List of Probabilities for Women D3
Women D3 Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts 21 2 2 1 2 5 25.00
2 Middlebury 21 1 1 2 1 4 22.50
3 Colby 17 4 4 5 5 14 9.00
4 Franklin & Marsh 18 3 3 8 4 15 5.50
5 Gettysburg 19 4 5 3 3 11 5.50
6 York 18 4 12 10 6 28 5.50
7 Wesleyan 15 6 7 4 11 22 5.00
8 Haverford 15 6 18 25 23 66 3.00
9 St John Fisher 19 1 20 57 7 84 3.00
10 Stevens 17 5 13 22 13 48 3.00
11 Amherst 11 6 19 17 21 57 2.00
12 Trinity 9 9 21 13 61 95 2.00
13 William Smith 14 5 15 19 39 73 2.00
14 Hamilton 6 8 60 58 92 210 0.00
15 Pomona Pitzer 18 3 16 27 14 57 0.00
16 Salisbury 16 5 6 9 9 24 0.00
17 Bates 7 9 46 20 82 148 0.00
18 Christopher Newp 8 11 43 16 126 185 0.00
19 Ithaca 14 7 28 15 70 113 0.00
20 Messiah 14 6 27 18 29 74 0.00
21 RIT 11 5 36 61 65 162 0.00
22 Rowan 16 4 14 24 12 50 0.00
23 Scranton 15 6 31 23 42 96 0.00
24 Union 13 4 40 67 45 152 0.00
25 Adrian 11 6 148 247 102 497 0.00
26 Albertus Magnus 0 14 275 245 282 802 0.00
27 Albion 5 11 177 236 223 636 0.00
28 Albright 5 12 196 155 242 593 0.00
29 Alfred 6 10 214 203 206 623 0.00
30 Alfred State 4 9 252 248 198 698 0.00
31 Allegheny 5 13 205 257 249 711 0.00
32 Alma 4 9 231 259 176 666 0.00
33 Alvernia 4 13 200 133 261 594 0.00
34 Anderson (IN) 8 8 238 279 121 638 0.00
35 Anna Maria 2 14 262 190 278 730 0.00
36 Arcadia 9 8 154 187 139 480 0.00
37 Augsburg 0 11 255 219 250 724 0.00
38 Augustana (IL) 5 10 178 162 214 554 0.00
39 Aurora 11 7 105 92 122 319 0.00
40 Averett 5 6 152 204 111 467 0.00
41 Babson 15 4 34 62 25 121 0.00
42 Baldwin Wallace 10 9 76 52 165 293 0.00
43 Bard 1 13 235 184 272 691 0.00
44 Beloit 7 7 194 234 133 561 0.00
45 Berry 12 7 65 88 115 268 0.00
46 Bethany 3 14 261 258 269 788 0.00
47 Bowdoin 6 9 55 29 116 200 0.00
48 Brevard 7 8 204 229 154 587 0.00
49 Bridgewater 10 9 120 90 150 360 0.00
50 Bridgewater Stat 14 5 58 100 57 215 0.00
51 Brockport 9 9 114 66 155 335 0.00
52 Bryn Athyn 8 5 210 267 83 560 0.00
53 Buffalo State 12 7 109 98 117 324 0.00
54 Cal Lutheran 7 10 184 139 199 522 0.00
55 Calvin 12 6 82 213 95 390 0.00
56 Canton 7 9 195 189 186 570 0.00
57 Capital 10 6 83 89 89 261 0.00
58 Carroll 13 4 33 41 46 120 0.00
59 Carthage 13 4 49 87 47 183 0.00
60 Castleton 4 13 192 77 263 532 0.00
61 Catholic 10 9 71 38 96 205 0.00
62 Cedar Crest 5 8 267 274 167 708 0.00
63 Centenary (NJ) 5 8 259 265 168 692 0.00
64 Centre 7 8 133 117 156 406 0.00
65 Chapman 6 10 127 71 201 399 0.00
66 Chatham 11 6 110 113 97 320 0.00
67 Chicago 13 5 8 12 32 52 0.00
68 Claremont-Mudd-S 12 7 47 30 84 161 0.00
69 Clark 6 11 175 108 228 511 0.00
70 Clarkson 9 8 112 101 134 347 0.00
71 Coast Guard 10 6 79 83 103 265 0.00
72 Colby-Sawyer 11 7 131 119 123 373 0.00
73 Colorado College 18 4 22 32 19 73 0.00
74 Concordia-Wiscon 5 10 193 161 215 569 0.00
75 Connecticut Coll 7 8 59 76 85 220 0.00
76 Cornell College 7 9 188 250 157 595 0.00
