Toms River South
W-L: ( 6-11) PR = 77.4940Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 402 H Donovan Catholic ( 3-12, 76.2) 5- 3 404 H Point Pleasant Boro (10- 9, 80.7) 6-15 407 H Toms River East (15- 5, 89.1) 0-13 409 A Lacey Township (13- 5, 81.3) 9-15 412 A St John Vianney ( 4-11, 75.2) 7- 5 414 H Toms River North (14- 7, 79.6) 4- 5 416 H Barnegat Township (18- 4, 85.3) 3-10 423 A Freehold Township ( 8- 9, 78.6) 7-11 426 H Colts Neck ( 9-10, 80.0) 6-10 428 A Jackson Liberty ( 1-13, 70.9) 12- 1 430 H Ocean Township ( 7- 9, 78.9) 6- 7 502 H Brick Memorial (13- 8, 79.9) 4- 5 505 A Brick Township ( 3-13, 68.2) 13- 0 509 H Donovan Catholic ( 3-12, 76.2) 6- 2 512 A Brick Memorial (13- 8, 79.9) 3- 5 520 A Marlboro (10- 7, 78.1) 8- 6 528 A Clearview Regional (12- 4, 87.0) 4-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
402 H Donovan Catholic 5- 3 2 2 -0.09
404 H Point Pleasant Boro 6-15 -9 -2 - -2.59
407 H Toms River East 0-13 -13 -11 0.00
409 A Lacey Township 9-15 -6 -5 -0.39
412 A St John Vianney 7- 5 2 2 0.49
414 H Toms River North 4- 5 -1 -1 0.32
416 H Barnegat Township 3-10 -7 -7 0.00
423 A Freehold Township 7-11 -4 -2 - -2.11
426 H Colts Neck 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.27
428 A Jackson Liberty 12- 1 11 6 0.00
430 H Ocean Township 6- 7 -1 -1 -0.39
502 H Brick Memorial 4- 5 -1 -2 0.56
505 A Brick Township 13- 0 13 8 0.00
509 H Donovan Catholic 6- 2 4 2 1.91
512 A Brick Memorial 3- 5 -2 -3 1.18
520 A Marlboro 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.38
528 A Clearview Regional 4-16 -12 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Point Pleasant Boro 6-15 -9 -2 - -2.59 423 A Freehold Township 7-11 -4 -2 - -2.11 426 H Colts Neck 6-10 -4 -2 - -2.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 A Marlboro 8- 6 2 -1 + 3.38 |
Toms River South Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absegami | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Allentown | Allentown | Allentown | ||
| Arthur L Johnson | Arthur L Johnson | Arthur L Johnson | ||
| Barnegat Township | Barnegat Township | Barnegat Township | ||
| Bergen Catholic | Bergen Catholic | Bergen Catholic | ||
| Bergen Tech | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Bernards | Bernards | Bernards | ||
| Bishop Eustace Prep | Bishop Eustace Prep | Bishop Eustace Prep | ||
| Blair Academy | Blair Academy | Blair Academy | ||
| Boonton | Boonton | Boonton | ||
| Brick Memorial | Brick Memorial | Brick Memorial | ||
| Brick Township | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Bridgewater-Raritan | Bridgewater-Raritan | Bridgewater-Raritan | ||
| Camden Catholic | Camden Catholic | Camden Catholic | ||
| Cedar Creek | Cedar Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cedar Creek | |
| Cedar Grove | Cedar Grove | Cedar Grove | ||
| Central Regional | Toms River South | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Toms River South | |
| Chatham | Chatham | Chatham | ||
| Cherokee | Cherokee | Cherokee | ||
| Cherry Hill East | Cherry Hill East | Cherry Hill East | ||
| Cherry Hill West | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Christian Brothers | Christian Brothers | Christian Brothers | ||
| Cinnaminson | Cinnaminson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cinnaminson | |
| Clearview Regional | Clearview Regional | Clearview Regional | ||
| Clifton | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Colts Neck | Colts Neck | Colts Neck | ||
| Columbia | Columbia | Columbia | ||
| Cranford | Cranford | Cranford | ||
| Delaware Valley | Delaware Valley | Delaware Valley | ||
| Delbarton | Delbarton | Delbarton | ||
| Delran | Delran | Delran | ||
| Demarest | Demarest | Demarest | ||
| DePaul Catholic | DePaul Catholic | DePaul Catholic | ||
| Don Bosco Prep | Don Bosco Prep | Don Bosco Prep | ||
| Donovan Catholic | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Dwight-Englewood | Dwight-Englewood | Dwight-Englewood | ||
| East Brunswick | East Brunswick | East Brunswick | ||
| East Side Newark | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Eastern Christian | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Eastern Regional | Eastern Regional | Eastern Regional | ||
| Edison | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Egg Harbor Township | Toms River South | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Toms River South | |
