---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Yorktown 1
  
Yorktown              
W-L: (12- 7) PR = 90.0785

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Centreville ( 2- 8, 86.1) 15- 3 321 A Robinson (16- 4, 93.6) 5-10 326 A Madison (15- 1, 94.0) 5-13 328 H Langley (14- 3, 93.3) 5-12 403 H Oakton (14- 4, 90.8) 9-10 409 A West Springfield ( 0-14, 83.3) 18- 9 423 A Wakefield HS ( 4-10, 81.9) 14- 3 429 H Marshall ( 3- 9, 80.0) 14- 6 501 A McLean (10- 8, 88.6) 13- 6 503 N Deep Run ( 9- 8, 90.3) 10- 6 506 H Washington-Liberty (10- 6, 89.3) 10- 9 508 A Herndon ( 8- 4, 89.9) 9-10 514 H Marshall ( 3- 9, 80.0) 18- 4 519 H McLean (10- 8, 88.6) 12-11 521 A Langley (14- 3, 93.3) 11-10 523 H Westfield ( 6-12, 86.0) 14-13 527 H Oakton (14- 4, 90.8) 7- 6 529 H Langley (14- 3, 93.3) 6-15 606 A West Potomac (15- 5, 92.6) 9-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Centreville            15- 3      12     5           0.37
   321 A Robinson                5-10      -5    -4          -0.87
   326 A Madison                 5-13      -8    -5          -0.47
   328 H Langley                 5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.38
   403 H Oakton                  9-10      -1     0          -0.87
   409 A West Springfield       18- 9       9     6           0.00
   423 A Wakefield HS           14- 3      11     8           0.00
   429 H Marshall               14- 6       8    11           0.00
   501 A McLean                 13- 6       7     1    ++     4.10
   503 N Deep Run               10- 6       4     0    ++     4.20
   506 H Washington-Liberty     10- 9       1     1          -0.34
   508 A Herndon                 9-10      -1     0          -0.57
   514 H Marshall               18- 4      14    11           0.00
   519 H McLean                 12-11       1     2          -1.12
   521 A Langley                11-10       1    -4    ++     4.83
   523 H Westfield              14-13       1     5    -     -3.65
   527 H Oakton                  7- 6       1     0           1.13
   529 H Langley                 6-15      -9    -3    -     -2.38
   606 A West Potomac            9-15      -6    -3          -1.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Langley                 5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.38
   523 H Westfield              14-13       1     5    -     -3.65
   529 H Langley                 6-15      -9    -3    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A McLean                 13- 6       7     1    ++     4.10
   503 N Deep Run               10- 6       4     0    ++     4.20
   521 A Langley                11-10       1    -4    ++     4.83

