List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Boys Latin 10 2 5 8 12 25 23.00
2 McDonogh 9 3 10 32 34 76 15.00
3 Gilman 9 4 16 43 55 114 10.00
4 Landon 13 2 22 115 13 150 9.00
5 Calvert Hall 8 4 3 209 18 230 8.00
6 Severna Park 10 1 7 68 5 80 6.00
7 Archbishop Spald 9 4 34 16 71 121 5.00
8 Bullis 11 3 32 36 75 143 4.00
9 Georgetown Prep 8 4 50 46 81 177 3.00
10 Urbana 12 0 11 30 6 47 3.00
11 Gonzaga 10 5 26 29 76 131 2.00
12 Glenelg HS 7 3 15 18 20 53 2.00
13 South River 11 1 1 2 1 4 2.00
14 Towson 10 0 2 21 2 25 2.00
15 Severn School 6 8 60 55 140 255 0.00
16 St Johns College 7 4 24 3 57 84 0.00
17 St Pauls 7 4 28 20 82 130 0.00
18 Broadneck 9 2 6 14 3 23 0.00
19 Hereford 8 2 4 9 11 24 0.00
20 Walt Whitman 8 1 14 47 28 89 0.00
21 Annapolis Area C 4 5 133 136 148 417 0.00
22 Archbishop Curle 6 6 84 94 120 298 0.00
23 Beth TFiloh 3 7 177 174 197 548 0.00
24 Bishop McNamara 4 7 56 31 130 217 0.00
25 Chapelgate Chris 1 6 211 204 188 603 0.00
26 Concordia Prep 9 2 103 175 54 332 0.00
27 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 5 178 77 166 421 0.00
28 DeMatha 6 6 89 71 121 281 0.00
29 FCA LC 2 2 195 195 88 478 0.00
30 Friends 4 3 96 101 101 298 0.00
31 Georgetown Day 1 2 179 206 62 447 0.00
32 Gerstell Academy 3 6 144 110 178 432 0.00
33 Glenelg Country 4 2 83 126 72 281 0.00
34 Good Counsel 12 3 76 142 66 284 0.00
35 Gunston School 1 8 212 203 142 557 0.00
36 Heights 5 9 142 112 186 440 0.00
37 Indian Creek Sch 4 7 129 81 193 403 0.00
38 John Carroll 3 9 73 4 167 244 0.00
39 Key School 3 6 198 200 179 577 0.00
40 Loyola-Blakefiel 5 7 93 52 126 271 0.00
41 Maret 3 10 132 164 107 403 0.00
42 Mercersburg Acad 0 7 189 211 95 495 0.00
43 Mount Carmel 0 5 207 182 168 557 0.00
44 Mount St Joseph 7 6 91 87 131 309 0.00
45 Park School 4 6 124 95 173 392 0.00
46 Sandy Spring Fri 1 5 213 208 139 560 0.00
47 Sidwell Friends 8 4 143 133 102 378 0.00
48 St Albans 6 9 139 121 155 415 0.00
49 St Andrews Episc 2 5 156 100 132 388 0.00
50 St James 9 4 80 138 89 307 0.00
51 St Johns Catholi 9 0 17 98 8 123 0.00
52 St Marys Annapol 4 11 69 1 194 264 0.00
53 St Marys Ryken 5 8 111 118 133 362 0.00
54 St Vincent Pallo 3 5 121 80 151 352 0.00
55 Sts Peter & Paul 9 3 55 122 58 235 0.00
56 Tome School 3 5 191 179 156 526 0.00
57 Worcester Prep 1 5 187 196 141 524 0.00
58 Aberdeen 2 7 137 56 180 373 0.00
59 Academy for Coll 7 1 65 165 29 259 0.00
60 Annapolis 8 1 29 96 19 144 0.00
61 Arundel 1 8 146 42 181 369 0.00
62 Atholton 4 5 141 145 134 420 0.00
63 Baltimore Polyte 7 1 51 191 30 272 0.00
64 Bel Air 7 5 59 67 67 193 0.00
65 Bethesda-Chevy C 6 4 36 28 103 167 0.00
66 Bladensburg 2 3 162 151 111 424 0.00
67 Blair 2 6 105 76 169 350 0.00
68 Blake 7 4 77 64 96 237 0.00
69 Bohemia Manor 4 6 151 147 174 472 0.00
70 Boonsboro 3 7 170 160 198 528 0.00
71 Bowie 4 2 57 61 73 191 0.00
72 Brunswick 4 6 114 73 175 362 0.00
73 Calvert 6 3 53 57 90 200 0.00
74 Cambridge SD 1 5 171 123 163 457 0.00
75 Carver A&T 0 8 192 113 215 520 0.00
76 Catoctin 6 4 123 162 114 399 0.00
77 Catonsville 6 4 30 24 63 117 0.00
