White Bear Lake
W-L: (10- 5) PR = 96.1121
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
412 H Benilde-St Margarets (13- 5, 96.4) 4-13
415 A Roseville ( 2-10, 88.7) 15- 3
417 H East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 8- 7
422 A Irondale ( 7- 7, 93.7) 15- 4
424 H Stillwater (18- 1, 99.1) 10-12
429 A Woodbury ( 6- 9, 93.8) 10-14
501 H Forest Lake ( 1-13, 85.0) 19- 1
506 A Cretin-Derham Hall (10- 5, 94.6) 8-11
508 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 93.0) 21- 3
513 A Park Cottage Grove ( 7- 8, 89.8) 21- 1
515 H Mahtomedi ( 9- 5, 93.6) 9- 2
521 A Duluth East/Denfield ( 7- 7, 90.4) 17- 8
530 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 93.0) 16- 8
602 A Hill-Murray (13- 1, 94.0) 13- 8
604 A Stillwater (18- 1, 99.1) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 H Benilde-St Margarets 4-13 -9 0 -- -5.45
415 A Roseville 15- 3 12 7 0.00
417 H East Ridge 8- 7 1 0 0.78
422 A Irondale 15- 4 11 2 + 3.33
424 H Stillwater 10-12 -2 -2 0.27
429 A Woodbury 10-14 -4 2 -- -5.61
501 H Forest Lake 19- 1 18 12 0.00
506 A Cretin-Derham Hall 8-11 -3 1 - -3.73
508 H Mounds View 21- 3 18 4 1.12
513 A Park Cottage Grove 21- 1 20 6 0.00
515 H Mahtomedi 9- 2 7 3 1.76
521 A Duluth East/Denfield 17- 8 9 5 0.04
530 H Mounds View 16- 8 8 4 1.12
602 A Hill-Murray 13- 8 5 1 + 3.62
604 A Stillwater 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 H Benilde-St Margarets 4-13 -9 0 -- -5.45
429 A Woodbury 10-14 -4 2 -- -5.61
506 A Cretin-Derham Hall 8-11 -3 1 - -3.73
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
422 A Irondale 15- 4 11 2 + 3.33
602 A Hill-Murray 13- 8 5 1 + 3.62
604 A Stillwater 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.75
|
White Bear Lake Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Andover |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Anoka |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
White Bear Lake |
Becker |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Benilde-St Margarets |
Benilde-St Margarets |
Benilde-St Margarets |
 
| |
Big Lake/Princeton |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Blaine |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Blake School |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Bloomington Jefferso |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Bloomington Kennedy/ |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Brainerd |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Breck School |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Buffalo |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Centennial |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
White Bear Lake |
Champlin Park |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Chanhassen |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
White Bear Lake |
Chaska |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Chisago Lakes |
White Bear Lake |
|
White Bear Lake   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Cloquet/Esko/Carlton |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
Cretin-Derham Hall |
 
| |
Delano/Rockford |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Duluth East/Denfield |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
 
| |
Duluth Marshall |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Eagan |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
White Bear Lake |
East Ridge |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
 
|
Eastview/Apple Valle |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Eden Prairie |
Eden Prairie |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Eden Prairie |
Edina |
Edina |
|
Edina   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Elk River/Zimmerman |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Farmington |
Farmington |
|
 
| Farmington |
Forest Lake |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
 
| |
Grand Rapids/Greenwa |
White Bear Lake |
|
White Bear Lake   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Hastings |
White Bear Lake |
|
White Bear Lake   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Hermantown/Proctor |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Hill-Murray |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
 
| |
Holy Angels |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Holy Family Catholic |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Hopkins/St Louis Par |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
White Bear Lake |
Hutchinson |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Irondale |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
 
| |
Lakeville North |
Lakeville North |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Lakeville North |
Lakeville South |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Mahtomedi |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
 
| |
Mankato United |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Maple Grove |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Minneapolis United |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Minnetonka |
Minnetonka |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Minnetonka |
Monticello |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Moorhead |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
White Bear Lake |
Mound Westonka |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Mounds View |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
 
| |
New Prague |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
White Bear Lake |
Northfield |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Orono |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Osseo/Park Center |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Owatonna |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Park Cottage Grove |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
 
| |
Prior Lake |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
White Bear Lake |
Providence Academy |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Robbinsdale Armstron |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Rochester United |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Rocori |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Rogers |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
White Bear Lake |
Rosemount |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
White Bear Lake |
Roseville |
White Bear Lake |
White Bear Lake |
 
| |
Sartell/Sauk Rapids |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Shakopee |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Simley |
White Bear Lake |
|
White Bear Lake   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Southwest Christian |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
Spring Lake Park/Coo |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
St Cloud Unified |
White Bear Lake |
|
 
| White Bear Lake |
St Michael-Albertvil |
White Bear Lake |
|
White Bear Lake   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
St Paul/Two Rivers |
White Bear Lake |
|
White Bear Lake   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
St Thomas Academy |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) |
White Bear Lake |
Stillwater |
Stillwater |
Stillwater |
 
| |
Totino Grace |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
TriMAC Academy |
White Bear Lake |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Waconia |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Wayzata |
White Bear Lake |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
White Bear Lake |
Woodbury |
Woodbury |
Woodbury |
 
|
PowerWise = 70

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Benilde-St Mar (13- 5, 96.4) 4-13 -3.50 21.57 -0.74 0.98 -4.14
0 A Roseville ( 2-10, 88.7) 15- 3 -11.23 13.84 0.74 0.98 14.21
0 H East Ridge (13- 5, 96.6) 8- 7 -3.26 21.80 -0.74 0.98 20.54
0 A Irondale ( 7- 7, 93.7) 15- 4 -6.20 18.87 0.74 0.98 19.12
0 H Stillwater (18- 1, 99.1) 10-12 -0.78 24.29 -0.74 0.98 -1.48
0 A Woodbury ( 6- 9, 93.8) 10-14 -6.14 18.93 0.74 0.98 -5.26
0 H Forest Lake ( 1-13, 85.0) 19- 1 -14.93 10.14 -0.74 0.98 9.16
0 A Cretin-Derham (10- 5, 94.6) 8-11 -5.26 19.81 0.74 0.98 -4.40
0 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 93.0) 21- 3 -6.93 18.14 -0.74 0.98 16.96
0 A Park Cottage G ( 7- 8, 89.8) 21- 1 -10.12 14.95 0.74 0.98 15.30
0 H Mahtomedi ( 9- 5, 93.6) 9- 2 -6.28 18.78 -0.74 0.98 17.59
0 A Duluth East/De ( 7- 7, 90.4) 17- 8 -9.49 15.58 0.74 0.98 15.91
0 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 93.0) 16- 8 -6.93 18.14 -0.74 0.98 16.96
0 A Hill-Murray (13- 1, 94.0) 13- 8 -5.91 19.16 0.74 0.98 19.40
0 A Stillwater (18- 1, 99.1) 9-10 -0.78 24.29 0.74 0.98 -0.03
------
149.83
|
winning pts = 165.1458 losing points = -15.3116
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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