Vail Mountain
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 84.4922Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 313 H Eagle Valley ( 0-12, 75.6) 14- 1 317 A Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 6- 8 322 H Summit ( 3- 7, 79.0) 13- 3 325 H Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 4-12 327 H Battle Mountain ( 8- 8, 84.9) 4- 7 329 A Thompson Valley ( 3-12, 78.3) 11- 6 403 H Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 3- 7 405 A Steamboat Springs (10- 7, 87.3) 5-13 407 H Middle Park (13- 4, 83.2) 13-10 410 H Steamboat Springs (10- 7, 87.3) 4-12 412 H Glenwood Springs ( 7- 8, 82.7) 3- 7 415 A Battle Mountain ( 8- 8, 84.9) 8- 6 429 A Glenwood Springs ( 7- 8, 82.7) 13- 5 501 H Lutheran ( 7- 9, 84.4) 14- 8 503 A Evergreen (15- 3, 89.4) 4-12 506 H Windsor ( 8- 8, 82.2) 11-10 509 A Evergreen (15- 3, 89.4) 2-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
313 H Eagle Valley 14- 1 13 9 0.00
317 A Aspen 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.00
322 H Summit 13- 3 10 6 0.00
325 H Air Academy 4-12 -8 -6 0.00
327 H Battle Mountain 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.96
329 A Thompson Valley 11- 6 5 6 0.00
403 H Aspen 3- 7 -4 -4 0.47
405 A Steamboat Springs 5-13 -8 -3 -1.82
407 H Middle Park 13-10 3 2 1.33
410 H Steamboat Springs 4-12 -8 -2 - -2.55
412 H Glenwood Springs 3- 7 -4 2 --- -6.15
415 A Battle Mountain 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.78
429 A Glenwood Springs 13- 5 8 1 + 3.59
501 H Lutheran 14- 8 6 0 ++ 4.55
503 A Evergreen 4-12 -8 -5 0.00
506 H Windsor 11-10 1 3 -1.62
509 A Evergreen 2-13 -11 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H Glenwood Springs 3- 7 -4 2 --- -6.15 327 H Battle Mountain 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.96 410 H Steamboat Springs 4-12 -8 -2 - -2.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 H Lutheran 14- 8 6 0 ++ 4.55 317 A Aspen 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.00 415 A Battle Mountain 8- 6 2 -1 + 2.78 429 A Glenwood Springs 13- 5 8 1 + 3.59 |
Vail Mountain Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Air Academy | Air Academy | ||
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Arvada West | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | ||
| Aspen | Aspen | Aspen | ||
| Battle Mountain | Battle Mountain | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 3) | Battle Mountain | |
| Boulder | Boulder | Boulder | ||
| Castle View | Castle View | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Castle View | |
| Chaparral | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | ||
| Chatfield | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cheyenne Mountain | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Cheyenne Mountain | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Columbine | Columbine | ||
| Conifer | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Crested Butte | Vail Mountain | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) | Vail Mountain | |
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East | ||
| Denver North | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Denver South | Denver South | Denver South | ||
| Douglas County | Vail Mountain | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Vail Mountain | |
| Durango | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 4- 2 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Eagle Valley | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | ||
| Eaglecrest | Vail Mountain | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vail Mountain | |
| Erie | Erie | Erie | ||
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Fairview | Fairview | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairview | |
| Fountain Valley | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | ||
| Fruita Monument | Vail Mountain | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) | Vail Mountain | |
| Glenwood Springs | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 4- 3 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Golden | Golden | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Golden | |
| Grand Junction | Grand Junction | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Grand Junction | |
| Grandview | Grandview | Grandview | ||
| Green Mountain | Vail Mountain | insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 2- 4) | Vail Mountain | |
| Heritage | Heritage | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Heritage | |
| Holy Family | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Jefferson Academy | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kent Denver | Kent Denver | Kent Denver | ||
| Lakewood | Lakewood | Lakewood | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend | ||
| Lewis Palmer | Lewis Palmer | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lewis Palmer | |
| Littleton | Vail Mountain | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vail Mountain | |
| Lutheran | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | ||
| Middle Park | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | ||
| Monarch | Monarch | Monarch | ||
| Montrose | Vail Mountain | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) | Vail Mountain | |
| Mountain Range | Mountain Range | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mountain Range | |
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | ||
| Mullen | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Northfield | Northfield | Northfield | ||
| Palmer | Vail Mountain | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Vail Mountain | |
| Pine Creek | Vail Mountain | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Vail Mountain | |
| Ponderosa | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Poudre District | Poudre District | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Poudre District | |
| Prairie View | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Pueblo West | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | ||
| Rangeview | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Resurrection Christi | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Resurrection Christi | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| Smoky Hill | Vail Mountain | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Vail Mountain | |
| St Marys HS | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | Steamboat Springs | ||
| Summit | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | ||
| Telluride | Telluride | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) | Telluride | |
| Thomas Jefferson | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Thompson Valley | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | ||
| ThunderRidge | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian | ||
| Vanguard School | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Windsor | Vail Mountain | Vail Mountain |
PowerWise = 34
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Eagle Valley ( 0-12, 75.6) 14- 1 -24.29 9.22 -0.37 0.88 7.83
0 A Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 6- 8 -10.57 22.94 0.37 0.88 -9.02
0 H Summit ( 3- 7, 79.0) 13- 3 -20.90 12.60 -0.37 0.88 10.82
0 H Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 4-12 -9.36 24.14 -0.37 0.88 -8.61
0 H Battle Mountai ( 8- 8, 84.9) 4- 7 -15.00 18.50 -0.37 0.88 -13.60
0 A Thompson Valle ( 3-12, 78.3) 11- 6 -21.62 11.88 0.37 0.88 10.84
0 H Aspen (16- 1, 89.3) 3- 7 -10.57 22.94 -0.37 0.88 -9.67
0 A Steamboat Spri (10- 7, 87.3) 5-13 -12.59 20.91 0.37 0.88 -10.82
0 H Middle Park (13- 4, 83.2) 13-10 -16.71 16.80 -0.37 0.88 14.53
0 H Steamboat Spri (10- 7, 87.3) 4-12 -12.59 20.91 -0.37 0.88 -11.47
0 H Glenwood Sprin ( 7- 8, 82.7) 3- 7 -17.19 16.32 -0.37 0.88 -15.53
0 A Battle Mountai ( 8- 8, 84.9) 8- 6 -15.00 18.50 0.37 0.88 16.70
0 A Glenwood Sprin ( 7- 8, 82.7) 13- 5 -17.19 16.32 0.37 0.88 14.76
0 H Lutheran ( 7- 9, 84.4) 14- 8 -15.49 18.01 -0.37 0.88 15.61
0 A Evergreen (15- 3, 89.4) 4-12 -10.53 22.97 0.37 0.88 -8.99
0 H Windsor ( 8- 8, 82.2) 11-10 -17.66 15.84 -0.37 0.88 13.69
0 A Evergreen (15- 3, 89.4) 2-13 -10.53 22.97 0.37 0.88 -8.99
------
8.09
|
winning pts = 104.7851 losing points = -96.6993
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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