All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 74.4499969 home-field advantage = -0.64 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A St Joseph Trumbull (15- 6, 87.4) 4-19 407 H Immaculate Danbury ( 6-10, 65.4) 14- 5 410 A Masuk ( 8-10, 72.1) 9- 6 415 H New Fairfield (21- 2, 84.2) 6-14 417 H Notre Dame-Fairfield ( 1-15, 56.0) 17- 2 419 A Newtown (13- 7, 75.8) 9-11 422 A Joel Barlow (15- 6, 81.7) 4-17 424 A New Milford ( 9- 9, 74.6) 10- 7 426 H Greenwich HS (11- 7, 88.3) 5-14 501 H Daniel Hand (13- 8, 81.5) 5-15 506 H Pomperaug ( 5-11, 68.0) 11- 4 508 A Bunnell-Stratford ( 3-13, 59.0) 17- 1 510 A Guilford (13- 8, 78.5) 8-10 513 H Brookfield (12- 8, 75.3) 9- 7 515 A Bethel (13- 7, 76.8) 14-13 517 A Trumbull ( 9- 8, 78.4) 7-12 519 H Bethel (13- 7, 76.8) 6-12 604 H Waterford (11- 6, 70.0) 7- 6 607 A Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 77.8) 7-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A St Joseph Trumbull 4-19 -15 -13 0.00 407 H Immaculate Danbury 14- 5 9 9 0.00 410 A Masuk 9- 6 3 1 1.28 415 H New Fairfield 6-14 -8 -9 0.00 417 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 17- 2 15 19 0.00 419 A Newtown 9-11 -2 -2 0.01 422 A Joel Barlow 4-17 -13 -7 0.00 424 A New Milford 10- 7 3 0 + 3.82 426 H Greenwich HS 5-14 -9 -13 0.00 501 H Daniel Hand 5-15 -10 -6 -0.63 506 H Pomperaug 11- 4 7 7 0.00 508 A Bunnell-Stratford 17- 1 16 14 0.00 510 A Guilford 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.68 513 H Brookfield 9- 7 2 0 + 2.20 515 A Bethel 14-13 1 -2 + 3.94 517 A Trumbull 7-12 -5 -4 -0.39 519 H Bethel 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.34 604 H Waterford 7- 6 1 5 -- -4.11 607 A Haddam-Killingworth 7-15 -8 -4 - -2.96UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 H Bethel 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.34 604 H Waterford 7- 6 1 5 -- -4.11 607 A Haddam-Killingworth 7-15 -8 -4 - -2.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A New Milford 10- 7 3 0 + 3.82 510 A Guilford 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.68 513 H Brookfield 9- 7 2 0 + 2.20 515 A Bethel 14-13 1 -2 + 3.94
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 74.45 Power Rank................. 31 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 50.06 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 22 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6609 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 11 RPI Rating............... .5371 RPI Rank................... 39 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 93 Selection sum ........... 96 Selection Rank ............ 32 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -140. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 44 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -135. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 46 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3