Yorktown Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Yorktown   Yorktown
Alexandria City Yorktown insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Yorktown
Annandale Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Atlee Atlee tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Battlefield
Bayside Yorktown   Yorktown
Benedictine Yorktown   Yorktown
Bishop Ireton Yorktown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Yorktown
Bishop OConnell Yorktown   Yorktown
Blacksburg Yorktown   Yorktown
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Yorktown   Yorktown
Briar Woods Briar Woods tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Briar Woods
Broad Run Yorktown   Yorktown
Brooke Point Yorktown   Yorktown
Cape Henry Collegiat Yorktown   Yorktown
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Yorktown   Yorktown
Centreville Yorktown Yorktown  
Chantilly Chantilly insuffient: ( 6- 6)( 5- 4) Chantilly
Charlottesville Yorktown   Yorktown
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Yorktown   Yorktown
Clover Hill Yorktown   Yorktown
Colgan Yorktown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Yorktown
Collegiate School Collegiate School tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Yorktown   Yorktown
Cosby Cosby tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Cosby
Covenant School Yorktown   Yorktown
Cox Yorktown   Yorktown
Culpeper County Yorktown   Yorktown
Deep Run Yorktown Yorktown  
Dominion Yorktown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Yorktown
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Yorktown   Yorktown
EC Glass Yorktown   Yorktown
Edison Yorktown Yorktown   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Yorktown   Yorktown
Fairfax Yorktown tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Yorktown
Falls Church Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Fauquier Yorktown   Yorktown
First Colonial Yorktown   Yorktown
Fishburne Military A Yorktown   Yorktown
Flint Hill Yorktown   Yorktown
Fluvanna County Yorktown   Yorktown
Forest Park Yorktown   Yorktown
Fork Union Military Yorktown   Yorktown
Franklin County Yorktown   Yorktown
Fredericksburg Acade Yorktown   Yorktown
Fredericksburg Chris Yorktown   Yorktown
Freedom South Ridin Yorktown   Yorktown
Freedom Woodbridge Yorktown   Yorktown
Gainesville Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Gar-field Yorktown   Yorktown
Glen Allen Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Goochland Yorktown   Yorktown
Grafton LC Yorktown   Yorktown
Grassfield LC Yorktown   Yorktown
Green Run Yorktown   Yorktown
Handley Yorktown   Yorktown
Hanover Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Hayfield Yorktown insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Yorktown
Heritage Leesburg Yorktown   Yorktown
Herndon Herndon Herndon  
Hickory LC Yorktown   Yorktown
Hidden Valley Yorktown   Yorktown
Highland School Yorktown   Yorktown
Highland Springs Yorktown   Yorktown
Hylton Yorktown   Yorktown
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe Yorktown   Yorktown
James River Yorktown   Yorktown
Jamestown LC Yorktown   Yorktown
Jefferson Forest Yorktown   Yorktown
John Champe Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Justice Yorktown insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Yorktown
Kellam Yorktown   Yorktown
Kempsville Yorktown   Yorktown
Kettle Run Yorktown   Yorktown
Lafayette LC Yorktown   Yorktown
Lake Braddock Yorktown insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Yorktown
Landstown Yorktown   Yorktown
Langley Langley Langley  
Lewis Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Liberty Bealeton Yorktown   Yorktown
Lightridge Yorktown   Yorktown
Lloyd C Bird Yorktown   Yorktown
Lord Botetourt Yorktown   Yorktown
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Yorktown   Yorktown
Madison Madison Madison  
Manchester Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Marshall Yorktown Yorktown  
Massaponax Yorktown   Yorktown
Matoaca Yorktown   Yorktown
Maury LC Yorktown   Yorktown
McLean Yorktown Yorktown  
Mechanicsville Yorktown   Yorktown
Menchville LC Yorktown   Yorktown
Meridian Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Yorktown
Midlothian Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Mills Godwin Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Monacan Yorktown   Yorktown
Monticello Yorktown   Yorktown
Mount Vernon Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Yorktown
Mountain View Yorktown   Yorktown
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Yorktown   Yorktown
New Covenant School Yorktown   Yorktown
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Yorktown   Yorktown
Norfolk Collegiate Yorktown   Yorktown
North Cross School Yorktown   Yorktown
North Stafford Yorktown   Yorktown
Northern VA Home Sch Yorktown   Yorktown
Oakton Oakton tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) Oakton
Ocean Lakes Yorktown   Yorktown
Orange County Yorktown   Yorktown
Osbourn Yorktown   Yorktown
Osbourn Park Yorktown   Yorktown
Park View Yorktown   Yorktown
Patrick Henry Ashla Yorktown   Yorktown
Patrick Henry Roano Yorktown   Yorktown
Patriot Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Yorktown   Yorktown
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Yorktown   Yorktown
Powhatan Yorktown   Yorktown
Princess Anne Yorktown   Yorktown
Riverbend Yorktown   Yorktown
Riverside Riverside tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Riverside
Robinson Robinson Robinson  
Rock Ridge Yorktown   Yorktown
Rockbridge County Yorktown   Yorktown
Rockingham LC Yorktown   Yorktown
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Yorktown   Yorktown
Seton School Yorktown   Yorktown
South County Yorktown Yorktown   5- 3 vs 2- 5
South Lakes Yorktown Yorktown   5- 3 vs 1- 6
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Yorktown   Yorktown
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Yorktown   Yorktown
Steward School Yorktown   Yorktown
Stone Bridge Yorktown tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) Yorktown
Strasburg LC Yorktown   Yorktown
Tabb LC Yorktown   Yorktown
Tallwood Yorktown   Yorktown
Tandem Friends Yorktown   Yorktown
Thomas Dale Yorktown   Yorktown
Thomas Jefferson Yorktown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yorktown
Trinity Christian Yorktown   Yorktown
Trinity Episcopal Yorktown   Yorktown
Trinity Meadow View Yorktown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Yorktown
Tuscarora Yorktown   Yorktown
Unity Reed Yorktown   Yorktown
Veritas School Yorktown   Yorktown
Virginia Academy Yorktown   Yorktown
Virginia Episcopal S Yorktown   Yorktown
Wakefield HS Yorktown Yorktown  
Wakefield School Yorktown   Yorktown
Washington-Liberty Yorktown Yorktown  
West Potomac West Potomac West Potomac  
West Springfield Yorktown Yorktown  
Western Albemarle Yorktown   Yorktown
Westfield Yorktown Yorktown  
William Byrd Yorktown   Yorktown
William Fleming Yorktown   Yorktown
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Yorktown   Yorktown
Woodgrove Yorktown   Yorktown
Woodson Yorktown Yorktown   4- 3 vs 1- 5
York LC Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 148


