List of boy Div 157 Ward Melville List of Team Values for NY Section 11


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Garden City             7-17     -10    -8          n/a  
   326 H Huntington             10- 1       9    -5    +++   12.10
   331 A Middle Country         19- 6      13     7           0.00
   408 A Lindenhurst            12-10       2     4    -     -2.34
   411 H Commack                16- 1      15     1    ++     5.72
   415 H Connetquot             15- 4      11     0    +++    7.31
   417 A Riverhead              15- 4      11     8           0.00
   421 A William Floyd          14-11       3     3          -0.90
   425 H Lincoln-Sudbury Region  5- 6      -1    -4          n/a  
   427 H Walt Whitman           17- 3      14    10           0.00
   429 A Northport               4-17     -13    -8           0.00
   501 H Sachem East            14- 8       6     6          -0.75
   506 H Sachem North           10- 9       1    -1    +      2.99
   508 H North Babylon          15- 3      12    17           0.00
   512 A Half Hollow Hills       8- 9      -1   -10    +++    6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Lindenhurst            12-10       2     4    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Huntington             10- 1       9    -5    +++   12.10
   415 H Connetquot             15- 4      11     0    +++    7.31
   512 A Half Hollow Hills       8- 9      -1   -10    +++    6.00
   411 H Commack                16- 1      15     1    ++     5.72
   425 H Lincoln-Sudbury Region  5- 6      -1    -4    +          
   506 H Sachem North           10- 9       1    -1    +      2.99



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 85.12 Power Rank.................    13
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 65.28 SOS (PR) Rank..............     9
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5834 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    18
 RPI Rating............... .6375 RPI Rank...................     5
 Champ. Probability ......   6.7 Championship Rank .........     6
 Selection sum ...........    28 Selection Rank ............     8
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....   95. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     5
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   90. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     5
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  12.1 Ave Defensive Goals .......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0