All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.9000015 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Oakton (14- 6, 81.6) 4- 8 322 H Cheyenne Mountain ( 8- 9, 78.0) 12- 8 324 H Westfield ( 6-12, 75.2) 2- 3 328 A Fairfax ( 6-10, 72.3) 11- 3 402 A Robinson (16- 6, 85.2) 2-13 403 A West Springfield ( 0-14, 72.1) 10- 9 405 H Carlisle ( 7-10, 69.4) 11- 7 412 N Hayfield (14- 5, 73.9) 19- 5 414 A McLean (10- 8, 78.9) 4-13 425 H South County ( 9- 9, 74.9) 9- 4 426 N South Lakes ( 4-12, 73.4) 8- 5 429 A West Potomac (17- 6, 84.1) 6-14 501 H Alexandria City (11- 9, 74.3) 8- 6 503 N Gainesville (15- 5, 78.3) 8-14 506 H Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 75.3) 2- 3 515 H South County ( 9- 9, 74.9) 10- 0 519 N Robinson (16- 6, 85.2) 4-14 521 H Mount Vernon ( 5- 8, 62.2) 15- 1 523 A Edison ( 9- 8, 68.8) 12- 2 527 N Robinson (16- 6, 85.2) 4-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Oakton 4- 8 -4 -3 -0.06 322 H Cheyenne Mountain 12- 8 4 0 n/a 324 H Westfield 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.44 328 A Fairfax 11- 3 8 3 + 3.20 402 A Robinson 2-13 -11 -9 0.00 403 A West Springfield 10- 9 1 3 - -2.99 405 H Carlisle 11- 7 4 8 n/a 412 N Hayfield 19- 5 14 2 ++ 4.04 414 A McLean 4-13 -9 -2 -- -4.25 425 H South County 9- 4 5 2 + 2.22 426 N South Lakes 8- 5 3 3 -0.49 429 A West Potomac 6-14 -8 -7 0.00 501 H Alexandria City 8- 6 2 3 -1.40 503 N Gainesville 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.64 506 H Lake Braddock 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.41 515 H South County 10- 0 10 2 ++ 4.22 519 N Robinson 4-14 -10 -8 0.00 521 H Mount Vernon 15- 1 14 15 0.00 523 A Edison 12- 2 10 7 0.00 527 N Robinson 4-12 -8 -8 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 A McLean 4-13 -9 -2 -- -4.25 503 N Gainesville 8-14 -6 -1 -- -4.64 324 H Westfield 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.44 403 A West Springfield 10- 9 1 3 - -2.99 405 H Carlisle 11- 7 4 8 - 506 H Lake Braddock 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.41OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Cheyenne Mountain 12- 8 4 0 ++ 412 N Hayfield 19- 5 14 2 ++ 4.04 515 H South County 10- 0 10 2 ++ 4.22 328 A Fairfax 11- 3 8 3 + 3.20 425 H South County 9- 4 5 2 + 2.22
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 76.90 Power Rank................. 50 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.20 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 45 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4839 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 131 RPI Rating............... .5365 RPI Rank................... 57 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 175 Selection sum ........... 274 Selection Rank ............ 86 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -145. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 103 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -110. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 86 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.3