---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Watauga 1
  
Watauga               
W-L: ( 6-15) PR = 78.8642

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 15- 4 227 H Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 8-11 304 A Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 5-20 307 A Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 80.1) 9-11 308 H Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 6- 8 311 H St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 5-17 313 H North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 2-14 318 A TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 3-16 320 H West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 4-14 327 H Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 11-10 401 A Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 7-11 403 A Voyager Academy (10- 9, 76.8) 14- 8 408 H Hickory (13- 5, 86.8) 7-22 410 A St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 7-13 414 A West Stokes ( 8- 9, 78.0) 4- 6 417 H Asheville School ( 0-10, 79.1) 8- 7 428 H West Stokes ( 8- 9, 78.0) 13- 5 429 A North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 4-18 501 H TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 4-15 506 A South Iredell ( 0-18, 70.8) 25- 1 508 A Mount Tabor ( 5-14, 81.1) 8-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Patton  Morganton      15- 4      11     3    +      2.41
   227 H Asheville HS            8-11      -3    -3          -0.18
   304 A Hickory                 5-20     -15    -8           0.00
   307 A Riverside Durham        9-11      -2    -2          -0.44
   308 H Cary HS                 6- 8      -2     0          -1.96
   311 H St Stephens             5-17     -12    -5           0.00
   313 H North Lincoln           2-14     -12    -8           0.00
   318 A TC Roberson             3-16     -13   -10           0.00
   320 H West Forsyth            4-14     -10    -5          -0.09
   327 H Patton  Morganton      11-10       1     3    -     -2.13
   401 A Asheville HS            7-11      -4    -3          -0.64
   403 A Voyager Academy        14- 8       6     2    +      3.18
   408 H Hickory                 7-22     -15    -8           0.00
   410 A St Stephens             7-13      -6    -6           0.00
   414 A West Stokes             4- 6      -2     1    -     -2.55
   417 H Asheville School        8- 7       1     0           0.98
   428 H West Stokes            13- 5       8     1    +      3.91
   429 A North Lincoln           4-18     -14    -9           0.00
   501 H TC Roberson             4-15     -11    -9           0.00
   506 A South Iredell          25- 1      24     8           0.00
   508 A Mount Tabor             8-15      -7    -2    -     -2.51

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Patton  Morganton      11-10       1     3    -     -2.13
   414 A West Stokes             4- 6      -2     1    -     -2.55
   508 A Mount Tabor             8-15      -7    -2    -     -2.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Patton  Morganton      15- 4      11     3    +      2.41
   403 A Voyager Academy        14- 8       6     2    +      3.18
   428 H West Stokes            13- 5       8     1    +      3.91

Watauga Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Asheville HS Asheville HS  
Asheville School Watauga Watauga  
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Bradford Prep tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bradford Prep
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Watauga tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Watauga
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Watauga   Watauga
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian Cary Christian   Cary Christian
Cary HS Cary HS Cary HS  
Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Cedar Ridge
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King Christ The King   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland Cleveland   Cleveland
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie Davie   3- 0 vs 1- 1
DH Conley Watauga   Watauga
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Watauga tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Watauga
Eastern Guilford Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Watauga
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fike Watauga   Watauga
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Garner   Garner
Glenn Glenn tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 3) Glenn
Grays Creek Watauga   Watauga
Green Hope Green Hope insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Green Hope
Green Level Green Level insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grimsley
Havelock Havelock   Havelock
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory Hickory  
High Point Central Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Watauga
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Holly Springs
Hough Hough tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hough
Hunt Watauga   Watauga
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Watauga tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Watauga
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi Watauga   Watauga
Jordan Jordan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor Mount Tabor  
Mountain Island Char Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Watauga
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick Watauga   Watauga
North Davidson Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Watauga
North Lincoln North Lincoln North Lincoln  
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ   North Raleigh Christ
Northern Durham Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Watauga
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton Watauga Watauga  
Pine Forest Watauga   Watauga
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Watauga   Watauga
Providence Providence insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Watauga
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan Reagan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham Riverside Durham  
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Rolesville Watauga   Watauga
Roxboro Community Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Watauga
Sanderson Sanderson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Garner South Garner insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Garner
South Iredell Watauga Watauga  
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) South Mecklenburg
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Watauga
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Southeast Guilford
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Southwest Guilford Watauga   Watauga
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Stephens St Stephens St Stephens  
Sun Valley Sun Valley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Sun Valley
Swansboro Watauga   Watauga
TC Roberson TC Roberson TC Roberson  
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Vance Charter Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Watauga
Voyager Academy Watauga Watauga  
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wake Prep Watauga tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Watauga
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Walter M Williams
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Watauga   Watauga
West Carteret Watauga   Watauga
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth  
West Stokes Watauga tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) Watauga
Western Alamance Watauga   Watauga
Western Guilford Watauga tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Watauga
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 34


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Patton  Morgan  ( 2-13, 76.0)    15- 4      -23.90       9.91       0.27         0.85             8.70
   0 H Asheville HS    ( 5- 8, 82.0)     8-11      -17.94      15.87      -0.27         0.85           -15.55
   0 A Hickory         (13- 5, 86.8)     5-20      -13.13      20.68       0.27         0.85           -10.98
   0 A Riverside Durh  ( 9- 8, 80.1)     9-11      -19.75      14.06       0.27         0.85           -16.64
   0 H Cary HS         ( 7-17, 79.2)     6- 8      -20.72      13.08      -0.27         0.85           -17.93
   0 H St Stephens     (12- 8, 84.5)     5-17      -15.37      18.44      -0.27         0.85           -13.36
   0 H North Lincoln   (15- 7, 87.5)     2-14      -12.38      21.43      -0.27         0.85           -10.80
   0 A TC Roberson     (13- 2, 88.5)     3-16      -11.44      22.37       0.27         0.85            -9.54
   0 H West Forsyth    (12-10, 84.0)     4-14      -15.86      17.95      -0.27         0.85           -13.77
   0 H Patton  Morgan  ( 2-13, 76.0)    11-10      -23.90       9.91      -0.27         0.85             8.23
   0 A Asheville HS    ( 5- 8, 82.0)     7-11      -17.94      15.87       0.27         0.85           -15.09
   0 A Voyager Academ  (10- 9, 76.8)    14- 8      -23.13      10.68       0.27         0.85             9.35
   0 H Hickory         (13- 5, 86.8)     7-22      -13.13      20.68      -0.27         0.85           -11.45
   0 A St Stephens     (12- 8, 84.5)     7-13      -15.37      18.44       0.27         0.85           -12.90
   0 A West Stokes     ( 8- 9, 78.0)     4- 6      -21.85      11.95       0.27         0.85           -18.43
   0 H Asheville Scho  ( 0-10, 79.1)     8- 7      -20.79      13.02      -0.27         0.85            10.89
   0 H West Stokes     ( 8- 9, 78.0)    13- 5      -21.85      11.95      -0.27         0.85             9.98
   0 A North Lincoln   (15- 7, 87.5)     4-18      -12.38      21.43       0.27         0.85           -10.34
   0 H TC Roberson     (13- 2, 88.5)     4-15      -11.44      22.37      -0.27         0.85           -10.00
   0 A South Iredell   ( 0-18, 70.8)    25- 1      -29.06       4.75       0.27         0.85             4.29
   0 A Mount Tabor     ( 5-14, 81.1)     8-15      -18.81      15.00       0.27         0.85           -15.83
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -151.17

winning pts = 51.4365 losing points = -202.6051

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------