---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Central Hardin 1
  
Central Hardin        
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 76.2357

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 1-15 308 A Lexington Christian (12- 3, 81.4) 1-11 308 H Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 3-19 311 H DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 1-19 312 A Greenwood ( 1-13, 72.9) 16- 3 316 A Greenwood ( 1-13, 72.9) 12- 2 317 A Bowling Green (10- 1, 82.9) 0-13 320 H South Warren ( 8- 8, 78.6) 2- 6 414 A South Warren ( 8- 8, 78.6) 3-13 422 A Mercy Academy (10- 8, 84.4) 2-19 425 H Greenwood ( 1-13, 72.9) 10- 2 505 H Bowling Green (10- 1, 82.9) 4-15 507 H Mercy Academy (10- 8, 84.4) 3-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Collins                 1-15     -14    -7           0.00
   308 A Lexington Christian     1-11     -10    -6           0.00
   308 H Frederick Douglass      3-19     -16    -3          -1.66
   311 H DuPont Manual           1-19     -18    -7           0.00
   312 A Greenwood              16- 3      13     2    +      2.51
   316 A Greenwood              12- 2      10     2    +      2.51
   317 A Bowling Green           0-13     -13    -7           0.00
   320 H South Warren            2- 6      -4    -2    -     -2.45
   414 A South Warren            3-13     -10    -3          -1.80
   422 A Mercy Academy           2-19     -17    -9           0.00
   425 H Greenwood              10- 2       8     4           0.86
   505 H Bowling Green           4-15     -11    -6           0.00
   507 H Mercy Academy           3-13     -10    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H South Warren            2- 6      -4    -2    -     -2.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Greenwood              16- 3      13     2    +      2.51
   316 A Greenwood              12- 2      10     2    +      2.51

Central Hardin Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Assumption Assumption insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Assumption
Atherton Atherton insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Atherton
Ballard Ballard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ballard
Bowling Green Bowling Green Bowling Green  
Bryan Station Bryan Station tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bryan Station
Christian Academy Christian Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Christian Academy
Collins Collins Collins  
Cooper Cooper tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cooper
Dixie Heights Central Hardin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Central Hardin
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual DuPont Manual  
Eastern Eastern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Eastern
Fern Creek Fern Creek   Fern Creek
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Great Crossing Great Crossing insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Great Crossing
Greenwood Central Hardin Central Hardin  
Henry Clay Henry Clay insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Henry Clay
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lafayette Lafayette insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lafayette
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lexington Catholic
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian  
Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Male Male tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Male
Mercy Academy Mercy Academy Mercy Academy  
North Oldham North Oldham tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) North Oldham
Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy   Notre Dame Academy
Oldham County Oldham County insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Oldham County
Owensboro Central Hardin insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Central Hardin
Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Presentation Academy Presentation Academy   Presentation Academy
Ryle Ryle tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Ryle
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Sayre School Sayre School Sayre School   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Scott County Central Hardin tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Central Hardin
Shelby County Shelby County tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Shelby County
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham   3- 0 vs 0- 3
South Warren South Warren South Warren  
St Henry St Henry   St Henry
Tates Creek Central Hardin insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Central Hardin
Woodford County Woodford County tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Woodford County

PowerWise = 5


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Collins         (12- 7, 82.9)     1-15      -17.04      11.26       0.82         1.05           -16.97
   0 A Lexington Chri  (12- 3, 81.4)     1-11      -18.52       9.77       0.82         1.05           -18.53
   0 H Frederick Doug  ( 8- 9, 80.4)     3-19      -19.50       8.79      -0.82         1.05           -21.28
   0 H DuPont Manual   ( 9- 7, 84.1)     1-19      -15.81      12.48      -0.82         1.05           -17.41
   0 A Greenwood       ( 1-13, 72.9)    16- 3      -26.98       1.31       0.82         1.05             2.24
   0 A Greenwood       ( 1-13, 72.9)    12- 2      -26.98       1.31       0.82         1.05             2.24
   0 A Bowling Green   (10- 1, 82.9)     0-13      -17.04      11.26       0.82         1.05           -16.97
   0 H South Warren    ( 8- 8, 78.6)     2- 6      -21.29       7.01      -0.82         1.05           -23.15
   0 A South Warren    ( 8- 8, 78.6)     3-13      -21.29       7.01       0.82         1.05           -21.42
   0 A Mercy Academy   (10- 8, 84.4)     2-19      -15.48      12.82       0.82         1.05           -15.34
   0 H Greenwood       ( 1-13, 72.9)    10- 2      -26.98       1.31      -0.82         1.05             0.51
   0 H Bowling Green   (10- 1, 82.9)     4-15      -17.04      11.26      -0.82         1.05           -18.70
   0 H Mercy Academy   (10- 8, 84.4)     3-13      -15.48      12.82      -0.82         1.05           -17.07
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -181.86

winning pts = 4.9909 losing points = -186.8464

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------