---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Davison 1
  
Davison               
W-L: ( 2-15) PR = 78.2165

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 6-10 408 H Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 8-16 412 A Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 4-16 412 A Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 3-19 414 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 9- 3 415 H Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 7- 5 417 A Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 8- 9 421 H Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 3-11 422 H Saginaw Heritage (14- 2, 87.7) 4-21 428 H Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 4-10 429 A Midland ( 4-13, 79.8) 5-15 501 A Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 5-16 507 H Holt (15- 6, 89.5) 6-16 508 A Flint Powers Catholic ( 5- 6, 82.2) 4-21 513 H Flint Powers Catholic ( 5- 6, 82.2) 7-19 514 H Lake Orion (15- 3, 91.1) 5-21 516 A Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 2-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op     6-10      -4    -5           0.96
   408 H Grand Blanc             8-16      -8    -6           0.00
   412 A Grand Ledge             4-16     -12   -12           0.00
   412 A Mattawan                3-19     -16   -14           0.00
   414 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op     9- 3       6     3    +      2.01
   415 H Midland                 7- 5       2    -1    +      2.95
   417 A Flushing                8- 9      -1     0          -1.16
   421 H Swartz Creek            3-11      -8    -6           0.00
   422 H Saginaw Heritage        4-21     -17    -9           0.00
   428 H Oxford                  4-10      -6    -6           0.00
   429 A Midland                 5-15     -10    -2    -     -2.80
   501 A Grand Blanc             5-16     -11    -7           0.00
   507 H Holt                    6-16     -10   -11           0.00
   508 A Flint Powers Catholic   4-21     -17    -5          -0.36
   513 H Flint Powers Catholic   7-19     -12    -3          -1.60
   514 H Lake Orion              5-21     -16   -12           0.00
   516 A Hartland                2-19     -17   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Midland                 5-15     -10    -2    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op     9- 3       6     3    +      2.01
   415 H Midland                 7- 5       2    -1    +      2.95

Davison Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Ann Arbor Father Gabriel tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ann Arbor Father Gabriel
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ann Arbor Skyline
Avondale Davison insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Davison
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Davison   Davison
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brighton B
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Caledonia
Canton Canton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Canton
Cass Tech Davison   Davison
Catholic Central Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Chippewa Valley   Chippewa Valley
Clarkston Clarkston insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cranbrook Kingswood
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt   2- 3 vs 0- 6
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   2- 0 vs 0- 2
East Lansing East Lansing tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 4) East Lansing
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Farmington
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op  
Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic  
Flushing Flushing Flushing  
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc Grand Blanc  
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Rapids Christian
Grandville Grandville tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North   Grosse Pointe North
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland Hartland  
Haslett Haslett Haslett   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Henry Ford II Davison   Davison
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holland West Ottawa
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Davison Davison  
Holt Holt Holt  
Howell Howell Howell   2- 4 vs 0- 6
Hudsonville Hudsonville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hudsonville
Jenison Davison   Davison
Kalamazoo Central Davison   Davison
Lake Fenton Lake Fenton tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Lake Fenton
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion  
Lakeview Davison   Davison
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Lansing Catholic-Waverly
Lapeer Davison insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) Davison
Livonia United Livonia United tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Livonia United
Lowell Lowell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lowell
Marian Marian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marian
Mattawan Mattawan Mattawan  
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mercy
Midland Midland tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Midland
Mona Shores Mona Shores insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mona Shores
Northview Northview insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northview
Northville Northville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Novi
Okemos Okemos tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Okemos
Oxford Oxford Oxford  
Plymouth Plymouth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Plymouth
Portage Northern Portage Northern insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Rochester Stoney Creek
Rockford Rockford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rockford
Royal Oak Royal Oak tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Royal Oak
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Salem Salem tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Salem
Saline Saline insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United South Lyon United   4- 0 vs 0- 5
Spring Lake Spring Lake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Davison   Davison
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek Swartz Creek  
Tecumseh Tecumseh   Tecumseh
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) Traverse City Central
Troy Troy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Troy Athens
University Liggett University Liggett insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern Davison   Davison
Warren Regina Warren Regina   Warren Regina
Waterford United Davison insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Davison
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) West Bloomfield
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   3- 2 vs 1- 5
Zeeland East Zeeland East insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Zeeland East

PowerWise = 12


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Fenton-Linden   (11- 9, 82.6)     6-10      -17.34      11.85       0.62         0.95           -15.82
   0 H Grand Blanc     ( 9-11, 84.4)     8-16      -15.46      13.73      -0.62         0.95           -15.21
   0 A Grand Ledge     (14- 4, 89.8)     4-16      -10.13      19.06       0.62         0.95            -9.00
   0 A Mattawan        (19- 4, 92.1)     3-19       -7.84      21.35       0.62         0.95            -6.83
   0 H Holly-Brandon   ( 3-12, 75.8)     9- 3      -24.06       5.13      -0.62         0.95             4.27
   0 H Midland         ( 4-13, 79.8)     7- 5      -20.11       9.08      -0.62         0.95             8.01
   0 A Flushing        ( 5-11, 77.4)     8- 9      -22.46       6.73       0.62         0.95           -20.66
   0 H Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     3-11      -14.88      14.31      -0.62         0.95           -14.66
   0 H Saginaw Herita  (14- 2, 87.7)     4-21      -12.16      17.03      -0.62         0.95           -12.09
   0 H Oxford          (12-10, 84.4)     4-10      -15.55      13.65      -0.62         0.95           -15.29
   0 A Midland         ( 4-13, 79.8)     5-15      -20.11       9.08       0.62         0.95           -18.44
   0 A Grand Blanc     ( 9-11, 84.4)     5-16      -15.46      13.73       0.62         0.95           -14.04
   0 H Holt            (15- 6, 89.5)     6-16      -10.43      18.76      -0.62         0.95           -10.45
   0 A Flint Powers C  ( 5- 6, 82.2)     4-21      -17.66      11.53       0.62         0.95           -16.12
   0 H Flint Powers C  ( 5- 6, 82.2)     7-19      -17.66      11.53      -0.62         0.95           -17.30
   0 H Lake Orion      (15- 3, 91.1)     5-21       -8.76      20.43      -0.62         0.95            -8.88
   0 A Hartland        (20- 6, 93.8)     2-19       -6.14      23.06       0.62         0.95            -5.22
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -187.74

winning pts = 12.2760 losing points = -200.0166

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------