---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:58 PDT

safe3step boys Wilmington 1
  
Wilmington            
W-L: ( 4-14) PR = 85.2055

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Pentucket Regional (13- 7, 89.9) 4-11 401 A Winchester (12- 8, 95.1) 1-19 403 H Arlington HS (13- 6, 90.2) 3-14 405 A Brookline ( 5-13, 86.3) 8- 7 408 A Medford (14- 5, 87.9) 4- 9 409 A Lexington ( 9-10, 90.3) 4-13 414 A Shawsheen Valley RVT (20- 2, 92.1) 2- 9 415 H Watertown ( 4-13, 80.4) 12- 6 417 H Stoneham ( 4-15, 83.3) 8- 9 430 H Woburn Memorial ( 5-13, 86.4) 11-10 502 A Belmont ( 5-14, 87.4) 6-12 505 A Arlington Catholic (15- 5, 90.8) 6-14 509 H Reading Memorial (19- 4, 97.2) 1-15 512 A Pentucket Regional (13- 7, 89.9) 4-18 513 A Melrose ( 9- 9, 90.3) 1-15 519 A Burlington (11- 9, 92.3) 5-16 521 A Wakefield Memorial (16- 4, 92.7) 7-21 523 H Winthrop (15- 5, 88.6) 11- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Pentucket Regional      4-11      -7    -4          -0.92
   401 A Winchester              1-19     -18   -11           0.00
   403 H Arlington HS            3-14     -11    -4          -0.68
   405 A Brookline               8- 7       1    -2    +      2.74
   408 A Medford                 4- 9      -5    -3          -1.71
   409 A Lexington               4-13      -9    -6           0.00
   414 A Shawsheen Valley RVT    2- 9      -7    -8           0.00
   415 H Watertown              12- 6       6     5           0.00
   417 H Stoneham                8- 9      -1     3    -     -3.56
   430 H Woburn Memorial        11-10       1    -1           1.58
   502 A Belmont                 6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.15
   505 A Arlington Catholic      6-14      -8    -6           0.00
   509 H Reading Memorial        1-15     -14   -11           0.00
   512 A Pentucket Regional      4-18     -14    -5           0.00
   513 A Melrose                 1-15     -14    -6           0.00
   519 A Burlington              5-16     -11    -8           0.00
   521 A Wakefield Memorial      7-21     -14    -8           0.00
   523 H Winthrop               11- 9       2    -3    ++     4.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Stoneham                8- 9      -1     3    -     -3.56
   502 A Belmont                 6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 H Winthrop               11- 9       2    -3    ++     4.72
   405 A Brookline               8- 7       1    -2    +      2.74

