Troy
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 84.2556Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Notre Dame Prep ( 7-10, 85.2) 5-11 402 H Waterford United ( 7-11, 82.5) 6-13 410 A Royal Oak HS (10- 9, 85.1) 8- 5 411 A Linden (11- 7, 81.7) 10- 1 415 H Rochester Adams ( 9- 8, 86.5) 8-13 417 H Grosse Pointe North ( 1-17, 69.9) 17- 0 419 A Bloomfield Hills ( 6-11, 82.5) 9- 3 422 A Farmington ( 0-14, 67.6) 13- 0 424 A Oxford (13- 6, 87.0) 2- 5 428 A Rochester HS ( 6-10, 81.5) 11- 2 501 H West Bloomfield ( 2-14, 76.7) 18- 0 507 A Grosse Pointe North ( 1-17, 69.9) 14- 0 509 H Troy Athens ( 7- 8, 81.5) 6- 4 510 A L'Anse Creuse ( 7-11, 74.7) 14- 3 513 H Rochester Stoney Cre (10- 9, 86.2) 9- 7 516 A Rochester Adams ( 9- 8, 86.5) 3-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
401 A Notre Dame Prep 5-11 -6 -1 - -3.52
402 H Waterford United 6-13 -7 2 --- -7.25
410 A Royal Oak HS 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.33
411 A Linden 10- 1 9 2 + 2.91
415 H Rochester Adams 8-13 -5 -2 - -3.23
417 H Grosse Pointe North 17- 0 17 15 0.00
419 A Bloomfield Hills 9- 3 6 1 + 3.76
422 A Farmington 13- 0 13 16 0.00
424 A Oxford 2- 5 -3 -3 0.27
428 A Rochester HS 11- 2 9 2 + 2.77
501 H West Bloomfield 18- 0 18 8 0.00
507 A Grosse Pointe North 14- 0 14 14 0.00
509 H Troy Athens 6- 4 2 3 -1.30
510 A L'Anse Creuse 14- 3 11 9 0.00
513 H Rochester Stoney Cre 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.49
516 A Rochester Adams 3-11 -8 -3 - -2.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Waterford United 6-13 -7 2 --- -7.25 401 A Notre Dame Prep 5-11 -6 -1 - -3.52 415 H Rochester Adams 8-13 -5 -2 - -3.23 516 A Rochester Adams 3-11 -8 -3 - -2.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Royal Oak HS 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.33 411 A Linden 10- 1 9 2 + 2.91 419 A Bloomfield Hills 9- 3 6 1 + 3.76 428 A Rochester HS 11- 2 9 2 + 2.77 513 H Rochester Stoney Cre 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.49 |
Troy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Park | Troy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Troy | |
| Anchor Bay | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | ||
| Ann Arbor Greenhills | Troy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Troy | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Troy | Troy | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ann Arbor Pioneer | |
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| Bay City Central | Troy | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Troy | |
| Bay City John Glenn | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| Bay City Western | Troy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Troy | |
| Bedford | Bedford | Bedford | ||
| Belleville | Troy | Troy | ||
| Birmingham United | Birmingham United | Birmingham United 6- 0 vs 4- 2 | ||
| Birmingham United B | Troy | Troy | ||
| Bishop Foley | Troy | Troy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Troy | Troy | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton | ||
| Brighton B | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| Brother Rice | Brother Rice | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Brother Rice | |
| Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Brother Rice Orange | |
| Brownstown Woodhaven | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Cadillac | Troy | Troy | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Troy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Troy | |
| Cass Tech | Troy | Troy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Chelsea | Troy | Troy | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Troy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Troy | |
| Clarkston | Clarkston | Clarkston 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Coopersville | Troy | Troy | ||
| Cranbrook | Cranbrook | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Cranbrook | |
| Dakota | Dakota | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Dakota | |
| Davison | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| De La Salle | De La Salle | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | De La Salle | |
| Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Detroit Country Day | |
| DeWitt | Troy | Troy | ||
| Dexter | Dexter | Dexter | ||
| Divine Child | Divine Child | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Divine Child | |
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Grand Rapids | |
| East Kentwood | Troy | Troy | ||
| East Lansing | East Lansing | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | East Lansing | |
| Farmington | Troy | Troy | ||
| Fenton | Troy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Troy | |
| Flint Powers | Troy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | ||
| Forest Hills Norther | Forest Hills Norther | Forest Hills Norther | ||
| Goodrich/Lake Fenton | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Troy | |
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Grand Blanc | |
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | Grand Haven | ||
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | ||
| Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Grand Rapids Catholi | |
| Grand Rapids Christi | Troy | Troy | ||
| Grandville | Grandville | Grandville | ||
| Grosse Ile | Troy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Troy | |
| Grosse Pointe North | Troy | Troy | ||
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Grosse Pointe South | |
| Harper Creek | Troy | Troy | ||
