List of boy Div 44 Topsail List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Apex Friendship         9-11      -2    -4    +      2.58
   311 A Croatan                 8-17      -9    -3    -     -3.47
   315 A Ardrey Kell             6-11      -5    -4          -0.18
   318 A Ashley                 10- 8       2     0           1.69
   321 A New Hanover            14- 1      13    14           0.00
   325 H North Brunswick        18- 1      17    17           0.00
   327 H South Brunswick        19- 0      19    16           0.00
   401 A West Brunswick         18- 0      18    18           0.00
   404 A Hoggard                10- 9       1     0           1.77
   408 H Laney                   7-15      -8    -2    --    -4.82
   410 A Ashley                 10- 9       1     0           0.69
   415 A South Brunswick        18- 0      18    15           0.00
   416 H New Bern               15- 4      11     8           0.00
   417 H West Brunswick         19- 0      19    19           0.00
   424 A Chapel Hill             9- 7       2     2          -0.18
   429 H New Hanover            20- 3      17    15           0.00
   502 A North Brunswick        17- 1      16    17           0.00
   505 H Hoggard                 9-14      -5     0    --    -4.99
   507 A Laney                  10- 9       1    -2    +      3.94
   514 H Millbrook              14- 2      12     4    +      2.93
   516 H Laney                  12-15      -3    -2          -0.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Laney                   7-15      -8    -2    --    -4.82
   505 H Hoggard                 9-14      -5     0    --    -4.99
   311 A Croatan                 8-17      -9    -3    -     -3.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Apex Friendship         9-11      -2    -4    +      2.58
   507 A Laney                  10- 9       1    -2    +      3.94
   514 H Millbrook              14- 2      12     4    +      2.93



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 80.19 Power Rank.................    30
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 48.44 SOS (PR) Rank..............    47
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7004 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    10
 RPI Rating............... .5841 RPI Rank...................    28
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........   134
 Selection sum ...........    75 Selection Rank ............    17
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -25. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    35
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  -30. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    37
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  13.0 Ave Defensive Goals .......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3