Dayton
W-L: ( 0- 5) PR = 88.5389Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Kentucky SEC (22-19, 92.7) 1- 5 228 A Kentucky SEC (22-19, 92.7) 0- 9 301 H Michigan State B10 (14-22, 90.0) 1- 2 325 H California ACC (14-26, 90.4) 7- 12 401 A Michigan B10 (24-14, 94.6) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 A Kentucky 1- 5 -4 -5 1.14
228 A Kentucky 0- 9 -9 -5 - -3.86
301 H Michigan State 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.48
325 H California 7-12 -5 -1 -- -4.09
401 A Michigan 5- 6 -1 -7 +++ 6.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H California 7-12 -5 -1 -- -4.09 228 A Kentucky 0- 9 -9 -5 - -3.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Michigan 5- 6 -1 -7 +++ 6.05 |
Dayton Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binghamton | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Bryant | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Maine | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Albany | Albany | Albany | ||
| UMBC | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| UMass Lowell | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Charlotte | Charlotte | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte | |
| East Carolina | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic | ||
| Memphis | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| North Texas | North Texas | North Texas | ||
| South Florida | South Florida | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Florida | |
| Tulsa | Tulsa | Tulsa | ||
| UAB | UAB | UAB | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Wichita State | Wichita State | Wichita State | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boston College | |
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Clemson | |
| Duke | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Duke | |
| Florida State | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Florida State | |
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) | Louisville | |
| North Carolina | North Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | North Carolina | |
| NC State | NC State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | NC State | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Pittsburgh | |
| Stanford | Stanford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Stanford | |
| Syracuse | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Virginia Tech | |
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Austin Peay | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Bellarmine | Bellarmine | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bellarmine | |
| Central Arkansas | Central Arkansas | Central Arkansas | ||
| Eastern Kentucky | Eastern Kentucky | Eastern Kentucky | ||
| Florida Gulf Coast | Florida Gulf Coast | Florida Gulf Coast | ||
| Jacksonville | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Lipscomb | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| North Alabama | North Alabama | North Alabama | ||
| North Florida | North Florida | North Florida | ||
| Queens University | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Stetson | Stetson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stetson | |
| West Georgia | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Fordham | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| George Mason | George Mason | George Mason | ||
| George Washington | George Washington | George Washington | ||
| Loyola Chicago | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Rhode Island | Rhode Island | Rhode Island | ||
| Saint Joseph's | Saint Joseph's | Saint Joseph's | ||
| Saint Louis | Saint Louis | Saint Louis | ||
| St. Bonaventure | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Butler | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Creighton | Creighton | Creighton | ||
| DePaul | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Providence | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Seton Hall | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| St. John's | St. John's | St. John's | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Villanova | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Dayton | |
| Idaho State | Idaho State | Idaho State | ||
| Montana | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Northern Colorado | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Portland State | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Sacramento State | Sacramento State | Sacramento State | ||
| Weber State | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan State | Michigan State | Michigan State | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Minnesota | |
| Nebraska | Nebraska | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 0) | Nebraska | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) | Ohio State | |
| Oregon | Oregon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oregon | |
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Purdue | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | UCLA | |
| Washington | Washington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona State | Arizona State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona State | |
| BYU | BYU | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Houston | Houston | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Houston | |
| Iowa State | Iowa State | Iowa State | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kansas | |
| Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oklahoma State | |
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Utah | |
| Charleston Southern | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Gardner-Webb | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Longwood | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Presbyterian | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Radford | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| USC Upstate | USC Upstate | USC Upstate | ||
| Winthrop | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Cal State Fullerton | Cal State Fullerton | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Cal State Fullerton | |
| Cal State Northridge | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Cal Poly | Cal Poly | Cal Poly | ||
| Cal State Bakersfield | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Hawai'i | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Long Beach State | Long Beach State | Long Beach State | ||
| UC Davis | UC Davis | UC Davis | ||
| UC Riverside | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| UC Santa Barbara | UC Santa Barbara | UC Santa Barbara | ||
| UC San Diego | UC San Diego | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | UC San Diego | |
| Campbell | Campbell | Campbell | ||
| Charleston | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Drexel | Drexel | Drexel | ||
| Elon | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Hampton | Hampton | Hampton | ||
| Hofstra | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Monmouth | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| North Carolina A&T | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | Stony Brook | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UNC Wilmington | UNC Wilmington | UNC Wilmington | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| FIU | FIU | FIU | ||
| Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State | ||
| Kennesaw State | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Liberty | |
| Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee | ||
| Missouri State | Missouri State | Missouri State | ||
| New Mexico State | New Mexico State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Mexico State | |
| Sam Houston | Sam Houston | Sam Houston | ||
| UTEP | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky | ||
| Detroit Mercy | Dayton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dayton | |
| Green Bay | Green Bay | Green Bay | ||
| IUPUI | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Northern Kentucky | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Oakland | Oakland | Oakland | ||
| Robert Morris | Robert Morris | Robert Morris | ||
| Youngstown State | Youngstown State | Youngstown State | ||
| MilNOTEPAD waukee | MilNOTEPAD waukee | MilNOTEPAD waukee | ||
| Brown | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Columbia | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Yale | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Canisius | Canisius | Canisius | ||
| Fairfield | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Iona | Iona | Iona | ||
| Manhattan | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Marist | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Merrimack | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Mount St. Mary's | Mount St. Mary's | Mount St. Mary's | ||
