Tuscarora
W-L: ( 2-12) PR = 76.5932Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Virginia Academy ( 4- 9, 75.0) 16-11 321 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 3-20 325 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 79.4) 15-16 326 H Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 2-19 328 H Handley ( 6- 2, 86.0) 1-14 402 H Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 79.8) 7-17 404 A Park View ( 0-14, 64.9) 14- 0 407 H Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 5-17 409 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 4-24 502 N John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 7-19 506 H Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 2-13 508 A Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 82.2) 0-14 515 A Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 8-17 521 A Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 82.2) 6-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 H Virginia Academy 16-11 5 2 + 2.77
321 A Loudoun County 3-20 -17 -15 0.00
325 H Kettle Run 15-16 -1 -2 1.17
326 H Broad Run 2-19 -17 -11 0.00
328 H Handley 1-14 -13 -9 0.00
402 H Potomac Falls 7-17 -10 -3 - -2.37
404 A Park View 14- 0 14 11 0.00
407 H Woodgrove 5-17 -12 -8 0.00
409 A Briar Woods 4-24 -20 -15 0.00
502 N John Champe 7-19 -12 -4 -0.83
506 H Dominion 2-13 -11 -6 0.00
508 A Heritage Leesburg 0-14 -14 -6 0.00
515 A Loudoun Valley 8-17 -9 -4 -0.73
521 A Heritage Leesburg 6-21 -15 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Potomac Falls 7-17 -10 -3 - -2.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H Virginia Academy 16-11 5 2 + 2.77 |
Tuscarora Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bayside | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bishop OConnell | |
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | Brentsville 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Charlottesville | Charlottesville | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Clover Hill | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | Cox | ||
| Culpeper County | Tuscarora | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Tuscarora | |
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | Tuscarora | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Tuscarora | |
| EC Glass | EC Glass | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | EC Glass | |
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fairfax | |
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | Fauquier 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| First Colonial | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fluvanna County | |
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Franklin County | Franklin County | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Fredericksburg Acade | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fredericksburg Acade | |
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Grafton LC | Grafton LC | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Handley | Handley | Handley | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Hidden Valley | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Highland School | |
| Highland Springs | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Hylton | Hylton | Hylton | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| James Monroe | James Monroe | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | James Monroe | |
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| John Champe | John Champe | John Champe | ||
| Justice | Justice | Justice | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Kettle Run | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | ||
| Landstown | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Tuscarora | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tuscarora | |
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Liberty Bealeton | |
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge 5- 3 vs 0- 8 | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Massaponax | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Matoaca | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Mechanicsville | Mechanicsville | ||
| Menchville LC | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | Meridian 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Tuscarora | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tuscarora | |
| Oakton | Oakton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oakton | |
| Ocean Lakes | Ocean Lakes | Ocean Lakes | ||
| Orange County | Orange County | Orange County | ||
| Osbourn | Tuscarora | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tuscarora | |
| Osbourn Park | Tuscarora | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Tuscarora | |
| Park View | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patrick Henry Roano | |
| Patriot | Patriot | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patriot | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Powhatan | Powhatan | Powhatan | ||
| Princess Anne | Princess Anne | Princess Anne | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Riverbend | |
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Rock Ridge | Rock Ridge | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rockingham LC | |
| Salem | Salem | Salem 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Seton School | |
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Stafford | Stafford | ||
| Steward School | Tuscarora | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tuscarora | |
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge 5- 2 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Strasburg LC | |
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Tandem Friends | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Thomas Dale | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Thomas Jefferson | |
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Trinity Christian | |
| Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trinity Meadow View | |
| Unity Reed | Tuscarora | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tuscarora | |
| Veritas School | Tuscarora | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tuscarora | |
| Virginia Academy | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | ||
| Wakefield School | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | West Potomac | |
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Westfield | |
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Woodbridge | Woodbridge | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 35
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Virginia Acade ( 4- 9, 75.0) 16-11 -24.93 10.07 -0.61 1.00 9.42
0 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 3-20 -9.41 25.59 0.61 1.00 -8.77
0 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 79.4) 15-16 -20.53 14.47 -0.61 1.00 -21.05
0 H Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 2-19 -11.83 23.17 -0.61 1.00 -12.39
0 H Handley ( 6- 2, 86.0) 1-14 -13.92 21.08 -0.61 1.00 -14.47
0 H Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 79.8) 7-17 -20.06 14.94 -0.61 1.00 -20.59
0 A Park View ( 0-14, 64.9) 14- 0 -35.00 1.00 0.61 1.00 1.60
0 H Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 5-17 -14.49 20.51 -0.61 1.00 -15.04
0 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 4-24 -8.67 26.33 0.61 1.00 -8.03
0 N John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 7-19 -19.14 15.87 -0.00 1.00 -19.06
0 H Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 2-13 -16.99 18.01 -0.61 1.00 -17.53
0 A Heritage Lees ( 7-10, 82.2) 0-14 -17.73 17.28 0.61 1.00 -17.05
0 A Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 8-17 -19.64 15.36 0.61 1.00 -18.96
0 A Heritage Lees ( 7-10, 82.2) 6-21 -17.73 17.28 0.61 1.00 -17.05
------
-178.96
|
winning pts = 11.0258 losing points = -189.9864
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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