---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Thompson Valley 1
  
Thompson Valley       
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 78.2800

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 A Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 5-14 315 A Fruita Monument (11- 5, 84.0) 1- 8 326 H Ponderosa ( 7- 8, 79.3) 5- 6 329 H Vail Mountain ( 8- 9, 84.5) 6-11 401 A Jefferson Academy ( 4- 8, 76.0) 9- 8 405 A Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 8-13 408 H Holy Family ( 8- 7, 80.2) 15-19 410 H Conifer ( 5-11, 80.0) 9-12 414 A Evergreen (15- 3, 89.4) 3-17 417 H Prairie View ( 6-10, 79.6) 3- 6 423 A Windsor ( 8- 8, 82.2) 8-14 425 H Denver North ( 7- 8, 76.0) 17- 6 429 H St Marys HS ( 3-11, 70.5) 20- 4 430 H Middle Park (13- 4, 83.2) 3-13 502 H Resurrection Christi (11- 4, 87.2) 7-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Grand Junction          5-14      -9    -8           0.00
   315 A Fruita Monument         1- 8      -7    -6           0.00
   326 H Ponderosa               5- 6      -1    -1          -0.32
   329 H Vail Mountain           6-11      -5    -6           0.00
   401 A Jefferson Academy       9- 8       1     2          -0.93
   405 A Eaglecrest              8-13      -5    -6           0.00
   408 H Holy Family            15-19      -4    -2    -     -2.44
   410 H Conifer                 9-12      -3    -1          -1.61
   414 A Evergreen               3-17     -14   -11           0.00
   417 H Prairie View            3- 6      -3    -1    -     -2.05
   423 A Windsor                 8-14      -6    -4          -0.67
   425 H Denver North           17- 6      11     3    +      2.39
   429 H St Marys HS            20- 4      16     8           0.00
   430 H Middle Park             3-13     -10    -5          -0.45
   502 H Resurrection Christi    7-11      -4    -9           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Holy Family            15-19      -4    -2    -     -2.44
   417 H Prairie View            3- 6      -3    -1    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Denver North           17- 6      11     3    +      2.39

Thompson Valley Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy Air Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Arapahoe Arapahoe   Arapahoe
Arvada West Thompson Valley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Thompson Valley
Aspen Aspen Aspen   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Battle Mountain Battle Mountain Battle Mountain   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Boulder Boulder Boulder   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Castle View Castle View insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Castle View
Chaparral Chaparral tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chaparral
Chatfield Chatfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chatfield
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail   Cherokee Trail
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek   Cherry Creek
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   Colorado Academy
Columbine Columbine   Columbine
Conifer Conifer Conifer  
Crested Butte Crested Butte tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Crested Butte
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Denver East Denver East   Denver East
Denver North Thompson Valley Thompson Valley  
Denver South Denver South   Denver South
Douglas County Douglas County tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Douglas County
Durango Durango tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Durango
Eagle Valley Thompson Valley tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Thompson Valley
Eaglecrest Eaglecrest Eaglecrest  
Erie Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Erie
Evergreen Evergreen Evergreen  
Fairview Fairview Fairview   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fountain Valley Thompson Valley insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Thompson Valley
Fruita Monument Fruita Monument Fruita Monument  
Glenwood Springs Glenwood Springs Glenwood Springs   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Golden Golden Golden   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Grand Junction Grand Junction Grand Junction  
Grandview Grandview insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grandview
Green Mountain Green Mountain Green Mountain   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Heritage Heritage Heritage   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Holy Family Holy Family Holy Family  
Jefferson Academy Thompson Valley Thompson Valley  
Kent Denver Kent Denver   Kent Denver
Lakewood Lakewood   Lakewood
Legend Legend   Legend
Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lewis Palmer
Littleton Thompson Valley Thompson Valley   3- 4 vs 0- 7
Lutheran Lutheran insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Lutheran
Middle Park Middle Park Middle Park  
Monarch Monarch   Monarch
Montrose Thompson Valley tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Thompson Valley
Mountain Range Mountain Range Mountain Range   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista   Mountain Vista
Mullen Mullen Mullen   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Northfield Northfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northfield
Palmer Thompson Valley Thompson Valley   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Pine Creek Pine Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pine Creek
Ponderosa Ponderosa Ponderosa  
Poudre District Poudre District Poudre District   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Prairie View Prairie View Prairie View  
Pueblo West Pueblo West Pueblo West   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley   Ralston Valley
Rangeview Thompson Valley Thompson Valley   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit   Regis Jesuit
Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi  
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon   Rock Canyon
Smoky Hill Thompson Valley tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) Thompson Valley
St Marys HS Thompson Valley Thompson Valley  
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Summit Summit tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Summit
Telluride Telluride Telluride   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Thomas Jefferson Thompson Valley Thompson Valley   3- 2 vs 1- 4
ThunderRidge ThunderRidge insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) ThunderRidge
Vail Mountain Vail Mountain Vail Mountain  
Valor Christian Valor Christian   Valor Christian
Vanguard School Thompson Valley insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Thompson Valley
Windsor Windsor Windsor  

PowerWise = 13


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Grand Junction  (11- 5, 85.5)     5-14      -14.39      19.11       0.37         1.00           -14.06
   0 A Fruita Monumen  (11- 5, 84.0)     1- 8      -15.87      17.63       0.37         1.00           -15.55
   0 H Ponderosa       ( 7- 8, 79.3)     5- 6      -20.57      12.93      -0.37         1.00           -21.00
   0 H Vail Mountain   ( 8- 9, 84.5)     6-11      -15.41      18.09      -0.37         1.00           -15.82
   0 A Jefferson Acad  ( 4- 8, 76.0)     9- 8      -23.92       9.59       0.37         1.00             9.98
   0 A Eaglecrest      ( 8- 7, 83.6)     8-13      -16.28      17.22       0.37         1.00           -15.95
   0 H Holy Family     ( 8- 7, 80.2)    15-19      -19.69      13.81      -0.37         1.00           -20.11
   0 H Conifer         ( 5-11, 80.0)     9-12      -19.87      13.64      -0.37         1.00           -20.29
   0 A Evergreen       (15- 3, 89.4)     3-17      -10.53      22.97       0.37         1.00           -10.19
   0 H Prairie View    ( 6-10, 79.6)     3- 6      -20.30      13.20      -0.37         1.00           -20.73
   0 A Windsor         ( 8- 8, 82.2)     8-14      -17.66      15.84       0.37         1.00           -17.34
   0 H Denver North    ( 7- 8, 76.0)    17- 6      -23.86       9.64      -0.37         1.00             9.30
   0 H St Marys HS     ( 3-11, 70.5)    20- 4      -29.39       4.11      -0.37         1.00             3.75
   0 H Middle Park     (13- 4, 83.2)     3-13      -16.71      16.80      -0.37         1.00           -17.12
   0 H Resurrection C  (11- 4, 87.2)     7-11      -12.73      20.77      -0.37         1.00           -13.14
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -178.26

winning pts = 23.0355 losing points = -201.2966

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------