Florida State
W-L: ( 3-11) PR = 82.3788Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 2-10, 75.8) 14- 4 209 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 7- 6, 74.9) 16- 4 213 A California ACC ( 6- 9, 82.8) 9-10 215 A UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 5, 85.1) 6-13 221 N Army Patriot (10- 2, 91.6) 7-13 224 H Boston College ACC ( 8- 5, 92.5) 7-19 227 A North Carolina ACC (11- 1, 99.9) 3-27 304 A Louisville ACC ( 6- 7, 86.2) 5-15 308 H Virginia ACC ( 6- 8, 90.0) 7-15 314 H Virginia Tech ACC ( 8- 7, 86.9) 9-15 318 H Gardner Webb Big South ( 1-10, 70.7) 16- 2 321 A Notre Dame ACC (11- 3, 93.1) 3-22 329 H Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 90.7) 10-15 405 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7- 7, 89.2) 11-14 407 A Kent State MAC ( 6- 6, 76.1) 416 H Clemson ACC (11- 4, 94.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Stetson 14- 4 10 8 + 2.20
209 H Kennesaw State 16- 4 12 9 + 3.30
213 A California 9-10 -1 -2 0.62
215 A UC Davis 6-13 -7 -4 - -3.10
221 N Army 7-13 -6 -9 + 3.24
224 H Boston College 7-19 -12 -9 - -3.14
227 A North Carolina 3-27 -24 -19 0.00
304 A Louisville 5-15 -10 -5 -- -4.91
308 H Virginia 7-15 -8 -6 -1.60
314 H Virginia Tech 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.71
318 H Gardner Webb 16- 2 14 13 1.11
321 A Notre Dame 3-22 -19 -12 - -2.11
329 H Duke 10-15 -5 -7 + 2.09
405 A Pittsburgh 11-14 -3 -8 ++ 5.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Louisville 5-15 -10 -5 -- -4.91 215 A UC Davis 6-13 -7 -4 - -3.10 224 H Boston College 7-19 -12 -9 - -3.14 314 H Virginia Tech 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.71 321 A Notre Dame 3-22 -19 -12 - -2.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Pittsburgh 11-14 -3 -8 ++ 5.02 207 H Stetson 14- 4 10 8 + 2.20 209 H Kennesaw State 16- 4 12 9 + 3.30 221 N Army 7-13 -6 -9 + 3.24 329 H Duke 10-15 -5 -7 + 2.09 |
Florida State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Albany | Albany | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Albany | |
| American | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Florida State | |
| Arizona State | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Austin Peay | Florida State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Florida State | |
| Binghamton | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Boston University | Boston University | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Boston University | |
| Brown | Brown | Brown | ||
| Bryant | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Bucknell | Bucknell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bucknell | |
| Butler | Florida State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Florida State | |
| California | California | California | ||
| Campbell | Florida State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Florida State | |
| Canisius | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida State | |
| Central Connecticut | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Central Michigan | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida State | |
| Cincinnati | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Florida State | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson 5- 2 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Coastal Carolina | Florida State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Florida State | |
| Colgate | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Colorado | |
| Columbia | Columbia | Columbia | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Davidson | Davidson | Davidson | ||
| Delaware | Delaware | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Delaware | |
| Delaware State | Florida State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Florida State | |
| Denver | Denver | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Denver | |
| Detroit Mercy | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Drexel | Drexel | Drexel | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| East Carolina | East Carolina | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | East Carolina | |
| Eastern Michigan | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Elon | Elon | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Elon | |
| Fairfield | Fairfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fairfield | |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Florida | Florida | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Florida | |
| Furman | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Gardner Webb | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| George Mason | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| George Washington | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Harvard | |
| High Point | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Florida State | |
| Hofstra | Hofstra | Hofstra | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Howard (DC) | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Iona | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Jacksonville | |
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Johns Hopkins | |
| Kennesaw State | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Kent State | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida State | |
| La Salle | Florida State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Florida State | |
| Lafayette | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida State | |
| Le Moyne | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Lehigh | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Liberty | Florida State | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Florida State | |
| Lindenwood | Florida State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Florida State | |
| LIU | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Longwood | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Loyola (MD) | |
| Manhattan | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Marist | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Florida State | |
| Marquette | Marquette | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marquette | |
| Maryland | Maryland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Maryland | |
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Mercer | Mercer | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Mercer | |
| Mercyhurst | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Merrimack | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Michigan | |
| Monmouth (NJ) | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Mount St Marys | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Navy | Navy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| New Hampshire | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| New Haven | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Niagara | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Ohio State | |
| Old Dominion | Florida State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Florida State | |
| Oregon | Florida State | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Florida State | |
| Penn | Penn | Penn | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Presbyterian | Florida State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Florida State | |
| Princeton | Princeton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Princeton | |
| Queens | Florida State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Florida State | |
| Quinnipiac | Florida State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Florida State | |
| Radford | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Rhode Island | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Richmond | |
| Rider | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Robert Morris | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida State | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rutgers | |
| Sacred Heart | Florida State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Florida State | |
| San Diego State | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Florida State | |
| Siena | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| South Florida | South Florida | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Florida | |
| Southern California | Southern California | Southern California 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Bonaventure | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford 6- 1 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Stetson | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Stonehill | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Florida State | |
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | Stony Brook | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse 6- 1 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Temple | Temple | Temple | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UC Davis | UC Davis | UC Davis | ||
| UMBC | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| UNC-Charlotte | Florida State | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Florida State | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Vanderbilt | |
| VCU | VCU | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | VCU | |
| Vermont | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Villanova | Villanova | Villanova | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | ||
| Wagner | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| William & Mary | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Winthrop | Florida State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Florida State | |
| Wofford | Florida State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Florida State | |
| Xavier | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida State | |
| Yale | Yale | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Yale | |
| Youngstown State | Florida State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Florida State |
PowerWise = 68
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Stetson ( 2-10, 75.8) 14- 4 -24.11 16.60 -1.22 0.89 27.36
0 H Kennesaw State ( 7- 6, 74.9) 16- 4 -25.01 15.70 -1.22 0.89 25.76
0 A California ( 6- 9, 82.8) 9-10 -17.12 23.58 1.22 0.89 -7.07
0 A UC Davis ( 7- 5, 85.1) 6-13 -14.84 25.87 1.22 0.89 -6.06
0 N Army (10- 2, 91.6) 7-13 -8.28 32.42 -0.00 0.89 -3.68
0 H Boston College ( 8- 5, 92.5) 7-19 -7.44 33.26 -1.22 0.89 -3.85
0 A North Carolina (11- 1, 99.9) 3-27 -0.00 40.71 1.22 0.89 -0.54
0 A Louisville ( 6- 7, 86.2) 5-15 -13.65 27.05 1.22 0.89 -5.53
0 H Virginia ( 6- 8, 90.0) 7-15 -9.90 30.80 -1.22 0.89 -4.94
0 H Virginia Tech ( 8- 7, 86.9) 9-15 -13.01 27.70 -1.22 0.89 -6.33
0 H Gardner Webb ( 1-10, 70.7) 16- 2 -29.19 11.51 -1.22 0.89 18.32
0 A Notre Dame (11- 3, 93.1) 3-22 -6.85 33.86 1.22 0.89 -2.50
0 H Duke ( 9- 5, 90.7) 10-15 -9.22 31.49 -1.22 0.89 -4.64
0 A Pittsburgh ( 7- 7, 89.2) 11-14 -10.71 29.99 1.22 0.89 -4.22
------
22.06
|
winning pts = 71.4373 losing points = -49.3755
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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