| Ewing Township | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Fair Lawn | Fair Lawn | Fair Lawn | ||
| Freehold Township | Freehold Township | Freehold Township | ||
| Gill St Bernards | Gill St Bernards | Gill St Bernards | ||
| Glen Ridge | Glen Ridge | Glen Ridge | ||
| Glen Rock | Glen Rock | Glen Rock | ||
| Gloucester Catholic | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Governor Livingston | Governor Livingston | Governor Livingston | ||
| Hackettstown | Hackettstown | Hackettstown | ||
| Haddon Township | Haddon Township | Haddon Township | ||
| Haddonfield Memorial | Haddonfield Memorial | Haddonfield Memorial | ||
| Hamilton East-Steine | Toms River South | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Toms River South | |
| Hamilton North-Notti | Toms River South | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Toms River South | |
| Hamilton West | Hamilton West | Hamilton West | ||
| Hammonton | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Hanover Park/Whippan | Hanover Park/Whippan | Hanover Park/Whippan | ||
| Hawthorne | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| High Point/Wallkill | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Highland Regional | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Hightstown | Hightstown | Hightstown | ||
| Hillsborough | Hillsborough | Hillsborough | ||
| Holmdel | Holmdel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holmdel | |
| Holy Cross Prep | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Holy Spirit | Holy Spirit | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Holy Spirit | |
| Hopewell Valley | Hopewell Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hopewell Valley | |
| Howell | Howell | Howell 6- 1 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Hun School | Hun School | Hun School | ||
| Hunterdon Central | Hunterdon Central | Hunterdon Central | ||
| Immaculata | Immaculata | Immaculata | ||
| Indian Hills | Indian Hills | Indian Hills | ||
| Jackson Liberty | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Jackson Memorial | Toms River South | insuffient: ( 2- 6)( 1- 7) | Toms River South | |
| James Caldwell | James Caldwell | James Caldwell | ||
| Jefferson Township | Jefferson Township | Jefferson Township | ||
| John P Stevens | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Jonathan Dayton | Jonathan Dayton | Jonathan Dayton | ||
| Kingsway Regional | Kingsway Regional | Kingsway Regional 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Kinnelon | Kinnelon | Kinnelon | ||
| Kittatinny Regional | Kittatinny Regional | Kittatinny Regional | ||
| Lacey Township | Lacey Township | Lacey Township | ||
| Lakeland Regional | Lakeland Regional | Lakeland Regional | ||
| Lawrenceville School | Lawrenceville School | Lawrenceville School | ||
| Lenape | Lenape | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lenape | |
| Lenape Valley | Lenape Valley | Lenape Valley | ||
| Livingston | Livingston | Livingston | ||
| Long Branch | Toms River South | Toms River South 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Lower Cape May | Lower Cape May | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lower Cape May | |
| Lyndhurst/North Arli | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Mahwah | Mahwah | Mahwah | ||
| Mainland Regional | Mainland Regional | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Mainland Regional | |
| Manalapan | Manalapan | Manalapan 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Manasquan | Manasquan | Manasquan | ||
| Marlboro | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Middle Township | Middle Township | Middle Township | ||
| Middletown North | Middletown North | Middletown North 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Middletown South | Middletown South | Middletown South 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Millburn | Millburn | Millburn | ||
| Millville | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Monroe Township | Monroe Township | Monroe Township | ||
| Montclair | Montclair | Montclair | ||
| Montclair Kimberley | Montclair Kimberley | Montclair Kimberley | ||
| Montgomery | Montgomery | Montgomery | ||
| Montville Township | Montville Township | Montville Township | ||
| Moorestown | Moorestown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Moorestown | |
