---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:53 PDT

safe3step boys Sun Valley 1
  
Sun Valley            
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 87.7999

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Ammon (13- 3, 91.2) 4-16 405 H Magic Valley ( 0-10, 84.7) 9- 8 411 A Sandpoint ( 8-10, 86.3) 7- 8 412 A Immaculate Conceptio ( 0-13, 78.3) 12- 2 414 A Magic Valley ( 0-10, 84.7) 7- 5 419 H Jackson Hole (11- 4, 92.1) 3-15 419 H Teton Valley ( 4-12, 85.5) 13-10 422 H Magic Valley ( 0-10, 84.7) 13- 3 426 H Idaho Falls ( 5- 7, 86.6) 13- 7 426 A Pocatello ( 5- 7, 86.6) 18- 3 503 A Ammon (13- 3, 91.2) 4-14 503 H Magic Valley ( 0-10, 84.7) 1- 0 516 A Mead (13- 6, 91.6) 8- 7 516 H Teton Valley ( 4-12, 85.5) 13-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Ammon                   4-16     -12    -4          -1.48
   405 H Magic Valley            9- 8       1     3    -     -2.25
   411 A Sandpoint               7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.34
   412 A Immaculate Conceptio   12- 2      10     9           0.00
   414 A Magic Valley            7- 5       2     3          -0.99
   419 H Jackson Hole            3-15     -12    -4          -0.86
   419 H Teton Valley           13-10       3     2           0.58
   422 H Magic Valley           13- 3      10     3           1.75
   426 H Idaho Falls            13- 7       6     1    +      3.63
   426 A Pocatello              18- 3      15     1    +      3.96
   503 A Ammon                   4-14     -10    -4          -1.48
   516 A Mead                    8- 7       1    -4    ++     4.90
   516 H Teton Valley           13-16      -3     2    --    -5.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Teton Valley           13-16      -3     2    --    -5.42
   405 H Magic Valley            9- 8       1     3    -     -2.25
   411 A Sandpoint               7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Mead                    8- 7       1    -4    ++     4.90
   426 H Idaho Falls            13- 7       6     1    +      3.63
   426 A Pocatello              18- 3      15     1    +      3.96

Sun Valley Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ammon Ammon Ammon  
Bishop Kelly Bishop Kelly   Bishop Kelly
Boise Boise   Boise
Borah/Capital Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Centennial Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Chesterton of Notre Sun Valley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Sun Valley
Coeur d'Alene Sun Valley tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Sun Valley
Eagle Eagle   Eagle
Emmett Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Idaho Falls Sun Valley Sun Valley  
Immaculate Conceptio Sun Valley Sun Valley  
Jackson Hole Jackson Hole Jackson Hole  
Kuna Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Lake City Lake City tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) Lake City
Logos Sun Valley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Sun Valley
Magic Valley Sun Valley Sun Valley  
Meridian Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Middleton Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Owyhee Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Pocatello Sun Valley Sun Valley  
Rocky Mountain Rocky Mountain   Rocky Mountain
Sandpoint Sandpoint Sandpoint  
Spokane Spokane tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Spokane
Spokane Valley Spokane Valley insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 2) Spokane Valley
Teton Valley Sun Valley Sun Valley   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Timberline Timberline   Timberline
Vallivue Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Gonzaga Prep Gonzaga Prep tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 2) Gonzaga Prep
Lewis & Clark Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Mead Sun Valley Sun Valley  
Mount Spokane Mount Spokane Mount Spokane   5- 0 vs 3- 3

PowerWise = 18


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.45

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Ammon           (13- 3, 91.2)     4-16       -8.71      12.96       0.13         1.03            -8.88
   0 H Magic Valley    ( 0-10, 84.7)     9- 8      -15.22       6.44      -0.13         1.03             6.54
   0 A Sandpoint       ( 8-10, 86.3)     7- 8      -13.56       8.10       0.13         1.03           -13.91
   0 A Immaculate Con  ( 0-13, 78.3)    12- 2      -21.59       1.00       0.13         1.03             1.17
   0 A Magic Valley    ( 0-10, 84.7)     7- 5      -15.22       6.44       0.13         1.03             6.80
   0 H Jackson Hole    (11- 4, 92.1)     3-15       -7.83      13.83      -0.13         1.03            -8.24
   0 H Teton Valley    ( 4-12, 85.5)    13-10      -14.40       7.27      -0.13         1.03             7.39
   0 H Magic Valley    ( 0-10, 84.7)    13- 3      -15.22       6.44      -0.13         1.03             6.54
   0 H Idaho Falls     ( 5- 7, 86.6)    13- 7      -13.34       8.32      -0.13         1.03             8.48
   0 A Pocatello       ( 5- 7, 86.6)    18- 3      -13.27       8.39       0.13         1.03             8.82
   0 A Ammon           (13- 3, 91.2)     4-14       -8.71      12.96       0.13         1.03            -8.88
   0 H Magic Valley    ( 0-10, 84.7)     1- 0      -15.22       6.44      -0.13         1.03             6.54
   0 A Mead            (13- 6, 91.6)     8- 7       -8.33      13.34       0.13         1.03            13.93
   0 H Teton Valley    ( 4-12, 85.5)    13-16      -14.40       7.27      -0.13         1.03           -15.03
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        11.27

winning pts = 66.2022 losing points = -54.9322

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------