---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:58 PDT

safe3step boys Tantasqua Regional 1
  
Tantasqua Regional    
W-L: ( 7-13) PR = 88.0430

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 328 A Nashoba Regional (15- 6, 92.7) 3-14 401 A Shrewsbury ( 6-13, 89.4) 4-10 404 A Grafton ( 7-12, 90.0) 8-11 408 H Nipmuc Regional (10- 8, 88.8) 5- 9 410 H Auburn (12- 7, 85.6) 17- 8 414 H North Middlesex ( 9-11, 89.1) 12- 6 416 A Westfield ( 3-13, 83.7) 13- 5 417 H AMSA Charter ( 7-12, 86.2) 3- 5 425 H Algonquin (16- 4, 93.1) 4-15 429 A Blackstone Valley RV ( 2-15, 84.1) 13- 4 501 H Agawam (13- 4, 91.8) 7- 9 503 A Minnechaug Regional (16- 2, 92.4) 4- 5 507 A Nipmuc Regional (10- 8, 88.8) 3- 8 508 H Longmeadow (14- 4, 97.4) 4-16 512 A AMSA Charter ( 7-12, 86.2) 6- 5 515 H Wachusett Regional (15- 4, 92.0) 11-14 520 H Grafton ( 7-12, 90.0) 3-13 521 H Blackstone Valley RV ( 2-15, 84.1) 12- 2 530 H Whittier RVT (15- 5, 87.4) 11- 4 602 A Billerica Memorial (20- 1, 99.4) 1-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Nashoba Regional        3-14     -11    -5           0.00
   401 A Shrewsbury              4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.05
   404 A Grafton                 8-11      -3    -3          -0.38
   408 H Nipmuc Regional         5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.92
   410 H Auburn                 17- 8       9     3           1.94
   414 H North Middlesex        12- 6       6     0    ++     5.38
   416 A Westfield              13- 5       8     4           1.28
   417 H AMSA Charter            3- 5      -2     2    --    -4.46
   425 H Algonquin               4-15     -11    -4          -0.63
   429 A Blackstone Valley RV   13- 4       9     3           1.73
   501 H Agawam                  7- 9      -2    -3           1.11
   503 A Minnechaug Regional     4- 5      -1    -5    +      3.99
   507 A Nipmuc Regional         3- 8      -5    -1    -     -3.65
   508 H Longmeadow              4-16     -12    -9           0.00
   512 A AMSA Charter            6- 5       1     1          -0.19
   515 H Wachusett Regional     11-14      -3    -3           0.30
   520 H Grafton                 3-13     -10    -1    -     -3.65
   521 H Blackstone Valley RV   12- 2      10     5           0.46
   530 H Whittier RVT           11- 4       7     1    +      3.74
   602 A Billerica Memorial      1-19     -18   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H AMSA Charter            3- 5      -2     2    --    -4.46
   401 A Shrewsbury              4-10      -6    -2    -     -3.05
   408 H Nipmuc Regional         5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.92
   507 A Nipmuc Regional         3- 8      -5    -1    -     -3.65
   520 H Grafton                 3-13     -10    -1    -     -3.65

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H North Middlesex        12- 6       6     0    ++     5.38
   503 A Minnechaug Regional     4- 5      -1    -5    +      3.99
   530 H Whittier RVT           11- 4       7     1    +      3.74

