South Warren
W-L: ( 8- 8) PR = 78.6125Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Owensboro ( 2- 7, 72.9) 19- 1 308 A Lexington Christian (12- 3, 81.4) 4-13 308 A Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 7- 9 316 A Greenwood ( 1-13, 72.9) 12- 5 320 A Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 6- 2 322 A Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 3-15 322 A Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 14-15 324 H Owensboro ( 2- 7, 72.9) 19- 3 327 A Bowling Green (10- 1, 82.9) 2-10 401 H Greenwood ( 1-13, 72.9) 15- 9 414 H Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 13- 3 421 H Bowling Green (10- 1, 82.9) 5-11 422 A Greenwood ( 1-13, 72.9) 12- 6 507 A Greenwood ( 1-13, 72.9) 10- 4 512 A Bowling Green (10- 1, 82.9) 6-12 514 A Mercy Academy (10- 8, 84.4) 5-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 A Owensboro 19- 1 18 5 0.15
308 A Lexington Christian 4-13 -9 -4 -1.41
308 A Frederick Douglass 7- 9 -2 -3 0.61
316 A Greenwood 12- 5 7 5 0.13
320 A Central Hardin 6- 2 4 2 + 2.45
322 A Sayre School 3-15 -12 -12 0.00
322 A Great Crossing 14-15 -1 1 - -2.45
324 H Owensboro 19- 3 16 6 0.00
327 A Bowling Green 2-10 -8 -5 0.00
401 H Greenwood 15- 9 6 7 0.00
414 H Central Hardin 13- 3 10 3 1.80
421 H Bowling Green 5-11 -6 -3 -1.57
422 A Greenwood 12- 6 6 5 0.13
507 A Greenwood 10- 4 6 5 0.13
512 A Bowling Green 6-12 -6 -5 0.00
514 A Mercy Academy 5-16 -11 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Great Crossing 14-15 -1 1 - -2.45 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Central Hardin 6- 2 4 2 + 2.45 |
South Warren Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Anderson County | Anderson County | ||
| Assumption | Assumption | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Assumption | |
| Atherton | Atherton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Atherton | |
| Ballard | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Bowling Green | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Bryan Station | Bryan Station | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Bryan Station | |
| Central Hardin | South Warren | South Warren | ||
| Christian Academy | Christian Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Christian Academy | |
| Collins | Collins | Collins 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Cooper | Cooper | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cooper | |
| Dixie Heights | South Warren | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Warren | |
| DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Eastern | Eastern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Eastern | |
| Fern Creek | Fern Creek | Fern Creek | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Great Crossing | Great Crossing | Great Crossing | ||
| Greenwood | South Warren | South Warren | ||
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lafayette | Lafayette | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Lafayette | |
| Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | ||
| Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Male | South Warren | South Warren | ||
| Mercy Academy | Mercy Academy | Mercy Academy | ||
| North Oldham | North Oldham | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | North Oldham | |
| Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Oldham County | Oldham County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oldham County | |
| Owensboro | South Warren | South Warren | ||
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Presentation Academy | Presentation Academy | Presentation Academy | ||
| Ryle | South Warren | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | South Warren | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sayre School | Sayre School | Sayre School | ||
| Scott County | South Warren | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | South Warren | |
| Shelby County | Shelby County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Shelby County | |
| South Oldham | South Oldham | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South Oldham | |
| St Henry | St Henry | St Henry | ||
| Tates Creek | South Warren | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | South Warren | |
| Woodford County | Woodford County | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Woodford County |
PowerWise = 8
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Owensboro ( 2- 7, 72.9) 19- 1 -26.96 1.34 0.82 0.85 1.84
0 A Lexington Chri (12- 3, 81.4) 4-13 -18.52 9.77 0.82 0.85 -15.05
0 A Frederick Doug ( 8- 9, 80.4) 7- 9 -19.50 8.79 0.82 0.85 -15.89
0 A Greenwood ( 1-13, 72.9) 12- 5 -26.98 1.31 0.82 0.85 1.82
0 A Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 6- 2 -23.66 4.63 0.82 0.85 4.64
0 A Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 3-15 -10.19 18.11 0.82 0.85 -7.97
0 A Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 14-15 -23.56 4.74 0.82 0.85 -19.34
0 H Owensboro ( 2- 7, 72.9) 19- 3 -26.96 1.34 -0.82 0.85 0.44
0 A Bowling Green (10- 1, 82.9) 2-10 -17.04 11.26 0.82 0.85 -13.79
0 H Greenwood ( 1-13, 72.9) 15- 9 -26.98 1.31 -0.82 0.85 0.42
0 H Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 13- 3 -23.66 4.63 -0.82 0.85 3.24
0 H Bowling Green (10- 1, 82.9) 5-11 -17.04 11.26 -0.82 0.85 -15.19
0 A Greenwood ( 1-13, 72.9) 12- 6 -26.98 1.31 0.82 0.85 1.82
0 A Greenwood ( 1-13, 72.9) 10- 4 -26.98 1.31 0.82 0.85 1.82
0 A Bowling Green (10- 1, 82.9) 6-12 -17.04 11.26 0.82 0.85 -13.79
0 A Mercy Academy (10- 8, 84.4) 5-16 -15.48 12.82 0.82 0.85 -12.47
------
-97.46
|
winning pts = 16.0238 losing points = -113.4850
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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