List of Probabilities for Massachusetts
Massachusetts Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Johns Prep Da 10 1 2 19 2 23 15.00
2 Boston College H 9 2 26 38 11 75 11.00
3 Lincoln-Sudbury 7 3 1 2 12 15 9.00
4 Longmeadow 10 1 7 14 5 26 7.00
5 Franklin 9 1 14 54 13 81 5.00
6 Marshfield 9 3 4 1 16 21 5.00
7 Medfield 8 2 20 44 21 85 5.00
8 Needham 9 4 27 7 23 57 5.00
9 Hingham 10 1 5 24 8 37 4.00
10 Falmouth HS 9 3 9 4 46 59 3.00
11 Norwell 7 4 64 48 71 183 3.00
12 Westfield 11 0 17 81 7 105 3.00
13 Acton Boxborough 11 2 6 3 4 13 2.00
14 Catholic Memoria 8 4 25 5 29 59 2.00
15 Duxbury 12 1 3 12 1 16 2.00
16 Hopkinton 9 1 19 77 24 120 2.00
17 Scituate 10 2 16 18 15 49 2.00
18 Winchester 9 1 10 39 3 52 2.00
19 Xaverian Brother 6 6 58 6 73 137 2.00
20 AMSA Charter 9 0 15 87 9 111 0.00
21 Billerica Memori 6 4 33 21 55 109 0.00
22 Bridgewater-Rayn 7 3 11 11 60 82 0.00
23 Milton HS 7 3 59 89 52 200 0.00
24 Nashoba Regional 7 2 30 59 28 117 0.00
25 Natick 6 6 80 64 131 275 0.00
26 Newburyport 5 3 35 163 32 230 0.00
27 Sandwich 8 2 44 93 33 170 0.00
28 Sharon 5 3 75 98 69 242 0.00
29 St Johns Shrewsb 5 7 88 91 128 307 0.00
30 Walpole 8 3 18 16 40 74 0.00
31 Abington 8 3 85 131 63 279 0.00
32 Academy of Notre 5 1 70 149 35 254 0.00
33 Agawam 6 4 53 50 81 184 0.00
34 Algonquin 7 3 47 61 54 162 0.00
35 Amesbury 1 9 157 62 183 402 0.00
36 Amherst-Pelham R 3 9 126 49 194 369 0.00
37 Andover HS 4 2 12 10 26 48 0.00
38 Apponequet Regio 7 2 61 120 36 217 0.00
39 Archbishop Willi 6 6 123 109 140 372 0.00
40 Arlington Cathol 6 4 82 112 93 287 0.00
41 Arlington HS 4 5 90 74 124 288 0.00
42 Ashland 4 5 106 101 125 332 0.00
43 Assabet Valley R 3 7 156 130 162 448 0.00
44 Attleboro 5 7 151 134 165 450 0.00
45 Auburn 5 4 159 199 97 455 0.00
46 Barnstable 3 8 152 127 184 463 0.00
47 Bay Path RVT 0 8 213 212 198 623 0.00
48 Bedford 1 8 200 173 195 568 0.00
49 Belchertown 5 4 74 75 98 247 0.00
50 Bellingham 3 8 141 67 185 393 0.00
51 Belmont 4 6 142 141 142 425 0.00
52 Beverly 4 6 111 88 146 345 0.00
53 Bishop Connolly 4 3 175 210 64 449 0.00
54 Bishop Feehan 7 5 50 17 78 145 0.00
55 Bishop Fenwick 7 3 102 181 65 348 0.00
56 Bishop Stang 7 4 69 72 91 232 0.00
57 Blackstone Valle 8 1 34 107 19 160 0.00
58 Blue Hills RVT 5 6 138 119 143 400 0.00
59 Boston Latin Sch 2 8 179 168 188 535 0.00
60 Bourne 7 4 98 122 92 312 0.00
61 Braintree 1 8 154 60 180 394 0.00
62 Bristol-Plymouth 6 5 137 160 112 409 0.00
63 Brookline 2 6 168 158 147 473 0.00
64 Burlington 9 3 52 41 42 135 0.00
65 Cambridge Rindge 2 9 202 184 201 587 0.00
66 Canton 8 3 87 132 66 285 0.00
67 Cape Cod Academy 5 2 72 128 56 256 0.00
68 Cape Cod Tech 0 10 201 145 211 557 0.00
69 Cardinal Spellma 2 9 181 136 202 519 0.00
70 Central Catholic 7 5 79 65 99 243 0.00
71 Chelmsford 2 6 143 95 134 372 0.00
72 Chicopee Compreh 3 5 114 86 130 330 0.00
