---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Western Alamance 1
  
Western Alamance      
W-L: ( 2-17) PR = 74.0135

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Eastern Guilford ( 3-15, 71.3) 15- 4 307 H Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 77.3) 6-17 311 A Southeast Alamance ( 7-17, 75.0) 8- 9 318 H Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 7-19 319 H Cedar Ridge (11-10, 81.5) 7-18 321 A Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 5-17 325 H Walter M Williams (11-11, 82.0) 4-19 401 H Western Guilford ( 6-14, 77.2) 5-15 404 H Southern Alamance (19- 5, 84.6) 7-16 408 A Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 77.3) 13- 3 409 H Hillsborough Orange (21- 5, 88.0) 4-16 421 H Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 1-15 424 A Southern Alamance (19- 5, 84.6) 7-18 425 A Walter M Williams (11-11, 82.0) 3-16 429 H Hillsborough Orange (21- 5, 88.0) 4-18 430 H Southeast Alamance ( 7-17, 75.0) 8- 9 502 A Cedar Ridge (11-10, 81.5) 5-18 505 A Eastern Guilford ( 3-15, 71.3) 9-13 507 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 1-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Eastern Guilford       15- 4      11     3           2.00
   307 H Eastern Alamance        6-17     -11    -3    -     -2.01
   311 A Southeast Alamance      8- 9      -1    -1           0.27
   318 H Seaforth                7-19     -12   -14           0.00
   319 H Cedar Ridge             7-18     -11    -7           0.00
   321 A Northwood               5-17     -12    -8           0.00
   325 H Walter M Williams       4-19     -15    -8           0.00
   401 H Western Guilford        5-15     -10    -3    -     -2.09
   404 H Southern Alamance       7-16      -9   -10           0.00
   408 A Eastern Alamance       13- 3      10    -4    +++    8.54
   409 H Hillsborough Orange     4-16     -12   -14           0.00
   421 H Northwood               1-15     -14    -7           0.00
   424 A Southern Alamance       7-18     -11   -11           0.00
   425 A Walter M Williams       3-16     -13    -8           0.00
   429 H Hillsborough Orange     4-18     -14   -14           0.00
   430 H Southeast Alamance      8- 9      -1    -1          -0.28
   502 A Cedar Ridge             5-18     -13    -8           0.00
   505 A Eastern Guilford        9-13      -4     2    ---   -6.46
   507 A Seaforth                1-21     -20   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Eastern Guilford        9-13      -4     2    ---   -6.46
   307 H Eastern Alamance        6-17     -11    -3    -     -2.01
   401 H Western Guilford        5-15     -10    -3    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Eastern Alamance       13- 3      10    -4    +++    8.54

Western Alamance Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Bradford Prep   Bradford Prep
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Butler   Butler
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro Carrboro   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian Cary Christian   Cary Christian
Cary HS Cary HS   Cary HS
Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge  
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Christ The King
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland Cleveland   Cleveland
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Western Alamance   Western Alamance
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   3- 0 vs 0- 3
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Eastern Alamance insuffient: ( 0- 7)( 1- 6) Eastern Alamance
Eastern Guilford Western Alamance tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Western Alamance
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fike Western Alamance tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Alamance
First Flight First Flight insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Garner   Garner
Glenn Glenn insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glenn
Grays Creek Grays Creek   Grays Creek
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Grimsley
Havelock Havelock tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Havelock
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Western Alamance insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Western Alamance
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange  
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Western Alamance   Western Alamance
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Jack Britt   Jack Britt
Jacksonville Jacksonville tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Jacksonville
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi John Paul II Catholi   John Paul II Catholi
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mount Tabor
Mountain Island Char Western Alamance   Western Alamance
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick North Brunswick   North Brunswick
North Davidson North Davidson tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) North Davidson
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ   North Raleigh Christ
Northern Durham Western Alamance   Western Alamance
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Northern Guilford
Northside Northside tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood Northwood  
Page Page insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton Patton Morganton   Patton Morganton
Pine Forest Western Alamance   Western Alamance
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Western Alamance   Western Alamance
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Ragsdale tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ragsdale
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Riverside Durham
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Rolesville   Rolesville
Roxboro Community Western Alamance tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Western Alamance
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth Seaforth  
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Garner South Garner   South Garner
South Iredell Western Alamance   Western Alamance
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Southeast Alamance Southeast Alamance  
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Southeast Guilford
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance Southern Alamance  
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford   Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 1) Union Pines
Vance Charter Western Alamance tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Alamance
Voyager Academy Voyager Academy tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) Voyager Academy
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wake Prep Wake Prep   Wake Prep
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams Walter M Williams  
Watauga Watauga   Watauga
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Carteret West Carteret   West Carteret
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Stokes West Stokes insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) West Stokes
Western Guilford Western Guilford Western Guilford  
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 12


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Eastern Guilfo  ( 3-15, 71.3)    15- 4      -28.62       5.19      -0.27         0.94             4.64
   0 H Eastern Alaman  ( 5-15, 77.3)     6-17      -22.62      11.19      -0.27         0.94           -21.61
   0 A Southeast Alam  ( 7-17, 75.0)     8- 9      -24.89       8.92       0.27         0.94           -23.24
   0 H Seaforth        (18- 3, 88.0)     7-19      -11.88      21.93      -0.27         0.94           -11.47
   0 H Cedar Ridge     (11-10, 81.5)     7-18      -18.40      15.41      -0.27         0.94           -17.62
   0 A Northwood       ( 8-13, 81.8)     5-17      -18.13      15.68       0.27         0.94           -16.86
   0 H Walter M Willi  (11-11, 82.0)     4-19      -17.94      15.87      -0.27         0.94           -17.19
   0 H Western Guilfo  ( 6-14, 77.2)     5-15      -22.70      11.11      -0.27         0.94           -21.68
   0 H Southern Alama  (19- 5, 84.6)     7-16      -15.26      18.55      -0.27         0.94           -14.66
   0 A Eastern Alaman  ( 5-15, 77.3)    13- 3      -22.62      11.19       0.27         0.94            10.82
   0 H Hillsborough O  (21- 5, 88.0)     4-16      -11.89      21.92      -0.27         0.94           -11.48
   0 H Northwood       ( 8-13, 81.8)     1-15      -18.13      15.68      -0.27         0.94           -17.37
   0 A Southern Alama  (19- 5, 84.6)     7-18      -15.26      18.55       0.27         0.94           -14.15
   0 A Walter M Willi  (11-11, 82.0)     3-16      -17.94      15.87       0.27         0.94           -16.68
   0 H Hillsborough O  (21- 5, 88.0)     4-18      -11.89      21.92      -0.27         0.94           -11.48
   0 H Southeast Alam  ( 7-17, 75.0)     8- 9      -24.89       8.92      -0.27         0.94           -23.75
   0 A Cedar Ridge     (11-10, 81.5)     5-18      -18.40      15.41       0.27         0.94           -17.11
   0 A Eastern Guilfo  ( 3-15, 71.3)     9-13      -28.62       5.19       0.27         0.94           -26.75
   0 A Seaforth        (18- 3, 88.0)     1-21      -11.88      21.93       0.27         0.94           -10.96
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -278.59

winning pts = 15.4608 losing points = -294.0486

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------