| Niagara | Niagara | Niagara | ||
| Quinnipiac | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Rider | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | ||
| Saint Peter's | Saint Peter's | Saint Peter's | ||
| Siena | Siena | Siena | ||
| Akron | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Ball State | Ball State | Ball State | ||
| Bowling Green | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Buffalo | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Central Michigan | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Kent State | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Miami (OH) | |
| Northern Illinois | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Dayton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dayton | |
| Western Michigan | Western Michigan | Western Michigan | ||
| Howard | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| North Carolina Central | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Coppin State | Coppin State | Coppin State | ||
| Delaware State | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Maryland Eastern Shore | Maryland Eastern Shore | Maryland Eastern Shore | ||
| Morgan State | Morgan State | Morgan State | ||
| Norfolk State | Norfolk State | Norfolk State | ||
| SC State | SC State | SC State | ||
| Belmont | Belmont | Belmont | ||
| Bradley | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Drake | Drake | Drake | ||
| Evansville | Evansville | Evansville | ||
| Illinois State | Illinois State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Illinois State | |
| Indiana State | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Murray State | Murray State | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Murray State | |
| Northern Iowa | Northern Iowa | Northern Iowa | ||
| Southern Illinois | Southern Illinois | Southern Illinois | ||
| UIC | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Valparaiso | Valparaiso | Valparaiso | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado State | Colorado State | Colorado State | ||
| Fresno State | Fresno State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fresno State | |
| Grand Canyon | Grand Canyon | Grand Canyon | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Nevada | |
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego State | San Diego State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | San Diego State | |
| San José State | San José State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | San José State | |
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah State | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Eastern Illinois | Eastern Illinois | Eastern Illinois | ||
| Lindenwood | Lindenwood | Lindenwood | ||
| Morehead State | Morehead State | Morehead State | ||
| Southeast Missouri State | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| SIU Edwardsville | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Southern Indiana | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Tennessee Tech | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Tennessee State | Tennessee State | Tennessee State | ||
| UT Martin | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Western Illinois | Western Illinois | Western Illinois | ||
| Central Connecticut | Central Connecticut | Central Connecticut | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Long Island University | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Le Moyne | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| New Haven | New Haven | New Haven | ||
| Saint Francis | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Stonehill | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Wagner | Wagner | Wagner | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Boston University | Boston University | Boston University | ||
| Bucknell | Bucknell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bucknell | |
| Colgate | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Lafayette | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Lehigh | Lehigh | Lehigh | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Georgia | |
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | LSU | |
| Mississippi State | Mississippi State | Mississippi State | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Oklahoma | |
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| South Carolina | South Carolina | South Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Mercer | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Chattanooga | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Furman | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Samford | Samford | Samford | ||
| UNC Greensboro | UNC Greensboro | UNC Greensboro | ||
| Western Carolina | Western Carolina | Western Carolina | ||
| Wofford | Wofford | Wofford | ||
| East Texas A&M | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Houston Christian | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Incarnate Word | Incarnate Word | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Incarnate Word | |
| Lamar | Lamar | Lamar | ||
| McNeese | McNeese | McNeese | ||
| Nicholls | Nicholls | Nicholls | ||
| Northwestern State | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| SE Louisiana | SE Louisiana | SE Louisiana | ||
| Stephen F. Austin | Stephen F. Austin | Stephen F. Austin | ||
| Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Alabama A&M | Alabama A&M | Alabama A&M | ||
| Alabama State | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Alcorn State | Alcorn State | Alcorn State | ||
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Bethune-Cookman | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Florida A&M | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Grambling | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Jackson State | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Mississippi Valley State | Mississippi Valley State | Mississippi Valley State | ||
| Prairie View A&M | Prairie View A&M | Prairie View A&M | ||
| Southern | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Texas Southern | Texas Southern | Texas Southern | ||
| Kansas City | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| North Dakota State | North Dakota State | North Dakota State | ||
| North Dakota | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Omaha | Omaha | Omaha | ||
| South Dakota State | South Dakota State | South Dakota State | ||
| South Dakota | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| St. Thomas-Minnesota | St. Thomas-Minnesota | St. Thomas-Minnesota | ||
| App State | App State | App State | ||
| Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | ||
| Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern | ||
| Georgia State | Georgia State | Georgia State | ||
| James Madison | James Madison | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | James Madison | |
| Louisiana | Louisiana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Louisiana | |
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Southern Miss | Southern Miss | Southern Miss | ||
| South Alabama | South Alabama | South Alabama | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| UL Monroe | UL Monroe | UL Monroe | ||
| Abilene Christian | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| California Baptist | California Baptist | California Baptist | ||
| Southern Utah | Southern Utah | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Southern Utah | |
| Tarleton State | Tarleton State | Tarleton State | ||
| UT Arlington | UT Arlington | UT Arlington | ||
| Utah Tech | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Utah Valley | Utah Valley | Utah Valley | ||
| Loyola Marymount | Loyola Marymount | Loyola Marymount | ||
| Oregon State | Oregon State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oregon State | |
| Pacific | Dayton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dayton | |
| Saint Mary's | Saint Mary's | Saint Mary's | ||
| San Diego | Dayton | Dayton | ||
| Santa Clara | Santa Clara | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Santa Clara | |
| Seattle U | Seattle U | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Seattle U |
PowerWise = 98
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 18.00
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Kentucky (22-19, 92.7) 1- 5 -7.19 8.98 0.96 3.60 -11.20
0 A Kentucky (22-19, 92.7) 0- 9 -7.19 8.98 0.96 3.60 -11.20
0 H Michigan State (14-22, 90.0) 1- 2 -9.88 6.29 -0.96 3.60 -19.52
0 H California (14-26, 90.4) 7-12 -9.49 6.68 -0.96 3.60 -18.81
0 A Michigan (24-14, 94.6) 5- 6 -5.28 10.89 0.96 3.60 -7.76
------
-68.50
|
winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -68.4994
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------