78 Centennial 7 3 67 109 56 232 0.00
79 Century 5 7 85 33 170 288 0.00
80 CH Flowers 5 1 75 119 45 239 0.00
81 Chesapeake AA 9 2 27 41 14 82 0.00
82 Chesapeake BC 4 4 107 102 122 331 0.00
83 Chopticon 7 1 35 91 31 157 0.00
84 City College 7 3 81 141 83 305 0.00
85 Clarksburg 2 8 157 89 214 460 0.00
86 CM Wright 8 3 13 10 15 38 0.00
87 Crofton 7 3 21 23 22 66 0.00
88 Damascus 7 3 45 58 68 171 0.00
89 Digital Harbor 1 3 117 183 115 415 0.00
90 Dr Henry Wise 3 5 125 59 152 336 0.00
91 Dulaney 7 5 52 26 104 182 0.00
92 Dunbar 0 2 210 85 97 392 0.00
93 Dundalk 2 7 158 104 189 451 0.00
94 DuVal 2 5 164 140 157 461 0.00
95 Eastern Tech 5 4 99 108 123 330 0.00
96 Easton 8 2 63 128 23 214 0.00
97 Edgewood 1 9 208 194 221 623 0.00
98 Edmondson-Westsi 0 6 166 124 191 481 0.00
99 Einstein 8 1 70 169 24 263 0.00
100 Eleanor Roosevel 6 1 62 144 35 241 0.00
101 Elkton 2 8 174 106 200 480 0.00
102 Fairmont Heights 0 5 193 117 171 481 0.00
103 Fallston 8 4 8 19 10 37 0.00
104 Forest Park 5 3 104 146 98 348 0.00
105 Francis Scott Ke 4 8 173 159 212 544 0.00
106 Franklin 4 4 31 13 108 152 0.00
107 Frederick 2 9 176 129 218 523 0.00
108 Frederick Dougla 0 1 71 205 69 345 0.00
109 Frederick Dougla 1 2 127 72 91 290 0.00
110 Gaithersburg 3 6 163 153 182 498 0.00
111 Glen Burnie 7 3 97 155 77 329 0.00
112 Gov Thomas Johns 1 10 172 111 220 503 0.00
113 Great Mills 2 10 147 49 219 415 0.00
114 Gwynn Park 4 3 86 93 105 284 0.00
115 Hammond 1 7 202 186 199 587 0.00
116 Harford Tech 5 5 119 130 127 376 0.00
117 Havre De Grace 5 3 48 48 64 160 0.00
118 Howard 9 2 41 88 32 161 0.00
119 Huntingtown 11 1 19 22 4 45 0.00
120 JM Bennett 3 5 138 143 158 439 0.00
121 Joppatowne 1 7 206 181 207 594 0.00
122 Kennedy 2 5 182 170 159 511 0.00
123 Kent County 4 5 148 157 149 454 0.00
124 Kent Island 6 5 46 40 84 170 0.00
125 Kenwood 3 6 168 163 176 507 0.00
126 La Plata 4 4 90 65 116 271 0.00
127 Lackey 2 7 136 53 195 384 0.00
128 Lake Clifton/Rea 2 5 180 193 160 533 0.00
129 Lansdowne 8 1 47 152 25 224 0.00
130 Laurel 4 4 82 90 125 297 0.00
131 Leonardtown 6 3 33 39 78 150 0.00
132 Liberty 5 5 130 127 143 400 0.00
133 Linganore 8 1 23 70 16 109 0.00
134 Loch Raven 4 5 88 37 112 237 0.00
135 Long Reach 2 6 194 187 187 568 0.00
136 Magruder 9 0 66 185 9 260 0.00
137 Manchester Valle 5 4 72 60 106 238 0.00
138 Marriotts Ridge 3 5 43 7 92 142 0.00
139 Meade 0 7 201 154 208 563 0.00
140 Mergenthaler 0 4 152 62 144 358 0.00
141 Middletown 6 4 49 44 109 202 0.00
142 MJ McDonough 2 5 160 134 161 455 0.00
143 Mount Hebron 5 6 44 5 79 128 0.00
144 National Academy 0 2 116 137 99 352 0.00
145 New Town 2 4 175 178 135 488 0.00
146 North Caroline 3 4 135 156 128 419 0.00
147 North County 3 7 108 45 145 298 0.00
148 North East Cecil 3 8 196 180 213 589 0.00
149 North Hagerstown 3 6 186 188 183 557 0.00
150 North Harford 3 9 101 15 209 325 0.00
151 North Point 4 6 140 131 164 435 0.00
152 Northeast AA 6 3 100 148 85 333 0.00
153 Northern Calvert 7 2 12 25 21 58 0.00
154 Northwest 6 4 94 116 117 327 0.00
155 Northwestern PG 0 7 199 135 210 544 0.00
