safe3step boys Valley Center 1

  
Valley Center         
W-L: ( 7-11)  PR =    77.8557
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 217 A Temecula Valley                      (13- 5, 83.6)     0-24   
 220 A Carlsbad                             (11- 7, 88.8)     6-18   
 225 A La Jolla CDS                         ( 9- 7, 82.6)     6-17   
 227 H Great Oak                            ( 6- 9, 80.4)     7-18   
 304 H Patrick Henry                        ( 5-16, 80.8)     6-19   
 307 A Canyon Crest                         (13- 4, 81.0)     6-12   
 313 H Mission Hills                        ( 8- 9, 78.8)    21-18   
 317 H Mt Carmel                            (13- 6, 80.8)    17-20   
 318 A Eastlake                             ( 9- 8, 77.2)     1- 0   
 325 H San Marcos SD                        (10- 7, 86.2)     7-19   
 329 H Sage Creek                           ( 0-14, 68.2)    21- 3   
 401 H Del Norte                            (13- 3, 86.1)     5-20   
 404 A Grossmont                            ( 1-18, 74.4)    15- 9   
 410 H Fallbrook                            ( 3-15, 73.4)    17- 2   
 415 H Rancho Bernardo                      ( 4-13, 78.1)    14-12   
 424 H Westview                             (12- 6, 82.7)     8-16   
 429 A San Dieguito                         (18- 2, 85.3)     7-18   
 502 A Sage Creek                           ( 0-14, 68.2)    27- 2

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 A Temecula Valley         0-24     -24    -6           0.00
   220 A Carlsbad                6-18     -12   -11           0.00
   225 A La Jolla CDS            6-17     -11    -5           0.00
   227 H Great Oak               7-18     -11    -2    -     -2.78
   304 H Patrick Henry           6-19     -13    -3    -     -2.40
   307 A Canyon Crest            6-12      -6    -3          -1.54
   313 H Mission Hills          21-18       3    -1    +      3.59
   317 H Mt Carmel              17-20      -3    -3          -0.39
   325 H San Marcos SD           7-19     -12    -8           0.00
   329 H Sage Creek             21- 3      18    10           0.00
   401 H Del Norte               5-20     -15    -8           0.00
   404 A Grossmont              15- 9       6     3           1.92
   410 H Fallbrook              17- 2      15     5           0.16
   415 H Rancho Bernardo        14-12       2     0           1.90
   424 H Westview                8-16      -8    -4          -0.56
   429 A San Dieguito            7-18     -11    -8           0.00
   502 A Sage Creek             27- 2      25     9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Great Oak               7-18     -11    -2    -     -2.78
   304 H Patrick Henry           6-19     -13    -3    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Mission Hills          21-18       3    -1    +      3.59

Valley Center Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Acalanes	Acalanes			Acalanes
Alhambra	Valley Center			Valley Center
Amador Valley	Amador Valley			Amador Valley
Archie Williams	Valley Center			Valley Center
Bay School	Valley Center			Valley Center
Bentley School	Bentley School			Bentley School
Berean Christian	Berean Christian			Berean Christian
Berkeley	Berkeley			Berkeley
Bishop ODowd	Bishop ODowd			Bishop ODowd
Branson	Valley Center			Valley Center
California	California			California
Campolindo	Campolindo			Campolindo
Cardinal Newman	Cardinal Newman			Cardinal Newman
Casa Grande	Casa Grande			Casa Grande
Clayton Valley Chart	Clayton Valley Chart			Clayton Valley Chart
College Park	College Park			College Park
De LaSalle	De LaSalle			De LaSalle
Dougherty Valley	Valley Center			Valley Center
Drew	Drew			Drew
Dublin	Valley Center			Valley Center
Foothill Pleasanton	Foothill Pleasanton			Foothill Pleasanton
