---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:52 PDT

safe3step boys Winter Springs 1
  
Winter Springs        
W-L: ( 2-13) PR = 73.6852

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Sebastian River ( 6- 7, 76.6) 7- 9 214 H Providence School (10- 7, 78.5) 6-10 219 A Oviedo (14- 4, 86.2) 1-18 221 A East Ridge ( 7-10, 75.9) 2- 8 225 H Trinity Prep ( 6- 7, 81.8) 4-14 227 A Seminole (12- 7, 81.6) 3-16 228 A Father Lopez ( 0- 7, 67.3) 17- 5 304 A Edgewater (10- 6, 81.8) 3-14 305 H Lake Howell ( 3-11, 74.1) 8- 6 310 A Lake Mary (18- 1, 97.5) 3-22 314 A Lyman ( 9- 9, 75.0) 4- 8 324 A Hagerty ( 5- 8, 78.7) 1-14 326 A Lake Brantley ( 6-10, 83.1) 0-19 403 H East River (11- 6, 78.3) 5- 7 410 H Oviedo (14- 4, 86.2) 2-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Sebastian River         7- 9      -2    -2           0.28
   214 H Providence School       6-10      -4    -4           0.18
   219 A Oviedo                  1-18     -17   -13           0.00
   221 A East Ridge              2- 8      -6    -3    -     -2.23
   225 H Trinity Prep            4-14     -10    -8           0.00
   227 A Seminole                3-16     -13    -9           0.00
   228 A Father Lopez           17- 5      12     6           0.00
   304 A Edgewater               3-14     -11    -9           0.00
   305 H Lake Howell             8- 6       2     0           1.83
   310 A Lake Mary               3-22     -19   -24           0.00
   314 A Lyman                   4- 8      -4    -2    -     -2.07
   324 A Hagerty                 1-14     -13    -6           0.00
   326 A Lake Brantley           0-19     -19   -10           0.00
   403 H East River              5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.01
   410 H Oviedo                  2-18     -16   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A East Ridge              2- 8      -6    -3    -     -2.23
   314 A Lyman                   4- 8      -4    -2    -     -2.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H East River              5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.01

