List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Loyola Los Ange 21 3 1 136 2 139 27.00
2 Torrey Pines 15 5 4 11 4 19 21.00
3 La Costa Canyon 12 7 5 35 10 50 9.00
4 Mater Dei Santa 15 4 3 22 5 30 8.00
5 Marin Catholic 21 5 8 85 3 96 6.00
6 Cathedral Cathol 16 5 25 139 16 180 6.00
7 St Ignatius Prep 20 4 2 26 1 29 5.00
8 De LaSalle 18 5 6 2 7 15 3.00
9 Foothill Santa 15 8 19 61 43 123 3.00
10 Sacred Heart Pre 17 6 9 1 9 19 2.00
11 Santa Margarita 15 4 10 36 19 65 2.00
12 Bishops School 9 9 45 93 96 234 2.00
13 Redwood 13 10 38 8 82 128 0.00
14 JSerra Catholic 13 7 31 53 73 157 0.00
15 St Francis-La Ca 16 4 21 17 13 51 0.00
16 Coronado 13 6 46 161 65 272 0.00
17 Santa Fe Christi 10 10 29 87 45 161 0.00
18 Whitney 20 2 22 14 11 47 0.00
19 Acalanes 14 4 97 183 46 326 0.00
20 Alhambra 6 8 226 257 159 642 0.00
21 Amador Valley 14 8 117 90 119 326 0.00
22 Archie Williams 3 11 248 232 217 697 0.00
23 Bay School 0 5 276 276 127 679 0.00
24 Berkeley 18 4 41 32 21 94 0.00
25 Bishop ODowd 9 8 154 140 147 441 0.00
26 Branson 2 14 236 144 261 641 0.00
27 California 5 10 110 40 148 298 0.00
28 Campolindo 12 5 66 94 79 239 0.00
29 Cardinal Newman 18 3 48 101 15 164 0.00
30 Casa Grande 8 9 165 176 168 509 0.00
31 Clayton Valley C 5 13 192 134 250 576 0.00
32 College Park 9 10 190 189 189 568 0.00
33 Dougherty Valley 5 12 234 200 231 665 0.00
34 Dublin 3 13 241 188 256 685 0.00
35 Foothill Pleasa 12 9 124 58 133 315 0.00
36 Granada 15 3 63 96 22 181 0.00
37 Justin Siena 10 10 94 37 154 285 0.00
38 Las Lomas 3 13 216 164 257 637 0.00
39 Lick Wilmerding 12 6 103 113 94 310 0.00
40 Livermore 3 14 217 118 260 595 0.00
41 Lowell 5 11 264 269 219 752 0.00
42 Marin Academy 14 8 26 12 81 119 0.00
43 Miramonte 9 8 123 143 149 415 0.00
44 Monte Vista Danv 19 3 7 9 6 22 0.00
45 Moreau Catholic 0 13 272 268 262 802 0.00
46 Napa 1 12 267 267 246 780 0.00
47 Northgate 7 9 132 91 176 399 0.00
48 Novato 12 8 76 29 98 203 0.00
49 Petaluma 5 10 166 117 199 482 0.00
50 Piedmont 4 11 189 130 222 541 0.00
51 Rancho Cotate 14 3 83 167 38 288 0.00
52 San Marin 10 10 126 112 169 407 0.00
53 San Rafael 4 8 215 240 155 610 0.00
54 San Ramon Valley 9 10 88 31 139 258 0.00
55 Sonoma Academy 9 6 141 204 107 452 0.00
56 Sonoma Valley 4 10 214 220 203 637 0.00
57 Stuart Hall 7 10 158 103 192 453 0.00
58 Tamalpais 16 7 30 13 47 90 0.00
59 Terra Linda 10 10 115 86 170 371 0.00
60 University SF 14 10 74 60 160 294 0.00
61 Urban School 4 10 203 199 204 606 0.00
62 Vintage 3 10 247 264 208 719 0.00
63 Washington Frem 3 18 256 201 283 740 0.00
64 Windsor 4 12 244 225 234 703 0.00
65 Birmingham Chart 2 15 268 266 275 809 0.00
66 El Camino Real C 4 12 259 256 235 750 0.00
67 Palisades Charte 9 7 152 132 123 407 0.00
68 University Los A 0 4 275 275 103 653 0.00
69 Aptos 13 3 125 229 42 396 0.00
70 Aragon 0 11 254 247 232 733 0.00
71 Archbishop Mitty 8 10 77 54 156 287 0.00
72 Archbishop Riord 7 7 184 246 136 566 0.00
73 Bellarmine Prep 10 9 42 20 104 166 0.00
