---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:05 PDT

safe3step boys Watertown 1
  
Watertown             
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 85.8582

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A East Syracuse-Minoa ( 9- 8, 83.5) 14- 5 405 A Skaneateles (14- 3, 87.6) 12- 9 410 A General Brown (11- 7, 81.6) 16- 9 412 H Fayetteville-Manlius ( 7- 8, 88.4) 7-15 415 H South Jefferson ( 6-11, 79.2) 14- 7 429 A Carthage ( 6-12, 79.2) 18- 4 501 H General Brown (11- 7, 81.6) 14- 6 503 A Lowville (13- 4, 80.5) 19- 7 506 H Indian River ( 6-11, 76.0) 20- 2 508 A South Jefferson ( 6-11, 79.2) 14- 5 509 A Marcellus (14- 5, 87.7) 13-16 512 A Thousand Islands ( 5-11, 71.2) 18- 7 515 H Carthage ( 6-12, 79.2) 16- 7 516 A Liverpool ( 5-11, 85.0) 10-17 521 H Jamesville-DeWitt (17- 4, 91.5) 7-17 531 H East Syracuse-Minoa ( 9- 8, 83.5) 15- 6 604 N Christian Brothers S (14- 4, 86.0) 6- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A East Syracuse-Minoa    14- 5       9     2    +      3.08
   405 A Skaneateles            12- 9       3    -2    ++     5.14
   410 A General Brown          16- 9       7     4           1.12
   412 H Fayetteville-Manlius    7-15      -8    -2    -     -2.84
   415 H South Jefferson        14- 7       7     7           0.00
   429 A Carthage               18- 4      14     6           0.00
   501 H General Brown          14- 6       8     5           0.29
   503 A Lowville               19- 7      12     5           0.06
   506 H Indian River           20- 2      18    10           0.00
   508 A South Jefferson        14- 5       9     6           0.00
   509 A Marcellus              13-16      -3    -2          -0.70
   512 A Thousand Islands       18- 7      11    14           0.00
   515 H Carthage               16- 7       9     7           0.00
   516 A Liverpool              10-17      -7     0    --    -5.43
   521 H Jamesville-DeWitt       7-17     -10    -5           0.00
   531 H East Syracuse-Minoa    15- 6       9     3    +      2.25
   604 N Christian Brothers S    6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Liverpool              10-17      -7     0    --    -5.43
   412 H Fayetteville-Manlius    7-15      -8    -2    -     -2.84
   604 N Christian Brothers S    6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Skaneateles            12- 9       3    -2    ++     5.14
   401 A East Syracuse-Minoa    14- 5       9     2    +      3.08
   531 H East Syracuse-Minoa    15- 6       9     3    +      2.25

