All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.6999969 home-field advantage = -0.57 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 402 H Liverpool ( 6-11, 81.0) 8-12 404 A Binghamton ( 3-13, 69.2) 14- 5 409 H Horseheads ( 9- 8, 79.2) 4-14 412 H Ithaca (15- 3, 81.8) 7-16 415 A Union-Endicott ( 0-13, 66.9) 14- 5 417 H Corning (13- 5, 81.6) 4- 6 422 A Elmira ( 3-13, 72.2) 14- 6 426 H Ballston Spa (11- 8, 79.7) 9- 8 430 H Binghamton ( 3-13, 69.2) 9- 3 502 A Horseheads ( 9- 8, 79.2) 12-11 507 A Ithaca (15- 3, 81.8) 7-10 510 H Union-Endicott ( 0-13, 66.9) 17- 6 512 A Corning (13- 5, 81.6) 11- 9 514 A Maine-Endwell (15- 3, 79.5) 13- 9 516 H Scarsdale (11- 8, 80.7) 4- 5 519 H Elmira ( 3-13, 72.2) 8- 6 530 N Horseheads ( 9- 8, 79.2) 11-10 607 N Warwick Valley (16- 2, 82.2) 8-20
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Liverpool 8-12 -4 -2 -1.30 404 A Binghamton 14- 5 9 7 0.00 409 H Horseheads 4-14 -10 0 --- -6.10 412 H Ithaca 7-16 -9 -3 - -3.49 415 A Union-Endicott 14- 5 9 10 0.00 417 H Corning 4- 6 -2 -3 1.28 422 A Elmira 14- 6 8 4 + 2.03 426 H Ballston Spa 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.41 430 H Binghamton 9- 3 6 9 -1.00 502 A Horseheads 12-11 1 -2 + 3.04 507 A Ithaca 7-10 -3 -4 1.65 510 H Union-Endicott 17- 6 11 11 0.00 512 A Corning 11- 9 2 -4 +++ 6.42 514 A Maine-Endwell 13- 9 4 -2 +++ 6.40 516 H Scarsdale 4- 5 -1 -2 1.44 519 H Elmira 8- 6 2 6 -- -4.11 530 N Horseheads 11-10 1 -1 + 2.47 607 N Warwick Valley 8-20 -12 -4 - -2.48UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Horseheads 4-14 -10 0 --- -6.10 519 H Elmira 8- 6 2 6 -- -4.11 412 H Ithaca 7-16 -9 -3 - -3.49 607 N Warwick Valley 8-20 -12 -4 - -2.48OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Corning 11- 9 2 -4 +++ 6.42 514 A Maine-Endwell 13- 9 4 -2 +++ 6.40 422 A Elmira 14- 6 8 4 + 2.03 426 H Ballston Spa 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.41 502 A Horseheads 12-11 1 -2 + 3.04 530 N Horseheads 11-10 1 -1 + 2.47
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 77.70 Power Rank................. 123 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 52.31 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 120 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6438 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 71 RPI Rating............... .5286 RPI Rank................... 143 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 195 Selection sum ........... 374 Selection Rank ............ 103 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -120. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 157 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -120. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 160 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0