77 Cortland 11 7 57 34 90 181 0.00
78 Curry 4 13 237 191 267 695 0.00
79 Dean 8 9 187 164 177 528 0.00
80 Delaware Valley 6 11 240 232 221 693 0.00
81 Denison 15 5 11 14 17 42 0.00
82 DePauw 7 9 91 45 171 307 0.00
83 DeSales 15 3 93 199 26 318 0.00
84 Dickinson 6 11 95 35 172 302 0.00
85 Drew 5 11 173 144 224 541 0.00
86 Eastern 2 12 254 218 255 727 0.00
87 Eastern Connecti 13 6 90 79 79 248 0.00
88 Eastern Mennonit 6 11 197 174 229 600 0.00
89 Edgewood 10 8 121 131 140 392 0.00
90 Elizabethtown 9 8 172 197 147 516 0.00
91 Elmhurst 5 8 221 242 169 632 0.00
92 Elmira 0 4 282 281 104 667 0.00
93 Elms 2 11 247 206 243 696 0.00
94 Emerson 5 11 220 182 234 636 0.00
95 Emmanuel (MA) 14 7 45 33 108 186 0.00
96 Endicott 15 5 24 26 20 70 0.00
97 Farmingdale Stat 9 9 122 230 112 464 0.00
98 FDU-Florham 4 10 182 165 210 557 0.00
99 Ferrum 7 9 181 214 141 536 0.00
100 Fitchburg State 2 15 222 156 284 662 0.00
101 Framingham State 10 9 107 48 158 313 0.00
102 Franciscan 6 9 191 223 192 606 0.00
103 Franklin 1 8 281 277 193 751 0.00
104 Fredonia 8 9 147 118 178 443 0.00
105 Geneseo 12 7 75 65 98 238 0.00
106 Geneva College 0 15 258 237 273 768 0.00
107 George Fox 14 5 42 46 52 140 0.00
108 Gordon 2 14 245 170 279 694 0.00
109 Goucher 6 11 201 193 230 624 0.00
110 Greensboro 5 12 223 263 216 702 0.00
111 Grove City 12 7 78 172 91 341 0.00
112 Guilford 5 12 211 163 240 614 0.00
113 Gwynedd Mercy 4 14 226 148 275 649 0.00
114 Hamline 6 9 180 157 190 527 0.00
115 Hanover 2 8 276 278 187 741 0.00
116 Hartford 13 6 85 91 86 262 0.00
117 Hartwick 7 8 163 158 151 472 0.00
118 Hendrix 7 8 157 251 142 550 0.00
119 Hilbert 1 11 264 239 246 749 0.00
120 Hood 7 10 160 123 200 483 0.00
121 Hope 13 6 37 72 69 178 0.00
122 Huntingdon 3 9 228 228 202 658 0.00
123 Husson 7 8 158 124 148 430 0.00
124 Illinois Tech 2 15 260 212 285 757 0.00
125 Illinois Wesleya 8 9 130 81 179 390 0.00
126 Immaculata 3 14 233 160 276 669 0.00
127 John Carroll 16 3 25 44 27 96 0.00
128 Johnson & Wales 13 5 94 128 62 284 0.00
129 Juniata 9 9 129 152 173 454 0.00
130 Kalamazoo 4 13 151 173 225 549 0.00
131 Kean 4 9 144 115 174 433 0.00
132 Keene State 11 7 66 51 118 235 0.00
133 Kenyon 7 9 56 31 128 215 0.00
134 Keuka 4 10 244 233 217 694 0.00
135 Kings 5 10 218 220 207 645 0.00
136 La Roche 14 1 150 282 18 450 0.00
137 Lake Forest 15 5 54 56 50 160 0.00
138 Lasell 12 6 186 241 93 520 0.00
139 Lawrence 1 12 274 255 262 791 0.00
140 Lebanon Valley 13 6 64 74 54 192 0.00
141 Lewis & Clark 12 6 141 260 99 500 0.00
142 Linfield 8 8 168 140 152 460 0.00
143 Lycoming 8 8 166 167 153 486 0.00
144 Lynchburg 13 6 101 207 74 382 0.00
145 Maine Maritime 11 2 126 254 30 410 0.00
146 Maine-Farmington 3 9 242 244 203 689 0.00
147 Manhattanville 5 10 246 243 218 707 0.00
148 Marian (WI) 5 12 230 205 251 686 0.00
149 Marietta 5 12 174 107 252 533 0.00
150 Maritime 10 7 170 216 127 513 0.00