156 Northwood 5 5 153 173 146 472 0.00
157 Oakdale 6 3 61 69 80 210 0.00
158 Oakland Mills 1 9 185 132 222 539 0.00
159 Old Mill 1 7 167 82 201 450 0.00
160 Overlea 2 7 190 172 202 564 0.00
161 Owings Mills 1 7 159 63 203 425 0.00
162 Oxon Hill 8 1 58 150 26 234 0.00
163 Paint Branch 3 6 184 184 184 552 0.00
164 Parkdale 3 3 134 107 110 351 0.00
165 Parkside 4 5 120 103 150 373 0.00
166 Parkville 3 7 181 176 196 553 0.00
167 Patapsco 7 3 112 171 86 369 0.00
168 Patterson HS 5 2 161 202 70 433 0.00
169 Patterson Mill 8 2 25 54 36 115 0.00
170 Patuxent 5 3 95 125 87 307 0.00
171 Perry Hall 3 6 128 74 162 364 0.00
172 Perryville 9 1 79 189 27 295 0.00
173 Pikesville 7 2 39 86 33 158 0.00
174 Poolesville 5 4 92 92 124 308 0.00
175 Queen Annes Coun 8 4 68 114 59 241 0.00
176 Quince Orchard 4 5 40 12 136 188 0.00
177 Randallstown 6 2 122 190 65 377 0.00
178 Reservoir 4 8 154 79 204 437 0.00
179 Richard Montgome 6 1 87 177 37 301 0.00
180 Rising Sun 6 4 131 168 118 417 0.00
181 River Hill 5 6 98 50 147 295 0.00
182 Rockville 3 5 113 120 153 386 0.00
183 Seneca Valley 4 6 145 139 177 461 0.00
184 Sherwood 8 1 9 35 17 61 0.00
185 Smithsburg 10 0 42 161 7 210 0.00
186 South Carroll 3 6 110 51 165 326 0.00
187 South Hagerstown 2 7 205 198 205 608 0.00
188 Southern AA 2 7 78 11 129 218 0.00
189 Sparrows Point 5 4 38 27 100 165 0.00
190 Springbrook 1 8 150 84 216 450 0.00
191 St Charles 1 0 169 207 38 414 0.00
192 Stephen Decatur 7 2 54 99 60 213 0.00
193 Suitland 2 3 183 192 113 488 0.00
194 Surrattsville 2 4 197 197 137 531 0.00
195 Thomas Stone 0 7 203 166 206 575 0.00
196 Tuscarora 4 7 102 34 190 326 0.00
197 Walkersville 5 6 106 66 172 344 0.00
198 Walter Johnson 7 2 20 38 61 119 0.00
199 Watkins Mill 0 8 204 167 217 588 0.00
200 Western STES 4 5 109 83 138 330 0.00
201 Westlake 1 6 209 201 185 595 0.00
202 Westminster 4 6 37 6 93 136 0.00
203 Wheaton 0 9 200 149 223 572 0.00
204 Wicomico 0 7 188 97 211 496 0.00
205 Wilde Lake 5 6 118 75 154 347 0.00
206 Winston Churchil 6 3 18 17 74 109 0.00
207 Winters Mill 6 3 74 105 94 273 0.00
208 Woodlawn 6 1 126 199 39 364 0.00
209 Wootton 2 7 149 78 192 419 0.00
210 DC International 3 8 155 158 119 432 0.00
211 Jackson Reed 1 1 165 220 40 425 0.00
212 Jemicy School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
213 Salisbury School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
214 St Maria Goretti 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 West Nottingham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 Friendly 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 High Point 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 Milford Mill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 Archbishop Carro 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
220 Capital City PCS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
221 KIPP College Pre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
222 Lab School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
223 School Without W 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00