George Washington SF	George Washington SF			George Washington SF
Granada	Granada			Granada
Head-Royce	Head-Royce			Head-Royce
Justin Siena	Justin Siena			Justin Siena
Las Lomas	Valley Center			Valley Center
Lick Wilmerding	Lick Wilmerding			Lick Wilmerding
Livermore	Valley Center			Valley Center
Lowell	Valley Center			Valley Center
Marin Academy	Marin Academy			Marin Academy
Marin Catholic	Marin Catholic			Marin Catholic
Miramonte	Miramonte			Miramonte
Monte Vista Danville	Monte Vista Danville			Monte Vista Danville
Moreau Catholic	Valley Center			Valley Center
Napa	Valley Center			Valley Center
Newark Memorial	Newark Memorial			Newark Memorial
Northgate	Northgate			Northgate
Novato	Novato			Novato
Petaluma	Petaluma			Petaluma
Piedmont	Piedmont			Piedmont
Rancho Cotate	Rancho Cotate			Rancho Cotate
Redwood	Redwood			Redwood
San Marin	San Marin			San Marin
San Rafael	Valley Center			Valley Center
San Ramon Valley	San Ramon Valley			San Ramon Valley
Sonoma Academy	Sonoma Academy			Sonoma Academy
Sonoma Valley	Valley Center			Valley Center
St Vincent de Paul	St Vincent de Paul			St Vincent de Paul
Stuart Hall	Stuart Hall			Stuart Hall
Tamalpais	Tamalpais			Tamalpais
Terra Linda	Terra Linda			Terra Linda
University SF	University SF			University SF
Urban School	Valley Center			Valley Center
Vintage	Valley Center			Valley Center
Washington Fremont	Valley Center			Valley Center
Windsor	Valley Center			Valley Center
Birmingham Charter	Valley Center			Valley Center
El Camino Real Chart	Valley Center			Valley Center
North Valley Militar	North Valley Militar			North Valley Militar
Palisades Charter	Palisades Charter			Palisades Charter
University Los Angel	Valley Center			Valley Center
Aptos	Valley Center			Valley Center
Aragon	Valley Center			Valley Center
Archbishop Mitty	Archbishop Mitty			Archbishop Mitty
Archbishop Riordan	Valley Center			Valley Center
Bellarmine Prep	Bellarmine Prep			Bellarmine Prep
Burlingame	Burlingame			Burlingame
Carlmont	Carlmont			Carlmont
Carmel	Valley Center			Valley Center
Christopher	Christopher			Christopher
Gunn	Valley Center			Valley Center
Harbor	Valley Center			Valley Center
Hillsdale	Hillsdale			Hillsdale
Hollister-San Benito	Valley Center			Valley Center
Latino College Prep	Valley Center			Valley Center
Leland	Valley Center			Valley Center
Live Oak	Live Oak			Live Oak
Los Altos	Valley Center			Valley Center
Los Gatos	Los Gatos			Los Gatos
Menlo School	Menlo School		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Menlo School
Menlo-Atherton	Menlo-Atherton			Menlo-Atherton
Monte Vista Christia	Valley Center			Valley Center
Monterey	Valley Center			Valley Center
Mountain View	Mountain View			Mountain View
Pacific Grove	Valley Center			Valley Center
Palma	Palma			Palma
Palo Alto	Palo Alto			Palo Alto
Pioneer	Valley Center			Valley Center
Priory	Priory			Priory
Sacred Heart Cathedr	Sacred Heart Cathedr			Sacred Heart Cathedr
Sacred Heart Prep	Sacred Heart Prep			Sacred Heart Prep
Salinas	Salinas			Salinas
Santa Cruz	Valley Center			Valley Center
Saratoga	Valley Center			Valley Center
Scotts Valley	Valley Center			Valley Center
Sequoia	Valley Center			Valley Center
Serra San Mateo	Serra San Mateo			Serra San Mateo
Sobrato	Valley Center			Valley Center
Soquel	Valley Center			Valley Center
St Francis-Mtn View	St Francis-Mtn View			St Francis-Mtn View
St Ignatius Prep	St Ignatius Prep			St Ignatius Prep
Stevenson School	Stevenson School			Stevenson School
Valley Christian	Valley Christian			Valley Christian
Woodside	Valley Center			Valley Center
Agoura	Agoura			Agoura
Aliso Niguel	Aliso Niguel			Aliso Niguel
Beckman	Beckman		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Beckman
Beverly Hills	Valley Center			Valley Center
Brentwood School	Brentwood School			Brentwood School