Winter Springs Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Admiral Farragut Aca Admiral Farragut Aca   Admiral Farragut Aca
All Saints Academy All Saints Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) All Saints Academy
Alonso Alonso   Alonso
American Heritage De American Heritage De   American Heritage De
American Heritage Pl American Heritage Pl   American Heritage Pl
Angeline Academy Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Apopka Apopka Apopka   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Archbishop McCarthy Archbishop McCarthy   Archbishop McCarthy
Atlantic Coast Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winter Springs
Atlantic-Delray Beac Atlantic-Delray Beac   Atlantic-Delray Beac
Aubrey Rogers Aubrey Rogers   Aubrey Rogers
Barron Collier Barron Collier   Barron Collier
Bartow Bartow   Bartow
Bartram Trail Bartram Trail insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bartram Trail
Beachside Beachside insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Beachside
Belen Jesuit Belen Jesuit   Belen Jesuit
Benjamin School Benjamin School   Benjamin School
Berkeley Prep Berkeley Prep   Berkeley Prep
Bishop McLaughlin Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Bishop Moore Bishop Moore Bishop Moore   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bishop Verot Bishop Verot   Bishop Verot
Bloomingdale Bloomingdale   Bloomingdale
Boca Ciega Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Boca Raton Boca Raton   Boca Raton
Bolles Bolles tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bolles
Boone Boone insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Boone
Bradenton Christian Bradenton Christian   Bradenton Christian
Buchholz Buchholz   Buchholz
Calvary Christian Ac Calvary Christian Ac   Calvary Christian Ac
Calvary Christian HS Calvary Christian HS   Calvary Christian HS
Canterbury School Canterbury School   Canterbury School
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Cardinal Mooney Cardinal Mooney   Cardinal Mooney
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman   Cardinal Newman
Celebration Celebration insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Celebration
Chiles Chiles   Chiles
Clearwater Central C Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Cocoa Beach Cocoa Beach   Cocoa Beach
Colonial Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Winter Springs
Columbus Catholic Columbus Catholic   Columbus Catholic
Community School-Nap Community School-Nap   Community School-Nap
Cooper City Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Coral Glades Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Coral Reef Coral Reef   Coral Reef
Coral Shores Coral Shores   Coral Shores
Coral Springs Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Countryside Countryside   Countryside
Creekside Creekside insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Creekside
Cypress Bay Cypress Bay   Cypress Bay
Cypress Creek Cypress Creek   Cypress Creek
Cypress Lake Cypress Lake   Cypress Lake
Dr Phillips Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) Winter Springs
Durant Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Dwyer Dwyer   Dwyer
East Lake East Lake   East Lake
East Ridge East Ridge East Ridge  
East River East River East River  
Eastside Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Edgewater Edgewater Edgewater  
Edgewood Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winter Springs
Episcopal Jacksonvi Episcopal Jacksonvi   Episcopal Jacksonvi
Estero Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Evans Evans   Evans
Father Lopez Winter Springs Winter Springs  
Fernandina Beach Fernandina Beach tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fernandina Beach
First Academy First Academy First Academy   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Flagler Palm Coast Flagler Palm Coast tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Flagler Palm Coast
Fleming Island Fleming Island insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fleming Island
Fletcher Fletcher   Fletcher
Florida Christian Florida Christian   Florida Christian
Forest Forest   Forest
Fort Myers Fort Myers   Fort Myers
Fort Walton Beach Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Foundation Academy Foundation Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Foundation Academy
Freedom Orlando Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Winter Springs
Freedom Tampa Freedom Tampa   Freedom Tampa
Golden Gate Golden Gate   Golden Gate
Gulf Breeze Gulf Breeze   Gulf Breeze
Gulf Coast Gulf Coast   Gulf Coast
Gulliver Prep Gulliver Prep   Gulliver Prep
Hagerty Hagerty Hagerty  
Holy Trinity Episcop Holy Trinity Episcop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Trinity Episcop
Horizon Horizon insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Horizon
IMG Academy-White IMG Academy-White   IMG Academy-White
Immaculata LaSalle Immaculata LaSalle   Immaculata LaSalle
Immokalee Immokalee   Immokalee
Indian Rocks Christi Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Innovation Innovation insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) Innovation
Jensen Beach Jensen Beach insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Jensen Beach
Jesuit Tampa Jesuit Tampa   Jesuit Tampa
John Carroll Catholi John Carroll Catholi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) John Carroll Catholi
Jupiter Jupiter   Jupiter
Jupiter Christian Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Key West Key West   Key West
Keys Gate Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Kings Academy Kings Academy   Kings Academy
Lake Brantley Lake Brantley Lake Brantley  
Lake Buena Vista Winter Springs insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Winter Springs
Lake Highland Prep Lake Highland Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Highland Prep
Lake Howell Winter Springs Winter Springs  
Lake Mary Lake Mary Lake Mary  
Lake Minneola Lake Minneola Lake Minneola   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Lake Nona Lake Nona Lake Nona   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Lake Wales Lake Wales tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Wales
Lakeland Christian Lakeland Christian   Lakeland Christian
Lakeland HS Lakeland HS   Lakeland HS
Lakewood Ranch Lakewood Ranch   Lakewood Ranch
Land O Lakes Land O Lakes   Land O Lakes
Lely Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Leon Leon   Leon
Lincoln Tallahassee Lincoln Tallahassee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lincoln Tallahassee
Lyman Lyman Lyman  
Maclay Maclay   Maclay
Manatee Manatee   Manatee
Mandarin Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winter Springs
Marco Island Academy Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Martin County Martin County   Martin County
Matanzas Matanzas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Matanzas
Melbourne Melbourne insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Melbourne
Melbourne Central Ca Melbourne Central Ca insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Melbourne Central Ca
Menendez Menendez insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Menendez
Merritt Island Merritt Island insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Merritt Island
Miami Country Day Miami Country Day   Miami Country Day
Miami Palmetto Miami Palmetto   Miami Palmetto
Milton Milton   Milton
Mitchell Mitchell   Mitchell
Montverde Academy Montverde Academy Montverde Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Naples Naples   Naples
Navarre Navarre   Navarre
Nease Nease   Nease
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
Newsome Newsome   Newsome
Niceville Niceville   Niceville
North Bay Haven Winter Springs   Winter Springs
North Broward Prep North Broward Prep   North Broward Prep
Northeast St Petersb Northeast St Petersb   Northeast St Petersb
Northside Christian Northside Christian   Northside Christian
NSU University Schoo NSU University Schoo   NSU University Schoo
Oak Hall Oak Hall   Oak Hall
Ocoee Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Winter Springs
Okeechobee Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winter Springs
Olympia Olympia insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Olympia
Olympic Heights Olympic Heights   Olympic Heights
Osceola Osceola   Osceola
Out-of-Door Academy Out-of-Door Academy   Out-of-Door Academy
Oviedo Oviedo Oviedo  
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy   Oxbridge Academy
Palm Beach Central Palm Beach Central   Palm Beach Central
Palm Beach Gardens Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Palm Harbor Universi Palm Harbor Universi   Palm Harbor Universi
Palmer Trinity Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Palmetto Ridge Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Park Vista Park Vista   Park Vista
Pasco Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Paxon Institute Paxon Institute tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Paxon Institute
Pensacola Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Pensacola Catholic Pensacola Catholic   Pensacola Catholic
Pine Crest Pine Crest   Pine Crest
Plant Plant   Plant
Pompano Beach Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Ponte Vedra Ponte Vedra insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ponte Vedra
Providence School Providence School Providence School  
Ransom Everglades Ransom Everglades   Ransom Everglades
Rickards Rickards   Rickards
Riverdale Riverdale   Riverdale
Riverside Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winter Springs
Riverview Sarasota Riverview Sarasota   Riverview Sarasota
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rockledge Rockledge   Rockledge
Sandalwood Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winter Springs
Santa Fe Santa Fe insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Santa Fe
Sarasota HS Sarasota HS   Sarasota HS
Satellite Satellite insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Satellite
Sebastian River Sebastian River Sebastian River  
Seminole Seminole Seminole  
Seminole Ridge Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Sickles Sickles   Sickles
South Fork Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winter Springs
South Lake Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winter Springs
South Plantation South Plantation   South Plantation
South Walton South Walton   South Walton
Spanish River Spanish River   Spanish River
St Andrews St Andrews   St Andrews
St Augustine St Augustine   St Augustine
St Brendan St Brendan   St Brendan
St Cloud Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Winter Springs
St Edwards School St Edwards School   St Edwards School
St John Paul II Acad St John Paul II Acad   St John Paul II Acad
St Joseph Academy St Joseph Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Joseph Academy
St Petersburg Cathol Winter Springs   Winter Springs
St Petersburg HS St Petersburg HS   St Petersburg HS
St Stephens Episcopa St Stephens Episcopa   St Stephens Episcopa
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Stanton Prep Winter Springs tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winter Springs
Steinbrenner Steinbrenner   Steinbrenner
Stoneman Douglas Stoneman Douglas   Stoneman Douglas
Suncoast Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Sunlake Sunlake   Sunlake
Tampa Catholic Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Tampa Prep Tampa Prep   Tampa Prep
Taravella Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Timber Creek Timber Creek Timber Creek   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Tocoi Creek Tocoi Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Tocoi Creek
Tohopekaliga Winter Springs insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Winter Springs
Trinity Catholic Trinity Catholic   Trinity Catholic
Trinity Prep Trinity Prep Trinity Prep  
University Orlando Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Winter Springs
Venice Venice   Venice
Vero Beach Vero Beach insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Vero Beach
Viera Viera Viera   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Village School Naple Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Washington Washington   Washington
Wellington Wellington   Wellington
Wesley Chapel Wesley Chapel   Wesley Chapel
West Boca Raton West Boca Raton   West Boca Raton
West Broward West Broward   West Broward
West Florida West Florida   West Florida
West Orange West Orange West Orange   2- 1 vs 0- 3
West Shore West Shore tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) West Shore
Western Davie Western Davie   Western Davie
Westminster Academy Westminster Academy   Westminster Academy
Westminster Christia Westminster Christia   Westminster Christia
Wharton Winter Springs   Winter Springs
Windermere HS Windermere HS Windermere HS   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Windermere Prep Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Winter Springs
Winter Haven Winter Haven tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Winter Haven
Winter Park Winter Park Winter Park   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wiregrass Ranch Wiregrass Ranch   Wiregrass Ranch

