List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Archbishop Spald 18 2 11 87 11 109 30.00
2 McDonogh 12 6 31 121 23 175 11.00
3 Boys Latin 13 5 24 76 20 120 10.00
4 Calvert Hall 16 2 10 130 18 158 10.00
5 Loyola-Blakefiel 11 7 56 127 84 267 8.00
6 St Pauls 8 8 53 105 91 249 8.00
7 Bullis 16 5 20 79 29 128 6.00
8 DeMatha 15 4 57 135 54 246 6.00
9 Landon 18 1 6 24 4 34 5.00
10 St Marys Annapol 6 10 103 64 152 319 2.00
11 Georgetown Prep 8 9 83 198 92 373 0.00
12 Good Counsel 13 6 93 152 77 322 0.00
13 Severn School 5 11 107 29 188 324 0.00
14 Stephen Decatur 14 2 15 23 7 45 0.00
15 Annapolis Area C 11 3 71 116 51 238 0.00
16 Archbishop Curle 11 5 41 66 90 197 0.00
17 Beth TFiloh 2 9 189 182 187 558 0.00
18 Bishop McNamara 1 16 173 65 217 455 0.00
19 Chapelgate Chris 5 7 164 176 145 485 0.00
20 Concordia Prep 8 4 37 85 63 185 0.00
21 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 10 196 180 206 582 0.00
22 FCA LC 6 1 123 209 42 374 0.00
23 Friends 4 8 151 113 169 433 0.00
24 Georgetown Day 2 10 130 123 111 364 0.00
25 Gerstell Academy 9 4 29 78 64 171 0.00
26 Gilman 4 13 113 57 175 345 0.00
27 Glenelg Country 11 2 48 86 25 159 0.00
28 Gonzaga 10 10 101 43 176 320 0.00
29 Gunston School 6 8 129 207 125 461 0.00
30 Heights 11 7 133 177 132 442 0.00
31 Indian Creek Sch 3 8 109 70 171 350 0.00
32 Jemicy School 4 5 152 194 112 458 0.00
33 John Carroll 1 14 163 103 212 478 0.00
34 Key School 13 4 72 90 61 223 0.00
35 Maret 4 9 125 166 108 399 0.00
36 Mercersburg Acad 3 6 30 213 26 269 0.00
37 Mount Carmel 1 11 192 141 213 546 0.00
38 Mount St Joseph 10 8 66 145 118 329 0.00
39 Park School 4 7 118 108 151 377 0.00
40 Sandy Spring Fri 3 2 115 188 62 365 0.00
41 Sidwell Friends 6 9 39 165 32 236 0.00
42 St Albans 8 9 112 164 133 409 0.00
43 St Andrews Episc 2 8 124 151 113 388 0.00
44 St James 13 3 12 118 24 154 0.00
45 St Johns Catholi 5 7 116 122 146 384 0.00
46 St Johns College 11 6 76 120 85 281 0.00
47 St Marys Ryken 11 8 94 93 119 306 0.00
48 St Vincent Pallo 3 12 131 107 196 434 0.00
49 Sts Peter & Paul 13 7 38 51 86 175 0.00
50 Tome School 5 2 153 206 65 424 0.00
51 Worcester Prep 10 3 139 143 87 369 0.00
52 Aberdeen 7 8 140 98 155 393 0.00
53 Academy for Coll 6 3 87 173 70 330 0.00
54 Annapolis 9 4 46 58 52 156 0.00
55 Arundel 3 12 110 5 180 295 0.00
56 Atholton 3 12 186 138 214 538 0.00
57 Baltimore Polyte 11 2 54 111 27 192 0.00
58 Bel Air 8 7 44 41 97 182 0.00
59 Bethesda-Chevy C 9 6 43 25 98 166 0.00
60 Bladensburg 4 7 160 163 153 476 0.00
61 Blair 8 7 79 45 115 239 0.00
62 Blake 8 6 61 38 93 192 0.00
63 Boonsboro 9 5 82 81 78 241 0.00
64 Bowie 10 4 51 44 73 168 0.00
65 Broadneck 15 4 7 42 9 58 0.00
66 Brunswick 4 8 148 100 157 405 0.00
67 Calvert 10 4 80 99 74 253 0.00
68 Cambridge SD 5 8 121 80 138 339 0.00
69 Carver A&T 0 13 201 136 222 559 0.00
70 Catoctin 9 5 95 115 79 289 0.00
71 Catonsville 7 8 42 19 94 155 0.00
72 Centennial 7 7 97 83 130 310 0.00
73 Century 10 6 32 14 66 112 0.00
74 CH Flowers 6 6 132 149 126 407 0.00
75 Chesapeake AA 13 4 34 22 16 72 0.00