74 Burlingame 12 5 56 110 66 232 0.00
75 Carlmont 5 9 142 147 177 466 0.00
76 Carmel 5 13 156 88 251 495 0.00
77 Christopher 9 6 139 202 108 449 0.00
78 Gunn 9 6 138 210 109 457 0.00
79 Harbor 0 11 257 253 233 743 0.00
80 Hillsdale 6 11 137 108 209 454 0.00
81 Hollister-San Be 1 15 265 242 276 783 0.00
82 Latino College P 9 7 242 272 130 644 0.00
83 Leland 2 8 224 255 178 657 0.00
84 Live Oak 14 5 102 209 67 378 0.00
85 Los Altos 10 5 146 212 85 443 0.00
86 Los Gatos 13 9 43 65 131 239 0.00
87 Menlo School 7 12 96 18 171 285 0.00
88 Menlo-Atherton 14 4 17 51 34 102 0.00
89 Monte Vista Chri 6 13 207 148 247 602 0.00
90 Monterey 7 6 153 218 120 491 0.00
91 Mountain View 12 7 92 120 110 322 0.00
92 Pacific Grove 11 3 140 252 52 444 0.00
93 Palma 5 7 129 175 144 448 0.00
94 Palo Alto 12 8 44 82 124 250 0.00
95 Pioneer 8 6 164 245 115 524 0.00
96 Priory 11 3 87 178 53 318 0.00
97 Sacred Heart Cat 3 14 169 107 242 518 0.00
98 Salinas 8 5 109 177 90 376 0.00
99 Santa Cruz 2 8 246 270 179 695 0.00
100 Saratoga 4 8 220 243 166 629 0.00
101 Scotts Valley 0 1 273 273 55 601 0.00
102 Sequoia 9 8 172 190 150 512 0.00
103 Serra San Mateo 15 7 15 4 25 44 0.00
104 Sobrato 1 7 243 263 161 667 0.00
105 Soquel 6 11 200 141 218 559 0.00
106 St Francis-Mtn V 14 9 24 10 62 96 0.00
107 Stevenson School 16 3 27 76 17 120 0.00
108 Valley Christian 1 4 183 207 99 489 0.00
109 Woodside 3 12 222 187 239 648 0.00
110 Agoura 8 11 86 46 193 325 0.00
111 Aliso Niguel 17 4 18 33 23 74 0.00
112 Beckman 8 13 179 195 236 610 0.00
113 Beverly Hills 0 7 249 244 163 656 0.00
114 Brentwood School 7 10 163 173 194 530 0.00
115 Calabasas 5 15 229 171 268 668 0.00
116 Canyon 9 9 81 74 164 319 0.00
117 Capistrano Valle 3 14 250 254 266 770 0.00
118 Castaic 4 12 206 145 228 579 0.00
119 Cate School 5 6 133 196 111 440 0.00
120 Centennial 15 7 64 84 105 253 0.00
121 Chaminade Prep 4 13 199 111 240 550 0.00
122 Chaparral 11 10 120 52 180 352 0.00
123 Compton 7 10 194 128 195 517 0.00
124 Corona 18 5 108 138 60 306 0.00
125 Corona Del Mar 15 7 11 3 18 32 0.00
126 Crean Lutheran 17 4 37 83 35 155 0.00
127 Crescenta Valley 5 10 198 193 200 591 0.00
128 Crespi 9 9 59 19 137 215 0.00
129 Culver City 6 7 212 260 140 612 0.00
130 Damien 8 9 202 226 172 600 0.00
131 Dana Hills 11 10 195 224 183 602 0.00
132 Dos Pueblos 21 1 14 119 8 141 0.00
133 Downey 4 10 221 216 205 642 0.00
134 Edison 11 9 62 28 134 224 0.00
135 El Dorado 12 6 116 104 86 306 0.00
136 El Modena 4 11 240 227 220 687 0.00
137 El Segundo 12 5 106 163 63 332 0.00
138 Eleanor Roosevel 11 8 171 198 141 510 0.00
139 Esperanza 7 13 218 203 241 662 0.00
140 Glendale 1 12 261 248 248 757 0.00
141 Grace Brethren 14 6 113 123 87 323 0.00
142 Great Oak 6 9 161 153 184 498 0.00
143 Hart 8 9 185 211 173 569 0.00
144 Harvard-Westlake 3 13 159 67 243 469 0.00
145 Heritage HS 3 11 245 236 225 706 0.00
146 Huntington Beach 12 11 40 59 100 199 0.00
147 Irvine 1 18 262 213 286 761 0.00
148 King 14 9 80 124 145 349 0.00
