---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:58 PDT

safe3step boys Winthrop 1
  
Winthrop              
W-L: (15- 5) PR = 88.5582

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Malden Catholic ( 3-15, 86.8) 12- 7 402 A Northeast Metro RVT ( 5-12, 78.6) 16- 7 407 H Salem ( 7-11, 81.6) 15- 3 408 H Swampscott (11- 9, 88.9) 9- 5 411 A Beverly ( 4-12, 85.4) 10- 9 414 H Essex Tech (10-10, 87.1) 12-10 416 A Gloucester ( 5-11, 82.4) 11- 2 429 A Peabody Vets Memoria ( 6-12, 85.0) 9- 7 501 A Swampscott (11- 9, 88.9) 8- 7 502 H Shawsheen Valley RVT (20- 2, 92.1) 11-12 505 A Stoneham ( 4-15, 83.3) 14- 6 508 H Masconomet (13- 6, 89.9) 5-13 512 H Gloucester ( 5-11, 82.4) 14- 3 514 A Salem ( 7-11, 81.6) 12- 2 517 H Danvers ( 6-12, 85.3) 20-10 519 H Northeast Metro RVT ( 5-12, 78.6) 13- 3 520 A Marblehead (10- 9, 89.7) 2-15 523 A Wilmington ( 4-14, 85.2) 9-11 601 H Tyngsborough (10- 7, 87.3) 10- 5 603 A Cohasset (21- 3, 94.5) 2-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Malden Catholic        12- 7       5     2    +      2.64
   402 A Northeast Metro RVT    16- 7       9     9           0.00
   407 H Salem                  15- 3      12     8           0.00
   408 H Swampscott              9- 5       4     0    +      3.71
   411 A Beverly                10- 9       1     3          -1.52
   414 H Essex Tech             12-10       2     2          -0.04
   416 A Gloucester             11- 2       9     5           0.00
   429 A Peabody Vets Memoria    9- 7       2     3          -0.94
   501 A Swampscott              8- 7       1    -1           1.98
   502 H Shawsheen Valley RVT   11-12      -1    -3           1.88
   505 A Stoneham               14- 6       8     5           0.36
   508 H Masconomet              5-13      -8    -1    --    -4.32
   512 H Gloucester             14- 3      11     7           0.00
   514 A Salem                  12- 2      10     6           0.00
   517 H Danvers                20-10      10     4           1.10
   519 H Northeast Metro RVT    13- 3      10    11           0.00
   520 A Marblehead              2-15     -13    -2    -     -3.20
   523 A Wilmington              9-11      -2     3    --    -4.72
   601 H Tyngsborough           10- 5       5     2    +      3.09
   603 A Cohasset                2-19     -17    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Masconomet              5-13      -8    -1    --    -4.32
   523 A Wilmington              9-11      -2     3    --    -4.72
   520 A Marblehead              2-15     -13    -2    -     -3.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Malden Catholic        12- 7       5     2    +      2.64
   408 H Swampscott              9- 5       4     0    +      3.71
   601 H Tyngsborough           10- 5       5     2    +      3.09