76 Chesapeake BC 1 7 191 190 158 539 0.00
77 Chopticon 10 4 60 62 71 193 0.00
78 City College 8 4 102 154 80 336 0.00
79 Clarksburg 7 7 91 46 127 264 0.00
80 CM Wright 11 5 19 9 48 76 0.00
81 Crofton 10 4 26 20 12 58 0.00
82 Damascus 11 3 22 34 21 77 0.00
83 Digital Harbor 4 5 149 186 114 449 0.00
84 Dr Henry Wise 0 9 204 195 192 591 0.00
85 Dulaney 9 6 28 28 75 131 0.00
86 Dunbar 2 8 169 174 177 520 0.00
87 Dundalk 9 6 45 35 88 168 0.00
88 DuVal 3 9 167 133 185 485 0.00
89 Eastern Tech 9 4 63 89 72 224 0.00
90 Easton 6 7 98 59 120 277 0.00
91 Edgewood 2 11 198 168 208 574 0.00
92 Edmondson-Westsi 1 6 184 181 141 506 0.00
93 Einstein 9 5 128 170 99 397 0.00
94 Eleanor Roosevel 13 3 78 112 46 236 0.00
95 Elkton 3 10 195 203 197 595 0.00
96 Fairmont Heights 2 5 166 184 121 471 0.00
97 Fallston 18 3 18 15 8 41 0.00
98 Forest Park 12 1 49 129 10 188 0.00
99 Francis Scott Ke 2 10 183 156 201 540 0.00
100 Franklin 6 7 89 68 122 279 0.00
101 Frederick 1 11 197 169 202 568 0.00
102 Frederick Dougla 1 6 180 172 142 494 0.00
103 Gaithersburg 5 8 147 101 166 414 0.00
104 Glen Burnie 5 7 156 160 147 463 0.00
105 Glenelg HS 12 5 9 4 47 60 0.00
106 Gov Thomas Johns 0 12 190 104 215 509 0.00
107 Great Mills 5 8 120 63 159 342 0.00
108 Guilford Park 2 11 210 208 210 628 0.00
109 Gwynn Park 11 3 85 161 53 299 0.00
110 Hammond 2 11 206 196 211 613 0.00
111 Harford Tech 4 9 158 125 181 464 0.00
112 Havre De Grace 9 6 77 71 105 253 0.00
113 Hereford 11 5 13 11 28 52 0.00
114 Howard 13 4 33 36 22 91 0.00
115 Huntingtown 15 3 17 3 5 25 0.00
116 JM Bennett 6 7 100 75 123 298 0.00
117 Joppatowne 1 13 202 124 220 546 0.00
118 Kennedy 0 13 211 189 221 621 0.00
119 Kent County 5 9 162 134 160 456 0.00
120 Kent Island 17 0 4 50 3 57 0.00
121 Kenwood 6 6 161 191 128 480 0.00
122 La Plata 6 6 64 39 116 219 0.00
123 Lackey 0 12 194 119 218 531 0.00
124 Lake Clifton 2 8 168 167 178 513 0.00
125 Lansdowne 0 9 208 204 193 605 0.00
126 Laurel 9 4 105 162 76 343 0.00
127 Leonardtown 14 2 21 37 13 71 0.00
128 Liberty 8 8 96 55 154 305 0.00
129 Linganore 13 3 25 17 14 56 0.00
130 Loch Raven 4 10 165 97 191 453 0.00
131 Long Reach 4 8 175 183 170 528 0.00
132 Magruder 3 10 193 178 198 569 0.00
133 Manchester Valle 9 5 58 74 81 213 0.00
134 Marriotts Ridge 11 6 23 6 37 66 0.00
135 Meade 1 10 207 205 204 616 0.00
136 Mergenthaler 2 5 144 146 124 414 0.00
137 Middletown 12 4 14 10 49 73 0.00
138 Milford Mill 5 5 146 200 109 455 0.00
139 MJ McDonough 2 10 170 109 199 478 0.00
140 Mount Hebron 6 8 70 26 117 213 0.00
141 New Town 9 2 90 187 43 320 0.00
142 North Caroline 5 8 104 72 134 310 0.00
143 North County 7 8 65 7 106 178 0.00
144 North Dorchester 0 13 199 131 219 549 0.00
145 North East Cecil 6 8 177 197 161 535 0.00
146 North Hagerstown 4 9 178 153 183 514 0.00
147 North Harford 9 5 35 30 82 147 0.00
148 North Point 5 8 111 60 162 333 0.00
149 Northeast AA 10 4 69 82 57 208 0.00
150 Northern Calvert 10 5 36 77 58 171 0.00
151 Northwest 9 5 59 53 83 195 0.00
152 Northwestern PG 4 6 159 192 135 486 0.00