149 La Canada 4 10 238 238 206 682 0.00
150 Laguna Hills 2 18 270 261 284 815 0.00
151 Lakewood 5 9 186 180 186 552 0.00
152 Liberty 6 10 230 239 197 666 0.00
153 Linfield Christi 18 4 107 151 44 302 0.00
154 Long Beach Poly 14 5 79 115 74 268 0.00
155 Los Alamitos 15 4 13 48 39 100 0.00
156 Lynwood 1 17 251 166 281 698 0.00
157 Millikan 11 8 111 55 135 301 0.00
158 Mira Costa 14 5 36 129 58 223 0.00
159 Mission Viejo 8 10 196 158 167 521 0.00
160 Murrieta Mesa 4 14 210 92 263 565 0.00
161 Murrieta Valley 2 13 219 160 258 637 0.00
162 Newbury Park 9 11 150 121 198 469 0.00
163 Newport Harbor 6 12 143 98 221 462 0.00
164 Norco 5 13 228 172 252 652 0.00
165 Northwood 6 12 223 215 229 667 0.00
166 Notre Dame Sher 6 11 155 69 201 425 0.00
167 Oak Park 17 5 52 50 56 158 0.00
168 Oaks Christian 12 7 39 15 91 145 0.00
169 Orange Lutheran 9 7 95 73 101 269 0.00
170 Paloma Valley 0 14 269 259 271 799 0.00
171 Palos Verdes 10 8 53 47 121 221 0.00
172 Peninsula 2 14 209 114 269 592 0.00
173 Portola 8 11 235 233 210 678 0.00
174 Redondo Union 4 11 157 79 223 459 0.00
175 Riverside Poly 8 8 168 182 153 503 0.00
176 San Clemente 15 6 12 7 54 73 0.00
177 San Juan Hills 9 10 135 89 181 405 0.00
178 San Marcos SB 3 13 213 169 244 626 0.00
179 Santa Barbara 7 9 121 109 157 387 0.00
180 Santa Monica 12 7 65 77 95 237 0.00
181 Santiago 10 13 105 38 226 369 0.00
182 Saugus 12 8 54 42 125 221 0.00
183 Segerstrom 1 17 271 262 282 815 0.00
184 Servite 12 7 23 24 64 111 0.00
185 Sierra Canyon 7 9 68 30 122 220 0.00
186 Simi Royal 4 13 233 162 255 650 0.00
187 Simi Valley 11 7 130 231 102 463 0.00
188 St John Bosco 13 6 49 49 61 159 0.00
189 St Margarets Epi 13 7 104 43 68 215 0.00
190 Temecula Valley 13 5 93 142 76 311 0.00
191 Tesoro 9 10 98 66 165 329 0.00
192 Thacher School 5 6 170 249 112 531 0.00
193 Trabuco Hills 13 10 75 21 142 238 0.00
194 University Irvin 14 8 147 135 132 414 0.00
195 Valencia Santa C 15 4 69 155 57 281 0.00
196 Viewpoint School 10 4 101 191 71 363 0.00
197 Village Christia 20 2 34 170 12 216 0.00
198 Vista Murrieta 17 5 35 44 48 127 0.00
199 West Ranch 9 9 71 39 143 253 0.00
200 Westlake 16 7 20 6 20 46 0.00
201 Woodbridge 8 11 208 214 211 633 0.00
202 Woodrow Wilson 13 2 78 208 24 310 0.00
203 Yorba Linda 7 11 151 137 212 500 0.00
204 Army-Navy Academ 3 14 232 168 267 667 0.00
205 Bonita Vista 4 11 173 157 224 554 0.00
206 Canyon Crest 13 4 55 68 59 182 0.00
207 Canyon Hills 9 10 197 194 190 581 0.00
208 Carlsbad 12 9 50 152 80 282 0.00
209 Castle Park 0 9 274 274 202 750 0.00
210 Clairemont 12 6 100 126 97 323 0.00
211 Classical Academ 17 4 84 159 49 292 0.00
212 Del Lago Academy 10 8 174 185 146 505 0.00
213 Del Norte 13 3 57 127 40 224 0.00
214 Eastlake 9 8 167 192 151 510 0.00
215 El Capitan 10 9 72 45 162 279 0.00
216 Fallbrook 3 15 193 80 274 547 0.00
217 Foothills Christ 4 14 188 174 264 626 0.00
218 Francis Parker 2 16 204 71 280 555 0.00
219 Granite Hills 16 5 51 57 69 177 0.00
220 Grossmont 1 18 201 63 285 549 0.00
