List of Probabilities for Virginia
 

Virginia Championship Probabilties

RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings SOS & QWF Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Annes-Belfiel 18 3 1 6 1 8 36.00 2 Paul VI 11 10 2 5 12 19 19.00 3 Episcopal 9 9 14 26 15 55 12.00 4 Christchurch 9 8 16 21 22 59 9.00 5 St Christophers 17 5 12 83 10 105 5.00 6 Blue Ridge Schoo 15 8 7 79 7 93 4.00 7 Independence 19 2 4 7 4 15 4.00 8 Catholic HS 13 7 51 57 76 184 2.00 9 Cosby 18 2 8 15 3 26 2.00 10 Norfolk Academy 13 8 27 88 33 148 2.00 11 Woodberry Forest 9 9 31 28 72 131 2.00 12 Collegiate Schoo 13 6 18 30 23 71 0.00 13 Langley 16 5 9 69 11 89 0.00 14 West Potomac 17 6 11 19 6 36 0.00 15 Albemarle 9 7 65 35 87 187 0.00 16 Alexandria City 11 9 59 126 89 274 0.00 17 Annandale 3 9 161 162 145 468 0.00 18 Atlee 10 9 21 3 61 85 0.00 19 Battlefield 18 4 6 1 8 15 0.00 20 Bayside 1 11 158 142 161 461 0.00 21 Benedictine 8 10 67 102 104 273 0.00 22 Bishop Ireton 9 11 45 98 43 186 0.00 23 Bishop OConnell 8 11 82 147 73 302 0.00 24 Blacksburg 8 8 87 56 101 244 0.00 25 Brentsville 13 3 44 77 31 152 0.00 26 Briar Woods 16 6 20 2 14 36 0.00 27 Broad Run 13 6 61 55 62 178 0.00 28 Brooke Point 12 4 49 49 46 144 0.00 29 Cape Henry Colle 12 7 64 130 78 272 0.00 30 Cave Spring 7 7 103 92 91 286 0.00 31 Centreville 3 9 95 84 107 286 0.00 32 Chantilly 9 5 35 25 39 99 0.00 33 Charlottesville 3 11 135 74 159 368 0.00 34 Christiansburg 0 14 154 113 174 441 0.00 35 Clover Hill 2 12 148 123 164 435 0.00 36 Colgan 13 5 48 44 48 140 0.00 37 Colonial Forge 14 2 25 38 19 82 0.00 38 Covenant School 9 7 75 78 88 241 0.00 39 Cox 11 8 56 153 66 275 0.00 40 Culpeper County 4 11 143 110 158 411 0.00 41 Deep Run 9 8 29 16 74 119 0.00 42 Dominion 6 10 86 34 126 246 0.00 43 Douglas Freeman 14 6 17 13 35 65 0.00 44 Eastern View 0 13 164 156 172 492 0.00 45 EC Glass 11 5 40 37 55 132 0.00 46 Edison 9 8 113 139 108 360 0.00 47 Fairfax 6 10 106 82 129 317 0.00 48 Falls Church 6 8 123 140 115 378 0.00 49 Fauquier 6 9 79 33 116 228 0.00 50 First Colonial 8 7 96 95 97 288 0.00 51 Fishburne Milita 0 1 172 171 40 383 0.00 52 Flint Hill 11 6 118 157 83 358 0.00 53 Fluvanna County 5 9 110 96 136 342 0.00 54 Forest Park 7 10 102 60 137 299 0.00 55 Fork Union Milit 6 5 60 81 57 198 0.00 56 Franklin County 6 10 129 72 146 347 0.00 57 Fredericksburg A 3 6 98 115 98 311 0.00 58 Fredericksburg C 11 5 62 118 63 243 0.00 59 Freedom South R 12 7 37 10 58 105 0.00 60 Gainesville 15 5 26 12 32 70 0.00 61 Gar-field 1 14 163 143 175 481 0.00 62 Glen Allen 6 10 89 42 122 253 0.00 63 Goochland 12 5 80 108 59 247 0.00 64 Grafton LC 2 7 131 132 109 372 0.00 65 Grassfield LC 4 5 94 129 79 302 0.00 66 Green Run 5 7 134 144 106 384 0.00 67 Handley 10 2 47 31 36 114 0.00 68 Hanover 10 6 77 97 75 249 0.00 69 Hayfield 14 5 71 104 56 231 0.00 70 Heritage Leesbu 7 10 100 59 131 290 0.00 71 Herndon 8 4 54 112 49 215 0.00 72 Hickory LC 5 5 81 127 67 275 0.00 73 Hidden Valley 2 12 146 109 165 420 0.00 74 Highland School 8 3 42 107 44 193 0.00 75 Highland Springs 1 11 156 137 162 455 0.00 76 Hylton 9 7 92 91 92 275 0.00 77 James Monroe 11 3 78 141 37 256 0.00 78 James River 9 7 88 105 85 278 0.00 79 Jamestown LC 10 0 13 99 13 125 0.00 80 Jefferson Forest 14 3 30 23 20 73 0.00 81 John Champe 5 10 117 66 147 330 0.00 82 Justice 5 9 136 145 138 419 0.00 83 Kellam 16 3 43 51 17 111 0.00 84 Kempsville 5 9 130 117 139 386 0.00 85 Kettle Run 4 9 125 101 140 366 0.00 86 Lake Braddock 9 9 52 27 80 159 0.00 87 Landstown 4 9 141 134 143 418 0.00 88 Lewis 2 10 162 158 154 474 0.00 89 Liberty Bealeto 6 6 97 103 84 284 0.00 90 Lightridge 6 10 68 29 120 217 0.00 91 Lord Botetourt 