Trumbull
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 87.6649Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Daniel Hand (13- 8, 89.0) 5-10 412 H Westhill ( 3-11, 73.5) 14- 4 415 A Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 1-21 417 H Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 14- 7 419 A Norwalk ( 1-15, 69.9) 17- 1 422 H Fairfield Warde ( 6-10, 80.0) 11- 5 424 A Fairfield Ludlowe (15- 5, 94.5) 1-14 426 H Stamford ( 7- 9, 83.1) 9- 6 429 A Greenwich HS (11- 5, 95.8) 6-18 501 A Danbury ( 2-13, 69.9) 22- 6 510 H St Joseph Trumbull (14- 5, 95.2) 4-20 513 H Conard (16- 5, 89.6) 8- 9 515 A Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 13- 5 517 H Weston ( 9-10, 83.9) 12- 7 520 A New Fairfield (20- 2, 90.5) 5-12 528 A Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 13- 8 604 A Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Daniel Hand 5-10 -5 -1 -- -4.18
412 H Westhill 14- 4 10 15 0.00
415 A Darien 1-21 -20 -12 0.00
417 H Guilford 14- 7 7 1 + 3.72
419 A Norwalk 17- 1 16 17 0.00
422 H Fairfield Warde 11- 5 6 8 0.00
424 A Fairfield Ludlowe 1-14 -13 -7 0.00
426 H Stamford 9- 6 3 5 - -2.00
429 A Greenwich HS 6-18 -12 -9 0.00
501 A Danbury 22- 6 16 17 0.00
510 H St Joseph Trumbull 4-20 -16 -7 0.00
513 H Conard 8- 9 -1 -2 0.50
515 A Brien McMahon 13- 5 8 8 0.00
517 H Weston 12- 7 5 4 0.79
520 A New Fairfield 5-12 -7 -3 -1.67
528 A Newtown 13- 8 5 2 + 2.93
604 A Glastonbury 6-16 -10 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Daniel Hand 5-10 -5 -1 -- -4.18 426 H Stamford 9- 6 3 5 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Guilford 14- 7 7 1 + 3.72 528 A Newtown 13- 8 5 2 + 2.93 |
Trumbull Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Trumbull | |
| Avon HS | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Trumbull | |
| Bacon Academy | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Berlin | Trumbull | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Bethel | Trumbull | Trumbull 6- 1 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Branford | Trumbull | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Trumbull | |
| Brien McMahon | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Brookfield | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 4) | Trumbull | |
| Bunnell-Stratford | Trumbull | Trumbull 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Canton | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Capital-Classical Pr | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Danbury | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Trumbull | |
| East Lyme | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Trumbull | |
| Ellington | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Enfield | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| EO Smith | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Farmington | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Trumbull | |
| Fitch Groton | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Foran | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Trumbull | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Trumbull | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Trumbull | |
| Hall | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Trumbull | |
| Hamden | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Holy Cross | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Immaculate Danbury | Trumbull | Trumbull 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Joel Barlow | |
| Jonathan Law | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Lakeview United | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Ledyard-Griswold | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Lewis Mills | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Lyman Hall | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Maloney-Platt | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Masuk | Trumbull | Trumbull 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Middletown | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Montville | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Morgan School | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan 6- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New Milford | Trumbull | Trumbull 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Newington | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Newtown | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| North Branford | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| North Haven | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Northwest Catholic | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Trumbull | |
| Norwalk | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Trumbull | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Trumbull | |
| Norwich Tech | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Trumbull | Trumbull 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Notre Dame-West Have | |
| Old Lyme | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Old Saybrook | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Pomperaug | Trumbull | Trumbull 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| RHAM | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Trumbull | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield 6- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Rockville Co-op | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Rocky Hill | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Sheehan | Trumbull | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Trumbull | |
| Shelton | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Trumbull | |
| Simsbury | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) | Trumbull | |
| Somers | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| South Windsor | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Southington | Southington | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Southington | |
| St Bernard-Wheeler | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Stamford | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Stonington | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Suffield | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Tolland | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Waterford | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Watertown | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| West Haven | Trumbull | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Trumbull | |
| Westhill | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Weston | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Wethersfield | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Wilbur Cross | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) | Wilton | |
| Windsor | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Wolcott | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Xavier | Trumbull | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Trumbull |
PowerWise = 81
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Daniel Hand (13- 8, 89.0) 5-10 -10.94 29.31 -0.47 1.00 -11.42
0 H Westhill ( 3-11, 73.5) 14- 4 -26.36 13.89 -0.47 1.00 13.43
0 A Darien ( 9- 5, 99.5) 1-21 -0.36 39.90 0.47 1.00 -0.12
0 H Guilford (13- 8, 86.9) 14- 7 -13.04 27.22 -0.47 1.00 26.76
0 A Norwalk ( 1-15, 69.9) 17- 1 -30.00 10.25 0.47 1.00 10.73
0 H Fairfield Ward ( 6-10, 80.0) 11- 5 -19.95 20.31 -0.47 1.00 19.85
0 A Fairfield Ludl (15- 5, 94.5) 1-14 -5.39 34.86 0.47 1.00 -4.92
0 H Stamford ( 7- 9, 83.1) 9- 6 -16.81 23.44 -0.47 1.00 22.98
0 A Greenwich HS (11- 5, 95.8) 6-18 -4.12 36.14 0.47 1.00 -3.64
0 A Danbury ( 2-13, 69.9) 22- 6 -29.96 10.29 0.47 1.00 10.77
0 H St Joseph Trum (14- 5, 95.2) 4-20 -4.67 35.58 -0.47 1.00 -5.15
0 H Conard (16- 5, 89.6) 8- 9 -10.26 30.00 -0.47 1.00 -10.74
0 A Brien McMahon ( 5-11, 79.4) 13- 5 -20.46 19.80 0.47 1.00 20.28
0 H Weston ( 9-10, 83.9) 12- 7 -15.97 24.29 -0.47 1.00 23.83
0 A New Fairfield (20- 2, 90.5) 5-12 -9.38 30.87 0.47 1.00 -8.91
0 A Newtown (13- 7, 85.1) 13- 8 -14.78 25.47 0.47 1.00 25.96
0 A Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 6-16 -4.61 35.64 0.47 1.00 -4.14
------
125.54
|
winning pts = 174.5916 losing points = -49.0486
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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