221 Helix Charter 15 4 28 23 50 101 0.00
222 Hilltop 7 13 253 265 245 763 0.00
223 La Jolla CDS 9 7 162 197 128 487 0.00
224 La Jolla HS 10 12 145 228 207 580 0.00
225 Lincoln San Dieg 1 12 260 258 249 767 0.00
226 Mar Vista 0 14 263 251 272 786 0.00
227 Mater Dei Chula 15 5 70 75 72 217 0.00
228 Mira Mesa 4 12 255 250 237 742 0.00
229 Mission Bay 7 11 175 165 215 555 0.00
230 Mission Hills 8 9 136 133 174 443 0.00
231 Monte Vista Spri 4 14 211 81 265 557 0.00
232 Morse 8 11 231 235 213 679 0.00
233 Mt Carmel 13 7 82 222 92 396 0.00
234 Olympian 9 10 160 149 191 500 0.00
235 Otay Ranch 2 10 266 271 216 753 0.00
236 Pacific Ridge 9 7 119 78 129 326 0.00
237 Patrick Henry 5 16 182 64 278 524 0.00
238 Point Loma 13 6 67 56 88 211 0.00
239 Poway 6 14 131 125 227 483 0.00
240 Preuss School 13 5 148 217 77 442 0.00
241 Rancho Bernardo 4 13 176 72 253 501 0.00
242 Rancho Buena Vis 11 5 134 179 83 396 0.00
243 Sage Creek 0 15 237 205 273 715 0.00
244 San Diego 10 10 144 100 187 431 0.00
245 San Dieguito 18 3 16 41 14 71 0.00
246 San Marcos SD 11 9 89 102 93 284 0.00
247 San Ysidro 7 10 227 241 196 664 0.00
248 Santana 13 9 73 223 113 409 0.00
249 Scripps Ranch 2 17 187 131 270 588 0.00
250 St Augustine 12 7 47 181 84 312 0.00
251 University City 12 7 99 97 116 312 0.00
252 Valhalla 13 5 90 116 78 284 0.00
253 Valley Center 7 12 178 234 214 626 0.00
254 West Hills 12 10 85 34 175 294 0.00
255 Westview 12 7 58 219 89 366 0.00
256 Bear River 6 6 181 237 126 544 0.00
257 Bella Vista 14 5 60 95 75 230 0.00
258 Christian Brothe 7 7 91 70 138 299 0.00
259 Davis 6 12 180 62 230 472 0.00
260 Del Oro 5 9 177 146 188 511 0.00
261 Folsom 4 12 205 99 238 542 0.00
262 Granite Bay 13 7 61 16 117 194 0.00
263 Grant Union 0 12 258 230 254 742 0.00
264 Jesuit Sacramen 9 10 114 25 185 324 0.00
265 Lincoln Stockto 12 3 118 206 51 375 0.00
266 Lincoln Sacramen 2 13 252 221 259 732 0.00
267 Nevada Union 10 6 112 105 106 323 0.00
268 Oak Ridge 18 5 33 5 41 79 0.00
269 Oakmont 7 8 191 184 158 533 0.00
270 Rio Americano 1 15 225 154 277 656 0.00
271 Rocklin 0 15 239 106 279 624 0.00
272 Roseville 9 6 149 186 114 449 0.00
273 St Marys Stockto 9 8 127 122 152 401 0.00
274 Vista del Lago 16 5 32 27 70 129 0.00
275 West Park 8 6 122 150 118 390 0.00
276 Woodcreek 7 9 128 156 182 466 0.00
277 Bentley School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
278 Berean Christian 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
279 Drew 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
280 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
281 Head-Royce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
282 Newark Memorial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
283 St Vincent de Pa 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
284 North Valley Mil 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
285 Hemet 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
286 Heritage Christi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00