Avon
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 77.8094Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 A Heritage Christian ( 9- 9, 88.5) 6-16 313 A North Central ( 1-11, 72.5) 11- 1 320 A Noblesville ( 6-10, 86.7) 1-14 409 A Warren Central (10- 6, 79.4) 7- 9 411 H Perry Meridian ( 4-11, 76.1) 5- 4 415 A Franklin ( 0-10, 75.3) 5- 2 418 A Homestead ( 4- 9, 76.4) 12- 6 421 H Columbus North ( 9- 6, 80.5) 5-11 423 A Brownsburg (17- 4, 86.1) 4-12 425 H Fishers (12- 8, 84.3) 4-14 428 A Roncalli ( 5- 8, 78.8) 7-10 502 H Southport ( 7- 8, 77.3) 9-10 503 A Lafayette Harrison ( 1- 9, 74.9) 9- 7 503 A Evansville Central (10- 6, 80.8) 7- 8 506 A Lawrence North ( 0-11, 71.8) 14- 3 514 H Lawrence North ( 0-11, 71.8) 13- 0 519 H Warren Central (10- 6, 79.4) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 A Heritage Christian 6-16 -10 -11 0.00
313 A North Central 11- 1 10 5 0.20
320 A Noblesville 1-14 -13 -9 0.00
409 A Warren Central 7- 9 -2 -2 0.07
411 H Perry Meridian 5- 4 1 2 -1.19
415 A Franklin 5- 2 3 2 0.97
418 A Homestead 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.09
421 H Columbus North 5-11 -6 -2 - -2.81
423 A Brownsburg 4-12 -8 -9 0.00
425 H Fishers 4-14 -10 -6 0.00
428 A Roncalli 7-10 -3 -2 -1.48
502 H Southport 9-10 -1 1 -1.96
503 A Lafayette Harrison 9- 7 2 2 -0.46
503 A Evansville Central 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.46
506 A Lawrence North 14- 3 11 6 0.00
514 H Lawrence North 13- 0 13 6 0.00
519 H Warren Central 8- 9 -1 -1 0.10
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Columbus North 5-11 -6 -2 - -2.81 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Homestead 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.09 503 A Evansville Central 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.46 |
Avon Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Chatard | Bishop Chatard | Bishop Chatard 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Bloomington | Bloomington | Bloomington 8- 3 vs 5- 6 | ||
| Brebeuf Jesuit Prep | Brebeuf Jesuit Prep | Brebeuf Jesuit Prep 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Brownsburg | Brownsburg | Brownsburg | ||
| Carmel | Carmel | Carmel 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Castle | Castle | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Castle | |
| Cathedral | Cathedral | Cathedral 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Center Grove | Center Grove | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Center Grove | |
| Chesterton | Avon | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Avon | |
| Columbus North | Columbus North | Columbus North | ||
| Crown Point | Crown Point | Crown Point | ||
| Culver Academy | Culver Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Culver Academy | |
| Evansville Bosse | Evansville Bosse | Evansville Bosse 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Evansville Central | Evansville Central | Evansville Central | ||
| Evansville Memorial | Evansville Memorial | Evansville Memorial 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Evansville North | Evansville North | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Evansville North | |
| Evansville Reitz | Evansville Reitz | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Evansville Reitz | |
| Fishers | Fishers | Fishers | ||
| Franklin | Avon | Avon | ||
| Gibson Southern | Avon | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Avon | |
| Guerin Catholic | Guerin Catholic | Guerin Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hamilton Southeastern | Hamilton Southeastern | Hamilton Southeastern 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Heritage Christian | Heritage Christian | Heritage Christian | ||
| Homestead | Avon | Avon | ||
| Lafayette Harrison | Avon | Avon | ||
| Lawrence North | Avon | Avon | ||
| Munster | Munster | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Munster | |
| Noblesville | Noblesville | Noblesville | ||
| North Central | Avon | Avon | ||
| Northridge | Northridge | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northridge | |
| Park Tudor School | Park Tudor School | Park Tudor School 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Penn | Penn | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn | |
| Perry Meridian | Avon | Avon | ||
| Roncalli | Roncalli | Roncalli | ||
| South Bend | Avon | Avon 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Southport | Southport | Southport | ||
| St Joseph South Bend | St Joseph South Bend | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Joseph South Bend | |
| Warren Central | Warren Central | Warren Central | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Zionsville | Zionsville | Zionsville 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 9
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Heritage Chris ( 9- 9, 88.5) 6-16 -11.44 16.64 0.48 0.88 -9.61
0 A North Central ( 1-11, 72.5) 11- 1 -27.38 1.00 0.48 0.88 1.30
0 A Noblesville ( 6-10, 86.7) 1-14 -13.18 14.90 0.48 0.88 -11.15
0 A Warren Central (10- 6, 79.4) 7- 9 -20.50 7.58 0.48 0.88 -17.58
0 H Perry Meridian ( 4-11, 76.1) 5- 4 -23.80 4.28 -0.48 0.88 3.33
0 A Franklin ( 0-10, 75.3) 5- 2 -24.60 3.48 0.48 0.88 3.48
0 A Homestead ( 4- 9, 76.4) 12- 6 -23.49 4.59 0.48 0.88 4.46
0 H Columbus North ( 9- 6, 80.5) 5-11 -19.42 8.66 -0.48 0.88 -17.48
0 A Brownsburg (17- 4, 86.1) 4-12 -13.85 14.23 0.48 0.88 -11.73
0 H Fishers (12- 8, 84.3) 4-14 -15.65 12.43 -0.48 0.88 -14.16
0 A Roncalli ( 5- 8, 78.8) 7-10 -21.05 7.03 0.48 0.88 -18.06
0 H Southport ( 7- 8, 77.3) 9-10 -22.56 5.52 -0.48 0.88 -20.24
0 A Lafayette Harr ( 1- 9, 74.9) 9- 7 -25.03 3.05 0.48 0.88 3.10
0 A Evansville Cen (10- 6, 80.8) 7- 8 -19.12 8.96 0.48 0.88 -16.36
0 A Lawrence North ( 0-11, 71.8) 14- 3 -28.08 1.00 0.48 0.88 1.30
0 H Lawrence North ( 0-11, 71.8) 13- 0 -28.08 1.00 -0.48 0.88 0.45
0 H Warren Central (10- 6, 79.4) 8- 9 -20.50 7.58 -0.48 0.88 -18.43
------
-137.37
|
winning pts = 17.4281 losing points = -154.7988
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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