Calabasas	Valley Center			Valley Center
Canyon	Canyon			Canyon
Capistrano Valley	Valley Center			Valley Center
Castaic	Castaic			Castaic
Cate School	Cate School			Cate School
Centennial	Centennial			Centennial
Chaminade Prep	Valley Center			Valley Center
Chaparral	Chaparral		insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3)	Chaparral
Compton	Valley Center			Valley Center
Corona	Corona			Corona
Corona Del Mar	Corona Del Mar			Corona Del Mar
Crean Lutheran	Crean Lutheran			Crean Lutheran
Crescenta Valley	Crescenta Valley			Crescenta Valley
Crespi	Crespi			Crespi
Culver City	Valley Center			Valley Center
Damien	Valley Center			Valley Center
Dana Hills	Dana Hills			Dana Hills
Dos Pueblos	Dos Pueblos			Dos Pueblos
Downey	Valley Center			Valley Center
Edison	Edison			Edison
El Dorado	El Dorado			El Dorado
El Modena	Valley Center			Valley Center
El Segundo	El Segundo			El Segundo
Eleanor Roosevelt	Eleanor Roosevelt			Eleanor Roosevelt
Esperanza	Valley Center			Valley Center
Foothill Santa Ana	Foothill Santa Ana			Foothill Santa Ana
Glendale	Valley Center			Valley Center
Grace Brethren	Grace Brethren			Grace Brethren
Great Oak	Great Oak	Great Oak
Hart	Hart			Hart
Harvard-Westlake	Harvard-Westlake			Harvard-Westlake
Hemet	Hemet			Hemet
Heritage Christian	Heritage Christian			Heritage Christian
Heritage HS	Valley Center			Valley Center
Huntington Beach	Huntington Beach			Huntington Beach
Irvine	Valley Center			Valley Center
JSerra Catholic	JSerra Catholic			JSerra Catholic
King	King		King 3- 0 vs 1- 2
La Canada	Valley Center			Valley Center
Laguna Hills	Valley Center			Valley Center
Lakewood	Valley Center			Valley Center
Liberty	Valley Center			Valley Center
Linfield Christian	Linfield Christian		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Linfield Christian
Long Beach Poly	Long Beach Poly			Long Beach Poly
Los Alamitos	Los Alamitos			Los Alamitos
Loyola Los Angeles	Loyola Los Angeles			Loyola Los Angeles
Lynwood	Valley Center			Valley Center
Mater Dei Santa Ana	Mater Dei Santa Ana			Mater Dei Santa Ana
Millikan	Millikan			Millikan
Mira Costa	Mira Costa			Mira Costa
Mission Viejo	Mission Viejo			Mission Viejo
Murrieta Mesa	Valley Center		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Valley Center
Murrieta Valley	Valley Center		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Valley Center
Newbury Park	Newbury Park			Newbury Park
Newport Harbor	Newport Harbor			Newport Harbor
Norco	Valley Center			Valley Center
Northwood	Valley Center			Valley Center
Notre Dame Sherman	Notre Dame Sherman			Notre Dame Sherman
Oak Park	Oak Park			Oak Park
Oaks Christian	Oaks Christian			Oaks Christian
Orange Lutheran	Orange Lutheran			Orange Lutheran
Paloma Valley	Valley Center			Valley Center
Palos Verdes	Palos Verdes			Palos Verdes
Peninsula	Peninsula			Peninsula
Portola	Valley Center			Valley Center
Redondo Union	Redondo Union			Redondo Union
Riverside Poly	Valley Center			Valley Center
San Clemente	San Clemente			San Clemente
San Juan Hills	San Juan Hills			San Juan Hills
San Marcos SB	San Marcos SB			San Marcos SB
Santa Barbara	Santa Barbara			Santa Barbara
Santa Margarita Cath	Santa Margarita Cath		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Santa Margarita Cath
Santa Monica	Santa Monica			Santa Monica
Santiago	Santiago		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Santiago
Saugus	Saugus			Saugus
Segerstrom	Valley Center			Valley Center
Servite	Servite			Servite
Sierra Canyon	Sierra Canyon			Sierra Canyon
Simi Royal	Valley Center			Valley Center
Simi Valley	Simi Valley			Simi Valley
St Francis-La Canada	St Francis-La Canada			St Francis-La Canada
St John Bosco	St John Bosco			St John Bosco
St Margarets Episcop	St Margarets Episcop			St Margarets Episcop
Temecula Valley	Temecula Valley	Temecula Valley