151 Mary Washington 10 7 32 54 80 166 0.00
152 Marymount 17 3 61 138 28 227 0.00
153 Marywood 9 8 153 169 149 471 0.00
154 Massachusetts Ma 4 10 224 208 220 652 0.00
155 Massachusetts-Bo 6 11 202 151 226 579 0.00
156 Massachusetts-Da 9 8 128 105 143 376 0.00
157 McDaniel 6 11 124 85 194 403 0.00
158 Merchant Marine 13 3 102 159 41 302 0.00
159 Meredith 18 4 72 178 43 293 0.00
160 Methodist 12 7 117 114 119 350 0.00
161 Misericordia 6 11 143 95 219 457 0.00
162 MIT 13 8 48 21 100 169 0.00
163 Mitchell 1 11 273 261 247 781 0.00
164 Montclair State 9 7 97 99 87 283 0.00
165 Moravian 10 8 136 166 131 433 0.00
166 Morrisville 0 11 250 227 253 730 0.00
167 Mount Aloysius 7 7 198 238 135 571 0.00
168 Mount Holyoke 4 12 207 147 256 610 0.00
169 Mount St Joseph 3 10 272 271 180 723 0.00
170 Mount St Mary (N 8 10 213 195 204 612 0.00
171 Mount St Vincent 2 9 256 264 188 708 0.00
172 Mount Union 14 5 35 59 53 147 0.00
173 MSOE 6 12 189 150 248 587 0.00
174 Muhlenberg 14 5 38 146 24 208 0.00
175 Muskingum 6 10 203 168 211 582 0.00
176 Nazareth 11 8 96 64 132 292 0.00
177 Neumann 10 9 125 224 159 508 0.00
178 New England Coll 6 11 239 217 231 687 0.00
179 New Paltz 13 5 77 127 58 262 0.00
180 Nichols 13 5 118 176 63 357 0.00
181 North Carolina W 0 11 269 252 254 775 0.00
182 North Central (I 9 7 142 171 129 442 0.00
183 Norwich 15 3 80 126 34 240 0.00
184 Notre Dame (MD) 0 12 278 269 264 811 0.00
185 Oberlin 8 9 113 104 170 387 0.00
186 Occidental 9 9 140 78 160 378 0.00
187 Oglethorpe 7 10 123 102 189 414 0.00
188 Ohio Northern 10 8 132 122 144 398 0.00
189 Ohio Wesleyan 11 6 88 112 88 288 0.00
190 Old Westbury 1 9 271 270 212 753 0.00
191 Oneonta 7 10 165 153 208 526 0.00
192 Oswego 15 3 50 96 35 181 0.00
193 Otterbein 2 14 206 129 280 615 0.00
194 Pacific 4 12 227 211 258 696 0.00
195 Pacific Lutheran 1 14 270 268 283 821 0.00
196 Pfeiffer 2 11 263 246 244 753 0.00
197 Piedmont 13 6 100 179 64 343 0.00
198 Plattsburgh 3 12 209 142 259 610 0.00
199 Plymouth State 16 4 23 42 37 102 0.00
200 Potsdam 7 8 185 209 161 555 0.00
201 Puget Sound 3 13 236 276 260 772 0.00
202 Purchase 0 12 277 266 265 808 0.00
203 Ramapo 5 8 179 192 145 516 0.00
204 Randolph 2 13 248 198 266 712 0.00
205 Randolph-Macon 14 5 41 40 44 125 0.00
206 Redlands 12 6 74 106 71 251 0.00
207 Regis (MA) 9 9 199 185 175 559 0.00
208 Rhode Island Col 1 10 229 188 227 644 0.00
209 Rhodes 11 7 39 134 113 286 0.00
210 Rivier 8 6 164 194 114 472 0.00
211 Roanoke 12 7 51 97 105 253 0.00
212 Rochester 4 12 139 82 245 466 0.00
213 Roger Williams 10 7 69 39 75 183 0.00
214 RPI 9 7 84 68 106 258 0.00
215 Sage 3 11 225 177 238 640 0.00
216 Salem State 8 9 190 186 181 557 0.00
217 Salve Regina 5 11 156 109 235 500 0.00
218 Sewanee 17 1 29 86 10 125 0.00
219 Shenandoah 13 7 44 37 51 132 0.00
220 Simmons 7 8 145 135 162 442 0.00
221 Skidmore 6 10 116 60 205 381 0.00