Watertown Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albert Tuitt Watertown   Watertown
AP Randolph Watertown   Watertown
Bronx HS Science Watertown   Watertown
Brooklyn Tech Watertown   Watertown
Cardozo Watertown   Watertown
Columbus Watertown   Watertown
Curtis Watertown   Watertown
Dalton School Watertown   Watertown
Eagle Academy Watertown   Watertown
Fieldston School Watertown   Watertown
Frederick Douglass Watertown   Watertown
Hackley School Watertown   Watertown
Herbert Lehman Watertown   Watertown
Horace Mann Watertown   Watertown
Hunter College Watertown   Watertown
Jamaica Watertown   Watertown
James Madison Watertown   Watertown
John Dewey Watertown   Watertown
Long Island City Watertown   Watertown
Long Island Lutheran Watertown   Watertown
Maspeth Watertown   Watertown
Midwood Watertown   Watertown
New Dorp Watertown   Watertown
Poly Prep Watertown   Watertown
Port Richmond Watertown   Watertown
Portledge School Watertown   Watertown
Riverdale Country Sc Watertown   Watertown
South Bronx Prep Watertown   Watertown
Stony Brook School Watertown   Watertown
Stuyvesant Watertown   Watertown
Susan Wagner Watertown   Watertown
Tottenville Watertown   Watertown
Trinity School Watertown   Watertown
Archbishop Molloy Watertown   Watertown
Archbishop Stepinac Archbishop Stepinac   Archbishop Stepinac
Bishop Loughlin Watertown   Watertown
Cardinal Hayes Watertown   Watertown
Cardinal Spellman Watertown   Watertown
Chaminade Chaminade   Chaminade
Fordham Prep Watertown   Watertown
Holy Trinity Watertown   Watertown
Iona Prep Iona Prep   Iona Prep
Kellenberg Memorial Kellenberg Memorial   Kellenberg Memorial
Kennedy Catholic Watertown   Watertown
Monsignor Farrell Watertown   Watertown
Moore Catholic Watertown   Watertown
Mount St Michael Watertown   Watertown
St Anthonys St Anthonys   St Anthonys
St Dominic Watertown   Watertown
St John Baptist Watertown   Watertown
St Joseph By-The-Sea Watertown   Watertown
St Marys Manhasset Watertown   Watertown
St Peters Staten Isl Watertown   Watertown
St Raymonds Academy Watertown   Watertown
Xaverian Watertown   Watertown
Xavier Watertown   Watertown
Albertus Magnus Watertown   Watertown
Ardsley Watertown   Watertown
Arlington Watertown   Watertown
Blind Brook Watertown   Watertown
Brewster Watertown   Watertown
Briarcliff Watertown   Watertown
Bronxville Bronxville   Bronxville
Byram Hills Watertown   Watertown
Carmel Watertown   Watertown
Clarkstown North Watertown   Watertown
Clarkstown South Watertown   Watertown
Croton Harmon Watertown   Watertown
Dobbs Ferry Watertown   Watertown
Eastchester Watertown   Watertown
Edgemont Watertown   Watertown
Fox Lane Watertown   Watertown
Haldane Watertown   Watertown
Harrison Watertown   Watertown
Hastings-on-Hudson Watertown   Watertown
Hendrick Hudson Watertown   Watertown
Horace Greeley Horace Greeley   Horace Greeley
Irvington Watertown   Watertown
John Jay-Cross River Watertown   Watertown
Keio Academy Watertown   Watertown
Lakeland-Panas Watertown   Watertown
Mahopac Watertown   Watertown
Mamaroneck Mamaroneck   Mamaroneck
Nanuet Watertown   Watertown
New Rochelle Watertown   Watertown
North Rockland Watertown   Watertown
North Salem Watertown   Watertown
Nyack Watertown   Watertown
Ossining-Peekskill Watertown   Watertown
Pawling Watertown   Watertown
Pearl River Pearl River   Pearl River
Pelham Memorial Pelham Memorial   Pelham Memorial
Pleasantville Pleasantville   Pleasantville
Port Chester Watertown   Watertown
Putnam Valley Watertown   Watertown
Rye HS Rye HS   Rye HS
Rye Neck Watertown   Watertown
Scarsdale Watertown   Watertown
Sleepy Hollow Watertown   Watertown
Somers Somers insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Somers
Suffern Watertown   Watertown
Tappan Zee Tappan Zee   Tappan Zee
Tuckahoe Watertown   Watertown
Wappingers Watertown   Watertown
Westlake Watertown   Watertown
White Plains Watertown   Watertown
Yonkers Watertown   Watertown
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown
Albany HS Watertown   Watertown
Amsterdam/Broadalbin Watertown   Watertown
Averill Park Watertown   Watertown
Ballston Spa Watertown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Watertown
Bethlehem Central Watertown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Watertown
Burnt Hills-Ballston Watertown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Watertown
Christian Brothers A Watertown   Watertown
Colonie Central Watertown   Watertown
Columbia Watertown   Watertown
Glens Falls Watertown   Watertown
Greenwich-Cambridge Watertown   Watertown
Guilderland Watertown   Watertown
Hoosick Falls-Tamara Watertown   Watertown
Hudson Falls Watertown   Watertown
Ichabod Crane-Maple Watertown   Watertown
Johnstown Watertown   Watertown
Lansingburgh Watertown   Watertown
LaSalle Institute Watertown   Watertown
Niskayuna Niskayuna tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Niskayuna
Queensbury Watertown   Watertown
Saratoga Springs Watertown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Watertown
Schenectady/Mohonase Watertown   Watertown
Schuylerville Watertown   Watertown
Scotia-Glenville Watertown   Watertown
Shaker Shaker tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shaker
Shenendehowa Watertown   Watertown
South Glens Falls Watertown   Watertown
Stillwater-Mechanicv Watertown   Watertown
Troy Watertown   Watertown
Voorheesville Watertown   Watertown
