---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:56 PDT

safe3step boys Urbana 1
  
Urbana                
W-L: (17- 2) PR = 94.1336

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Century (10- 6, 89.0) 17- 4 325 H Middletown (12- 4, 87.3) 15- 4 401 A Oakdale ( 4-10, 81.5) 18- 2 403 H Gov Thomas Johnson ( 0-12, 73.7) 22- 2 404 H CM Wright (11- 5, 88.8) 15- 2 408 A Bullis ( 8- 4, 96.1) 7-16 411 A Kent Island (16- 0, 94.6) 7- 9 414 A Sherwood (15- 2, 89.6) 19- 3 416 N Huntingtown (15- 3, 91.9) 14- 3 418 A Linganore (13- 3, 87.6) 16- 2 422 A Catonsville ( 6- 8, 88.7) 7- 3 424 H Frederick ( 1-11, 73.2) 20- 0 428 A Hereford (11- 5, 89.5) 11- 0 501 H Towson (15- 5, 90.3) 12- 0 509 H Clarksburg ( 7- 7, 79.0) 22- 3 512 H Northwest ( 9- 5, 80.9) 17- 0 514 H Dundalk ( 9- 6, 80.3) 24- 4 516 A Walt Whitman (14- 3, 86.9) 12- 7 522 H Broadneck (12- 3, 93.1) 5- 2

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Century                17- 4      13     6           0.00
   325 H Middletown             15- 4      11     7           0.00
   401 A Oakdale                18- 2      16    12           0.00
   403 H Gov Thomas Johnson     22- 2      20    21           0.00
   404 H CM Wright              15- 2      13     6           0.00
   408 A Bullis                  7-16      -9    -2    -     -2.61
   411 A Kent Island             7- 9      -2    -1          -1.08
   414 A Sherwood               19- 3      16     4           0.90
   416 N Huntingtown            14- 3      11     2    +      2.76
   418 A Linganore              16- 2      14     6           0.00
   422 A Catonsville             7- 3       4     5          -0.97
   424 H Frederick              20- 0      20    21           0.00
   428 A Hereford               11- 0      11     4           0.78
   501 H Towson                 12- 0      12     4           0.69
   509 H Clarksburg             22- 3      19    16           0.00
   512 H Northwest              17- 0      17    14           0.00
   514 H Dundalk                24- 4      20    14           0.00
   516 A Walt Whitman           12- 7       5     7           0.00
   522 H Broadneck               5- 2       3     2           1.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Bullis                  7-16      -9    -2    -     -2.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 N Huntingtown            14- 3      11     2    +      2.76