222 Smith 10 8 108 84 137 329 0.00
223 Southern Maine 13 6 52 43 59 154 0.00
224 Southern Virgini 10 8 161 149 146 456 0.00
225 Southwestern 2 15 217 69 286 572 0.00
226 Spalding 4 12 243 215 257 715 0.00
227 Springfield 14 4 62 125 48 235 0.00
228 St Benedict 11 6 87 154 60 301 0.00
229 St Joseph (CT) 4 13 241 175 268 684 0.00
230 St Josephs (LI) 6 6 176 225 124 525 0.00
231 St Josephs Colle 12 6 73 73 72 218 0.00
232 St Lawrence 7 10 99 36 163 298 0.00
233 St Marys (IN) 5 10 162 200 195 557 0.00
234 St Marys (MD) 10 8 98 80 125 303 0.00
235 St Vincent 3 12 234 235 241 710 0.00
236 Stevenson 12 7 63 50 66 179 0.00
237 Stockton 11 6 81 116 55 252 0.00
238 Suffolk 6 10 208 180 213 601 0.00
239 SUNY Poly 1 13 257 201 270 728 0.00
240 Susquehanna 9 10 146 143 191 480 0.00
241 Swarthmore 10 7 103 121 76 300 0.00
242 Sweet Briar 0 13 268 226 274 768 0.00
243 TCNJ 14 5 9 11 15 35 0.00
244 Thiel 10 5 183 273 81 537 0.00
245 Thomas 1 10 265 262 232 759 0.00
246 Transylvania 7 10 167 145 196 508 0.00
247 Trine 11 5 106 196 49 351 0.00
248 Trinity Washingt 0 10 279 272 197 748 0.00
249 U New England 8 9 138 94 182 414 0.00
250 Ursinus 7 11 119 53 166 338 0.00
251 Utica 7 9 171 141 183 495 0.00
252 Vassar 10 6 92 110 94 296 0.00
253 Vermont State-Ly 0 2 280 275 56 611 0.00
254 Virginia Wesleya 9 9 149 120 164 433 0.00
255 Warren Wilson 5 8 212 280 67 559 0.00
256 Washington & Jef 10 5 111 132 77 320 0.00
257 Washington & Lee 18 5 10 6 8 24 0.00
258 Washington Colle 7 10 70 28 136 234 0.00
259 Wellesley 1 14 232 137 281 650 0.00
260 Wentworth Tech 5 11 251 221 236 708 0.00
261 Western Connecti 17 3 17 49 22 88 0.00
262 Western New Engl 5 11 169 111 237 517 0.00
263 Westfield State 6 11 134 103 222 459 0.00
264 Westminster (PA) 12 6 137 240 101 478 0.00
265 Wheaton (MA) 8 9 115 75 184 374 0.00
266 Whitman 14 5 104 253 73 430 0.00
267 Whittier 0 13 219 130 271 620 0.00
268 Whitworth 8 7 159 210 138 507 0.00
269 Widener 8 10 135 93 185 413 0.00
270 Wilkes 0 15 266 231 287 784 0.00
271 Willamette 9 7 89 63 130 282 0.00
272 William Peace 2 9 253 249 209 711 0.00
273 Williams 7 9 30 7 78 115 0.00
274 Wilson 4 11 216 202 239 657 0.00
275 Wisconsin-Eau Cl 11 7 86 47 109 242 0.00
276 Wisconsin-La Cro 10 7 68 222 107 397 0.00
277 Wisconsin-River 12 5 53 70 68 191 0.00
278 Wisconsin-Steven 3 14 249 183 277 709 0.00
279 Wisconsin-Stout 8 7 155 256 120 531 0.00
280 Wittenberg 4 11 215 181 233 629 0.00
281 Wooster 17 4 26 136 16 178 0.00
282 Worcester State 13 7 67 55 110 232 0.00
283 Bryn Mawr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
284 Hiram 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
285 Pitt-Bradford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
286 Waynesburg 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
287 Wisconsin-Superi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00