All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.3799973 home-field advantage = -0.71 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Arlington HS (13- 6, 78.1) 11- 7 403 H Woburn Memorial ( 5-13, 72.3) 21- 5 409 A Belmont ( 5-14, 74.3) 13- 3 411 A Melrose ( 9- 9, 78.1) 10- 4 415 A Stoneham ( 4-15, 69.0) 15-10 417 H Masconomet (13- 6, 77.2) 13-11 421 H Marblehead (10- 9, 77.4) 11- 9 423 A Chelmsford ( 2-17, 77.5) 13- 3 424 H North Reading (10-10, 75.2) 11- 5 430 H Winchester (13- 8, 85.9) 7-16 502 A Reading Memorial (19- 4, 87.4) 6-14 508 H Lexington ( 9-10, 77.5) 13- 6 510 H Danvers ( 6-12, 71.4) 17- 3 513 H Burlington (11- 9, 81.0) 7-10 519 A Watertown ( 4-13, 64.3) 22- 2 521 H Wilmington ( 4-14, 70.6) 21- 7 523 H Manchester-Essex Reg (17- 5, 79.2) 13- 4 602 H Ashland ( 9-10, 73.2) 11- 5 603 H East Longmeadow (13- 4, 77.8) 12- 6 606 A Medfield (18- 4, 89.2) 5-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Arlington HS 11- 7 4 2 1.56 403 H Woburn Memorial 21- 5 16 9 0.00 409 A Belmont 13- 3 10 6 0.73 411 A Melrose 10- 4 6 2 + 3.53 415 A Stoneham 15-10 5 11 - -2.00 417 H Masconomet 13-11 2 5 - -3.02 421 H Marblehead 11- 9 2 4 - -2.84 423 A Chelmsford 13- 3 10 2 ++ 4.01 424 H North Reading 11- 5 6 6 -0.99 430 H Winchester 7-16 -9 -3 - -3.30 502 A Reading Memorial 6-14 -8 -6 -0.14 508 H Lexington 13- 6 7 4 + 2.31 510 H Danvers 17- 3 14 10 0.00 513 H Burlington 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.22 519 A Watertown 22- 2 20 16 0.00 521 H Wilmington 21- 7 14 11 0.00 523 H Manchester-Essex Reg 13- 4 9 3 + 3.99 602 H Ashland 11- 5 6 9 -1.00 603 H East Longmeadow 12- 6 6 4 1.56 606 A Medfield 5-18 -13 -8 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 H Burlington 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.22 415 A Stoneham 15-10 5 11 - -2.00 417 H Masconomet 13-11 2 5 - -3.02 421 H Marblehead 11- 9 2 4 - -2.84 430 H Winchester 7-16 -9 -3 - -3.30OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Chelmsford 13- 3 10 2 ++ 4.01 411 A Melrose 10- 4 6 2 + 3.53 508 H Lexington 13- 6 7 4 + 2.31 523 H Manchester-Essex Reg 13- 4 9 3 + 3.99
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 81.38 Power Rank................. 35 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 52.33 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 65 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6411 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 69 RPI Rating............... .5846 RPI Rank................... 40 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 195 Selection sum ........... 149 Selection Rank ............ 40 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 29 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -5. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 40 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3