Auburn Watertown insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) Watertown
Baldwinsville Baldwinsville insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Baldwinsville
Carthage Watertown Watertown  
Cazenovia Watertown Watertown   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Central Square Watertown insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Watertown
Chittenango Watertown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Watertown
Christian Brothers S Christian Brothers S Christian Brothers S  
Cicero-North Syracus Cicero-North Syracus insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) Cicero-North Syracus
Corcoran-Syracuse Ci Watertown insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Watertown
Cortland Watertown insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Watertown
East Syracuse-Minoa Watertown Watertown  
Fayetteville-Manlius Fayetteville-Manlius Fayetteville-Manlius  
Fulton Watertown Watertown   4- 1 vs 2- 3
General Brown Watertown Watertown  
Holland Patent Watertown Watertown   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Homer Watertown insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Watertown
IHC Watertown Watertown Watertown   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Indian River Watertown Watertown  
Jamesville-DeWitt Jamesville-DeWitt Jamesville-DeWitt  
Jordan-Elbridge Watertown insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Watertown
LaFayette-Onondaga Watertown insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) Watertown
Liverpool Liverpool Liverpool  
Lowville Watertown Watertown  
Marcellus Marcellus Marcellus  
New Hartford Watertown Watertown   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Oswego Watertown Watertown   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Rome Free Academy Watertown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Watertown
Skaneateles Watertown Watertown  
South Jefferson Watertown Watertown  
Thousand Islands Watertown Watertown  
Tully-Fabius-Pompey Watertown Watertown   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Utica Proctor Watertown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Watertown
Vernon-Verona Sheril Watertown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Watertown
West Genesee West Genesee West Genesee   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Westhill Watertown tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Watertown
Whitesboro Watertown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Watertown
Binghamton Watertown   Watertown
Chenango Forks Watertown insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Watertown
Chenango Valley Watertown   Watertown
Corning Corning   Corning
Dryden Watertown   Watertown
Elmira Watertown   Watertown
Horseheads Watertown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Watertown
Ithaca Watertown   Watertown
Johnson City Watertown   Watertown
Maine-Endwell Watertown   Watertown
Owego Apalachin Watertown   Watertown
Seton Catholic Centr Watertown   Watertown
Union-Endicott Watertown   Watertown
Vestal Watertown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Watertown
Watkins Glen/Notre D Watertown   Watertown
Whitney Point Watertown   Watertown
Windsor Central Watertown   Watertown
Aquinas Institute Watertown   Watertown
Batavia-Notre Dame Watertown   Watertown
Bishop Kearney Watertown   Watertown
Bloomfield-Honeoye Watertown   Watertown
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brockport Central Watertown   Watertown
Canandaigua Canandaigua insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Canandaigua
Churchville-Chili Watertown   Watertown
East United Watertown   Watertown
Fairport Fairport   Fairport
Gananda Central Watertown   Watertown
Gates-Chili Watertown   Watertown
Geneva Watertown   Watertown
Greece United Watertown   Watertown
Haverling Watertown   Watertown
Hilton Hilton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hilton
Honeoye Falls-Lima Watertown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Watertown
Irondequoit Irondequoit   Irondequoit
Livonia-Avon Watertown   Watertown
Marcus Whitman Watertown   Watertown
McQuaid Jesuit McQuaid Jesuit McQuaid Jesuit   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Midlakes Watertown   Watertown
Mynderse Academy Watertown   Watertown
Newark Watertown   Watertown
Palmyra-Macedon Watertown   Watertown
Penfield Penfield   Penfield
Penn Yan Penn Yan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Penn Yan
Pittsford Pittsford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pittsford
Rush-Henrietta Watertown   Watertown
Spencerport Spencerport   Spencerport
Victor Victor insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Victor
Waterloo Watertown   Watertown
Wayne Central Watertown   Watertown
Webster Schroeder Watertown   Watertown
Webster Thomas Watertown   Watertown
Akron Watertown   Watertown
Amherst Watertown   Watertown
Bishop Timon-St Jude Watertown   Watertown
Buffalo City Honors Watertown   Watertown
Canisius HS Watertown   Watertown
Clarence Watertown   Watertown
Depew Watertown   Watertown
East Aurora Watertown   Watertown
Eden/North Collins Watertown   Watertown
Frontier Central Watertown   Watertown
Gow School Watertown   Watertown
Gowanda Watertown   Watertown
Grand Island Watertown   Watertown
Hamburg Watertown   Watertown
Iroquois Watertown   Watertown
Kenmore Combined Watertown   Watertown