Urbana Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Urbana   Urbana
Archbishop Curley Urbana   Urbana
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Urbana   Urbana
Bishop McNamara Urbana   Urbana
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis Bullis  
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Urbana   Urbana
Concordia Prep Urbana   Urbana
Cristo Rey Jesuit Urbana   Urbana
DeMatha DeMatha tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) DeMatha
FCA LC Urbana   Urbana
Friends Urbana   Urbana
Garrett County LC Urbana   Urbana
Georgetown Day Urbana   Urbana
Georgetown Prep Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
Gerstell Academy Urbana tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Urbana
Gilman Urbana   Urbana
Glenelg Country Urbana   Urbana
Gonzaga Gonzaga tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gonzaga
Good Counsel Urbana   Urbana
Gunston School Urbana   Urbana
Heights Urbana   Urbana
Indian Creek School Urbana   Urbana
Jemicy School Urbana   Urbana
John Carroll Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
Key School Urbana   Urbana
Landon Landon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Urbana   Urbana
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Urbana   Urbana
Mount Carmel Urbana   Urbana
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mount St Joseph
Park School Urbana   Urbana
Salisbury School Urbana   Urbana
Sandy Spring Friends Urbana   Urbana
Severn School Urbana   Urbana
Sidwell Friends Urbana   Urbana
St Albans Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
St Andrews Episcopal Urbana   Urbana
St James Urbana tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Urbana
St Johns Catholic Pr Urbana   Urbana
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken Urbana   Urbana
St Pauls St Pauls insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Urbana   Urbana
Sts Peter & Paul Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
Tome School Urbana   Urbana
Worcester Prep Urbana   Urbana
Aberdeen Urbana   Urbana
Academy for College Urbana   Urbana
Annapolis Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Arundel Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Atholton Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Baltimore Polytechni Urbana   Urbana
Bel Air Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Bladensburg Urbana   Urbana
Blair Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Blake Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bohemia Manor Urbana   Urbana
Boonsboro Urbana insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Urbana
Bowie Urbana   Urbana
Broadneck Urbana Urbana  
Brunswick Urbana Urbana   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Calvert Urbana   Urbana
Cambridge SD Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
Carver A&T Urbana   Urbana
Catoctin Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Catonsville Urbana Urbana  
Centennial Urbana   Urbana
Century Urbana Urbana  
CH Flowers Urbana   Urbana
Chesapeake AA Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Chesapeake BC Urbana   Urbana
Chopticon Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
City College Urbana   Urbana
Clarksburg Urbana Urbana  
CM Wright Urbana Urbana  
Crofton Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Damascus Urbana Urbana   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Digital Harbor Urbana   Urbana
Dr Henry Wise Urbana   Urbana
Dulaney Urbana Urbana   7- 0 vs 4- 3
Dunbar Urbana   Urbana
Dundalk Urbana Urbana  
DuVal Urbana   Urbana
Eastern Tech Urbana insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Urbana
Easton Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
Edgewood Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Edmondson-Westside Urbana   Urbana
Einstein Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Eleanor Roosevelt Urbana   Urbana
Elkton Urbana   Urbana
Fairmont Heights Urbana   Urbana
Fallston Urbana insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 0) Urbana
Forest Park Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Francis Scott Key Urbana insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Urbana
Franklin Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Frederick Urbana Urbana  
Frederick Douglass B Urbana   Urbana
Frederick Douglass P Urbana   Urbana
Friendly Urbana   Urbana
Gaithersburg Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Glen Burnie Urbana   Urbana
Glenelg HS Urbana insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Urbana
Gov Thomas Johnson Urbana Urbana  
Great Mills Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Guilford Park Urbana   Urbana
Gwynn Park Urbana   Urbana
Hammond Urbana   Urbana
Harford Tech Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Havre De Grace Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Hereford Urbana Urbana  
High Point Urbana   Urbana
Howard Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Huntingtown Urbana Urbana  
JM Bennett Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
Joppatowne Urbana   Urbana
Kennedy Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Kent County Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
Kent Island Kent Island Kent Island  
Kenwood Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
La Plata Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Lackey Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Lake Clifton Urbana   Urbana
Lansdowne Urbana   Urbana
Laurel Urbana   Urbana
Leonardtown Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Liberty Urbana insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Urbana
Linganore Urbana Urbana  
Loch Raven Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Long Reach Urbana   Urbana
Magruder Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Manchester Valley Urbana Urbana   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Marriotts Ridge Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Meade Urbana   Urbana
Mergenthaler Urbana   Urbana
Middletown Urbana Urbana  
Milford Mill Urbana   Urbana
MJ McDonough Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Mount Hebron Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
National Academy Fou Urbana   Urbana
New Town Urbana   Urbana
North Caroline Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
North County Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
North Dorchester Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
North East Cecil Urbana   Urbana
North Hagerstown Urbana tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Urbana
North Harford Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
North Point Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Northeast AA Urbana   Urbana
Northern Calvert Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Northwest Urbana Urbana  
Northwestern PG Urbana   Urbana
Northwood Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Oakdale Urbana Urbana  
Oakland Mills Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Old Mill Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Overlea Urbana   Urbana
Owings Mills Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Oxon Hill Urbana   Urbana
Paint Branch Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Parkdale Urbana   Urbana
Parkside Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
Parkville Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Patapsco Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Patterson HS Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Patterson Mill Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Patuxent Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Perry Hall Urbana insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Urbana
Perryville Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Pikesville Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Poolesville Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Queen Annes County Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
Quince Orchard Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Randallstown Urbana   Urbana
Reginald F Lewis Urbana   Urbana
Reservoir Urbana   Urbana
Richard Montgomery Urbana Urbana   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Rising Sun Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
River Hill Urbana   Urbana
Rockville Urbana Urbana   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Seneca Valley Urbana tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Urbana
Severn Run Urbana   Urbana
Severna Park Severna Park tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Severna Park
Sherwood Urbana Urbana  
Smithsburg Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 1- 2
South Carroll Urbana Urbana   5- 0 vs 1- 4
South Hagerstown Urbana insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Urbana
South River Urbana tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Urbana
Southern AA Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Sparrows Point Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Springbrook Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
St Charles Urbana   Urbana
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Stephen Decatur
Suitland Urbana   Urbana
Surrattsville Urbana   Urbana
Thomas Stone Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Towson Urbana Urbana  
Tuscarora Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Urbana Urbana   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Walt Whitman Urbana Urbana  
Walter Johnson Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Watkins Mill Urbana Urbana   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Western STES Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Westlake Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Westminster Urbana Urbana   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Wheaton Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Wicomico Urbana tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Urbana
Wilde Lake Urbana   Urbana
Winston Churchill Urbana Urbana   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Winters Mill Urbana tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Urbana
Woodlawn Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Wootton Urbana insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Urbana
Archbishop Carroll Urbana   Urbana
DC International PCS Urbana   Urbana
Jackson Reed Urbana   Urbana

