Winters Mill
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 82.3127Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Oakdale ( 4-10, 81.5) 6- 1 324 H Long Reach ( 4- 8, 78.4) 13- 0 327 A Manchester Valley ( 9- 5, 87.0) 4- 5 403 H Francis Scott Key ( 2-10, 80.3) 6- 4 408 A Century (10- 6, 89.0) 1- 0 410 A Liberty ( 8- 8, 84.5) 3- 5 415 H South Carroll ( 4-10, 83.9) 8-12 419 H Patterson Mill ( 7- 9, 81.5) 11- 7 423 H Westminster ( 7- 9, 85.9) 4-16 425 A Centennial ( 7- 7, 83.7) 5- 7 428 H North Hagerstown ( 4- 9, 76.7) 7- 1 430 A Atholton ( 3-12, 77.1) 12- 0 502 H Smithsburg ( 8- 5, 83.3) 4- 8 507 A Centennial ( 7- 7, 83.7) 3- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Oakdale 6- 1 5 1 + 3.78
324 H Long Reach 13- 0 13 4 0.64
327 A Manchester Valley 4- 5 -1 -5 ++ 4.00
403 H Francis Scott Key 6- 4 2 2 -0.49
410 A Liberty 3- 5 -2 -3 0.65
415 H South Carroll 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.85
419 H Patterson Mill 11- 7 4 1 + 2.69
423 H Westminster 4-16 -12 -3 -1.87
425 A Centennial 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.21
428 H North Hagerstown 7- 1 6 6 0.00
430 A Atholton 12- 0 12 5 0.26
502 H Smithsburg 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.42
507 A Centennial 3- 9 -6 -2 - -3.21
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H South Carroll 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.85 502 H Smithsburg 4- 8 -4 -1 - -3.42 507 A Centennial 3- 9 -6 -2 - -3.21 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Manchester Valley 4- 5 -1 -5 ++ 4.00 321 H Oakdale 6- 1 5 1 + 3.78 419 H Patterson Mill 11- 7 4 1 + 2.69 |
Winters Mill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Archbishop Curley | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Friends | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Garrett County LC | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Georgetown Day | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Jemicy School | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Salisbury School | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | St James | |
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Winters Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| Academy for College | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Winters Mill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| Atholton | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bel Air | |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Blair | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Bowie | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Winters Mill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| Calvert | Calvert | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Calvert | |
| Cambridge SD | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Carver A&T | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Catoctin | |
| Catonsville | Catonsville | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Century | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| CH Flowers | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Chesapeake BC | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Clarksburg | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | CM Wright | |
| Crofton | Crofton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Crofton | |
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Dulaney | |
| Dunbar | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Dundalk | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| DuVal | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Eastern Tech | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Einstein | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Winters Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| Elkton | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Fallston | |
| Forest Park | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Franklin | |
| Frederick | Winters Mill | Winters Mill 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Friendly | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Gaithersburg | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Glen Burnie | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Winters Mill | Winters Mill 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Great Mills | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Guilford Park | Winters Mill | Winters Mill 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Gwynn Park | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Hammond | Winters Mill | Winters Mill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Harford Tech | Winters Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| Havre De Grace | Winters Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| High Point | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Winters Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| Kennedy | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Kent County | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kent Island | |
| Kenwood | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Lake Clifton | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Lansdowne | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Laurel | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Loch Raven | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Long Reach | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Magruder | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Meade | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Mergenthaler | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Milford Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| MJ McDonough | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Mount Hebron | |
| National Academy Fou | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| New Town | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| North Caroline | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| North East Cecil | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| North Hagerstown | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Harford | |
| North Point | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northeast AA | |
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Northwestern PG | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Northwood | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Oakdale | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Oakland Mills | Winters Mill | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Winters Mill | |
| Old Mill | Winters Mill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Winters Mill | |
| Overlea | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Owings Mills | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Oxon Hill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Paint Branch | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Parkdale | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Patapsco | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Patterson HS | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Patterson Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Perry Hall | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Perryville | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Pikesville | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Poolesville | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Randallstown | Winters Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| Reginald F Lewis | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Reservoir | |
| Richard Montgomery | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Rising Sun | Winters Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| River Hill | River Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | River Hill | |
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Severn Run | Winters Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Winters Mill | |
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sherwood | |
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Winters Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Winters Mill | |
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| St Charles | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Surrattsville | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Thomas Stone | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Tuscarora | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville 6- 1 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Western STES | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Westlake | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Wicomico | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Wilde Lake | Winters Mill | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Winters Mill | |
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Woodlawn | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Wootton | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| DC International PCS | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Jackson Reed | Winters Mill | Winters Mill |
PowerWise = 134
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Oakdale ( 4-10, 81.5) 6- 1 -18.36 17.23 -0.45 0.87 14.55
0 H Long Reach ( 4- 8, 78.4) 13- 0 -21.50 14.09 -0.45 0.87 11.83
0 A Manchester Val ( 9- 5, 87.0) 4- 5 -12.94 22.66 0.45 0.87 -10.83
0 H Francis Scott ( 2-10, 80.3) 6- 4 -19.63 15.96 -0.45 0.87 13.45
0 A Century (10- 6, 89.0) 1- 0 -10.86 24.74 0.45 0.87 21.83
0 A Liberty ( 8- 8, 84.5) 3- 5 -15.38 20.21 0.45 0.87 -12.95
0 H South Carroll ( 4-10, 83.9) 8-12 -15.99 19.60 -0.45 0.87 -14.25
0 H Patterson Mill ( 7- 9, 81.5) 11- 7 -18.45 17.15 -0.45 0.87 14.48
0 H Westminster ( 7- 9, 85.9) 4-16 -14.01 21.58 -0.45 0.87 -12.53
0 A Centennial ( 7- 7, 83.7) 5- 7 -16.24 19.35 0.45 0.87 -13.69
0 H North Hagersto ( 4- 9, 76.7) 7- 1 -23.24 12.35 -0.45 0.87 10.32
0 A Atholton ( 3-12, 77.1) 12- 0 -22.77 12.82 0.45 0.87 11.50
0 H Smithsburg ( 8- 5, 83.3) 4- 8 -16.56 19.03 -0.45 0.87 -14.74
0 A Centennial ( 7- 7, 83.7) 3- 9 -16.24 19.35 0.45 0.87 -13.69
------
5.27
|
winning pts = 97.9486 losing points = -92.6823
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------