0 2 171 169 50 390 0.00 92 Loudoun County 17 4 24 8 16 48 0.00 93 Loudoun Valley 5 9 132 119 123 374 0.00 94 Madison 17 2 3 22 2 27 0.00 95 Manchester 12 3 73 124 28 225 0.00 96 Marshall 3 9 115 114 132 361 0.00 97 Massaponax 2 13 145 85 170 400 0.00 98 Matoaca 2 6 155 163 102 420 0.00 99 Maury LC 8 4 46 68 47 161 0.00 100 McLean 10 8 36 14 68 118 0.00 101 Mechanicsville 8 8 144 159 112 415 0.00 102 Menchville LC 2 6 140 150 93 383 0.00 103 Meridian 13 6 19 9 60 88 0.00 104 Midlothian 7 9 55 32 110 197 0.00 105 Mills Godwin 5 11 120 94 153 367 0.00 106 Monacan 9 9 101 48 113 262 0.00 107 Monticello 14 3 34 54 29 117 0.00 108 Mount Vernon 5 8 138 146 121 405 0.00 109 Mountain View 10 10 69 17 127 213 0.00 110 Nansemond-Suffol 10 9 72 120 114 306 0.00 111 New Covenant Sch 1 8 108 75 124 307 0.00 112 Norfolk Christia 8 11 119 161 150 430 0.00 113 Norfolk Collegia 6 9 90 80 133 303 0.00 114 North Cross Scho 13 7 33 61 69 163 0.00 115 North Stafford 1 12 137 73 168 378 0.00 116 Northern VA Home 1 9 169 168 152 489 0.00 117 Oakton 14 6 23 65 21 109 0.00 118 Ocean Lakes 8 7 105 125 99 329 0.00 119 Orange County 4 12 116 52 166 334 0.00 120 Osbourn 1 15 166 138 177 481 0.00 121 Osbourn Park 6 8 147 152 111 410 0.00 122 Park View 0 14 170 160 176 506 0.00 123 Patrick Henry A 5 9 127 133 141 401 0.00 124 Patrick Henry R 10 5 50 43 51 144 0.00 125 Patriot 8 8 53 20 77 150 0.00 126 Potomac Falls 2 13 126 41 163 330 0.00 127 Potomac School 10 10 66 76 81 223 0.00 128 Potomac-Dumfries 3 9 152 154 148 454 0.00 129 Powhatan 2 14 142 86 173 401 0.00 130 Princess Anne 9 5 84 111 70 265 0.00 131 Riverbend 8 9 93 58 125 276 0.00 132 Riverside 13 4 10 62 9 81 0.00 133 Robinson 16 6 5 39 5 49 0.00 134 Rock Ridge 0 1 168 164 41 373 0.00 135 Rockbridge Count 4 9 111 71 134 316 0.00 136 Rockingham LC 7 1 41 121 34 196 0.00 137 Salem 17 3 15 11 18 44 0.00 138 Salem Virginia B 1 10 150 136 155 441 0.00 139 Seton School 5 8 112 122 117 351 0.00 140 South County 9 9 74 46 103 223 0.00 141 South Lakes 4 12 104 36 160 300 0.00 142 St John Paul the 5 9 124 90 142 356 0.00 143 St Stephen-St Ag 3 12 58 63 71 192 0.00 144 Stafford 8 7 76 47 100 223 0.00 145 Steward School 1 10 153 148 156 457 0.00 146 Stone Bridge 9 8 32 4 52 88 0.00 147 Strasburg LC 6 2 107 176 53 336 0.00 148 Tabb LC 6 3 39 100 42 181 0.00 149 Tallwood 1 10 160 155 157 472 0.00 150 Tandem Friends 1 3 167 170 64 401 0.00 151 Thomas Dale 1 6 165 166 105 436 0.00 152 Thomas Jefferson 6 8 139 149 118 406 0.00 153 Trinity Christia 9 8 63 116 94 273 0.00 154 Trinity Episcopa 1 14 122 50 169 341 0.00 155 Trinity Meadow V 9 7 70 70 95 235 0.00 156 Tuscarora 2 12 151 128 167 446 0.00 157 Unity Reed 5 9 121 87 128 336 0.00 158 Veritas School 4 6 149 165 96 410 0.00 159 Virginia Academy 5 9 157 167 144 468 0.00 160 Virginia Episcop 5 9 99 67 119 285 0.00 161 Wakefield HS 5 10 109 89 151 349 0.00 162 Wakefield School 1 3 128 135 65 328 0.00 163 Washington-Liber 11 6 38 40 54 132 0.00 164 West Springfield 0 14 133 45 171 349 0.00 165 Western Albemarl 14 5 22 18 45 85 0.00 166 Westfield 6 12 83 24 149 256 0.00 167 William Byrd 8 7 91 93 90 274 0.00 168 Woodbridge 6 9 114 106 135 355 0.00 169 Woodgrove 7 7 85 64 82 231 0.00 170 Woodson 11 9 57 131 86 274 0.00 171 York LC 0 8 159 151 130 440 0.00 172 Yorktown 12 9 28 53 38 119 0.00 173 Eukarya Christia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 174 Freedom Woodbri 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 175 Lafayette LC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 176 Lloyd C Bird 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 177 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00