153 Northwood 6 8 155 126 163 444 0.00
154 Oakdale 4 10 119 21 179 319 0.00
155 Oakland Mills 6 7 127 117 143 387 0.00
156 Old Mill 4 8 157 140 156 453 0.00
157 Overlea 5 7 154 148 148 450 0.00
158 Owings Mills 3 8 171 171 172 514 0.00
159 Oxon Hill 3 8 187 202 173 562 0.00
160 Paint Branch 3 10 179 147 200 526 0.00
161 Parkdale 5 7 143 128 149 420 0.00
162 Parkside 9 4 52 56 50 158 0.00
163 Parkville 10 3 99 157 55 311 0.00
164 Patapsco 6 7 114 84 139 337 0.00
165 Patterson HS 7 5 134 175 100 409 0.00
166 Patterson Mill 7 9 74 32 167 273 0.00
167 Patuxent 7 7 126 110 136 372 0.00
168 Perry Hall 7 8 68 40 144 252 0.00
169 Perryville 3 8 135 106 168 409 0.00
170 Pikesville 6 6 138 150 129 417 0.00
171 Poolesville 5 8 142 88 164 394 0.00
172 Queen Annes Coun 10 4 40 52 44 136 0.00
173 Quince Orchard 8 6 47 27 102 176 0.00
174 Randallstown 2 10 182 132 203 517 0.00
175 Reginald F Lewis 0 9 205 199 194 598 0.00
176 Reservoir 7 6 122 137 110 369 0.00
177 Richard Montgome 9 6 73 54 95 222 0.00
178 Rising Sun 9 5 88 193 67 348 0.00
179 River Hill 8 6 106 94 101 301 0.00
180 Rockville 10 5 81 69 68 218 0.00
181 Seneca Valley 8 5 117 144 103 364 0.00
182 Severn Run 4 11 172 96 195 463 0.00
183 Severna Park 19 1 1 8 1 10 0.00
184 Sherwood 15 2 8 12 6 26 0.00
185 Smithsburg 8 5 86 91 96 273 0.00
186 South Carroll 4 10 136 67 182 385 0.00
187 South Hagerstown 5 7 176 201 150 527 0.00
188 South River 11 5 3 13 15 31 0.00
189 Southern AA 3 11 108 18 184 310 0.00
190 Sparrows Point 9 5 67 61 89 217 0.00
191 Springbrook 3 11 181 102 207 490 0.00
192 Suitland 1 10 185 142 205 532 0.00
193 Thomas Stone 4 8 150 114 165 429 0.00
194 Towson 15 5 5 2 17 24 0.00
195 Urbana 17 2 2 1 2 5 0.00
196 Walkersville 10 4 50 49 59 158 0.00
197 Walt Whitman 14 3 16 16 19 51 0.00
198 Walter Johnson 6 7 55 33 131 219 0.00
199 Watkins Mill 2 12 200 155 216 571 0.00
200 Western STES 7 5 92 92 104 288 0.00
201 Westlake 1 9 188 179 189 556 0.00
202 Westminster 7 9 84 31 137 252 0.00
203 Wheaton 2 11 203 185 209 597 0.00
204 Wicomico 2 10 174 159 174 507 0.00
205 Wilde Lake 5 10 141 73 186 400 0.00
206 Winston Churchil 10 3 27 47 45 119 0.00
207 Winters Mill 7 7 137 158 140 435 0.00
208 Woodlawn 9 3 62 95 60 217 0.00
209 Wootton 4 10 145 48 190 383 0.00
210 Archbishop Carro 0 1 212 211 56 479 0.00
211 DC International 1 5 209 210 107 526 0.00
212 Jackson Reed 8 6 75 139 69 283 0.00
213 Garrett County L 1 6 213 212 30 0 0.00
214 Salisbury School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 Bohemia Manor 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 Frederick Dougla 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 Friendly 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 High Point 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 National Academy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
220 St Charles 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
221 Surrattsville 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
222 Tuscarora 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00