport        (16- 0, 98.4)     5-16       -1.54      17.21      -0.51         1.05            -2.17
   0 A Brunswick       ( 5-10, 90.8)    14- 5       -9.14       9.60       0.51         1.05            10.67
   0 H Lake Region     ( 3-11, 88.5)    12- 2      -11.37       7.38      -0.51         1.05             7.24
   0 A Houlton         ( 4- 8, 85.6)    13- 3      -14.26       4.49       0.51         1.05             5.27
   0 A Brewer/Hampden  ( 3-12, 85.5)    19- 2      -14.41       4.34       0.51         1.05             5.12
   0 A Cony            (11- 4, 92.2)     9- 8       -7.66      11.09       0.51         1.05            12.23
   0 H Erskine Academ  ( 8- 7, 90.0)    15- 7       -9.86       8.89      -0.51         1.05             8.83
   0 H Morse-Boothbay  ( 8- 7, 90.7)    17- 7       -9.23       9.52      -0.51         1.05             9.49
   0 A Oxford Hills C  ( 5-11, 89.2)    16- 9      -10.72       8.02       0.51         1.05             9.00
   0 A Greely          ( 9- 8, 95.2)     6- 8       -4.69      14.06       0.51         1.05            -4.40
   0 H Mount Ararat    (16- 0, 96.3)     8-11       -3.64      15.11      -0.51         1.05            -4.38
   0 H Waynflete Scho  ( 8- 7, 93.1)     8- 9       -6.84      11.90      -0.51         1.05            -7.76
   0 H MCI/Nokomis     ( 1-12, 81.1)    17- 3      -18.75       1.00      -0.51         1.05             0.51
   0 N North Yarmouth  ( 7- 8, 93.7)    11- 6       -6.23      12.52      -0.00         1.05            13.20
   0 A Lincoln Academ  (10- 4, 92.5)    12- 5       -7.39      11.36       0.51         1.05            12.51
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        75.37

winning pts = 94.0684 losing points = -18.7020

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------