West Salem/McNary
W-L: (15- 5) PR = 89.5290
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
318 H Marist ( 5-10, 82.7) 13- 5
321 H Summit ( 9- 6, 92.3) 8-15
401 A West Albany ( 5- 9, 80.4) 18- 3
403 H Central Catholic (10- 7, 89.7) 6- 3
404 A Thurston ( 4-11, 82.2) 15- 5
408 H Roseburg ( 8- 9, 84.3) 13- 4
411 A Oregon Episcopal (14- 4, 94.1) 5-13
415 H Liberty ( 9- 7, 87.1) 13- 9
417 A Newberg ( 9- 6, 87.6) 12- 7
419 H Hood River ( 2-12, 86.9) 18- 6
422 H Wilsonville ( 7-10, 87.7) 13- 6
429 A Corvallis ( 5-14, 83.4) 8- 5
501 A Bend/Caldera ( 8- 5, 90.0) 6-13
506 A Sprague/South Salem ( 0-16, 74.8) 24- 7
508 H Corvallis ( 5-14, 83.4) 14- 5
509 A Canby ( 7-10, 87.7) 5- 6
513 H West Albany ( 5- 9, 80.4) 14- 3
516 H Sprague/South Salem ( 0-16, 74.8) 21- 9
523 H Mountainside ( 8- 7, 88.1) 11- 9
527 A West Linn (11- 4, 95.1) 2-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H Marist 13- 5 8 7 0.00
321 H Summit 8-15 -7 -2 - -2.81
401 A West Albany 18- 3 15 9 0.00
403 H Central Catholic 6- 3 3 0 + 2.57
404 A Thurston 15- 5 10 7 0.00
408 H Roseburg 13- 4 9 6 0.00
411 A Oregon Episcopal 5-13 -8 -5 0.00
415 H Liberty 13- 9 4 3 1.03
417 A Newberg 12- 7 5 1 + 3.65
419 H Hood River 18- 6 12 3 1.75
422 H Wilsonville 13- 6 7 2 + 2.59
429 A Corvallis 8- 5 3 6 - -2.00
501 A Bend/Caldera 6-13 -7 -1 - -3.97
506 A Sprague/South Salem 24- 7 17 14 0.00
508 H Corvallis 14- 5 9 7 0.00
509 A Canby 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.20
513 H West Albany 14- 3 11 10 0.00
516 H Sprague/South Salem 21- 9 12 15 0.00
523 H Mountainside 11- 9 2 2 -0.06
527 A West Linn 2-17 -15 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Summit 8-15 -7 -2 - -2.81
429 A Corvallis 8- 5 3 6 - -2.00
501 A Bend/Caldera 6-13 -7 -1 - -3.97
509 A Canby 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.20
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
403 H Central Catholic 6- 3 3 0 + 2.57
417 A Newberg 12- 7 5 1 + 3.65
422 H Wilsonville 13- 6 7 2 + 2.59
|
West Salem/McNary Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Aloha/Southridge |
West Salem/McNary |
|
West Salem/McNary   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Beaverton |
West Salem/McNary |
|
West Salem/McNary   6- 0 vs 3- 3 |
|
Bend/Caldera |
Bend/Caldera |
Bend/Caldera |
 
| |
Burns |
West Salem/McNary |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
West Salem/McNary |
Canby |
Canby |
Canby |
 
| |
Central Catholic |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
Century |
West Salem/McNary |
|
West Salem/McNary   7- 1 vs 1- 7 |
|
Clackamas/Nelson |
Clackamas/Nelson |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 6- 2) |
Clackamas/Nelson |
Corvallis |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
Forest Grove |
West Salem/McNary |
|
West Salem/McNary   8- 0 vs 6- 2 |
|
Glencoe |
West Salem/McNary |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) |
West Salem/McNary |
Grant/Central Eastsi |
Grant/Central Eastsi |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) |
Grant/Central Eastsi |
Hillsboro |
West Salem/McNary |
|
West Salem/McNary   5- 0 vs 0- 5 |
|
Hood River |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
Ida B Wells |
West Salem/McNary |
|
West Salem/McNary   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Jesuit Portland |
Jesuit Portland |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Jesuit Portland |
Lake Oswego/Riverdal |
West Salem/McNary |
|
West Salem/McNary   2- 3 vs 0- 5 |
|
Lakeridge |
Lakeridge |
|
Lakeridge   5- 0 vs 0- 5 |
|
Liberty |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
Lincoln |
Lincoln |
|
tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) |
Lincoln |
Marist |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
Mountain View |
West Salem/McNary |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) |
West Salem/McNary |
Mountainside |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
Newberg |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
Oregon City |
West Salem/McNary |
|
West Salem/McNary   4- 3 vs 0- 7 |
|
Oregon Episcopal |
Oregon Episcopal |
Oregon Episcopal |
 
