Valley Regional
W-L: (10- 9) PR = 79.3486Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 A Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 18- 2 410 H Norwich Tech ( 5-11, 66.9) 16- 3 415 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 19- 7 417 A North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 4- 7 422 H Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 9-17 424 H Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 12-13 426 H Ellington ( 6-10, 78.2) 8- 6 501 A Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 6- 7 505 H Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 8-10 508 A Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 7-19 512 H Notre Dame-Fairfield ( 1-15, 67.9) 11- 2 513 H Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 23- 0 515 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 16-15 519 H North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 4- 9 521 H Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 19- 7 523 A Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 18-11 527 A Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 3-17 530 H Rocky Hill ( 7-11, 71.1) 15- 2 604 A Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 5-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 A Cromwell 18- 2 16 15 0.00
410 H Norwich Tech 16- 3 13 13 0.00
415 H Old Lyme 19- 7 12 5 0.00
417 A North Branford 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.42
422 H Haddam-Killingworth 9-17 -8 -6 0.00
424 H Old Saybrook 12-13 -1 -4 + 2.53
426 H Ellington 8- 6 2 2 0.34
501 A Old Lyme 6- 7 -1 4 -- -5.16
505 H Morgan School 8-10 -2 2 - -3.69
508 A Haddam-Killingworth 7-19 -12 -7 0.00
512 H Notre Dame-Fairfield 11- 2 9 12 0.00
513 H Cromwell 23- 0 23 16 0.00
515 A Old Saybrook 16-15 1 -4 ++ 5.48
519 H North Branford 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.36
521 H Montville 19- 7 12 10 0.00
523 A Morgan School 18-11 7 1 ++ 4.25
527 A Haddam-Killingworth 3-17 -14 -7 0.00
530 H Rocky Hill 15- 2 13 9 0.00
604 A Sheehan 5-20 -15 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Old Lyme 6- 7 -1 4 -- -5.16 505 H Morgan School 8-10 -2 2 - -3.69 519 H North Branford 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.36 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 515 A Old Saybrook 16-15 1 -4 ++ 5.48 523 A Morgan School 18-11 7 1 ++ 4.25 424 H Old Saybrook 12-13 -1 -4 + 2.53 |
Valley Regional Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Avon HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Avon HS | |
| Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Bacon Academy | |
| Berlin | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Bethel | Bethel | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bethel | |
| Branford | Valley Regional | Valley Regional 2- 4 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | Bristol Co-Op | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bristol Co-Op | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Brookfield | |
| Bunnell-Stratford | Valley Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Valley Regional | |
| Canton | Canton | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Canton | |
| Capital-Classical Pr | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cheshire HS | |
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Danbury | Valley Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Valley Regional | |
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Enfield | Valley Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Valley Regional | |
| EO Smith | Valley Regional | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield Prep | |
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch Groton | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Foran | Foran | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | ||
| Hall | Hall | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Hall | |
| Hamden | Hamden | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hamden | |
| Holy Cross | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Immaculate Danbury | Valley Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Valley Regional | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) | Valley Regional | |
| Lakeview United | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Ledyard-Griswold | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Valley Regional | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Maloney-Platt | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Masuk | Masuk | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Masuk | |
| Middletown | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Montville | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Morgan School | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 3) | Valley Regional | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New Milford | New Milford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Milford | |
| Newington | Newington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newington | |
| Newtown | Newtown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| North Haven | Valley Regional | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Valley Regional | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Norwalk | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Valley Regional | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Valley Regional | |
| Norwich Tech | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Notre Dame-West Have | |
| Old Lyme | Valley Regional | Valley Regional 4- 4 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook 5- 0 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Pomperaug | |
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Valley Regional | Valley Regional 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville Co-op | Valley Regional | Valley Regional 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Rocky Hill | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Sheehan | Sheehan | Sheehan | ||
| Shelton | Valley Regional | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 0) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | South Windsor | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Windsor | |
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | St Bernard-Wheeler | |
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 2) | Valley Regional | |
| Suffield | Suffield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Suffield | |
| Tolland | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Valley Regional | Valley Regional 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Waterford | |
| Watertown | Valley Regional | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Valley Regional | |
| West Haven | Valley Regional | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Westhill | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | Wethersfield | ||
| Wilbur Cross | Valley Regional | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Wolcott | Valley Regional | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Woodstock Academy | Valley Regional | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Valley Regional | |
| Xavier | Xavier | Xavier |
PowerWise = 41
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 18- 2 -36.37 3.88 0.47 0.90 3.90
0 H Norwich Tech ( 5-11, 66.9) 16- 3 -33.02 7.24 -0.47 0.90 6.06
0 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 19- 7 -25.18 15.07 -0.47 0.90 13.07
0 A North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 4- 7 -18.44 21.81 0.47 0.90 -16.09
0 H Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 9-17 -13.74 26.52 -0.47 0.90 -12.72
0 H Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 12-13 -16.54 23.71 -0.47 0.90 -15.24
0 H Ellington ( 6-10, 78.2) 8- 6 -21.73 18.52 -0.47 0.90 16.16
0 A Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 6- 7 -25.18 15.07 0.47 0.90 -22.12
0 H Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 8-10 -21.77 18.48 -0.47 0.90 -19.92
0 A Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 7-19 -13.74 26.52 0.47 0.90 -11.88
0 H Notre Dame-Fai ( 1-15, 67.9) 11- 2 -31.96 8.29 -0.47 0.90 7.00
0 H Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 23- 0 -36.37 3.88 -0.47 0.90 3.05
0 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 16-15 -16.54 23.71 0.47 0.90 21.65
0 H North Branford (11- 8, 81.5) 4- 9 -18.44 21.81 -0.47 0.90 -16.93
0 H Montville ( 2-14, 69.6) 19- 7 -30.27 9.99 -0.47 0.90 8.52
0 A Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 18-11 -21.77 18.48 0.47 0.90 16.97
0 A Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 3-17 -13.74 26.52 0.47 0.90 -11.88
0 H Rocky Hill ( 7-11, 71.1) 15- 2 -28.82 11.43 -0.47 0.90 9.81
0 A Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 5-20 -15.41 24.84 0.47 0.90 -13.37
------
-33.96
|
winning pts = 106.1868 losing points = -140.1444
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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