Tesoro	Tesoro		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Tesoro
Thacher School	Thacher School			Thacher School
Trabuco Hills	Trabuco Hills			Trabuco Hills
University Irvine	University Irvine			University Irvine
Valencia Santa Clari	Valencia Santa Clari			Valencia Santa Clari
Viewpoint School	Viewpoint School			Viewpoint School
Village Christian	Village Christian		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Village Christian
Vista Murrieta	Vista Murrieta		Vista Murrieta 2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Ranch	West Ranch			West Ranch
Westlake	Westlake			Westlake
Woodbridge	Valley Center			Valley Center
Woodrow Wilson	Woodrow Wilson			Woodrow Wilson
Yorba Linda	Yorba Linda		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Yorba Linda
Army-Navy Academy	Valley Center			Valley Center
Bishops School	Bishops School		Bishops School 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bonita Vista	Valley Center		Valley Center 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Canyon Crest	Canyon Crest	Canyon Crest
Canyon Hills	Valley Center			Valley Center
Carlsbad	Carlsbad	Carlsbad
Castle Park	Valley Center			Valley Center
Cathedral Catholic	Cathedral Catholic		Cathedral Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Clairemont	Valley Center			Valley Center
Classical Academy	Valley Center		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Valley Center
Coronado	Coronado		Coronado 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Del Lago Academy	Valley Center		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Valley Center
Del Norte	Del Norte	Del Norte
Eastlake	Valley Center	Valley Center
El Capitan	El Capitan		insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3)	El Capitan
Fallbrook	Valley Center	Valley Center
Foothills Christian	Valley Center		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Valley Center
Francis Parker	Francis Parker		insuffient: ( 0- 6)( 1- 5)	Francis Parker
Granite Hills	Granite Hills		Granite Hills 5- 3 vs 2- 6
Grossmont	Valley Center	Valley Center
Helix Charter	Helix Charter		Helix Charter 4- 1 vs 1- 4
Hilltop	Valley Center		Valley Center 2- 0 vs 0- 2
La Costa Canyon	La Costa Canyon		La Costa Canyon 2- 0 vs 0- 2
La Jolla CDS	La Jolla CDS	La Jolla CDS
La Jolla HS	La Jolla HS		La Jolla HS 4- 3 vs 1- 6
Lincoln San Diego	Valley Center			Valley Center
Mar Vista	Valley Center		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Valley Center
Mater Dei Chula Vist	Valley Center		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Valley Center
Mira Mesa	Valley Center			Valley Center
Mission Bay	Valley Center			Valley Center
Mission Hills	Valley Center	Valley Center
Monte Vista Spring V	Valley Center			Valley Center
Morse	Valley Center			Valley Center
Mt Carmel	Mt Carmel	Mt Carmel
Olympian	Valley Center		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Valley Center
Otay Ranch	Valley Center		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Valley Center
Pacific Ridge	Valley Center		insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4)	Valley Center
Patrick Henry	Patrick Henry	Patrick Henry
Point Loma	Point Loma		insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1)	Point Loma
Poway	Poway		Poway 3- 3 vs 0- 6
Preuss School	Valley Center		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Valley Center
Rancho Bernardo	Valley Center	Valley Center
Rancho Buena Vista	Valley Center		insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3)	Valley Center
Sage Creek	Valley Center	Valley Center
San Diego	Valley Center		Valley Center 2- 1 vs 0- 3
San Dieguito	San Dieguito	San Dieguito
San Marcos SD	San Marcos SD	San Marcos SD
San Ysidro	Valley Center		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Valley Center
