Paul Laurence Dunbar
W-L: (14- 5) PR = 84.7087Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 9- 6 310 H Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 12- 8 312 H Woodford County ( 5- 9, 79.9) 19-10 319 A Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 10-17 322 H Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 15- 8 326 A Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 7-13 328 A Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 19- 6 331 A Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 16- 5 402 H Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 15- 2 414 H Notre Dame Academy (13- 1, 89.0) 10-13 418 H Ryle ( 2-10, 77.4) 15- 3 421 A Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 16- 4 422 A Ballard ( 4- 9, 84.2) 10-15 425 H Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 82.3) 21- 6 501 H Lexington Christian (12- 3, 81.4) 18- 3 507 A North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 12-10 510 A Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 14- 6 512 N Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 82.3) 11-10 515 H Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 13-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 H Collins 9- 6 3 3 0.33
310 H Frederick Douglass 12- 8 4 5 -1.00
312 H Woodford County 19-10 9 6 0.00
319 A Sayre School 10-17 -7 -6 0.00
322 H Cooper 15- 8 7 3 + 2.12
326 A Henry Clay 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.06
328 A Scott County 19- 6 13 8 0.00
331 A Lafayette 16- 5 11 3 1.59
402 H Tates Creek 15- 2 13 10 0.00
414 H Notre Dame Academy 10-13 -3 -3 0.43
418 H Ryle 15- 3 12 8 0.00
421 A Bryan Station 16- 4 12 4 0.72
422 A Ballard 10-15 -5 0 -- -4.72
425 H Lexington Catholic 21- 6 15 3 1.72
501 H Lexington Christian 18- 3 15 4 0.85
507 A North Oldham 12-10 2 2 -0.32
510 A Lafayette 14- 6 8 3 1.59
512 N Lexington Catholic 11-10 1 2 -1.46
515 H Henry Clay 13-14 -1 -1 0.30
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Ballard 10-15 -5 0 -- -4.72 326 A Henry Clay 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Cooper 15- 8 7 3 + 2.12 |
Paul Laurence Dunbar Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Assumption | Assumption | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Assumption | |
| Atherton | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Ballard | Ballard | Ballard | ||
| Bowling Green | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Bryan Station | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Central Hardin | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Christian Academy | Christian Academy | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Christian Academy | |
| Collins | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Cooper | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Dixie Heights | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| DuPont Manual | Paul Laurence Dunbar | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Paul Laurence Dunbar | |
| Eastern | Eastern | Eastern 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fern Creek | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Great Crossing | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 9- 3 vs 2-10 | ||
| Greenwood | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Lafayette | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Lexington Christian | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Male | Paul Laurence Dunbar | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Paul Laurence Dunbar | |
| Mercy Academy | Paul Laurence Dunbar | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Paul Laurence Dunbar | |
| North Oldham | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | ||
| Oldham County | Oldham County | tied - ( 5- 3) ( 5- 3) | Oldham County | |
| Owensboro | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Presentation Academy | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Ryle | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Sayre School | Sayre School | Sayre School | ||
| Scott County | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Shelby County | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 7- 0 vs 2- 5 | ||
| South Oldham | Paul Laurence Dunbar | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Paul Laurence Dunbar | |
| South Warren | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Henry | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Tates Creek | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Woodford County | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar |
PowerWise = 29
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 9- 6 -17.04 11.26 -0.82 0.72 7.48
0 H Frederick Doug ( 8- 9, 80.4) 12- 8 -19.50 8.79 -0.82 0.72 5.71
0 H Woodford Count ( 5- 9, 79.9) 19-10 -19.99 8.31 -0.82 0.72 5.36
0 A Sayre School (17- 5, 89.7) 10-17 -10.19 18.11 0.82 0.72 -6.71
0 H Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 15- 8 -17.24 11.05 -0.82 0.72 7.33
0 A Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 7-13 -13.07 15.23 0.82 0.72 -8.77
0 A Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 19- 6 -23.93 4.37 0.82 0.72 3.72
0 A Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 16- 5 -19.42 8.87 0.82 0.72 6.95
0 H Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 15- 2 -23.98 4.32 -0.82 0.72 2.50
0 H Notre Dame Aca (13- 1, 89.0) 10-13 -10.94 17.36 -0.82 0.72 -8.42
0 H Ryle ( 2-10, 77.4) 15- 3 -22.52 5.77 -0.82 0.72 3.54
0 A Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 16- 4 -20.29 8.01 0.82 0.72 6.32
0 A Ballard ( 4- 9, 84.2) 10-15 -15.73 12.57 0.82 0.72 -10.68
0 H Lexington Cath (10- 9, 82.3) 21- 6 -17.65 10.65 -0.82 0.72 7.04
0 H Lexington Chri (12- 3, 81.4) 18- 3 -18.52 9.77 -0.82 0.72 6.41
0 A North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 12-10 -18.33 9.96 0.82 0.72 7.73
0 A Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 14- 6 -19.42 8.87 0.82 0.72 6.95
0 N Lexington Cath (10- 9, 82.3) 11-10 -17.65 10.65 -0.00 0.72 7.63
0 H Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 13-14 -13.07 15.23 -0.82 0.72 -9.95
------
40.12
|
winning pts = 84.6552 losing points = -44.5355
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------