| |
Ridgeview |
West Salem/McNary |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) |
West Salem/McNary |
Roseburg |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
Sheldon |
West Salem/McNary |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) |
West Salem/McNary |
Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 6- 2) |
Sherwood |
South Eugene |
South Eugene |
|
insuffient: ( 8- 1)( 7- 2) |
South Eugene |
Sprague/South Salem |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
Summit |
Summit |
Summit |
 
| |
Sunset |
Sunset |
|
Sunset   6- 0 vs 2- 4 |
|
Thurston |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
Tigard |
West Salem/McNary |
|
West Salem/McNary   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Tualatin |
West Salem/McNary |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) |
West Salem/McNary |
West Albany |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
West Linn |
West Linn |
West Linn |
 
| |
Westview |
West Salem/McNary |
|
West Salem/McNary   5- 1 vs 3- 3 |
|
Wilsonville |
West Salem/McNary |
West Salem/McNary |
 
| |
PowerWise = 28

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Marist ( 5-10, 82.7) 13- 5 -17.22 7.89 -0.59 0.80 5.86
0 H Summit ( 9- 6, 92.3) 8-15 -7.59 17.51 -0.59 0.80 -6.57
0 A West Albany ( 5- 9, 80.4) 18- 3 -19.54 5.57 0.59 0.80 4.94
0 H Central Cathol (10- 7, 89.7) 6- 3 -10.21 14.90 -0.59 0.80 11.48
0 A Thurston ( 4-11, 82.2) 15- 5 -17.73 7.38 0.59 0.80 6.40
0 H Roseburg ( 8- 9, 84.3) 13- 4 -15.60 9.51 -0.59 0.80 7.16
0 A Oregon Episcop (14- 4, 94.1) 5-13 -5.77 19.34 0.59 0.80 -4.16
0 H Liberty ( 9- 7, 87.1) 13- 9 -12.75 12.36 -0.59 0.80 9.44
0 A Newberg ( 9- 6, 87.6) 12- 7 -12.31 12.80 0.59 0.80 10.74
0 H Hood River ( 2-12, 86.9) 18- 6 -13.04 12.07 -0.59 0.80 9.21
0 H Wilsonville ( 7-10, 87.7) 13- 6 -12.19 12.92 -0.59 0.80 9.89
0 A Corvallis ( 5-14, 83.4) 8- 5 -16.50 8.61 0.59 0.80 7.38
0 A Bend/Caldera ( 8- 5, 90.0) 6-13 -9.93 15.17 0.59 0.80 -7.50
0 A Sprague/South ( 0-16, 74.8) 24- 7 -25.10 1.00 0.59 0.80 1.27
0 H Corvallis ( 5-14, 83.4) 14- 5 -16.50 8.61 -0.59 0.80 6.44
0 A Canby ( 7-10, 87.7) 5- 6 -12.16 12.95 0.59 0.80 -9.28
0 H West Albany ( 5- 9, 80.4) 14- 3 -19.54 5.57 -0.59 0.80 3.99
0 H Sprague/South ( 0-16, 74.8) 21- 9 -25.10 1.00 -0.59 0.80 0.33
0 H Mountainside ( 8- 7, 88.1) 11- 9 -11.84 13.27 -0.59 0.80 10.17
0 A West Linn (11- 4, 95.1) 2-17 -4.82 20.29 0.59 0.80 -3.39
------
73.81
|
winning pts = 104.7069 losing points = -30.8976
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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