All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.4800034 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 7- 7, 62.1) 28- 1 311 A Sayre (11- 5, 72.7) 12- 5 314 H Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 72.5) 18- 5 322 A Frederick Douglass (15- 5, 74.5) 9- 5 324 A South Oldham (16- 6, 84.4) 8-10 415 A Trinity Louisville (15- 7, 88.5) 7-16 418 H Tates Creek ( 3-14, 62.4) 27- 1 419 H Christian Academy-Loui ( 9- 5, 71.6) 22- 4 424 A Bryan Station ( 1-13, 52.8) 29- 0 502 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 70.8) 20- 5 505 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 64.8) 19- 1 507 A Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 72.6) 21- 6 510 N Lafayette ( 9- 6, 64.8) 32- 1 512 A Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 72.6) 21- 7 514 H Henry Clay (13- 6, 71.9) 17- 5 517 A Frederick Douglass (15- 5, 74.5) 16- 6 519 N South Oldham (16- 6, 84.4) 11-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Paul Laurence Dunbar 28- 1 27 20 0.00 311 A Sayre 12- 5 7 7 0.00 314 H Ballard Louisville 18- 5 13 9 0.00 322 A Frederick Douglass 9- 5 4 6 - -2.00 324 A South Oldham 8-10 -2 -3 1.90 415 A Trinity Louisville 7-16 -9 -8 0.00 418 H Tates Creek 27- 1 26 20 0.00 419 H Christian Academy-Loui 22- 4 18 10 0.00 424 A Bryan Station 29- 0 29 27 0.00 502 H Lexington Christian 20- 5 15 11 0.00 505 H Lafayette 19- 1 18 17 0.00 507 A Lexington Catholic 21- 6 15 7 0.00 510 N Lafayette 32- 1 31 16 0.00 512 A Lexington Catholic 21- 7 14 7 0.00 514 H Henry Clay 17- 5 12 10 0.00 517 A Frederick Douglass 16- 6 10 6 1.00 519 N South Oldham 11-15 -4 -2 -1.07UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Frederick Douglass 9- 5 4 6 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 81.48 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 44.62 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 8 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7227 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 3 RPI Rating............... .6810 RPI Rank................... 3 Champ. Probability ...... 7.0 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 8 Selection Rank ............ 3 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 190. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 2 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 195. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 2 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 18.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 5.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 13.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0