| Moorestown Friends | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Morris Catholic | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Morris Hills | Morris Hills | Morris Hills | ||
| Morris Knolls | Morris Knolls | Morris Knolls | ||
| Morristown | Morristown | Morristown | ||
| Morristown Beard | Morristown Beard | Morristown Beard | ||
| Mount Olive | Mount Olive | Mount Olive | ||
| Mountain Lakes | Mountain Lakes | Mountain Lakes | ||
| Neptune | Toms River South | Toms River South 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| New Egypt | Toms River South | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 1- 6) | Toms River South | |
| New Providence | New Providence | New Providence | ||
| Newark Academy | Newark Academy | Newark Academy | ||
| Newton | Newton | Newton | ||
| North Brunswick | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| North Hunterdon | North Hunterdon | North Hunterdon | ||
| North Warren | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Northern Burlington | Northern Burlington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Burlington | |
| Northern Highlands | Northern Highlands | Northern Highlands | ||
| Notre Dame Lawrence | Notre Dame Lawrence | Notre Dame Lawrence | ||
| Nutley | Nutley | Nutley | ||
| Oakcrest | Oakcrest | Oakcrest | ||
| Ocean City | Ocean City | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Ocean City | |
| Ocean Township | Ocean Township | Ocean Township | ||
| Old Bridge | Old Bridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Bridge | |
| Old Tappan | Old Tappan | Old Tappan | ||
| Oratory Prep | Oratory Prep | Oratory Prep | ||
| Paramus | Paramus | Paramus | ||
| Paramus Catholic | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Park Ridge | Park Ridge | Park Ridge | ||
| Parsippany Hills/Par | Parsippany Hills/Par | Parsippany Hills/Par | ||
| Pascack Hills | Pascack Hills | Pascack Hills | ||
| Pascack Valley | Pascack Valley | Pascack Valley | ||
| Passaic County Tech | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Passaic Valley | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Paul VI Haddonfield | Paul VI Haddonfield | Paul VI Haddonfield | ||
| Peddie School | Peddie School | Peddie School | ||
| Pennington School | Pennington School | Pennington School | ||
| Pequannock Township | Pequannock Township | Pequannock Township | ||
| Phillipsburg | Phillipsburg | Phillipsburg | ||
| Pingry | Pingry | Pingry | ||
| Point Pleasant Boro | Point Pleasant Boro | Point Pleasant Boro | ||
| Pompton Lakes | Pompton Lakes | Pompton Lakes | ||
| Pope John XXIII | Pope John XXIII | Pope John XXIII | ||
| Princeton Day School | Princeton Day School | Princeton Day School | ||
| Princeton HS | Princeton HS | Princeton HS | ||
| Ramapo | Ramapo | Ramapo | ||
| Ramsey | Ramsey | Ramsey | ||
| Rancocas Valley | Rancocas Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Rancocas Valley | |
| Randolph | Randolph | Randolph | ||
| Red Bank Catholic | Red Bank Catholic | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) | Red Bank Catholic | |
| Red Bank Regional | Red Bank Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Red Bank Regional | |
| Ridge | Ridge | Ridge | ||
| Ridgewood | Ridgewood | Ridgewood | ||
| River Dell | River Dell | River Dell | ||
| Robbinsville | Robbinsville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Robbinsville | |
| Roxbury | Roxbury | Roxbury | ||
| Rumson-Fair Haven | Rumson-Fair Haven | Rumson-Fair Haven | ||
| Rutgers Prep | Rutgers Prep | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rutgers Prep | |
| Rutherford | Rutherford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rutherford | |
| Saddle Brook | Saddle Brook | Saddle Brook | ||
| Saddle River Day | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Sayreville | Sayreville | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Sayreville | |
| Scotch Plains Fanwoo | Scotch Plains Fanwoo | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Scotch Plains Fanwoo | |
| Seneca | Seneca | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Seneca | |
| Seton Hall Prep | Seton Hall Prep | Seton Hall Prep | ||
| Shawnee | Shawnee | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Shawnee | |
| Shore Regional | Shore Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Shore Regional | |
| Somerville | Somerville | Somerville | ||
