UPDATED: 04-07-26 18:12 PDT

stick Austin Peay
  
Austin Peay           
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 70.6663

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Gardner Webb Big South ( 1-10, 70.7) 15-14 220 A Furman Big South ( 7- 6, 76.3) 9-17 222 A Presbyterian Big South ( 3- 9, 69.9) 19-14 227 H Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 9- 4, 81.0) 17-16 301 H Eastern Michigan MAC ( 8- 5, 78.3) 10-13 307 A Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast ( 7- 6, 71.5) 6-11 310 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-10, 62.7) 17- 4 314 H Winthrop Big South ( 6- 6, 74.8) 6-17 316 H Iona Metro Atlanti ( 3-10, 73.1) 6-12 319 H Delaware Atlantic Sun ( 8- 4, 87.5) 3-19 321 H Liberty Atlantic Sun ( 4- 9, 80.8) 7-24 326 A Queens Atlantic Sun ( 3- 9, 77.6) 4-19 328 A Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun ( 8- 5, 80.7) 5-17 404 A Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 7- 6, 74.9) 8-10 411 H Jacksonville Atlantic Sun ( 8- 4, 87.4) 418 A Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 2-10, 75.8) 422 H Lindenwood Atlantic Sun ( 5- 8, 76.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Gardner Webb           15-14       1     1          -0.18
   220 A Furman                  9-17      -8    -7          -1.11
   222 A Presbyterian           19-14       5     0    ++     5.42
   227 H Canisius               17-16       1    -9    +++   10.16
   301 H Eastern Michigan       10-13      -3    -6    +      3.46
   307 A Fairleigh Dickinson     6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.91
   310 A Central Connecticut    17- 4      13     7    +++    6.25
   314 H Winthrop                6-17     -11    -3    ---   -8.08
   316 H Iona                    6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.75
   319 H Delaware                3-19     -16   -16           0.00
   321 H Liberty                 7-24     -17    -9    --    -5.13
   326 A Queens                  4-19     -15    -8    --    -5.81
   328 A Coastal Carolina        5-17     -12   -11          -0.77
   404 A Kennesaw State          8-10      -2    -5    +      3.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Winthrop                6-17     -11    -3    ---   -8.08
   316 H Iona                    6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.75
   321 H Liberty                 7-24     -17    -9    --    -5.13
   326 A Queens                  4-19     -15    -8    --    -5.81
   307 A Fairleigh Dickinson     6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Canisius               17-16       1    -9    +++   10.16
   310 A Central Connecticut    17- 4      13     7    +++    6.25
   222 A Presbyterian           19-14       5     0    ++     5.42
   301 H Eastern Michigan       10-13      -3    -6    +      3.46
   404 A Kennesaw State          8-10      -2    -5    +      3.44