Lake Shore/Silver Cr Watertown   Watertown
Lancaster Watertown   Watertown
Lewiston-Porter/Niag Watertown   Watertown
Lockport Watertown   Watertown
Medina Watertown   Watertown
Newfane Watertown   Watertown
Niagara Wheatfield Watertown   Watertown
Nichols School Watertown   Watertown
North Tonawanda Watertown   Watertown
Orchard Park Watertown   Watertown
Salamanca/Randolph Watertown   Watertown
St Francis Watertown   Watertown
St Joseph Collegiate Watertown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Watertown
St Marys Lancaster Watertown   Watertown
Starpoint Watertown   Watertown
Sweet Home Watertown   Watertown
Tonawanda Watertown   Watertown
West Seneca East Watertown   Watertown
West Seneca West Watertown   Watertown
Williamsville East Watertown   Watertown
Williamsville North Watertown   Watertown
Williamsville South Watertown   Watertown
Wilson Central Watertown   Watertown
Baldwin Watertown   Watertown
Bellmore JFK Watertown   Watertown
Bethpage Bethpage   Bethpage
Calhoun Watertown   Watertown
Carey Carey   Carey
Clarke Watertown   Watertown
Cold Spring Harbor Cold Spring Harbor   Cold Spring Harbor
Division-Levittown Watertown   Watertown
East Meadow Watertown   Watertown
Elmont Watertown   Watertown
Farmingdale Farmingdale   Farmingdale
Floral Park Watertown   Watertown
Freeport Watertown   Watertown
Friends Academy Watertown   Watertown
Garden City Garden City insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Garden City
Glen Cove Watertown   Watertown
Great Neck North Watertown   Watertown
Great Neck South Watertown   Watertown
Hempstead Watertown   Watertown
Herricks Watertown   Watertown
Hewlett Watertown   Watertown
Hicksville Watertown   Watertown
Island Trees Watertown   Watertown
Jericho Watertown   Watertown
Lawrence Watertown   Watertown
Locust Valley Watertown   Watertown
Long Beach Watertown   Watertown
Lynbrook Watertown   Watertown
MacArthur Levittown Watertown   Watertown
Malverne-ER Watertown   Watertown
Manhasset Manhasset   Manhasset
Massapequa Massapequa   Massapequa
Mepham Watertown   Watertown
Mineola Watertown   Watertown
New Hyde Park Watertown   Watertown
North Shore Watertown   Watertown
Oceanside Watertown   Watertown
Oyster Bay Watertown   Watertown
Plainedge Plainedge   Plainedge
Plainview JFK Watertown   Watertown
Port Washington Port Washington   Port Washington
Roosevelt Watertown   Watertown
Roslyn Watertown   Watertown
Seaford Watertown   Watertown
Sewanhaka Watertown   Watertown
South Side South Side   South Side
Syosset Syosset   Syosset
Uniondale Watertown   Watertown
Valley Stream Centra Watertown   Watertown
Wantagh Wantagh   Wantagh
West Hempstead Watertown   Watertown
Wheatley-Carle Place Watertown   Watertown
Cornwall Watertown   Watertown
Goshen Watertown   Watertown
Highland/Marlboro Watertown   Watertown
Kingston Watertown   Watertown
Middletown Watertown   Watertown
Minisink Valley Watertown   Watertown
Monroe-Woodbury Watertown   Watertown
New Paltz Watertown   Watertown
Newburgh Free Academ Watertown   Watertown
O'Neill Watertown   Watertown
Our Lady of Lourdes Watertown   Watertown
Pine Bush Watertown   Watertown
Red Hook-Pine Plains Watertown   Watertown
Rondout Valley Watertown   Watertown
Roosevelt Hyde Park Watertown   Watertown
Saugerties Watertown   Watertown
Valley Central Watertown   Watertown
Wallkill Watertown   Watertown
Warwick Valley Watertown   Watertown
Washingtonville Watertown   Watertown
Canton Central Watertown   Watertown
Malone Watertown   Watertown
Massena Central Watertown   Watertown
Ogdensburg Free Acad Watertown   Watertown
Plattsburgh Watertown   Watertown
Potsdam Central Watertown   Watertown
Salmon River Watertown   Watertown
Saranac Lake-Lake Pl Watertown   Watertown
St Lawrence Central Watertown   Watertown
Babylon Watertown   Watertown
Bay Shore Watertown   Watertown
Bayport-Blue Point Bayport-Blue Point   Bayport-Blue Point
Bellport Watertown   Watertown
Brentwood Watertown   Watertown
Center Moriches Watertown   Watertown
Commack Commack   Commack
Comsewogue Comsewogue   Comsewogue
Connetquot Connetquot   Connetquot
Copiague Watertown   Watertown
Deer Park Watertown   Watertown
East Islip East Islip   East Islip
Eastport-South Manor Watertown   Watertown
Half Hollow Hills Half Hollow Hills   Half Hollow Hills
Harborfields Harborfields   Harborfields
Hauppauge Watertown   Watertown
Huntington Huntington   Huntington
Islip Islip   Islip
John Glenn - Elwood Watertown   Watertown
Kings Park Kings Park   Kings Park
Lindenhurst Watertown   Watertown
Longwood Watertown   Watertown
Mattituck-Greenport Watertown   Watertown
Middle Country Watertown   Watertown
Miller Place Watertown   Watertown
Mount Sinai Mount Sinai   Mount Sinai
North Babylon Watertown   Watertown
Northport Northport   Northport
Patchogue-Medford Watertown   Watertown
Port Jefferson Watertown   Watertown
Riverhead Watertown   Watertown
Rocky Point Watertown   Watertown
Sachem East Watertown   Watertown
Sachem North Sachem North   Sachem North
Sayville Sayville   Sayville
Shoreham-Wading Rive Shoreham-Wading Rive   Shoreham-Wading Rive
Smithtown East Smithtown East   Smithtown East
Smithtown West Smithtown West   Smithtown West
South Fork Unified Watertown   Watertown
Walt Whitman Watertown   Watertown
Ward Melville Ward Melville   Ward Melville
West Babylon Watertown   Watertown
West Islip West Islip   West Islip
Westhampton Watertown   Watertown
William Floyd Watertown   Watertown