73 Cohasset 7 4 67 53 70 190 0.00
74 Concord-Carlisle 6 3 29 29 27 85 0.00
75 Danvers 2 9 166 102 203 471 0.00
76 Dartmouth 5 2 107 188 57 352 0.00
77 Dedham 2 7 192 190 172 554 0.00
78 Dennis-Yarmouth 1 7 195 169 175 539 0.00
79 Dighton-Rehoboth 4 8 186 183 181 550 0.00
80 Doherty Memorial 2 10 208 179 208 595 0.00
81 Dover-Sherborn 6 5 73 47 82 202 0.00
82 Dracut 7 3 42 71 43 156 0.00
83 East Bridgewater 0 8 203 176 199 578 0.00
84 East Longmeadow 3 4 86 58 100 244 0.00
85 Essex Tech 6 3 54 68 67 189 0.00
86 Fairhaven 9 3 37 20 61 118 0.00
87 Falmouth Academy 2 4 169 182 106 457 0.00
88 Foxborough 6 5 97 80 113 290 0.00
89 Framingham 6 5 89 103 83 275 0.00
90 Gloucester 3 6 176 193 151 520 0.00
91 Grafton 5 5 63 35 84 182 0.00
92 Granby 7 5 136 153 107 396 0.00
93 Greater Lowell R 3 4 153 90 103 346 0.00
94 Greater New Bedf 1 10 209 189 209 607 0.00
95 Groton-Dunstable 4 5 130 140 114 384 0.00
96 Hamilton-Wenham 1 7 132 37 157 326 0.00
97 Hanover 3 7 115 63 158 336 0.00
98 Haverhill 7 2 110 195 47 352 0.00
99 Holliston 4 5 133 143 126 402 0.00
100 Hoosac Valley 7 3 100 178 68 346 0.00
101 Hudson 1 7 210 205 176 591 0.00
102 Hull 2 9 171 106 204 481 0.00
103 Ipswich 8 1 41 116 20 177 0.00
104 King Philip Regi 6 4 45 33 85 163 0.00
105 Lenox/Lee 8 2 49 105 44 198 0.00
106 Leominster 1 9 167 97 189 453 0.00
107 Lexington 4 6 105 85 118 308 0.00
108 Littleton 5 6 128 114 135 377 0.00
109 Lowell 2 8 187 177 190 554 0.00
110 Lowell Catholic 5 3 66 82 74 222 0.00
111 Lunenburg 1 7 184 115 169 468 0.00
112 Lynn Classical-E 4 8 205 203 182 590 0.00
113 Lynnfield 6 2 31 56 37 124 0.00
114 Malden 6 5 174 204 115 493 0.00
115 Malden Catholic 1 10 158 43 186 387 0.00
116 Manchester-Essex 6 2 76 146 38 260 0.00
117 Mansfield 10 1 8 8 6 22 0.00
118 Marblehead 7 2 56 110 48 214 0.00
119 Marthas Vineyard 2 7 135 83 136 354 0.00
120 Masconomet 6 5 119 147 116 382 0.00
121 Mashpee 4 7 127 73 166 366 0.00
122 McCann Technical 1 9 193 164 205 562 0.00
123 Medford 10 1 84 209 22 315 0.00
124 Medway 5 5 101 113 119 333 0.00
125 Melrose 4 7 77 28 137 242 0.00
126 Methuen 5 3 134 192 75 401 0.00
127 Middleborough 4 7 172 180 167 519 0.00
128 Milford 4 6 83 51 148 282 0.00
129 Minnechaug Regio 5 6 71 79 104 254 0.00
130 Minuteman Region 4 3 95 123 79 297 0.00
131 Monomoy Regional 9 1 40 117 25 182 0.00
132 Monson 5 5 122 152 120 394 0.00
133 Montachusett RVT 4 4 148 197 94 439 0.00
134 Mystic Valley Ch 0 9 190 118 206 514 0.00
135 Nantucket 7 1 24 69 30 123 0.00
136 Nashoba Valley T 1 8 196 167 196 559 0.00
137 Nauset 6 5 36 15 117 168 0.00
138 New Bedford 1 7 211 211 177 599 0.00
139 Newton North 5 6 96 57 105 258 0.00
140 Newton South 4 6 131 126 121 378 0.00
141 Nipmuc Regional 4 4 118 144 101 363 0.00
142 North Andover 3 7 81 22 149 252 0.00
143 North Attleboro 6 2 39 66 53 158 0.00
144 North Middlesex 4 8 113 34 168 315 0.00
