All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 75.2399979 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Herndon ( 8- 4, 80.7) 4-12 322 H McLean (10- 8, 78.9) 7- 8 324 A Woodson (11- 9, 76.9) 3- 2 328 A Marshall ( 3- 9, 68.2) 10- 2 329 H Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 75.3) 4- 5 401 H Centreville ( 3- 9, 75.2) 4- 5 403 H Patriot ( 8- 8, 75.4) 8- 7 409 H Langley (16- 5, 84.8) 3-12 412 N Fairfax ( 6-10, 72.3) 7- 9 414 N Edison ( 9- 8, 68.8) 12- 3 422 H Chantilly ( 9- 5, 81.3) 4-15 425 A Madison (17- 2, 85.2) 1-14 429 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 82.4) 8-13 501 A South Lakes ( 4-12, 73.4) 6- 5 512 A Oakton (14- 6, 81.6) 1-17 515 A Centreville ( 3- 9, 75.2) 12-11 519 A Madison (17- 2, 85.2) 4-15 523 A Yorktown (12- 9, 80.4) 13-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H Herndon 4-12 -8 -4 - -2.29 322 H McLean 7- 8 -1 -2 1.85 324 A Woodson 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.44 328 A Marshall 10- 2 8 6 0.79 329 H Lake Braddock 4- 5 -1 0 -1.75 401 H Centreville 4- 5 -1 0 -1.78 403 H Patriot 8- 7 1 0 0.35 409 H Langley 3-12 -9 -8 0.00 412 N Fairfax 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.92 414 N Edison 12- 3 9 6 0.55 422 H Chantilly 4-15 -11 -5 -1.76 425 A Madison 1-14 -13 -10 0.00 429 A Briar Woods 8-13 -5 -7 + 2.00 501 A South Lakes 6- 5 1 1 -0.05 512 A Oakton 1-17 -16 -7 0.00 515 A Centreville 12-11 1 0 1.78 519 A Madison 4-15 -11 -10 0.00 523 A Yorktown 13-14 -1 -5 ++ 4.95UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 N Fairfax 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.92 320 H Herndon 4-12 -8 -4 - -2.29OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 A Yorktown 13-14 -1 -5 ++ 4.95 324 A Woodson 3- 2 1 -2 + 3.44 429 A Briar Woods 8-13 -5 -7 + 2.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 75.24 Power Rank................. 62 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 53.91 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 33 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6595 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 24 RPI Rating............... .4934 RPI Rank................... 83 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 170 Selection sum ........... 256 Selection Rank ............ 78 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -240. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 156 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -210. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 149 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7