Tantasqua Regional Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Abington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Abington
Acton Boxborough Acton Boxborough insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Acton Boxborough
Agawam Agawam Agawam  
Algonquin Algonquin Algonquin  
Amesbury Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Amherst-Pelham Reg Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Tantasqua Regional
AMSA Charter Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Tantasqua Regional
Andover HS Andover HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Andover HS
Apponequet Regional Apponequet Regional   Apponequet Regional
Archbishop Williams Archbishop Williams   Archbishop Williams
Arlington Catholic Arlington Catholic   Arlington Catholic
Arlington HS Arlington HS   Arlington HS
Ashland Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Tantasqua Regional
Assabet Valley RVT Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Attleboro Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Auburn Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional  
Barnstable Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Bay Path RVT Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Tantasqua Regional
Bedford Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Belchertown Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Bellingham Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Belmont Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Beverly Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial  
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan   Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Bishop Stang Bishop Stang   Bishop Stang
Blackstone Valley RV Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional  
Blue Hills RVT Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Boston College HS Boston College HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Boston College HS
Boston Latin School Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Bourne Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Braintree Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Bridgewater-Raynham Bridgewater-Raynham   Bridgewater-Raynham
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Brookline Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Burlington Burlington tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Burlington
Cambridge Rindge-Lat Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Canton Canton   Canton
Cape Cod Academy Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Cape Cod Tech Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Cardinal Spellman Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Catholic Memorial Catholic Memorial   Catholic Memorial
Central Catholic Central Catholic tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Chelmsford
Chicopee Comprehensi Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Cohasset Cohasset   Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Dartmouth Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Dedham Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Dennis-Yarmouth Regi Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Dighton-Rehoboth Reg Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Doherty Memorial Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dover-Sherborn
Dracut Dracut Dracut   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Duxbury Duxbury tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duxbury
East Bridgewater Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow East Longmeadow   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Essex Tech Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Fairhaven Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Falmouth Academy Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS   Falmouth HS
Foxborough Foxborough tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Foxborough
Framingham Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Franklin Franklin insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Franklin
Gloucester Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Grafton Grafton Grafton  
Granby Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Greater Lowell RVT Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Greater New Bedford Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Groton-Dunstable Reg Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional   2- 4 vs 0- 5
Hamilton-Wenham Regi Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Haverhill Haverhill tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Haverhill
Hingham Hingham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hingham
Holliston Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Hoosac Valley Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Hopkinton Hopkinton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hopkinton
Hudson Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Hull Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Ipswich Ipswich Ipswich   3- 0 vs 1- 2
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) King Philip Regional
Lenox/Lee Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Leominster Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Tantasqua Regional
Lexington Lexington   Lexington
Lincoln-Sudbury Regi Lincoln-Sudbury Regi Lincoln-Sudbury Regi   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Littleton Littleton tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1) Littleton
Longmeadow Longmeadow Longmeadow  
Lowell Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Lowell Catholic Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Lunenburg Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Lynn Classical-Engli Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Lynnfield Lynnfield   Lynnfield
Malden Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Malden Catholic Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Manchester-Essex Reg Manchester-Essex Reg   Manchester-Essex Reg
Mansfield Mansfield tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) Mansfield
Marblehead Marblehead   Marblehead
Marshfield Marshfield   Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Masconomet Masconomet   Masconomet
Mashpee Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
McCann Technical Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Medfield Medfield tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Medfield
Medford Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Medway Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Melrose Melrose   Melrose
Methuen Methuen tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Methuen
Middleborough Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Milford Milford   Milford
Milton HS Milton HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Milton HS
Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional  
Minuteman Regional Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Monomoy Regional Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Monson Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Montachusett RVT Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Mount Greylock Regio Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Mystic Valley Charte Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Nantucket Nantucket insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional  
Nashoba Valley Tech Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Natick Natick   Natick
Nauset Nauset tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Nauset
Needham Needham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Needham
New Bedford Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Newburyport Newburyport   Newburyport
Newton North Newton North   Newton North
Newton South Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional  
North Andover North Andover insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) North Andover
North Attleboro North Attleboro tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Attleboro
North Middlesex Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional  
North Quincy Co-op Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
North Reading North Reading   North Reading
Northampton Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Northeast Metro RVT Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Norton Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Norwell Norwell   Norwell
Norwood Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Old Colony RVT Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Old Rochester Region Old Rochester Region   Old Rochester Region
Oliver Ames Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Peabody Vets Memoria Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Pembroke Pembroke   Pembroke
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional   Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Plymouth North Plymouth North   Plymouth North
Plymouth South Plymouth South tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Plymouth South
Pope Francis Prep Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Tantasqua Regional
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Reading Memorial
Revere Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Rockland Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Salem Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Sandwich Sandwich   Sandwich
Saugus Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Scituate Scituate   Scituate
Seekonk Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Sharon Sharon   Sharon
Shawsheen Valley RVT Shawsheen Valley RVT insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Shawsheen Valley RVT
Shepherd Hill Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury Shrewsbury  
Silver Lake Silver Lake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Silver Lake
Smith VoTech Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Somerset Berkley Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Somerville Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
South Hadley Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Tantasqua Regional
South Shore RVT Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Southeastern RVT Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Springfield Central Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
St Bernards Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional   3- 2 vs 1- 3
St John Paul II Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Tantasqua Regional
St Johns Prep Danver St Johns Prep Danver   St Johns Prep Danver
St Johns Shrewsbury St Johns Shrewsbury St Johns Shrewsbury   2- 3 vs 0- 5
St Marys Lynn Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
St Marys Westfield Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Stoneham Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Stoughton Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Sturgis Charter East Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Swampscott Swampscott   Swampscott
Taunton Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Tech Boston Academy Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Tewksbury Memorial Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Tri-County RVT Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Triton Regional Tantasqua Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Tyngsborough Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Tantasqua Regional
Upper Cape Cod RVT Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Wachusett Regional Wachusett Regional Wachusett Regional  
Wahconah Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Tantasqua Regional
Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial   Wakefield Memorial
Walpole Walpole insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Walpole
Waltham Waltham   Waltham
Watertown Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Wayland Tantasqua Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tantasqua Regional
Wellesley Wellesley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) West Springfield
Westborough Westborough insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) Westborough
Westfield Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional  
Westford Academy Westford Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Westford Academy
Weston Weston   Weston
Westport Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Westwood Westwood insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westwood
Weymouth Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Whitman-Hanson Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Whittier RVT Tantasqua Regional Tantasqua Regional  
Wilmington Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Winchester Winchester insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Winchester
Winthrop Winthrop   Winthrop
Woburn Memorial Tantasqua Regional   Tantasqua Regional
Xaverian Brothers Xaverian Brothers   Xaverian Brothers

