List of Probabilities for Virginia
Virginia Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Paul VI 11 3 2 2 4 8 22.00
2 Robinson 11 0 3 14 1 18 8.00
3 Blue Ridge Schoo 7 6 15 3 23 41 7.00
4 Collegiate Schoo 11 1 7 11 2 20 7.00
5 St Annes-Belfiel 6 7 11 1 17 29 7.00
6 Christchurch 9 4 19 22 27 68 5.00
7 Episcopal 7 6 51 54 52 157 5.00
8 Norfolk Academy 10 4 44 75 18 137 4.00
9 Yorktown 6 4 29 29 35 93 4.00
10 Hayfield 9 0 37 113 8 158 3.00
11 St Stephen-St Ag 4 12 86 15 107 208 3.00
12 Atlee 7 2 1 5 6 12 2.00
13 Freedom South R 11 0 5 16 3 24 2.00
14 Langley 8 3 13 36 9 58 2.00
15 McLean 9 3 22 41 30 93 2.00
16 Midlothian 6 0 9 66 15 90 2.00
17 Potomac School 7 6 59 17 83 159 2.00
18 Riverside 7 2 4 9 5 18 2.00
19 Salem 8 0 6 27 10 43 2.00
20 St Christophers 4 8 104 62 130 296 2.00
21 Battlefield 8 0 10 45 11 66 0.00
22 Douglas Freeman 7 2 8 13 20 41 0.00
23 EC Glass 6 2 40 60 43 143 0.00
24 Independence 4 2 25 30 50 105 0.00
25 Jamestown LC 6 0 20 83 14 117 0.00
26 Nansemond-Suffol 8 3 17 46 22 85 0.00
27 North Cross Scho 5 5 16 4 68 88 0.00
28 Albemarle 4 4 42 21 86 149 0.00
29 Alexandria City 2 9 99 31 168 298 0.00
30 Annandale 2 6 140 131 148 419 0.00
31 Bayside 2 2 144 160 62 366 0.00
32 Benedictine 3 9 136 58 167 361 0.00
33 Bishop Ireton 6 8 78 151 79 308 0.00
34 Bishop OConnell 3 9 66 42 94 202 0.00
35 Blacksburg 5 2 100 144 49 293 0.00
36 Brentsville 8 2 33 65 46 144 0.00
37 Briar Woods 6 3 21 19 42 82 0.00
38 Broad Run 9 1 35 95 19 149 0.00
39 Brooke Point 7 3 91 140 63 294 0.00
40 Cape Henry Colle 4 7 69 23 151 243 0.00
41 Catholic HS 10 3 14 37 7 58 0.00
42 Cave Spring 4 2 115 153 57 325 0.00
43 Centreville 2 9 108 39 166 313 0.00
44 Chantilly 8 4 26 28 64 118 0.00
45 Charlottesville 1 7 153 141 162 456 0.00
46 Christiansburg 0 6 152 111 152 415 0.00
47 Clover Hill 2 5 119 50 125 294 0.00
48 Colgan 6 4 68 96 95 259 0.00
49 Colonial Forge 8 2 38 74 28 140 0.00
50 Cosby 5 2 23 35 36 94 0.00
51 Covenant School 3 3 73 51 87 211 0.00
52 Cox 6 1 36 88 29 153 0.00
53 Culpeper County 2 7 137 136 157 430 0.00
54 Deep Run 3 4 41 47 60 148 0.00
55 Dominion 3 5 31 7 110 148 0.00
56 Eastern View 2 5 148 146 135 429 0.00
57 Edison 3 7 116 104 158 378 0.00
58 Fairfax 4 6 97 87 131 315 0.00
59 Falls Church 4 6 132 138 144 414 0.00
60 Fauquier 2 6 43 6 126 175 0.00
61 First Colonial 2 5 105 77 136 318 0.00
62 Fishburne Milita 0 3 172 168 76 416 0.00
63 Flint Hill 7 5 71 61 80 212 0.00
64 Fluvanna County 3 4 138 147 111 396 0.00
65 Forest Park 10 2 46 57 21 124 0.00
66 Fork Union Milit 0 7 166 148 164 478 0.00
67 Franklin County 2 5 127 118 132 377 0.00
68 Fredericksburg A 3 5 160 164 133 457 0.00
69 Fredericksburg C 4 5 122 121 127 370 0.00
70 Freedom Woodbri 0 4 168 162 121 451 0.00
71 Gainesville 6 5 61 40 88 189 0.00
72 Gar-field 2 11 142 71 176 389 0.00
73 Glen Allen 4 4 81 89 89 259 0.00
74 Goochland 4 3 123 120 81 324 0.00
75 Grafton LC 3 3 92 101 72 265 0.00
76 Grassfield LC 0 5 147 98 134 379 0.00
77 Green Run 0 6 141 80 153 374 0.00
78 Handley 8 2 120 154 65 339 0.00
79 Hanover 5 1 58 117 24 199 0.00
80 Heritage Leesbu 0 7 133 49 163 345 0.00
81 Herndon 4 5 70 53 118 241 0.00
82 Hickory LC 3 2 80 108 53 241 0.00
83 Hidden Valley 0 7 154 116 165 435 0.00
84 Highland School 2 3 150 159 91 400 0.00
85 Highland Springs 0 5 165 155 141 461 0.00
86 Hylton 6 4 98 129 92 319 0.00
87 James Monroe 7 3 76 109 66 251 0.00
88 James River 2 5 75 26 117 218 0.00
89 Jefferson Forest 5 3 55 73 73 201 0.00
90 John Champe 4 5 79 69 96 244 0.00
91 Justice 8 1 101 161 25 287 0.00
92 Kellam 7 1 47 135 12 194 0.00