Winthrop Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Abington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Abington
Acton Boxborough Acton Boxborough   Acton Boxborough
Agawam Agawam   Agawam
Algonquin Algonquin   Algonquin
Amesbury Winthrop insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Winthrop
Amherst-Pelham Reg Winthrop   Winthrop
AMSA Charter Winthrop insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Winthrop
Andover HS Andover HS   Andover HS
Apponequet Regional Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winthrop
Archbishop Williams Winthrop   Winthrop
Arlington Catholic Arlington Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Arlington Catholic
Arlington HS Arlington HS insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Arlington HS
Ashland Winthrop   Winthrop
Assabet Valley RVT Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winthrop
Attleboro Winthrop   Winthrop
Auburn Winthrop   Winthrop
Barnstable Winthrop   Winthrop
Bay Path RVT Winthrop   Winthrop
Bedford Winthrop insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Winthrop
Belchertown Winthrop   Winthrop
Bellingham Winthrop   Winthrop
Belmont Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Winthrop
Beverly Winthrop Winthrop  
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial   Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan   Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Winthrop Winthrop   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Bishop Stang Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winthrop
Blackstone Valley RV Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winthrop
Blue Hills RVT Winthrop   Winthrop
Boston College HS Boston College HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Boston College HS
Boston Latin School Winthrop tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winthrop
Bourne Winthrop   Winthrop
Braintree Winthrop   Winthrop
Bridgewater-Raynham Bridgewater-Raynham   Bridgewater-Raynham
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Winthrop   Winthrop
Brookline Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winthrop
Burlington Burlington insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Burlington
Cambridge Rindge-Lat Winthrop tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winthrop
Canton Canton   Canton
Cape Cod Academy Winthrop   Winthrop
Cape Cod Tech Winthrop   Winthrop
Cardinal Spellman Winthrop   Winthrop
Catholic Memorial Catholic Memorial tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Catholic Memorial
Central Catholic Central Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford   Chelmsford
Chicopee Comprehensi Winthrop   Winthrop
Cohasset Cohasset Cohasset  
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle   Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Winthrop Winthrop  
Dartmouth Winthrop   Winthrop
Dedham Winthrop   Winthrop
Dennis-Yarmouth Regi Winthrop   Winthrop
Dighton-Rehoboth Reg Winthrop   Winthrop
Doherty Memorial Winthrop   Winthrop
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn   Dover-Sherborn
Dracut Dracut tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Dracut
Duxbury Duxbury tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duxbury
East Bridgewater Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winthrop
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow   East Longmeadow
Essex Tech Winthrop Winthrop  
Fairhaven Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winthrop
Falmouth Academy Winthrop   Winthrop
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Falmouth HS
Foxborough Winthrop   Winthrop
Framingham Winthrop   Winthrop
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Gloucester Winthrop Winthrop  
Grafton Grafton   Grafton
Granby Winthrop   Winthrop
Greater Lowell RVT Winthrop tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Winthrop
Greater New Bedford Winthrop   Winthrop
Groton-Dunstable Reg Winthrop tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winthrop
Hamilton-Wenham Regi Winthrop Winthrop   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Hanover Hanover tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hanover
Haverhill Haverhill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Haverhill
Hingham Hingham   Hingham
Holliston Winthrop   Winthrop
Hoosac Valley Winthrop   Winthrop
Hopkinton Hopkinton   Hopkinton
Hudson Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winthrop
Hull Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winthrop
Ipswich Ipswich tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional   King Philip Regional
Lenox/Lee Winthrop   Winthrop
Leominster Winthrop   Winthrop
Lexington Lexington Lexington   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Lincoln-Sudbury Regi Lincoln-Sudbury Regi   Lincoln-Sudbury Regi
Littleton Littleton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Littleton
Longmeadow Longmeadow   Longmeadow
Lowell Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winthrop
Lowell Catholic Winthrop tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Winthrop
Lunenburg Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winthrop
Lynn Classical-Engli Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winthrop
Lynnfield Lynnfield tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Lynnfield
Malden Winthrop Winthrop   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Malden Catholic Winthrop Winthrop  
Manchester-Essex Reg Manchester-Essex Reg insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Manchester-Essex Reg
Mansfield Mansfield   Mansfield
Marblehead Marblehead Marblehead  
Marshfield Marshfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Winthrop   Winthrop
Masconomet Masconomet Masconomet  
Mashpee Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winthrop
McCann Technical Winthrop   Winthrop
Medfield Medfield   Medfield
Medford Winthrop insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Winthrop
Medway Winthrop   Winthrop
Melrose Melrose Melrose   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Methuen Methuen tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Methuen
Middleborough Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winthrop
Milford Milford   Milford
Milton HS Milton HS tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Milton HS
Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Minuteman Regional Winthrop tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winthrop
Monomoy Regional Winthrop   Winthrop
Monson Winthrop   Winthrop
Montachusett RVT Winthrop   Winthrop
Mount Greylock Regio Winthrop   Winthrop
Mystic Valley Charte Winthrop   Winthrop
Nantucket Nantucket tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional   Nashoba Regional
Nashoba Valley Tech Winthrop   Winthrop
Natick Natick   Natick
Nauset Nauset   Nauset
Needham Needham   Needham
New Bedford Winthrop   Winthrop
Newburyport Newburyport insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Newburyport
Newton North Newton North   Newton North
Newton South Winthrop   Winthrop
Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
North Andover North Andover insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Andover
North Attleboro North Attleboro   North Attleboro
North Middlesex North Middlesex   North Middlesex
North Quincy Co-op Winthrop   Winthrop
North Reading Winthrop tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Winthrop
Northampton Winthrop   Winthrop
Northeast Metro RVT Winthrop Winthrop  
Norton Winthrop   Winthrop
Norwell Norwell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Norwell
Norwood Winthrop   Winthrop
Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Oakmont Regional
Old Colony RVT Winthrop tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winthrop
Old Rochester Region Old Rochester Region tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Old Rochester Region
Oliver Ames Winthrop   Winthrop
Peabody Vets Memoria Winthrop Winthrop  
Pembroke Winthrop   Winthrop
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield Winthrop   Winthrop
Plymouth North Plymouth North   Plymouth North
Plymouth South Plymouth South   Plymouth South
Pope Francis Prep Winthrop   Winthrop
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial Reading Memorial   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Revere Winthrop Winthrop   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rockland Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winthrop
Salem Winthrop Winthrop  
Sandwich Sandwich tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sandwich
Saugus Winthrop   Winthrop
Scituate Scituate insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Scituate
Seekonk Winthrop   Winthrop
Sharon Sharon tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Sharon
Shawsheen Valley RVT Shawsheen Valley RVT Shawsheen Valley RVT  
Shepherd Hill Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winthrop
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury   Shrewsbury
Silver Lake Silver Lake   Silver Lake
Smith VoTech Winthrop   Winthrop
Somerset Berkley Winthrop   Winthrop
Somerville Winthrop Winthrop   3- 0 vs 0- 3
South Hadley Winthrop   Winthrop
South Shore RVT Winthrop   Winthrop
Southeastern RVT Winthrop   Winthrop
Springfield Central Winthrop   Winthrop
St Bernards Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Winthrop
St John Paul II Winthrop   Winthrop
St Johns Prep Danver St Johns Prep Danver tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Johns Prep Danver
St Johns Shrewsbury St Johns Shrewsbury tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Johns Shrewsbury
St Marys Lynn Winthrop   Winthrop
St Marys Westfield Winthrop   Winthrop
Stoneham Winthrop Winthrop  
Stoughton Winthrop   Winthrop
Sturgis Charter East Winthrop   Winthrop
Swampscott Winthrop Winthrop  
Tantasqua Regional Winthrop   Winthrop
Taunton Winthrop   Winthrop
Tech Boston Academy Winthrop   Winthrop
Tewksbury Memorial Winthrop insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Winthrop
Tri-County RVT Winthrop   Winthrop
Triton Regional Winthrop insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Winthrop
Tyngsborough Winthrop Winthrop  
Upper Cape Cod RVT Winthrop   Winthrop
Wachusett Regional Wachusett Regional   Wachusett Regional
Wahconah Winthrop   Winthrop
Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Walpole Walpole   Walpole
Waltham Waltham tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Waltham
Watertown Winthrop insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Winthrop
Wayland Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winthrop
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Westborough Westborough   Westborough
Westfield Winthrop   Winthrop
Westford Academy Westford Academy   Westford Academy
Weston Weston insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Weston
Westport Winthrop   Winthrop
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Weymouth Winthrop   Winthrop
Whitman-Hanson Winthrop   Winthrop
Whittier RVT Winthrop insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Winthrop
Wilmington Wilmington Wilmington  
Winchester Winchester insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Winchester
Woburn Memorial Winthrop tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Winthrop
Xaverian Brothers Xaverian Brothers tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Xaverian Brothers