PowerWise = 50


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Sebastian Rive  ( 6- 7, 76.6)     7- 9      -23.33      15.06      -0.60         1.01           -24.19
   0 H Providence Sch  (10- 7, 78.5)     6-10      -21.43      16.96      -0.60         1.01           -22.27
   0 A Oviedo          (14- 4, 86.2)     1-18      -13.75      24.65       0.60         1.01           -13.29
   0 A East Ridge      ( 7-10, 75.9)     2- 8      -24.05      14.35       0.60         1.01           -23.70
   0 H Trinity Prep    ( 6- 7, 81.8)     4-14      -18.07      20.33      -0.60         1.01           -18.87
   0 A Seminole        (12- 7, 81.6)     3-16      -18.31      20.09       0.60         1.01           -17.90
   0 A Father Lopez    ( 0- 7, 67.3)    17- 5      -32.60       5.79       0.60         1.01             6.46
   0 A Edgewater       (10- 6, 81.8)     3-14      -18.14      20.25       0.60         1.01           -17.73
   0 H Lake Howell     ( 3-11, 74.1)     8- 6      -25.78      12.61      -0.60         1.01            12.14
   0 A Lake Mary       (18- 1, 97.5)     3-22       -2.42      35.97       0.60         1.01            -1.84
   0 A Lyman           ( 9- 9, 75.0)     4- 8      -24.89      13.51       0.60         1.01           -24.55
   0 A Hagerty         ( 5- 8, 78.7)     1-14      -21.21      17.19       0.60         1.01           -20.83
   0 A Lake Brantley   ( 6-10, 83.1)     0-19      -16.83      21.57       0.60         1.01           -16.40
   0 H East River      (11- 6, 78.3)     5- 7      -21.60      16.79      -0.60         1.01           -22.44
   0 H Oviedo          (14- 4, 86.2)     2-18      -13.75      24.65      -0.60         1.01           -14.50
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -219.92

winning pts = 18.6057 losing points = -238.5254

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------