PowerWise = 323


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.98

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A East Syracuse-  ( 9- 8, 83.5)    14- 5      -16.37      27.22       0.41         0.94            25.99
   0 A Skaneateles     (14- 3, 87.6)    12- 9      -12.32      31.28       0.41         0.94            29.80
   0 A General Brown   (11- 7, 81.6)    16- 9      -18.34      25.26       0.41         0.94            24.14
   0 H Fayetteville-M  ( 7- 8, 88.4)     7-15      -11.46      32.13      -0.41         0.94           -11.17
   0 H South Jefferso  ( 6-11, 79.2)    14- 7      -20.67      22.92      -0.41         0.94            21.16
   0 A Carthage        ( 6-12, 79.2)    18- 4      -20.65      22.94       0.41         0.94            21.96
   0 H General Brown   (11- 7, 81.6)    14- 6      -18.34      25.26      -0.41         0.94            23.36
   0 A Lowville        (13- 4, 80.5)    19- 7      -19.39      24.20       0.41         0.94            23.15
   0 H Indian River    ( 6-11, 76.0)    20- 2      -23.92      19.68      -0.41         0.94            18.11
   0 A South Jefferso  ( 6-11, 79.2)    14- 5      -20.67      22.92       0.41         0.94            21.94
   0 A Marcellus       (14- 5, 87.7)    13-16      -12.16      31.44       0.41         0.94           -11.04
   0 A Thousand Islan  ( 5-11, 71.2)    18- 7      -28.68      14.91       0.41         0.94            14.41
   0 H Carthage        ( 6-12, 79.2)    16- 7      -20.65      22.94      -0.41         0.94            21.18
   0 A Liverpool       ( 5-11, 85.0)    10-17      -14.89      28.71       0.41         0.94           -13.61
   0 H Jamesville-DeW  (17- 4, 91.5)     7-17       -8.40      35.19      -0.41         0.94            -8.29
   0 H East Syracuse-  ( 9- 8, 83.5)    15- 6      -16.37      27.22      -0.41         0.94            25.21
   0 N Christian Brot  (14- 4, 86.0)     6- 9      -13.95      29.65      -0.00         0.94           -13.12
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       213.20

winning pts = 270.4265 losing points = -57.2245

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------