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Centreville     ( 2- 8, 86.1)    15- 3      -13.85      21.16      -0.61         0.73            15.08
   0 A Robinson        (16- 4, 93.6)     5-10       -6.30      28.70       0.61         0.73            -4.18
   0 A Madison         (15- 1, 94.0)     5-13       -5.91      29.10       0.61         0.73            -3.89
   0 H Langley         (14- 3, 93.3)     5-12       -6.60      28.41      -0.61         0.73            -5.29
   0 H Oakton          (14- 4, 90.8)     9-10       -9.09      25.92      -0.61         0.73            -7.11
   0 A West Springfie  ( 0-14, 83.3)    18- 9      -16.64      18.36       0.61         0.73            13.92
   0 A Wakefield HS    ( 4-10, 81.9)    14- 3      -18.05      16.95       0.61         0.73            12.89
   0 H Marshall        ( 3- 9, 80.0)    14- 6      -19.88      15.12      -0.61         0.73            10.65
   0 A McLean          (10- 8, 88.6)    13- 6      -11.33      23.67       0.61         0.73            17.82
   0 N Deep Run        ( 9- 8, 90.3)    10- 6       -9.62      25.38      -0.00         0.73            18.63
   0 H Washington-Lib  (10- 6, 89.3)    10- 9      -10.55      24.45      -0.61         0.73            17.50
   0 A Herndon         ( 8- 4, 89.9)     9-10      -10.00      25.00       0.61         0.73            -6.89
   0 H Marshall        ( 3- 9, 80.0)    18- 4      -19.88      15.12      -0.61         0.73            10.65
   0 H McLean          (10- 8, 88.6)    12-11      -11.33      23.67      -0.61         0.73            16.92
   0 A Langley         (14- 3, 93.3)    11-10       -6.60      28.41       0.61         0.73            21.29
   0 H Westfield       ( 6-12, 86.0)    14-13      -13.86      21.14      -0.61         0.73            15.07
   0 H Oakton          (14- 4, 90.8)     7- 6       -9.09      25.92      -0.61         0.73            18.57
   0 H Langley         (14- 3, 93.3)     6-15       -6.60      28.41      -0.61         0.73            -5.29
   0 A West Potomac    (15- 5, 92.6)     9-15       -7.32      27.68       0.61         0.73            -4.92
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       151.41

winning pts = 188.9827 losing points = -37.5687

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------