Western Albemarle
W-L: (14- 5) PR = 86.7423Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Rockbridge County ( 4- 9, 81.4) 22- 5 322 A EC Glass (11- 5, 88.7) 7- 6 409 H Salem (17- 3, 91.8) 2-10 411 A Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 10-11 416 A Patrick Henry Roano (10- 5, 88.2) 8- 7 418 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 15- 5 425 H Monacan ( 9- 9, 82.5) 12- 8 429 H Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 8- 6 502 H Powhatan ( 2-14, 77.0) 2- 0 503 H Jefferson Forest (14- 3, 89.0) 10-12 506 H Orange County ( 4-12, 79.8) 17- 4 514 A Fluvanna County ( 5- 9, 79.3) 14- 2 516 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 6- 5 520 H Charlottesville ( 3-11, 78.8) 14- 2 521 A Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 10- 8 527 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 17- 7 529 A Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 14- 7 603 A Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 8-10 606 N Atlee (10- 9, 90.9) 5-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H Rockbridge County 22- 5 17 6 0.00
322 A EC Glass 7- 6 1 -3 + 3.55
409 H Salem 2-10 -8 -4 -0.57
411 A Meridian 10-11 -1 -1 -0.05
416 A Patrick Henry Roano 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.10
418 H Goochland 15- 5 10 5 0.29
425 H Monacan 12- 8 4 5 -0.89
429 H Albemarle 8- 6 2 3 -0.75
502 H Powhatan 2- 0 2 10 - -3.00
503 H Jefferson Forest 10-12 -2 -2 -0.30
506 H Orange County 17- 4 13 8 0.00
514 A Fluvanna County 14- 2 12 7 0.00
516 A Monticello 6- 5 1 -1 1.71
520 H Charlottesville 14- 2 12 9 0.00
521 A Albemarle 10- 8 2 2 0.47
527 H Goochland 17- 7 10 5 0.29
529 A Brentsville 14- 7 7 2 + 3.49
603 A Meridian 8-10 -2 -1 -1.05
606 N Atlee 5-12 -7 -4 -0.88
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Powhatan 2- 0 2 10 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A EC Glass 7- 6 1 -3 + 3.55 416 A Patrick Henry Roano 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.10 529 A Brentsville 14- 7 7 2 + 3.49 |
Western Albemarle Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Western Albemarle | |
| Annandale | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Blacksburg | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Briar Woods | |
| Broad Run | Broad Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Broad Run | |
| Brooke Point | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Centreville | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Christchurch | |
| Christiansburg | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Clover Hill | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Colgan | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Collegiate School | |
| Colonial Forge | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Cosby | |
| Covenant School | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Cox | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Culpeper County | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Dominion | Western Albemarle | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| EC Glass | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Edison | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Fairfax | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Falls Church | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Fauquier | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| First Colonial | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Flint Hill | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Fluvanna County | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Forest Park | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Freedom South Ridin | |
| Freedom Woodbridge | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Glen Allen | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Goochland | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Grafton LC | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Grassfield LC | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Green Run | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Handley | Western Albemarle | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Hanover | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Western Albemarle | |
| Hayfield | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Hidden Valley | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Highland School | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Highland Springs | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Hylton | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Independence | Independence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Independence | |
| James Monroe | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| James River | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Justice | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Kettle Run | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lafayette LC | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Lake Braddock | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Landstown | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Western Albemarle | |
| Lightridge | Western Albemarle | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Lloyd C Bird | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Madison | Madison | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Madison | |
| Manchester | Western Albemarle | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Western Albemarle | |
| Marshall | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Massaponax | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Matoaca | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Maury LC | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Western Albemarle | |
| Menchville LC | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | Meridian | ||
| Midlothian | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Western Albemarle | |
| Mills Godwin | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Monacan | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Monticello | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Mount Vernon | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Mountain View | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| New Covenant School | Western Albemarle | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | North Cross School | |
| North Stafford | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oakton | |
| Ocean Lakes | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Orange County | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Osbourn | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Osbourn Park | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Park View | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Patriot | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Powhatan | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Princess Anne | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Riverbend | Western Albemarle | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Western Albemarle | |
| Riverside | Riverside | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Riverside | |
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Rockbridge County | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Rockingham LC | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Seton School | Western Albemarle | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| South County | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| South Lakes | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Christophers | |
| St John Paul the Gre | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Steward School | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Tabb LC | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Tallwood | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Tandem Friends | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Thomas Dale | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Trinity Christian | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Western Albemarle | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Tuscarora | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Unity Reed | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Veritas School | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Virginia Academy | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Western Albemarle | |
| Wakefield HS | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Wakefield School | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| William Byrd | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| William Fleming | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Woodbridge | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Woodgrove | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 130
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Rockbridge Cou ( 4- 9, 81.4) 22- 5 -18.46 16.54 -0.61 0.73 11.69
0 A EC Glass (11- 5, 88.7) 7- 6 -11.22 23.78 0.61 0.73 17.90
0 H Salem (17- 3, 91.8) 2-10 -8.12 26.88 -0.61 0.73 -6.41
0 A Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 10-11 -12.81 22.19 0.61 0.73 -8.96
0 A Patrick Henry (10- 5, 88.2) 8- 7 -11.66 23.34 0.61 0.73 17.58
0 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 15- 5 -17.26 17.75 -0.61 0.73 12.58
0 H Monacan ( 9- 9, 82.5) 12- 8 -17.44 17.56 -0.61 0.73 12.44
0 H Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 8- 6 -15.30 19.70 -0.61 0.73 14.01
0 H Powhatan ( 2-14, 77.0) 2- 0 -22.91 12.09 -0.61 0.73 8.43
0 H Jefferson Fore (14- 3, 89.0) 10-12 -10.85 24.15 -0.61 0.73 -8.41
0 H Orange County ( 4-12, 79.8) 17- 4 -20.14 14.86 -0.61 0.73 10.46
0 A Fluvanna Count ( 5- 9, 79.3) 14- 2 -20.61 14.40 0.61 0.73 11.01
0 A Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 6- 5 -13.06 21.95 0.61 0.73 16.55
0 H Charlottesvill ( 3-11, 78.8) 14- 2 -21.10 13.90 -0.61 0.73 9.76
0 A Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 10- 8 -15.30 19.70 0.61 0.73 14.91
0 H Goochland (12- 5, 82.6) 17- 7 -17.26 17.75 -0.61 0.73 12.58
0 A Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 14- 7 -15.28 19.72 0.61 0.73 14.92
0 A Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 8-10 -12.81 22.19 0.61 0.73 -8.96
0 N Atlee (10- 9, 90.9) 5-12 -9.04 25.96 -0.00 0.73 -6.63
------
145.45
|
winning pts = 184.8112 losing points = -39.3661
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------