145 North Quincy Co- 3 7 161 139 141 441 0.00
146 North Reading 5 5 116 137 102 355 0.00
147 Northampton 8 1 13 46 31 90 0.00
148 Northeast Metro 2 6 162 125 153 440 0.00
149 Norton 1 8 194 166 197 557 0.00
150 Norwood 2 4 189 201 108 498 0.00
151 Oakmont Regional 8 3 60 76 62 198 0.00
152 Old Colony RVT 7 2 51 99 49 199 0.00
153 Old Rochester Re 6 4 108 159 80 347 0.00
154 Oliver Ames 3 7 163 150 170 483 0.00
155 Peabody Vets Mem 3 7 155 129 159 443 0.00
156 Pembroke 5 6 121 94 109 324 0.00
157 Pentucket Region 6 3 38 42 58 138 0.00
158 Pittsfield 2 8 173 161 187 521 0.00
159 Plymouth North 3 8 103 27 160 290 0.00
160 Plymouth South 6 5 57 25 86 168 0.00
161 Pope Francis Pre 2 9 120 40 191 351 0.00
162 Reading Memorial 9 2 23 26 14 63 0.00
163 Revere 0 12 212 202 213 627 0.00
164 Rockland 5 7 144 104 163 411 0.00
165 Salem 3 7 197 200 171 568 0.00
166 Saugus 1 7 206 198 178 582 0.00
167 Seekonk 8 4 129 175 87 391 0.00
168 Shawsheen Valley 9 0 48 138 10 196 0.00
169 Shepherd Hill 5 6 164 172 144 480 0.00
170 Shrewsbury 5 6 94 55 127 276 0.00
171 Silver Lake 3 7 149 124 154 427 0.00
172 Smith VoTech 5 2 145 206 59 410 0.00
173 Somerset Berkley 0 6 178 100 164 442 0.00
174 Somerville 4 6 199 207 150 556 0.00
175 South Hadley 5 6 78 30 110 218 0.00
176 South Shore RVT 11 1 55 108 17 180 0.00
177 Southeastern RVT 5 3 165 208 76 449 0.00
178 Springfield Cent 0 9 207 185 207 599 0.00
179 St Bernards 5 5 93 92 111 296 0.00
180 St John Paul II 6 4 147 196 95 438 0.00
181 St Marys Lynn 1 6 191 121 161 473 0.00
182 St Marys Westfie 2 5 188 194 138 520 0.00
183 Stoneham 1 8 185 151 192 528 0.00
184 Stoughton 0 11 204 162 212 578 0.00
185 Sturgis Charter 1 7 183 154 179 516 0.00
186 Swampscott 10 1 28 78 18 124 0.00
187 Tantasqua Region 6 3 109 174 72 355 0.00
188 Taunton 2 8 198 191 193 582 0.00
189 Tech Boston Acad 1 0 21 213 34 268 0.00
190 Tewksbury Memori 2 7 170 155 173 498 0.00
191 Tri-County RVT 2 6 91 23 155 269 0.00
192 Triton Regional 1 6 146 52 156 354 0.00
193 Tyngsborough 8 2 68 148 39 255 0.00
194 Upper Cape Cod R 5 5 139 170 122 431 0.00
195 Wachusett Region 9 3 43 36 50 129 0.00
196 Wahconah 9 3 46 84 51 181 0.00
197 Wakefield Memori 5 5 117 142 123 382 0.00
198 Waltham 5 7 124 70 152 346 0.00
199 Watertown 1 7 182 187 174 543 0.00
200 Wayland 5 4 140 186 88 414 0.00
201 Wellesley 7 4 22 13 45 80 0.00
202 West Springfield 6 5 65 32 89 186 0.00
203 Westborough 2 5 160 133 139 432 0.00
204 Westford Academy 4 7 92 31 132 255 0.00
205 Weston 6 2 62 111 41 214 0.00
206 Westport 1 10 177 96 210 483 0.00
207 Westwood 9 4 32 9 90 131 0.00
208 Weymouth 7 6 125 135 129 389 0.00
209 Whitman-Hanson 4 7 99 45 145 289 0.00
210 Whittier RVT 5 3 112 171 77 360 0.00
211 Wilmington 3 5 150 165 133 448 0.00
212 Winthrop 6 4 104 156 96 356 0.00
213 Woburn Memorial 3 9 180 157 200 537 0.00