---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys Waconia 1
  
Waconia               
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 87.6927

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 415 H Blake School ( 5-10, 85.8) 11- 3 418 A St Paul/Two Rivers ( 8- 6, 88.8) 6- 7 422 H New Prague ( 9- 6, 93.8) 4-14 424 H Benilde-St Margarets (13- 5, 96.4) 3-16 426 A Hutchinson ( 3-11, 80.5) 13- 2 501 A Mankato United ( 4- 9, 85.5) 10- 8 506 A Orono (13- 3, 94.9) 3-12 508 A Holy Family Catholic ( 4-11, 82.1) 9- 3 513 A Chanhassen ( 6- 9, 91.6) 7-11 515 A Mound Westonka ( 0-13, 74.8) 14- 1 517 H Delano/Rockford (11- 3, 89.7) 8-10 520 H Chaska ( 6- 8, 89.6) 9-16 522 A Bloomington Jefferso ( 7- 6, 94.8) 3-17 527 H Mound Westonka ( 0-13, 74.8) 18- 3 529 A Orono (13- 3, 94.9) 3-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Blake School           11- 3       8     3    +      2.34
   418 A St Paul/Two Rivers      6- 7      -1    -2           0.80
   422 H New Prague              4-14     -10    -5           0.00
   424 H Benilde-St Margarets    3-16     -13    -8           0.00
   426 A Hutchinson             13- 2      11     6           0.00
   501 A Mankato United         10- 8       2     1           0.55
   506 A Orono                   3-12      -9    -8           0.00
   508 A Holy Family Catholic    9- 3       6     5           0.13
   513 A Chanhassen              7-11      -4    -5           0.67
   515 A Mound Westonka         14- 1      13    12           0.00
   517 H Delano/Rockford         8-10      -2    -1          -0.70
   520 H Chaska                  9-16      -7    -1    -     -3.79
   522 A Bloomington Jefferso    3-17     -14    -8           0.00
   527 H Mound Westonka         18- 3      15    14           0.00
   529 A Orono                   3-14     -11    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 H Chaska                  9-16      -7    -1    -     -3.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Blake School           11- 3       8     3    +      2.34

Waconia Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Andover   Andover
Anoka Anoka tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Anoka
Becker Waconia tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Waconia
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets  
Big Lake/Princeton Waconia   Waconia
Blaine Blaine   Blaine
Blake School Waconia Waconia  
Bloomington Jefferso Bloomington Jefferso Bloomington Jefferso  
Bloomington Kennedy/ Waconia tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Waconia
Brainerd Waconia   Waconia
Breck School Waconia tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Waconia
Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Champlin Park Champlin Park tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Champlin Park
Chanhassen Chanhassen Chanhassen  
Chaska Chaska Chaska  
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Cloquet/Esko/Carlton Waconia   Waconia
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford  
Duluth East/Denfield Duluth East/Denfield   Duluth East/Denfield
Duluth Marshall Waconia   Waconia
Eagan Eagan   Eagan
East Ridge East Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Ridge
Eastview/Apple Valle Eastview/Apple Valle tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Eastview/Apple Valle
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie Eden Prairie   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Edina Edina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Forest Lake Waconia   Waconia
Grand Rapids/Greenwa Waconia   Waconia
Hastings Hastings tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hastings
Hermantown/Proctor Waconia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Waconia
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hill-Murray
Holy Angels Waconia insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Waconia
Holy Family Catholic Waconia Waconia  
Hopkins/St Louis Par Hopkins/St Louis Par tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hopkins/St Louis Par
Hutchinson Waconia Waconia  
Irondale Irondale   Irondale
Lakeville North Lakeville North insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lakeville North
Lakeville South Lakeville South tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mahtomedi   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mankato United Waconia Waconia  
Maple Grove Maple Grove tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Maple Grove
Minneapolis United Waconia tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Waconia
Minnetonka Minnetonka Minnetonka   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Monticello Monticello tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monticello
Moorhead Moorhead insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Moorhead
Mound Westonka Waconia Waconia  
Mounds View Mounds View   Mounds View
New Prague New Prague New Prague  
Northfield Northfield tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Northfield
Orono Orono Orono  
Osseo/Park Center Waconia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Waconia
Owatonna Owatonna tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Owatonna
Park Cottage Grove Park Cottage Grove   Park Cottage Grove
Prior Lake Prior Lake insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Prior Lake
Providence Academy Waconia tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Waconia
Robbinsdale Armstron Waconia tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Waconia
Rochester United Waconia insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Waconia
Rocori Waconia tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Waconia
Rogers Rogers tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Rogers
Rosemount Rosemount Rosemount   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
Sartell/Sauk Rapids Waconia   Waconia
Shakopee Shakopee tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Shakopee
Simley Waconia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Waconia
Southwest Christian Waconia tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Waconia
Spring Lake Park/Coo Spring Lake Park/Coo   Spring Lake Park/Coo
St Cloud Unified Waconia   Waconia
St Michael-Albertvil St Michael-Albertvil   St Michael-Albertvil
St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
St Thomas Academy St Thomas Academy St Thomas Academy   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Stillwater Stillwater Stillwater   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Totino Grace Waconia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Waconia
TriMAC Academy Waconia insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Waconia
Wayzata Wayzata tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wayzata
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) White Bear Lake
Woodbury Woodbury tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Woodbury

PowerWise = 28


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Blake School    ( 5-10, 85.8)    11- 3      -14.13      10.94      -0.74         0.98             9.94
   0 A St Paul/Two Ri  ( 8- 6, 88.8)     6- 7      -11.15      13.92       0.74         0.98           -10.15
   0 H New Prague      ( 9- 6, 93.8)     4-14       -6.06      19.00      -0.74         0.98            -6.63
   0 H Benilde-St Mar  (13- 5, 96.4)     3-16       -3.50      21.57      -0.74         0.98            -4.14
   0 A Hutchinson      ( 3-11, 80.5)    13- 2      -19.36       5.70       0.74         0.98             6.28
   0 A Mankato United  ( 4- 9, 85.5)    10- 8      -14.39      10.67       0.74         0.98            11.13
   0 A Orono           (13- 3, 94.9)     3-12       -5.04      20.02       0.74         0.98            -4.19
   0 A Holy Family Ca  ( 4-11, 82.1)     9- 3      -17.82       7.24       0.74         0.98             7.79
   0 A Chanhassen      ( 6- 9, 91.6)     7-11       -8.27      16.79       0.74         0.98            -7.35
   0 A Mound Westonka  ( 0-13, 74.8)    14- 1      -25.07       1.00       0.74         0.98             1.70
   0 H Delano/Rockfor  (11- 3, 89.7)     8-10      -10.16      14.90      -0.74         0.98           -10.63
   0 H Chaska          ( 6- 8, 89.6)     9-16      -10.26      14.81      -0.74         0.98           -10.73
   0 A Bloomington Je  ( 7- 6, 94.8)     3-17       -5.10      19.97       0.74         0.98            -4.25
   0 H Mound Westonka  ( 0-13, 74.8)    18- 3      -25.07       1.00      -0.74         0.98             0.25
   0 A Orono           (13- 3, 94.9)     3-14       -5.04      20.02       0.74         0.98            -4.19
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -25.17

winning pts = 37.0886 losing points = -62.2599

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------