PowerWise = 125


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Malden Catholi  ( 3-15, 86.8)    12- 7      -13.07      19.47      -0.63         0.90            17.00
   0 A Northeast Metr  ( 5-12, 78.6)    16- 7      -21.33      11.22       0.63         0.90            10.69
   0 H Salem           ( 7-11, 81.6)    15- 3      -18.26      14.28      -0.63         0.90            12.31
   0 H Swampscott      (11- 9, 88.9)     9- 5      -11.00      21.54      -0.63         0.90            18.87
   0 A Beverly         ( 4-12, 85.4)    10- 9      -14.49      18.05       0.63         0.90            16.86
   0 H Essex Tech      (10-10, 87.1)    12-10      -12.75      19.79      -0.63         0.90            17.29
   0 A Gloucester      ( 5-11, 82.4)    11- 2      -17.45      15.09       0.63         0.90            14.19
   0 A Peabody Vets M  ( 6-12, 85.0)     9- 7      -14.92      17.62       0.63         0.90            16.48
   0 A Swampscott      (11- 9, 88.9)     8- 7      -11.00      21.54       0.63         0.90            20.01
   0 H Shawsheen Vall  (20- 2, 92.1)    11-12       -7.83      24.72      -0.63         0.90            -7.63
   0 A Stoneham        ( 4-15, 83.3)    14- 6      -16.62      15.92       0.63         0.90            14.94
   0 H Masconomet      (13- 6, 89.9)     5-13      -10.03      22.51      -0.63         0.90            -9.62
   0 H Gloucester      ( 5-11, 82.4)    14- 3      -17.45      15.09      -0.63         0.90            13.04
   0 A Salem           ( 7-11, 81.6)    12- 2      -18.26      14.28       0.63         0.90            13.46
   0 H Danvers         ( 6-12, 85.3)    20-10      -14.61      17.93      -0.63         0.90            15.61
   0 H Northeast Metr  ( 5-12, 78.6)    13- 3      -21.33      11.22      -0.63         0.90             9.55
   0 A Marblehead      (10- 9, 89.7)     2-15      -10.17      22.37       0.63         0.90            -8.61
   0 A Wilmington      ( 4-14, 85.2)     9-11      -14.69      17.85       0.63         0.90           -12.69
   0 H Tyngsborough    (10- 7, 87.3)    10- 5      -12.62      19.92      -0.63         0.90            17.40
   0 A Cohasset        (21- 3, 94.5)     2-19       -5.40      27.14       0.63         0.90            -4.30
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       184.84

winning pts = 227.6925 losing points = -42.8543

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------