Topsail
W-L: (15- 6) PR = 91.1496Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 9-11 311 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 8-17 315 A Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 6-11 318 A Ashley (10-13, 90.9) 10- 8 321 A New Hanover ( 6-13, 81.1) 14- 1 325 H North Brunswick ( 8-14, 78.1) 18- 1 327 H South Brunswick ( 2-12, 79.1) 19- 0 401 A West Brunswick ( 2-14, 77.1) 18- 0 404 A Hoggard (15- 6, 91.9) 10- 9 408 H Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 7-15 410 A Ashley (10-13, 90.9) 10- 9 415 A South Brunswick ( 2-12, 79.1) 18- 0 416 H New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 15- 4 417 H West Brunswick ( 2-14, 77.1) 19- 0 424 A Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 9- 7 429 H New Hanover ( 6-13, 81.1) 20- 3 502 A North Brunswick ( 8-14, 78.1) 17- 1 505 H Hoggard (15- 6, 91.9) 9-14 507 A Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 10- 9 514 H Millbrook (16- 5, 88.5) 14- 2 516 H Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 12-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 A Apex Friendship 9-11 -2 -4 1.54
311 A Croatan 8-17 -9 -3 -1.50
315 A Ardrey Kell 6-11 -5 -3 -1.84
318 A Ashley 10- 8 2 0 1.99
321 A New Hanover 14- 1 13 10 0.00
325 H North Brunswick 18- 1 17 13 0.00
327 H South Brunswick 19- 0 19 12 0.00
401 A West Brunswick 18- 0 18 14 0.00
404 A Hoggard 10- 9 1 -1 1.98
408 H Laney 7-15 -8 -2 - -3.27
410 A Ashley 10- 9 1 0 0.99
415 A South Brunswick 18- 0 18 12 0.00
416 H New Bern 15- 4 11 6 0.00
417 H West Brunswick 19- 0 19 14 0.00
424 A Chapel Hill 9- 7 2 1 0.64
429 H New Hanover 20- 3 17 10 0.00
502 A North Brunswick 17- 1 16 13 0.00
505 H Hoggard 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.57
507 A Laney 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.28
514 H Millbrook 14- 2 12 3 + 2.06
516 H Laney 12-15 -3 -2 -1.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 H Hoggard 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.57 408 H Laney 7-15 -8 -2 - -3.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 507 A Laney 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.28 514 H Millbrook 14- 2 12 3 + 2.06 |
Topsail Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Apex | |
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Asheville HS | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Asheville School | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Ashley | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Athens Drive | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Atkins | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Bishop McGuinness | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Bradford Prep | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | Broughton | |
| Butler | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Topsail | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Topsail | |
| Cape Fear HS | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Cary Academy | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Cary Christian | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Cary HS | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Cedar Ridge | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Chapel Hill | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Charlotte Catholic | |
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Charlotte Christian | |
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King | ||
| Clayton | Topsail | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Topsail | |
| Cleveland | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Community School-Dav | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Corinth Holders | Topsail | Topsail 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Davie | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| DH Conley | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Durham Academy | |
| East Chapel Hill | Topsail | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Topsail | |
| East Forsyth | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Enloe | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Fike | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| First Flight | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Topsail | |
| Forsyth Country Day | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Topsail | Topsail 3- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Garner | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Glenn | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Grays Creek | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Green Hope | |
| Green Level | Green Level | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Green Level | |
| Greensboro Day | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Grimsley | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Havelock | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Heritage | Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Heritage | |
| Hickory | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| High Point Central | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Topsail | |
| Hoggard | Hoggard | insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 2) | Hoggard | |
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Hough | Hough | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Hough | |
| Hunt | Topsail | Topsail 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Independence | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Jack Britt | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Jacksonville | Topsail | Topsail 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| JF Webb | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| JH Rose | Topsail | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Topsail | |
| John Paul II Catholi | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Jordan | Topsail | Topsail 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Lake Norman Charter | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Norman HS | |
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Topsail | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) | Topsail | |
| Lincoln Charter | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Millbrook | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Mooresville | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Mount Tabor | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Myers Park | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| New Bern | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| New Hanover | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| North Brunswick | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| North Davidson | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| North Lincoln | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | Topsail | Topsail 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Northern Durham | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Northern Guilford | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Northside | Topsail | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Topsail | |
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Page | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Topsail | |
| Panther Creek | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Parkwood | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Patton Morganton | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Pine Forest | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Pinecrest | Topsail | Topsail 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Porter Ridge | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Providence | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Providence Day | Providence Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Queens Grant | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Reagan | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Riverside Durham | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Roxboro Community | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Sanderson | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Seaforth | Topsail | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Topsail | |
| South Brunswick | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| South Garner | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| South Iredell | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| South View | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Southern Alamance | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Topsail | |
| Southlake Christian | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| St Davids School | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| St Stephens | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Sun Valley | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Swansboro | Topsail | Topsail 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| TC Roberson | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Terry Sanford | Topsail | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Topsail | |
| Union Pines | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Topsail | |
| Vance Charter | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Voyager Academy | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Wake Forest | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Wake Prep | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Wakefield | Topsail | Topsail 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Walter M Williams | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Watauga | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| West Carteret | Topsail | Topsail 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| West Forsyth | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| West Stokes | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Western Alamance | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Western Guilford | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Willow Spring | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Topsail |
PowerWise = 119
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Apex Friendshi (16- 7, 94.4) 9-11 -5.48 28.32 0.27 0.85 -4.45
0 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 8-17 -5.52 28.29 0.27 0.85 -4.48
0 A Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 6-11 -5.86 27.95 0.27 0.85 -4.77
0 A Ashley (10-13, 90.9) 10- 8 -9.04 24.77 0.27 0.85 21.39
0 A New Hanover ( 6-13, 81.1) 14- 1 -18.84 14.97 0.27 0.85 13.01
0 H North Brunswic ( 8-14, 78.1) 18- 1 -21.79 12.02 -0.27 0.85 10.04
0 H South Brunswic ( 2-12, 79.1) 19- 0 -20.79 13.02 -0.27 0.85 10.88
0 A West Brunswick ( 2-14, 77.1) 18- 0 -22.76 11.05 0.27 0.85 9.67
0 A Hoggard (15- 6, 91.9) 10- 9 -8.05 25.76 0.27 0.85 22.23
0 H Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 7-15 -6.75 27.06 -0.27 0.85 -5.99
0 A Ashley (10-13, 90.9) 10- 9 -9.04 24.77 0.27 0.85 21.39
0 A South Brunswic ( 2-12, 79.1) 18- 0 -20.79 13.02 0.27 0.85 11.35
0 H New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 15- 4 -14.60 19.21 -0.27 0.85 16.17
0 H West Brunswick ( 2-14, 77.1) 19- 0 -22.76 11.05 -0.27 0.85 9.20
0 A Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 9- 7 -10.38 23.43 0.27 0.85 20.24
0 H New Hanover ( 6-13, 81.1) 20- 3 -18.84 14.97 -0.27 0.85 12.55
0 A North Brunswic ( 8-14, 78.1) 17- 1 -21.79 12.02 0.27 0.85 10.50
0 H Hoggard (15- 6, 91.9) 9-14 -8.05 25.76 -0.27 0.85 -7.10
0 A Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 10- 9 -6.75 27.06 0.27 0.85 23.34
0 H Millbrook (16- 5, 88.5) 14- 2 -11.42 22.39 -0.27 0.85 18.88
0 H Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 12-15 -6.75 27.06 -0.27 0.85 -5.99
------
198.05
|
winning pts = 230.8430 losing points = -32.7957
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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