PowerWise = 205


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Century         (10- 6, 89.0)    17- 4      -10.86      24.74      -0.45         0.64            15.52
   0 H Middletown      (12- 4, 87.3)    15- 4      -12.56      23.03      -0.45         0.64            14.43
   0 A Oakdale         ( 4-10, 81.5)    18- 2      -18.36      17.23       0.45         0.64            11.29
   0 H Gov Thomas Joh  ( 0-12, 73.7)    22- 2      -26.23       9.36      -0.45         0.64             5.69
   0 H CM Wright       (11- 5, 88.8)    15- 2      -11.14      24.45      -0.45         0.64            15.33
   0 A Bullis          ( 8- 4, 96.1)     7-16       -3.82      31.77       0.45         0.64            -2.16
   0 A Kent Island     (16- 0, 94.6)     7- 9       -5.29      30.31       0.45         0.64            -3.09
   0 A Sherwood        (15- 2, 89.6)    19- 3      -10.31      25.28       0.45         0.64            16.43
   0 N Huntingtown     (15- 3, 91.9)    14- 3       -8.01      27.58      -0.00         0.64            17.62
   0 A Linganore       (13- 3, 87.6)    16- 2      -12.27      23.32       0.45         0.64            15.18
   0 A Catonsville     ( 6- 8, 88.7)     7- 3      -11.18      24.42       0.45         0.64            15.88
   0 H Frederick       ( 1-11, 73.2)    20- 0      -26.65       8.94      -0.45         0.64             5.43
   0 A Hereford        (11- 5, 89.5)    11- 0      -10.43      25.16       0.45         0.64            16.36
   0 H Towson          (15- 5, 90.3)    12- 0       -9.63      25.96      -0.45         0.64            16.30
   0 H Clarksburg      ( 7- 7, 79.0)    22- 3      -20.92      14.67      -0.45         0.64             9.08
   0 H Northwest       ( 9- 5, 80.9)    17- 0      -18.99      16.60      -0.45         0.64            10.32
   0 H Dundalk         ( 9- 6, 80.3)    24- 4      -19.63      15.97      -0.45         0.64             9.91
   0 A Walt Whitman    (14- 3, 86.9)    12- 7      -13.00      22.60       0.45         0.64            14.72
   0 H Broadneck       (12- 3, 93.1)     5- 2       -6.84      28.75      -0.45         0.64            18.08
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       222.31

winning pts = 227.5598 losing points = -5.2486

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------