| South Brunswick | South Brunswick | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Brunswick | |
| Southern Regional | Southern Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Southern Regional | |
| Sparta | Sparta | Sparta | ||
| St Augustine Prep | St Augustine Prep | St Augustine Prep | ||
| St John Vianney | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| St Joseph Hammonton | St Joseph Hammonton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Joseph Hammonton | |
| St Joseph Metuchen | St Joseph Metuchen | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Joseph Metuchen | |
| St Joseph Montvale | St Joseph Montvale | St Joseph Montvale | ||
| St Peters Prep | St Peters Prep | St Peters Prep | ||
| St Rose Belmar | Toms River South | Toms River South 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Sterling | Sterling | Sterling | ||
| Summit | Summit | Summit | ||
| Tenafly | Tenafly | Tenafly | ||
| Timber Creek | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Toms River East | Toms River East | Toms River East | ||
| Toms River North | Toms River North | Toms River North | ||
| Triton Regional | Triton Regional | Triton Regional | ||
| Union Catholic | Toms River South | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Toms River South | |
| Vernon Township | Vernon Township | Vernon Township | ||
| Verona | Verona | Verona | ||
| Vineland | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Voorhees | Voorhees | Voorhees | ||
| Waldwick | Waldwick | Waldwick | ||
| Wall Township | Wall Township | Wall Township | ||
| Warren Hills | Warren Hills | Warren Hills | ||
| Washington Township | Washington Township | Washington Township 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Watchung Hills | Watchung Hills | Watchung Hills | ||
| Wayne Hills | Wayne Hills | Wayne Hills | ||
| Wayne Valley | Wayne Valley | Wayne Valley | ||
| Weehawken | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| West Deptford/Gatewa | West Deptford/Gatewa | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | West Deptford/Gatewa | |
| West Essex Regional | West Essex Regional | West Essex Regional | ||
| West Milford | West Milford | West Milford | ||
| West Morris Central | West Morris Central | West Morris Central | ||
| West Morris Mendham | West Morris Mendham | West Morris Mendham | ||
| West Orange | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| West Windsor-Plainsb | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| West Windsor-Plainsb | West Windsor-Plainsb | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | West Windsor-Plainsb | |
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| Westwood | Westwood | Westwood | ||
| Wilberforce | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Williamstown | Williamstown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Williamstown | |
| Winslow Township | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Woodstown | Woodstown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Woodstown |
PowerWise = 47
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.58
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Donovan Cathol ( 3-12, 76.2) 5- 3 -23.69 13.67 -0.81 1.03 13.31
0 H Point Pleasant (10- 9, 80.7) 6-15 -19.19 18.17 -0.81 1.03 -20.68
0 H Toms River Eas (15- 5, 89.1) 0-13 -10.78 26.58 -0.81 1.03 -11.99
0 A Lacey Township (13- 5, 81.3) 9-15 -18.60 18.76 0.81 1.03 -18.40
0 A St John Vianne ( 4-11, 75.2) 7- 5 -24.72 12.64 0.81 1.03 13.91
0 H Toms River Nor (14- 7, 79.6) 4- 5 -20.28 17.09 -0.81 1.03 -21.81
0 H Barnegat Towns (18- 4, 85.3) 3-10 -14.58 22.79 -0.81 1.03 -15.91
0 A Freehold Towns ( 8- 9, 78.6) 7-11 -21.32 16.04 0.81 1.03 -21.22
0 H Colts Neck ( 9-10, 80.0) 6-10 -19.87 17.49 -0.81 1.03 -21.39
0 A Jackson Libert ( 1-13, 70.9) 12- 1 -28.99 8.37 0.81 1.03 9.49
0 H Ocean Township ( 7- 9, 78.9) 6- 7 -20.99 16.37 -0.81 1.03 -22.54
0 H Brick Memorial (13- 8, 79.9) 4- 5 -20.04 17.33 -0.81 1.03 -21.56
0 A Brick Township ( 3-13, 68.2) 13- 0 -31.71 5.66 0.81 1.03 6.68
0 H Donovan Cathol ( 3-12, 76.2) 6- 2 -23.69 13.67 -0.81 1.03 13.31
0 A Brick Memorial (13- 8, 79.9) 3- 5 -20.04 17.33 0.81 1.03 -19.89
0 A Marlboro (10- 7, 78.1) 8- 6 -21.84 15.53 0.81 1.03 16.89
0 A Clearview Regi (12- 4, 87.0) 4-16 -12.86 24.51 0.81 1.03 -12.46
------
-134.25
|
winning pts = 73.5918 losing points = -207.8376
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------