List of boy Div 157 Ward Melville List of Team Values for NY Section 11


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Garden City             7-17     -10    -8          n/a  
   326 H Huntington             10- 1       9    -5    +++   12.19
   331 A Middle Country         19- 6      13     7           0.00
   408 A Lindenhurst            12-10       2     4    -     -2.43
   411 H Commack                16- 1      15     1    ++     5.81
   415 H Connetquot             15- 4      11     0    +++    7.40
   417 A Riverhead              15- 4      11     8           0.00
   421 A William Floyd          14-11       3     3          -0.99
   425 H Lincoln-Sudbury Region  5- 6      -1    -4          n/a  
   427 H Walt Whitman           17- 3      14    10           0.00
   429 A Northport               4-17     -13    -8           0.00
   501 H Sachem East            14- 8       6     6          -0.66
   506 H Sachem North           10- 9       1    -2    +      3.08
   508 H North Babylon          15- 3      12    17           0.00
   512 A Half Hollow Hills       8- 9      -1   -10    +++    6.00
   514 A South Fork Unified     16- 5      11     8           0.00
   522 H Sachem East             6- 4       2     6    --    -4.66
   527 N Sachem North           10-13      -3    -2          -0.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 H Sachem East             6- 4       2     6    --    -4.66
   408 A Lindenhurst            12-10       2     4    -     -2.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Huntington             10- 1       9    -5    +++   12.19
   415 H Connetquot             15- 4      11     0    +++    7.40
   512 A Half Hollow Hills       8- 9      -1   -10    +++    6.00
   411 H Commack                16- 1      15     1    ++     5.81
   425 H Lincoln-Sudbury Region  5- 6      -1    -4    +          
   506 H Sachem North           10- 9       1    -2    +      3.08



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 85.12 Power Rank.................    13
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 64.22 SOS (PR) Rank..............    10
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5908 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    17
 RPI Rating............... .6347 RPI Rank...................     7
 Champ. Probability ......   2.2 Championship Rank .........    12
 Selection sum ...........    30 Selection Rank ............     8
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  100. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     5
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   95. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     6
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  11.8 Ave Defensive Goals .......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3