93 Kempsville 3 4 113 123 112 348 0.00
94 Kettle Run 2 5 102 103 128 333 0.00
95 Lafayette LC 7 1 32 84 13 129 0.00
96 Lake Braddock 7 4 72 105 97 274 0.00
97 Landstown 1 5 163 156 139 458 0.00
98 Lewis 2 7 156 152 160 468 0.00
99 Liberty Bealeto 7 2 34 59 51 144 0.00
100 Lightridge 3 5 85 56 113 254 0.00
101 Loudoun County 5 4 84 107 99 290 0.00
102 Loudoun Valley 5 4 65 81 100 246 0.00
103 Madison 6 5 12 8 44 64 0.00
104 Manchester 5 2 54 93 45 192 0.00
105 Marshall 2 7 112 79 155 346 0.00
106 Massaponax 0 10 143 85 175 403 0.00
107 Matoaca 0 6 155 128 154 437 0.00
108 Maury LC 1 6 111 55 145 311 0.00
109 Mechanicsville 5 2 114 157 55 326 0.00
110 Menchville LC 5 3 74 106 61 241 0.00
111 Meridian 6 1 18 24 31 73 0.00
112 Mills Godwin 3 4 106 122 105 333 0.00
113 Monacan 5 3 94 90 67 251 0.00
114 Monticello 4 2 64 64 58 186 0.00
115 Mount Vernon 1 9 164 150 172 486 0.00
116 Mountain View 8 2 60 114 47 221 0.00
117 New Covenant Sch 4 4 121 142 82 345 0.00
118 Norfolk Christia 5 10 135 132 169 436 0.00
119 Norfolk Collegia 5 5 57 44 119 220 0.00
120 North Stafford 2 7 139 127 161 427 0.00
121 Oakton 7 3 49 63 69 181 0.00
122 Ocean Lakes 3 4 89 86 114 289 0.00
123 Orange County 4 4 87 100 106 293 0.00
124 Osbourn 0 9 161 137 170 468 0.00
125 Osbourn Park 2 8 117 82 156 355 0.00
126 Park View 4 6 145 149 146 440 0.00
127 Patrick Henry A 1 5 149 125 140 414 0.00
128 Patrick Henry R 6 0 24 102 16 142 0.00
129 Patriot 6 3 30 34 56 120 0.00
130 Potomac Falls 3 4 131 139 115 385 0.00
131 Potomac-Dumfries 2 9 159 143 171 473 0.00
132 Powhatan 1 4 56 20 101 177 0.00
133 Princess Anne 4 2 93 134 59 286 0.00
134 Riverbend 2 5 125 133 137 395 0.00
135 Roanoke Catholic 1 0 167 172 32 371 0.00
136 Rock Ridge 0 9 146 94 174 414 0.00
137 Rockbridge Count 2 5 83 33 129 245 0.00
138 Rockingham LC 3 6 169 166 120 455 0.00
139 Salem Virginia B 1 0 162 169 33 364 0.00
140 Seton School 9 2 50 76 48 174 0.00
141 South County 7 4 53 67 70 190 0.00
142 South Lakes 6 5 62 52 116 230 0.00
143 St John Paul the 2 9 129 78 173 380 0.00
144 Stafford 2 5 130 110 138 378 0.00
145 Steward School 4 4 109 145 102 356 0.00
146 Stone Bridge 3 4 45 18 74 137 0.00
147 Strasburg LC 2 3 124 173 34 331 0.00
148 Tabb LC 3 2 48 43 54 145 0.00
149 Tallwood 0 5 171 167 142 480 0.00
150 Tandem Friends 0 4 170 165 122 457 0.00
151 Thomas Dale 2 3 151 163 93 407 0.00
152 Thomas Jefferson 1 3 110 92 98 300 0.00
153 Trinity Christia 6 3 90 126 77 293 0.00
154 Trinity Episcopa 6 5 67 48 103 218 0.00
155 Trinity Meadow V 4 5 95 115 108 318 0.00
156 Tuscarora 2 7 128 97 159 384 0.00
157 Unity Reed 6 4 134 158 78 370 0.00
158 Virginia Academy 0 5 157 130 143 430 0.00
159 Virginia Episcop 4 4 39 10 84 133 0.00
160 Wakefield HS 4 7 126 119 149 394 0.00
161 Washington-Liber 4 4 82 72 104 258 0.00
162 West Potomac 7 4 27 32 26 85 0.00
163 West Springfield 3 5 88 68 123 279 0.00
164 Western Albemarl 3 3 28 12 75 115 0.00
165 Westfield 6 5 63 70 90 223 0.00
166 William Byrd 3 5 103 91 124 318 0.00
167 Woodberry Forest 4 9 96 124 109 329 0.00
168 Woodbridge 6 7 118 99 150 367 0.00
169 Woodgrove 6 3 77 112 71 260 0.00
170 Woodson 6 5 52 38 85 175 0.00
171 York LC 0 6 107 25 147 279 0.00
172 Eukarya Christia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
173 Lloyd C Bird 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
174 Wakefield Countr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
175 Wakefield School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
176 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00