Wilton
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 95.0179
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
410 H Notre Dame-West Have (11- 6, 91.6) 17- 5
415 A Stamford ( 7- 9, 83.1) 16- 4
417 H New Canaan (12- 3, 99.9) 5-12
424 H Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 7-11
426 A Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 12-14
429 A Fairfield Ludlowe (15- 5, 94.5) 7- 8
508 H Staples (13- 3, 99.4) 6-11
512 A St Joseph Trumbull (14- 5, 95.2) 8- 9
513 H Norwalk ( 1-15, 69.9) 16- 0
515 H Fairfield Prep (13- 2, 98.1) 4- 7
517 A Ridgefield (10- 3, 99.3) 5-17
520 A Greenwich HS (11- 5, 95.8) 6- 7
523 A Ridgefield (10- 3, 99.3) 6- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 H Notre Dame-West Have 17- 5 12 4 1.15
415 A Stamford 16- 4 12 11 0.00
417 H New Canaan 5-12 -7 -4 -0.59
424 H Darien 7-11 -4 -4 0.05
426 A Glastonbury 12-14 -2 -1 -1.26
429 A Fairfield Ludlowe 7- 8 -1 0 -1.04
508 H Staples 6-11 -5 -4 -1.13
512 A St Joseph Trumbull 8- 9 -1 -1 -0.31
513 H Norwalk 16- 0 16 26 0.00
515 H Fairfield Prep 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.37
517 A Ridgefield 5-17 -12 -5 -0.22
520 A Greenwich HS 6- 7 -1 -1 0.24
523 A Ridgefield 6- 7 -1 -5 + 3.78
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
523 A Ridgefield 6- 7 -1 -5 + 3.78
|
Wilton Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Amity Regional |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Wilton |
Avon HS |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Bacon Academy |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Berlin |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Bethel |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Wilton |
Branford |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Wilton |
Brien McMahon |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) |
Wilton |
Bristol Co-Op |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Brookfield |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Wilton |
Bunnell-Stratford |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Wilton |
Canton |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Capital-Classical Pr |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Cheshire HS |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) |
Wilton |
Conard |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Cromwell |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Danbury |
Wilton |
|
Wilton   2- 4 vs 0- 6 |
|
Daniel Hand |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Wilton |
Darien |
Darien |
Darien |
 
| |
East Catholic |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
East Lyme |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Ellington |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Enfield |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
EO Smith |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
 
| |
Fairfield Prep |
Fairfield Prep |
Fairfield Prep |
 
| |
Fairfield Warde |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) |
Wilton |
Farmington |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Fitch Groton |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Foran |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Glastonbury |
Glastonbury |
Glastonbury |
 
| |
Granby Memorial |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
 
| |
Guilford |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Wilton |
Haddam-Killingworth |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Hall |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Hamden |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Holy Cross |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Immaculate Danbury |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Joel Barlow |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Wilton |
Jonathan Law |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Lakeview United |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Ledyard-Griswold |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Lewis Mills |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Lyman Hall |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Maloney-Platt |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Masuk |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Middletown |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Montville |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Morgan School |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
New Canaan |
New Canaan |
New Canaan |
 
| |
New Fairfield |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
New Milford |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Newington |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Newtown |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Wilton |
North Branford |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
North Haven |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Northwest Catholic |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Norwalk |
Wilton |
Wilton |
 
| |
Norwich Free Academy |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Wilton |
Norwich Tech |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Notre Dame-Fairfield |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Notre Dame-West Have |
Wilton |
Wilton |
 
| |
Old Lyme |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Old Saybrook |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Pomperaug |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Prince-Cheney Tech |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
RHAM |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Ridgefield |
Ridgefield |
Ridgefield |
 
| |
Rockville Co-op |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Rocky Hill |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Sheehan |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Wilton |
Shelton |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Wilton |
Simsbury |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Wilton |
Somers |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
South Windsor |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Southington |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Wilton |
St Bernard-Wheeler |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
 
| |
St Paul Catholic |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Stamford |
Wilton |
Wilton |
 
| |
Staples |
Staples |
Staples |
 
| |
Stonington |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Suffield |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Tolland |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Trumbull |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) |
Wilton |
Valley Regional |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Vinal/Goodwin Tech |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Waterford |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Watertown |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
West Haven |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Westhill |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) |
Wilton |
Weston |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Wilton |
Wethersfield |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Wilbur Cross |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Windsor |
Wilton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Wilton |
Wolcott |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Woodstock Academy |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
Xavier |
Wilton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Wilton |
PowerWise = 89

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Notre Dame-Wes (11- 6, 91.6) 17- 5 -8.26 31.99 -0.47 1.31 41.24
0 A Stamford ( 7- 9, 83.1) 16- 4 -16.81 23.44 0.47 1.31 31.29
0 H New Canaan (12- 3, 99.9) 5-12 -0.00 40.26 -0.47 1.31 -0.62
0 H Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 7-11 -0.36 39.90 -0.47 1.31 -1.09
0 A Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 12-14 -4.61 35.64 0.47 1.31 -5.42
0 A Fairfield Ludl (15- 5, 94.5) 7- 8 -5.39 34.86 0.47 1.31 -6.44
0 H Staples (13- 3, 99.4) 6-11 -0.54 39.72 -0.47 1.31 -1.32
0 A St Joseph Trum (14- 5, 95.2) 8- 9 -4.67 35.58 0.47 1.31 -5.49
0 H Norwalk ( 1-15, 69.9) 16- 0 -30.00 10.25 -0.47 1.31 12.80
0 H Fairfield Prep (13- 2, 98.1) 4- 7 -1.78 38.47 -0.47 1.31 -2.95
0 A Ridgefield (10- 3, 99.3) 5-17 -0.57 39.68 0.47 1.31 -0.13
0 A Greenwich HS (11- 5, 95.8) 6- 7 -4.12 36.14 0.47 1.31 -4.77
0 A Ridgefield (10- 3, 99.3) 6- 7 -0.57 39.68 0.47 1.31 -0.13
------
56.98
|
winning pts = 85.3336 losing points = -28.3563
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------