All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 65.5100021 home-field advantage = -0.38 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Jacksonville ( 6-12, 64.9) 7- 5 228 H Northside (11- 8, 70.5) 3- 4 303 A Jacksonville ( 6-12, 64.9) 6- 7 307 H Norfolk Christian ( 8-11, 68.8) 8-16 310 A New Bern (12-10, 72.6) 2-14 318 A North Brunswick (10-14, 62.7) 6- 4 321 H Topsail (15- 6, 80.2) 1-14 324 H Marysville ( 9-10, 71.4) 2-13 325 H South Brunswick ( 3-15, 64.4) 9- 4 327 H Ashley (10-13, 79.5) 4-19 401 A Laney (18- 3, 82.8) 3-17 403 A Cape Fear Academy ( 9- 6, 70.6) 3-10 404 A West Brunswick ( 2-16, 61.3) 10- 4 408 H Hoggard (15- 6, 80.6) 1-15 410 H North Brunswick (10-14, 62.7) 11- 4 422 A Ashley (10-13, 79.5) 2-15 425 H Laney (18- 3, 82.8) 3-19 429 A Topsail (15- 6, 80.2) 3-20 505 H West Brunswick ( 2-16, 61.3) 21- 7 507 A Hoggard (15- 6, 80.6) 4-17 508 A South Brunswick ( 3-15, 64.4) 5- 9
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Jacksonville 7- 5 2 0 1.02 228 H Northside 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.61 303 A Jacksonville 6- 7 -1 0 -1.22 307 H Norfolk Christian 8-16 -8 -2 n/a 310 A New Bern 2-14 -12 -7 0.00 318 A North Brunswick 6- 4 2 2 -0.45 321 H Topsail 1-14 -13 -14 0.00 324 H Marysville 2-13 -11 -5 n/a 325 H South Brunswick 9- 4 5 1 + 3.56 327 H Ashley 4-19 -15 -13 0.00 401 A Laney 3-17 -14 -17 0.00 403 A Cape Fear Academy 3-10 -7 -5 -1.52 404 A West Brunswick 10- 4 6 3 + 2.19 408 H Hoggard 1-15 -14 -14 0.00 410 H North Brunswick 11- 4 7 3 + 3.79 422 A Ashley 2-15 -13 -14 0.00 425 H Laney 3-19 -16 -16 0.00 429 A Topsail 3-20 -17 -15 0.00 505 H West Brunswick 21- 7 14 4 + 2.43 507 A Hoggard 4-17 -13 -15 0.00 508 A South Brunswick 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.68UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Norfolk Christian 8-16 -8 -2 -- 508 A South Brunswick 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.68OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Northside 3- 4 -1 -4 + 3.61 325 H South Brunswick 9- 4 5 1 + 3.56 404 A West Brunswick 10- 4 6 3 + 2.19 410 H North Brunswick 11- 4 7 3 + 3.79 505 H West Brunswick 21- 7 14 4 + 2.43
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 65.51 Power Rank................. 94 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 44.55 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 67 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4751 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 125 RPI Rating............... .4346 RPI Rank................... 99 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 90 Selection sum ........... 343 Selection Rank ............ 120 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -285. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 118 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -285. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 119 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 5.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-15 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -5.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -15.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0