Wilmington Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Abington   Abington
Acton Boxborough Acton Boxborough Acton Boxborough   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Agawam Agawam   Agawam
Algonquin Algonquin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Algonquin
Amesbury Wilmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilmington
Amherst-Pelham Reg Amherst-Pelham Reg   Amherst-Pelham Reg
AMSA Charter AMSA Charter   AMSA Charter
Andover HS Andover HS Andover HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Apponequet Regional Apponequet Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apponequet Regional
Archbishop Williams Archbishop Williams tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Archbishop Williams
Arlington Catholic Arlington Catholic Arlington Catholic  
Arlington HS Arlington HS Arlington HS  
Ashland Ashland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashland
Assabet Valley RVT Wilmington   Wilmington
Attleboro Attleboro   Attleboro
Auburn Auburn   Auburn
Barnstable Barnstable   Barnstable
Bay Path RVT Wilmington   Wilmington
Bedford Bedford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bedford
Belchertown Wilmington   Wilmington
Bellingham Wilmington   Wilmington
Belmont Belmont Belmont  
Beverly Beverly insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Beverly
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Wilmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilmington
Bishop Stang Bishop Stang tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop Stang
Blackstone Valley RV Wilmington   Wilmington
Blue Hills RVT Wilmington   Wilmington
Boston College HS Boston College HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Boston College HS
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Boston Latin School   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Bourne Wilmington   Wilmington
Braintree Wilmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Wilmington
Bridgewater-Raynham Bridgewater-Raynham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bridgewater-Raynham
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Wilmington   Wilmington
Brookline Wilmington Wilmington  
Burlington Burlington Burlington  
Cambridge Rindge-Lat Cambridge Rindge-Lat tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Cambridge Rindge-Lat
Canton Canton   Canton
Cape Cod Academy Wilmington   Wilmington
Cape Cod Tech Wilmington   Wilmington
Cardinal Spellman Wilmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilmington
Catholic Memorial Catholic Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catholic Memorial
Central Catholic Central Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chelmsford
Chicopee Comprehensi Wilmington   Wilmington
Cohasset Cohasset insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Danvers Danvers insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Danvers
Dartmouth Wilmington   Wilmington
Dedham Wilmington   Wilmington
Dennis-Yarmouth Regi Wilmington   Wilmington
Dighton-Rehoboth Reg Wilmington   Wilmington
Doherty Memorial Wilmington   Wilmington
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn   Dover-Sherborn
Dracut Dracut Dracut   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Duxbury Duxbury tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duxbury
East Bridgewater Wilmington   Wilmington
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Longmeadow
Essex Tech Essex Tech insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Essex Tech
Fairhaven Fairhaven   Fairhaven
Falmouth Academy Falmouth Academy   Falmouth Academy
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Falmouth HS
Foxborough Foxborough tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Foxborough
Framingham Framingham tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Framingham
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Gloucester Wilmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Wilmington
Grafton Grafton   Grafton
Granby Wilmington   Wilmington
Greater Lowell RVT Wilmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilmington
Greater New Bedford Wilmington   Wilmington
Groton-Dunstable Reg Groton-Dunstable Reg   Groton-Dunstable Reg
Hamilton-Wenham Regi Wilmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilmington
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Haverhill Haverhill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Haverhill
Hingham Hingham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hingham
Holliston Holliston   Holliston
Hoosac Valley Wilmington   Wilmington
Hopkinton Hopkinton   Hopkinton
Hudson Wilmington   Wilmington
Hull Wilmington   Wilmington
Ipswich Ipswich insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional   King Philip Regional
Lenox/Lee Wilmington   Wilmington
Leominster Leominster   Leominster
Lexington Lexington Lexington  
Lincoln-Sudbury Regi Lincoln-Sudbury Regi Lincoln-Sudbury Regi   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Littleton Littleton   Littleton
Longmeadow Longmeadow insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Longmeadow
Lowell Wilmington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wilmington
Lowell Catholic Wilmington tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Wilmington
Lunenburg Wilmington   Wilmington
Lynn Classical-Engli Wilmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilmington
Lynnfield Lynnfield insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lynnfield
Malden Wilmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilmington
Malden Catholic Malden Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Malden Catholic
Manchester-Essex Reg Manchester-Essex Reg insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Manchester-Essex Reg
Mansfield Mansfield   Mansfield
Marblehead Marblehead insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Marblehead
Marshfield Marshfield   Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Marthas Vineyard   Marthas Vineyard
Masconomet Masconomet insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Masconomet
Mashpee Wilmington   Wilmington
McCann Technical Wilmington   Wilmington
Medfield Medfield insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) Medfield
Medford Medford Medford  
Medway Medway   Medway
Melrose Melrose Melrose  
Methuen Methuen tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Methuen
Middleborough Wilmington   Wilmington
Milford Milford   Milford
Milton HS Milton HS tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Milton HS
Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Minuteman Regional Wilmington   Wilmington
Monomoy Regional Wilmington   Wilmington
Monson Wilmington   Wilmington
Montachusett RVT Wilmington   Wilmington
Mount Greylock Regio Wilmington   Wilmington
Mystic Valley Charte Wilmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Wilmington
Nantucket Nantucket   Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Nashoba Regional
Nashoba Valley Tech Wilmington   Wilmington
Natick Natick tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Natick
Nauset Nauset insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Nauset
Needham Needham insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Needham
New Bedford Wilmington   Wilmington
Newburyport Newburyport insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Newburyport
Newton North Newton North insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Newton North
Newton South Wilmington tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Wilmington
Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
North Andover North Andover insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) North Andover
North Attleboro North Attleboro   North Attleboro
North Middlesex North Middlesex   North Middlesex
North Quincy Co-op Wilmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Wilmington
North Reading North Reading insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) North Reading
Northampton Northampton   Northampton
Northeast Metro RVT Wilmington insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Wilmington
Norton Wilmington   Wilmington
Norwell Norwell   Norwell
Norwood Wilmington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Wilmington
Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional   Oakmont Regional
Old Colony RVT Wilmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilmington
Old Rochester Region Old Rochester Region   Old Rochester Region
Oliver Ames Wilmington   Wilmington
Peabody Vets Memoria Wilmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Wilmington
Pembroke Pembroke   Pembroke
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional  
Pittsfield Wilmington   Wilmington
Plymouth North Plymouth North   Plymouth North
Plymouth South Plymouth South   Plymouth South
Pope Francis Prep Wilmington   Wilmington
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial Reading Memorial  
Revere Wilmington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Wilmington
Rockland Rockland   Rockland
Salem Wilmington insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Wilmington
Sandwich Sandwich   Sandwich
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Scituate Scituate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Scituate
Seekonk Wilmington   Wilmington
Sharon Sharon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sharon
Shawsheen Valley RVT Shawsheen Valley RVT Shawsheen Valley RVT  
Shepherd Hill Wilmington   Wilmington
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shrewsbury
Silver Lake Silver Lake   Silver Lake
Smith VoTech Wilmington   Wilmington
Somerset Berkley Wilmington   Wilmington
Somerville Wilmington insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Wilmington
South Hadley Wilmington   Wilmington
South Shore RVT Wilmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilmington
Southeastern RVT Wilmington   Wilmington
Springfield Central Wilmington   Wilmington
St Bernards Wilmington   Wilmington
St John Paul II Wilmington   Wilmington
St Johns Prep Danver St Johns Prep Danver insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Johns Prep Danver
St Johns Shrewsbury St Johns Shrewsbury   St Johns Shrewsbury
St Marys Lynn Wilmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wilmington
St Marys Westfield St Marys Westfield   St Marys Westfield
Stoneham Stoneham Stoneham  
Stoughton Wilmington   Wilmington
Sturgis Charter East Wilmington   Wilmington
Swampscott Swampscott insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Swampscott
Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Taunton Wilmington   Wilmington
Tech Boston Academy Wilmington   Wilmington
Tewksbury Memorial Tewksbury Memorial tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Tewksbury Memorial
Tri-County RVT Wilmington   Wilmington
Triton Regional Wilmington tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Wilmington
Tyngsborough Tyngsborough insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tyngsborough
Upper Cape Cod RVT Wilmington   Wilmington
Wachusett Regional Wachusett Regional   Wachusett Regional
Wahconah Wilmington   Wilmington
Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial  
Walpole Walpole insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Walpole
Waltham Waltham Waltham   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Watertown Wilmington Wilmington  
Wayland Wayland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wayland
Wellesley Wellesley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Westborough Westborough   Westborough
Westfield Wilmington   Wilmington
Westford Academy Westford Academy Westford Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Weston Weston Weston   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Westport Wilmington   Wilmington
Westwood Westwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Westwood
Weymouth Wilmington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wilmington
Whitman-Hanson Wilmington   Wilmington
Whittier RVT Whittier RVT insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Whittier RVT
Winchester Winchester Winchester  
Winthrop Wilmington Wilmington  
Woburn Memorial Wilmington Wilmington  
Xaverian Brothers Xaverian Brothers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Xaverian Brothers