Austin Peay Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Akron Akron tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Akron
Albany Albany   Albany
American American   American
Arizona State Arizona State   Arizona State
Army Army   Army
Binghamton Binghamton   Binghamton
Boston College Boston College   Boston College
Boston University Boston University   Boston University
Brown Brown   Brown
Bryant Bryant   Bryant
Bucknell Bucknell   Bucknell
Butler Butler tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Butler
California California   California
Campbell Campbell Campbell   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Canisius Austin Peay Austin Peay  
Central Connecticut Austin Peay Austin Peay  
Central Michigan Central Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Central Michigan
Cincinnati Cincinnati insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cincinnati
Clemson Clemson Clemson   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina  
Colgate Colgate   Colgate
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Columbia Columbia   Columbia
Connecticut Connecticut   Connecticut
Cornell Cornell   Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth   Dartmouth
Davidson Davidson Davidson   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Delaware Delaware Delaware  
Delaware State Austin Peay Austin Peay   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Denver Denver   Denver
Detroit Mercy Austin Peay insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Austin Peay
Drexel Drexel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Drexel
Duke Duke   Duke
Duquesne Duquesne   Duquesne
East Carolina East Carolina insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) East Carolina
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan  
Elon Elon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Elon
Fairfield Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fairfield
Fairleigh Dickinson Fairleigh Dickinson Fairleigh Dickinson  
Florida Florida insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Florida
Florida State Florida State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Florida State
Furman Furman Furman  
Gardner Webb Austin Peay Austin Peay  
George Mason George Mason   George Mason
George Washington George Washington   George Washington
Georgetown Georgetown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Georgetown
Harvard Harvard   Harvard
High Point High Point insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) High Point
Hofstra Hofstra   Hofstra
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Howard (DC) Austin Peay tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Austin Peay
Iona Iona Iona  
Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville   4- 1 vs 0- 5
James Madison James Madison insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) James Madison
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Johns Hopkins
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State Kennesaw State  
Kent State Kent State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kent State
La Salle La Salle tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) La Salle
Lafayette Lafayette   Lafayette
Le Moyne Le Moyne insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Le Moyne
Lehigh Lehigh insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lehigh
Liberty Liberty Liberty  
Lindenwood Lindenwood Lindenwood   2- 4 vs 0- 6
LIU LIU LIU   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Longwood Longwood insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Longwood
Louisville Louisville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Louisville
Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD)   Loyola (MD)
Manhattan Austin Peay Austin Peay   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Marist Marist tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Marist
Marquette Marquette insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marquette
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts   Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell Massachusetts-Lowell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Massachusetts-Lowell
Mercer Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Mercer
Mercyhurst Austin Peay insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Austin Peay
Merrimack Merrimack tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Merrimack
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Monmouth (NJ) Monmouth (NJ)   Monmouth (NJ)
Mount St Marys Mount St Marys insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mount St Marys
Navy Navy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Navy
New Hampshire New Hampshire   New Hampshire
New Haven Austin Peay insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Austin Peay
Niagara Niagara insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Niagara
North Carolina North Carolina   North Carolina
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State   Ohio State
Old Dominion Old Dominion insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Old Dominion
Oregon Oregon insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Oregon
Penn Penn   Penn
Penn State Penn State   Penn State
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
Presbyterian Austin Peay Austin Peay  
Princeton Princeton   Princeton
Queens Queens Queens  
Quinnipiac Quinnipiac insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Quinnipiac
Radford Radford tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Radford
Rhode Island Rhode Island   Rhode Island
Richmond Richmond insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Richmond
Rider Rider insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rider
Robert Morris Robert Morris insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Robert Morris
Rutgers Rutgers insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rutgers
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Sacred Heart
San Diego State San Diego State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) San Diego State
Siena Siena insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Siena
South Florida South Florida insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Florida
Southern California Southern California   Southern California
St Bonaventure St Bonaventure insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Bonaventure
St Josephs (PA) St Josephs (PA) tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Josephs (PA)
Stanford Stanford   Stanford
Stetson Stetson Stetson   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Stonehill Stonehill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Stonehill
Stony Brook Stony Brook   Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse   Syracuse
Temple Temple insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Temple
Towson Towson   Towson
UC Davis UC Davis   UC Davis
UMBC UMBC tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UMBC
UNC-Charlotte UNC-Charlotte insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) UNC-Charlotte
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Vanderbilt
VCU VCU   VCU
Vermont Vermont insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Vermont
Villanova Villanova   Villanova
Virginia Virginia insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Virginia
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Virginia Tech
Wagner Wagner   Wagner
William & Mary William & Mary insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) William & Mary
Winthrop Winthrop Winthrop  
Wofford Wofford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Wofford
Xavier Xavier tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Xavier
Yale Yale tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Yale
Youngstown State Youngstown State   Youngstown State

PowerWise = 10


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Gardner Webb    ( 1-10, 70.7)    15-14      -29.19      11.51      -1.22         0.89            18.32
   0 A Furman          ( 7- 6, 76.3)     9-17      -23.56      17.15       1.22         0.89            -9.93
   0 A Presbyterian    ( 3- 9, 69.9)    19-14      -30.03      10.68       1.22         0.89            21.15
   0 H Canisius        ( 9- 4, 81.0)    17-16      -18.86      21.85      -1.22         0.89            36.70
   0 H Eastern Michig  ( 8- 5, 78.3)    10-13      -21.56      19.15      -1.22         0.89           -10.13
   0 A Fairleigh Dick  ( 7- 6, 71.5)     6-11      -28.36      12.35       1.22         0.89           -12.07
   0 A Central Connec  ( 1-10, 62.7)    17- 4      -37.20       3.51       1.22         0.89             8.40
   0 H Winthrop        ( 6- 6, 74.8)     6-17      -25.10      15.61      -1.22         0.89           -11.70
   0 H Iona            ( 3-10, 73.1)     6-12      -26.77      13.94      -1.22         0.89           -12.45
   0 H Delaware        ( 8- 4, 87.5)     3-19      -12.38      28.33      -1.22         0.89            -6.05
   0 H Liberty         ( 4- 9, 80.8)     7-24      -19.14      21.56      -1.22         0.89            -9.05
   0 A Queens          ( 3- 9, 77.6)     4-19      -22.26      18.45       1.22         0.89            -9.36
   0 A Coastal Caroli  ( 8- 5, 80.7)     5-17      -19.22      21.49       1.22         0.89            -8.00
   0 A Kennesaw State  ( 7- 6, 74.9)     8-10      -25.01      15.70       1.22         0.89           -10.58
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -14.75

winning pts = 84.5700 losing points = -99.3203

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------