List of boy Div 158 Topsail List of Team Values for NC Public


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Cardinal Gibbons       11- 5       6   -12    +++   13.00
   304 A New Bern               18- 0      18     7           0.00
   311 H South Brunswick        18- 0      18    16           0.00
   312 H New Hanover            14- 1      13    15           0.00
   314 A Middle Creek            7- 5       2   -10    +++    9.00
   317 A Ashley                 10-11      -1     0          -1.09
   320 A North Brunswick        18- 0      18    16           0.00
   321 H Chapel Hill            18- 7      11     3    +      3.84
   324 H Laney                  14- 5       9    -1    +++    8.96
   327 H Hoggard                 6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.21
   328 H Apex Friendship         7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.60
   331 A West Brunswick         17- 0      17    18           0.00
   410 H St Johns Jesuit         7- 8      -1     1          n/a  
   414 A New Hanover            19- 2      17    14           0.00
   417 H Ashley                 17- 9       8     1    ++     5.71
   421 H North Brunswick        20- 1      19    18           0.00
   422 H Croatan                15-14       1    -2    +      3.55
   424 A Laney                  10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.16
   428 A Hoggard                 6- 5       1     0           1.99
   501 H West Brunswick         21- 1      20    19           0.00
   505 A South Brunswick        13- 6       7    15           0.00
   515 H Cleveland              25- 1      24    17           0.00
   519 H Clayton                21- 3      18     7           0.00
   522 A Holly Springs           9- 1       8    -3    +++   10.71
   527 N Cardinal Gibbons        6-15      -9   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Hoggard                 6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.21
   410 H St Johns Jesuit         7- 8      -1     1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Cardinal Gibbons       11- 5       6   -12    +++   13.00
   314 A Middle Creek            7- 5       2   -10    +++    9.00
   324 H Laney                  14- 5       9    -1    +++    8.96
   522 A Holly Springs           9- 1       8    -3    +++   10.71
   417 H Ashley                 17- 9       8     1    ++     5.71
   424 A Laney                  10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.16
   321 H Chapel Hill            18- 7      11     3    +      3.84
   328 H Apex Friendship         7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.60
   422 H Croatan                15-14       1    -2    +      3.55



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 80.19 Power Rank.................    22
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.08 SOS (PR) Rank..............    27
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6831 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     8
 RPI Rating............... .6314 RPI Rank...................    12
 Champ. Probability ......   1.1 Championship Rank .........    14
 Selection sum ...........    28 Selection Rank ............     5
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  160. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     1
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   95. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     8
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  13.9 Ave Defensive Goals .......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7