| Hartland | Hartland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hartland | |
| Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston | ||
| Henry Ford II | Troy | Troy | ||
| Holland Christian | Holland Christian | Holland Christian | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | ||
| Holt | Holt | Holt | ||
| Howell | Howell | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Howell | |
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jackson | Troy | Troy | ||
| Jenison | Jenison | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Jenison | |
| Kalamazoo United | Troy | Troy | ||
| Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | ||
| L'Anse Creuse | Troy | Troy | ||
| L'Anse Creuse North | Troy | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Troy | |
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Lake Shore | Troy | Troy | ||
| Lakeview | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| Lansing Catholic | Troy | Troy | ||
| Lapeer | Troy | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Troy | |
| Lincoln Ypsilanti | Troy | Troy | ||
| Linden | Troy | Troy | ||
| Livonia United | Livonia United | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Livonia United | |
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Mattawan | Mattawan | Mattawan | ||
| Midland | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| Midland Dow | Midland Dow | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Midland Dow | |
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | Mona Shores | ||
| Northview | Troy | Troy | ||
| Northville | Troy | Troy | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Novi | Troy | Troy | ||
| Okemos | Okemos | Okemos | ||
| Orchard Lake St Mary | Troy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| Ortonville Brandon | Troy | Troy 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Oxford | Oxford | Oxford | ||
| Pennfield | Troy | Troy | ||
| Petoskey | Petoskey | Petoskey 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Pinckney | Troy | Troy | ||
| Plymouth | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy | |
| Port Huron United | Troy | Troy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Portage Central | Troy | Troy | ||
| Portage Northern | Troy | Troy | ||
| Reeths Puffer | Troy | Troy | ||
| Riverview Gabriel Ri | Troy | Troy | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | ||
| Rochester HS | Troy | Troy | ||
| Rochester Stoney Cre | Troy | Troy | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford | ||
| Romeo | Romeo | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Romeo | |
| Royal Oak HS | Troy | Troy | ||
| Royal Oak Shrine | Troy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Troy | |
| Saginaw Heritage | Troy | Troy | ||
| Salem | Troy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Troy | |
| Saline | Saline | Saline | ||
| Sault Area | Troy | Troy | ||
| South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | South Lyon Unified | |
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake | ||
| St Clair | Troy | Troy 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Troy | Troy | ||
| St Mary Catholic Cen | Troy | Troy | ||
| Swartz Creek | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Troy | |
| Tecumseh | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Traverse City Centra | Troy | Troy | ||
| Traverse City West | Traverse City West | Traverse City West | ||
| Troy Athens | Troy | Troy | ||
| University Detroit J | Troy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Troy | |
| University Liggett | University Liggett | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | University Liggett | |
| Utica Eisenhower | Troy | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) | Troy | |
| Vicksburg | Vicksburg | Vicksburg | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Walled Lake Northern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Walled Lake Northern | |
| Walled Lake Western | Troy | Troy | ||
| Waterford United | Waterford United | Waterford United | ||
| West Bloomfield | Troy | Troy | ||
| White Lake Lakeland | Troy | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 1) | Troy | |
| Zeeland | Zeeland | Zeeland |
PowerWise = 74
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Notre Dame Pre ( 7-10, 85.2) 5-11 -14.66 17.65 0.50 1.00 -14.22
0 H Waterford Unit ( 7-11, 82.5) 6-13 -17.40 14.91 -0.50 1.00 -17.96
0 A Royal Oak HS (10- 9, 85.1) 8- 5 -14.81 17.50 0.50 1.00 18.07
0 A Linden (11- 7, 81.7) 10- 1 -18.24 14.08 0.50 1.00 14.63
0 H Rochester Adam ( 9- 8, 86.5) 8-13 -13.38 18.94 -0.50 1.00 -13.93
0 H Grosse Pointe ( 1-17, 69.9) 17- 0 -29.96 2.35 -0.50 1.00 1.86
0 A Bloomfield Hil ( 6-11, 82.5) 9- 3 -17.38 14.93 0.50 1.00 15.49
0 A Farmington ( 0-14, 67.6) 13- 0 -32.31 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.50
0 A Oxford (13- 6, 87.0) 2- 5 -12.87 19.44 0.50 1.00 -12.42
0 A Rochester HS ( 6-10, 81.5) 11- 2 -18.37 13.94 0.50 1.00 14.49
0 H West Bloomfiel ( 2-14, 76.7) 18- 0 -23.23 9.08 -0.50 1.00 8.62
0 A Grosse Pointe ( 1-17, 69.9) 14- 0 -29.96 2.35 0.50 1.00 2.86
0 H Troy Athens ( 7- 8, 81.5) 6- 4 -18.44 13.87 -0.50 1.00 13.42
0 A L'Anse Creuse ( 7-11, 74.7) 14- 3 -25.22 7.09 0.50 1.00 7.61
0 H Rochester Ston (10- 9, 86.2) 9- 7 -13.65 18.66 -0.50 1.00 18.23
0 A Rochester Adam ( 9- 8, 86.5) 3-11 -13.38 18.94 0.50 1.00 -12.93
------
45.33
|
winning pts = 116.7795 losing points = -71.4481
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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