PowerWise = 119


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Nashoba Region  (15- 6, 92.7)     3-14       -7.18      25.36       0.63         0.90            -5.91
   0 A Shrewsbury      ( 6-13, 89.4)     4-10      -10.54      22.00       0.63         0.90            -8.94
   0 A Grafton         ( 7-12, 90.0)     8-11       -9.87      22.67       0.63         0.90            -8.34
   0 H Nipmuc Regiona  (10- 8, 88.8)     5- 9      -11.14      21.40      -0.63         0.90           -10.63
   0 H Auburn          (12- 7, 85.6)    17- 8      -14.28      18.26      -0.63         0.90            15.90
   0 H North Middlese  ( 9-11, 89.1)    12- 6      -10.84      21.70      -0.63         0.90            19.01
   0 A Westfield       ( 3-13, 83.7)    13- 5      -16.21      16.33       0.63         0.90            15.31
   0 H AMSA Charter    ( 7-12, 86.2)     3- 5      -13.68      18.86      -0.63         0.90           -12.92
   0 H Algonquin       (16- 4, 93.1)     4-15       -6.85      25.69      -0.63         0.90            -6.75
   0 A Blackstone Val  ( 2-15, 84.1)    13- 4      -15.76      16.78       0.63         0.90            15.71
   0 H Agawam          (13- 4, 91.8)     7- 9       -8.12      24.42      -0.63         0.90            -7.90
   0 A Minnechaug Reg  (16- 2, 92.4)     4- 5       -7.50      25.04       0.63         0.90            -6.19
   0 A Nipmuc Regiona  (10- 8, 88.8)     3- 8      -11.14      21.40       0.63         0.90            -9.48
   0 H Longmeadow      (14- 4, 97.4)     4-16       -2.51      30.03      -0.63         0.90            -2.84
   0 A AMSA Charter    ( 7-12, 86.2)     6- 5      -13.68      18.86       0.63         0.90            17.59
   0 H Wachusett Regi  (15- 4, 92.0)    11-14       -7.93      24.61      -0.63         0.90            -7.72
   0 H Grafton         ( 7-12, 90.0)     3-13       -9.87      22.67      -0.63         0.90            -9.48
   0 H Blackstone Val  ( 2-15, 84.1)    12- 2      -15.76      16.78      -0.63         0.90            14.57
   0 H Whittier RVT    (15- 5, 87.4)    11- 4      -12.48      20.06      -0.63         0.90            17.53
   0 A Billerica Memo  (20- 1, 99.4)     1-19       -0.49      32.05       0.63         0.90            -0.13
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        18.39

winning pts = 115.6200 losing points = -97.2299

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------