PowerWise = 86


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Pentucket Regi  (13- 7, 89.9)     4-11       -9.98      22.56      -0.63         1.00           -10.64
   0 A Winchester      (12- 8, 95.1)     1-19       -4.79      27.75       0.63         1.00            -4.17
   0 H Arlington HS    (13- 6, 90.2)     3-14       -9.74      22.80      -0.63         1.00           -10.40
   0 A Brookline       ( 5-13, 86.3)     8- 7      -13.58      18.96       0.63         1.00            19.64
   0 A Medford         (14- 5, 87.9)     4- 9      -12.04      20.50       0.63         1.00           -11.44
   0 A Lexington       ( 9-10, 90.3)     4-13       -9.60      22.94       0.63         1.00            -8.99
   0 A Shawsheen Vall  (20- 2, 92.1)     2- 9       -7.83      24.72       0.63         1.00            -7.21
   0 H Watertown       ( 4-13, 80.4)    12- 6      -19.49      13.05      -0.63         1.00            12.45
   0 H Stoneham        ( 4-15, 83.3)     8- 9      -16.62      15.92      -0.63         1.00           -17.30
   0 H Woburn Memoria  ( 5-13, 86.4)    11-10      -13.48      19.06      -0.63         1.00            18.47
   0 A Belmont         ( 5-14, 87.4)     6-12      -12.48      20.06       0.63         1.00           -11.88
   0 A Arlington Cath  (15- 5, 90.8)     6-14       -9.11      23.43       0.63         1.00            -8.50
   0 H Reading Memori  (19- 4, 97.2)     1-15       -2.74      29.80      -0.63         1.00            -3.38
   0 A Pentucket Regi  (13- 7, 89.9)     4-18       -9.98      22.56       0.63         1.00            -9.37
   0 A Melrose         ( 9- 9, 90.3)     1-15       -9.59      22.95       0.63         1.00            -8.98
   0 A Burlington      (11- 9, 92.3)     5-16       -7.57      24.97       0.63         1.00            -6.95
   0 A Wakefield Memo  (16- 4, 92.7)     7-21       -7.18      25.36       0.63         1.00            -6.56
   0 H Winthrop        (15- 5, 88.6)    11- 9      -11.34      21.20      -0.63         1.00            20.62
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -54.59

winning pts = 71.1803 losing points = -125.7678

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------