Toll Gate
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 78.8541Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 328 A East Providence ( 6- 9, 77.7) 10- 5 401 A Portsmouth (14- 4, 93.5) 0-20 409 A North Providence ( 4-13, 77.1) 4- 2 418 A Coventry ( 8- 8, 82.1) 2-12 421 H Coventry ( 8- 8, 82.1) 5- 7 423 H Narragansett (12- 6, 83.7) 3- 7 425 A Providence CDS-St Ra ( 3-12, 80.4) 4- 2 428 H North Smithfield ( 8- 8, 83.1) 2- 8 430 A Mount Hope (15- 3, 86.6) 2-15 505 A Lincoln (11- 5, 84.3) 2-13 508 H Burrillville ( 3-14, 78.9) 5- 6 512 H Providence CDS-St Ra ( 3-12, 80.4) 4- 9 514 H Mount Hope (15- 3, 86.6) 2-13 516 H Lincoln (11- 5, 84.3) 1-15 519 A Burrillville ( 3-14, 78.9) 6- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
328 A East Providence 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.27
401 A Portsmouth 0-20 -20 -15 0.00
409 A North Providence 4- 2 2 1 0.62
418 A Coventry 2-12 -10 -4 -1.36
421 H Coventry 5- 7 -2 -3 0.81
423 H Narragansett 3- 7 -4 -4 0.47
425 A Providence CDS-St Ra 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.92
428 H North Smithfield 2- 8 -6 -4 -1.13
430 A Mount Hope 2-15 -13 -8 0.00
505 A Lincoln 2-13 -11 -6 0.00
508 H Burrillville 5- 6 -1 0 -1.39
512 H Providence CDS-St Ra 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.91
514 H Mount Hope 2-13 -11 -7 0.00
516 H Lincoln 1-15 -14 -5 0.00
519 A Burrillville 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 H Providence CDS-St Ra 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.91 519 A Burrillville 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A East Providence 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.27 425 A Providence CDS-St Ra 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.92 |
Toll Gate Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington | Barrington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Barrington | |
| Bishop Hendricken | Bishop Hendricken | Bishop Hendricken | ||
| Burrillville | Burrillville | Burrillville | ||
| Chariho | Chariho | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Chariho | |
| Classical | Toll Gate | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Toll Gate | |
| Coventry | Coventry | Coventry | ||
| Cranston East | Toll Gate | Toll Gate 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cranston West | Cranston West | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cranston West | |
| Cumberland | Cumberland | Cumberland | ||
| East Greenwich | East Greenwich | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Greenwich | |
| East Providence | Toll Gate | Toll Gate | ||
| La Salle Academy | La Salle Academy | La Salle Academy | ||
| Lincoln | Lincoln | Lincoln | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Middletown | |
| Moses Brown School | Moses Brown School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Moses Brown School | |
| Mount Hope | Mount Hope | Mount Hope | ||
| Narragansett | Narragansett | Narragansett | ||
| North Kingstown | North Kingstown | North Kingstown | ||
| North Providence | Toll Gate | Toll Gate | ||
| North Smithfield | North Smithfield | North Smithfield | ||
| Pilgrim | Pilgrim | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pilgrim | |
| Ponaganset | Ponaganset | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Ponaganset | |
| Portsmouth | Portsmouth | Portsmouth | ||
| Prout/Exeter-West Gr | Prout/Exeter-West Gr | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Prout/Exeter-West Gr | |
| Providence CDS-St Ra | Providence CDS-St Ra | insuffient: ( 0- 6)( 1- 5) | Providence CDS-St Ra | |
| Rogers | Rogers | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Rogers | |
| Scituate | Scituate | Scituate 6- 0 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Smithfield | Smithfield | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Smithfield | |
| South Kingstown | South Kingstown | South Kingstown | ||
| Tiverton | Tiverton | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Tiverton | |
| Westerly | Westerly | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Westerly |
PowerWise = 4
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.69
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A East Providenc ( 6- 9, 77.7) 10- 5 -22.19 7.44 0.42 1.05 8.21
0 A Portsmouth (14- 4, 93.5) 0-20 -6.39 23.24 0.42 1.05 -6.25
0 A North Providen ( 4-13, 77.1) 4- 2 -22.84 6.78 0.42 1.05 7.53
0 A Coventry ( 8- 8, 82.1) 2-12 -17.82 11.80 0.42 1.05 -18.20
0 H Coventry ( 8- 8, 82.1) 5- 7 -17.82 11.80 -0.42 1.05 -19.08
0 H Narragansett (12- 6, 83.7) 3- 7 -16.16 13.47 -0.42 1.05 -17.34
0 A Providence CDS ( 3-12, 80.4) 4- 2 -19.54 10.09 0.42 1.05 10.99
0 H North Smithfie ( 8- 8, 83.1) 2- 8 -16.76 12.87 -0.42 1.05 -17.96
0 A Mount Hope (15- 3, 86.6) 2-15 -13.32 16.31 0.42 1.05 -13.49
0 A Lincoln (11- 5, 84.3) 2-13 -15.59 14.04 0.42 1.05 -15.87
0 H Burrillville ( 3-14, 78.9) 5- 6 -21.02 8.61 -0.42 1.05 -22.42
0 H Providence CDS ( 3-12, 80.4) 4- 9 -19.54 10.09 -0.42 1.05 -20.87
0 H Mount Hope (15- 3, 86.6) 2-13 -13.32 16.31 -0.42 1.05 -14.36
0 H Lincoln (11- 5, 84.3) 1-15 -15.59 14.04 -0.42 1.05 -16.74
0 A Burrillville ( 3-14, 78.9) 6- 9 -21.02 8.61 0.42 1.05 -21.55
------
-177.39
|
winning pts = 26.7293 losing points = -204.1240
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------