All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.5500031 home-field advantage = -1.00 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 A Hudson ( 5-12, 75.9) 7- 7 412 H Benilde-St Margarets (13- 5, 81.8) 4-13 415 A Roseville ( 3-10, 71.0) 15- 3 417 H East Ridge (13- 6, 80.8) 8- 7 422 A Irondale ( 7- 7, 77.4) 15- 4 424 H Stillwater (18- 1, 85.6) 10-12 429 A Woodbury ( 6- 9, 78.6) 10-14 501 H Forest Lake ( 1-13, 66.4) 19- 1 506 A Cretin-Derham Hall (10- 5, 79.0) 8-11 508 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 77.0) 21- 3 513 A Park Cottage Grove ( 7- 8, 72.6) 21- 1 515 H Mahtomedi (10- 5, 78.3) 9- 2 521 A Duluth East/Denfield ( 8- 7, 73.1) 17- 8 530 H Mounds View ( 7- 7, 77.0) 16- 8 602 A Hill-Murray (14- 1, 78.1) 13- 8 604 A Stillwater (18- 1, 85.6) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Hudson 7- 7 0 4 n/a 412 H Benilde-St Margarets 4-13 -9 0 --- -7.76 415 A Roseville 15- 3 12 9 0.00 417 H East Ridge 8- 7 1 1 -0.73 422 A Irondale 15- 4 11 3 + 3.87 424 H Stillwater 10-12 -2 -3 1.01 429 A Woodbury 10-14 -4 2 --- -6.00 501 H Forest Lake 19- 1 18 16 0.00 506 A Cretin-Derham Hall 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.55 508 H Mounds View 21- 3 18 5 1.48 513 A Park Cottage Grove 21- 1 20 7 0.00 515 H Mahtomedi 9- 2 7 4 + 2.80 521 A Duluth East/Denfield 17- 8 9 7 0.00 530 H Mounds View 16- 8 8 5 1.48 602 A Hill-Murray 13- 8 5 2 + 2.57 604 A Stillwater 9-10 -1 -5 ++ 4.01UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H Benilde-St Margarets 4-13 -9 0 --- -7.76 429 A Woodbury 10-14 -4 2 --- -6.00 410 A Hudson 7- 7 0 4 -- 506 A Cretin-Derham Hall 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.55OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 604 A Stillwater 9-10 -1 -5 ++ 4.01 422 A Irondale 15- 4 11 3 + 3.87 515 H Mahtomedi 9- 2 7 4 + 2.80 602 A Hill-Murray 13- 8 5 2 + 2.57
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 81.55 Power Rank................. 10 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 53.07 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 11 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5366 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 48 RPI Rating............... .6075 RPI Rank................... 13 Champ. Probability ...... 6.0 Championship Rank ......... 6 Selection sum ........... 77 Selection Rank ............ 24 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 17 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 20. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 16 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0