Santa Fe Christian	Santa Fe Christian		Santa Fe Christian 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Santana	Santana		Santana 5- 4 vs 3- 6
Scripps Ranch	Scripps Ranch		tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5)	Scripps Ranch
St Augustine	St Augustine		St Augustine 3- 1 vs 1- 3
Torrey Pines	Torrey Pines		Torrey Pines 2- 0 vs 0- 2
University City	University City		insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3)	University City
Valhalla	Valley Center		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Valley Center
West Hills	West Hills		tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4)	West Hills
Westview	Westview	Westview
Bear River	Valley Center			Valley Center
Bella Vista	Bella Vista			Bella Vista
Christian Brothers	Christian Brothers			Christian Brothers
Davis	Davis			Davis
Del Oro	Del Oro			Del Oro
Folsom	Folsom			Folsom
Granite Bay	Granite Bay			Granite Bay
Grant Union	Valley Center			Valley Center
Jesuit Sacramento	Jesuit Sacramento			Jesuit Sacramento
Lincoln Stockton	Lincoln Stockton			Lincoln Stockton
Lincoln Sacramento	Valley Center			Valley Center
Nevada Union	Nevada Union			Nevada Union
Oak Ridge	Oak Ridge			Oak Ridge
Oakmont	Valley Center			Valley Center
Rio Americano	Valley Center			Valley Center
Rocklin	Valley Center			Valley Center
Roseville	Roseville			Roseville
St Marys Stockton	St Marys Stockton		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	St Marys Stockton
Vista del Lago	Vista del Lago			Vista del Lago
West Park	West Park			West Park
Whitney	Whitney			Whitney
Woodcreek	Woodcreek			Woodcreek

PowerWise = 105

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Temecula Valle  (13- 5, 83.6)     0-24      -16.25      23.89       0.36         0.92           -14.69
   0 A Carlsbad        (11- 7, 88.8)     6-18      -11.09      29.05       0.36         0.92            -9.92
   0 A La Jolla CDS    ( 9- 7, 82.6)     6-17      -17.28      22.87       0.36         0.92           -15.63
   0 H Great Oak       ( 6- 9, 80.4)     7-18      -19.46      20.68      -0.36         0.92           -18.31
   0 H Patrick Henry   ( 5-16, 80.8)     6-19      -19.09      21.05      -0.36         0.92           -17.97
   0 A Canyon Crest    (13- 4, 81.0)     6-12      -18.94      21.20       0.36         0.92           -17.17
   0 H Mission Hills   ( 8- 9, 78.8)    21-18      -21.10      19.04      -0.36         0.92            17.26
   0 H Mt Carmel       (13- 6, 80.8)    17-20      -19.08      21.06      -0.36         0.92           -17.96
   0 A Eastlake        ( 9- 8, 77.2)     1- 0      -22.73      17.41       0.36         0.92            16.42
   0 H San Marcos SD   (10- 7, 86.2)     7-19      -13.69      26.45      -0.36         0.92           -12.98
   0 H Sage Creek      ( 0-14, 68.2)    21- 3      -31.69       8.45      -0.36         0.92             7.48
   0 H Del Norte       (13- 3, 86.1)     5-20      -13.84      26.30      -0.36         0.92           -13.12
   0 A Grossmont       ( 1-18, 74.4)    15- 9      -25.49      14.66       0.36         0.92            13.87
   0 H Fallbrook       ( 3-15, 73.4)    17- 2      -26.52      13.62      -0.36         0.92            12.25
   0 H Rancho Bernard  ( 4-13, 78.1)    14-12      -21.78      18.36      -0.36         0.92            16.63
   0 H Westview        (12- 6, 82.7)     8-16      -17.24      22.90      -0.36         0.92           -16.26
   0 A San Dieguito    (18- 2, 85.3)     7-18      -14.58      25.56       0.36         0.92           -13.14
   0 A Sage Creek      ( 0-14, 68.2)    27- 2      -31.69       8.45       0.36         0.92             8.14
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -75.09

winning pts = 92.0466 losing points = -167.1351

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------